Bare-Widow — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.45K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

71.1%

Resolved

347

Trades

394

lifetime

Volume

$11.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$30

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-04

last 09-17 11:48

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 20 days

Categories

Other

74% 33% -$418

Crypto

14% 2% -$1,505

Politics

9% 100% +$307

Tech

3% 50% +$163

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	5	$2.6K	2,205	1,660	+545	Spain	+$421	07-19 21:59
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?	3	$2.6K	2,000	2,000	+0	No	+$490	05-16 22:13
Will Israel win the televote for Eurovision 2026?	9	$1.1K	743	742	+1	No	+$307	05-16 22:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-23 16:50 UTC	3	$945	12,544	0	+12,544	Down	-$945	03-23 16:54
will the silicon data h100 index sdh100rt hit 2pt40 high by february 28 2026	3	$659	1,100	1,100	+0	Yes	+$59	02-05 14:33
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?	1	$600	1,220	0	+1,220	No	-$600	07-22 15:36
spx opens up or down on february 5 2026	3	$585	582	582	+0	Down	+$195	02-05 12:27
will grok 4pt20 not be released by february 14 2026	2	$332	1,865	0	+1,865	Yes	-$332	02-11 12:03
Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?	2	$276	824	0	+824	No	-$276	07-19 20:57
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	2	$261	1,739	1,739	+0	open	—	09-17 11:48
will openai have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	7	$245	3,195	3,195	+0	No	+$125	02-07 14:46
Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026?	2	$201	1,120	1,120	+0	No	+$1	02-28 09:43
will xai have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	5	$193	10,056	0	+10,056	No	-$193	02-05 19:16
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-06 00:15 UTC	1	$157	375	0	+375	Up	-$157	02-06 00:16
will felicia win melodifestivalen 2026	2	$132	142	142	+0	Yes	+$102	02-28 09:43
will anthropic have the 1 ai model at the end of february 2026	2	$92	136	136	+0	Yes	+$72	02-07 00:41
will denmark be said during the next episode of the all in podcast 668	5	$89	790	0	+790	No	-$89	02-05 14:45
will sanders be said during the next episode of the all in podcast 359	3	$76	895	0	+895	No	-$76	02-05 16:46
will xai be the first company to have an ai model hit 1500 on chatbot arena by june 30 2026	1	$60	470	0	+470	No	-$60	02-06 00:04
fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 penalty shootout	1	$28	276	0	+276	No	-$28	07-19 21:51
will a claude mythos model be released by june 9 2026	2	$24	2,180	0	+2,180	Yes	-$24	06-09 17:05
Will Sweden be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	3	$19	187	0	+187	No	-$19	05-16 22:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	1	$10	1,000	0	+1,000	Up	-$10	04-29 22:54
XRP Up or Down - April 29, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	1	$10	1,000	0	+1,000	Down	-$10	04-29 22:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	1	$10	500	0	+500	Up	-$10	04-29 22:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	1	$10	317	0	+317	Up	-$10	04-29 23:14
Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	1	$10	474	0	+474	Up	-$10	04-29 23:14
will openai have the 1 ai model at the end of february 2026	1	$10	208	0	+208	No	-$10	02-05 19:44
will bitcoin outperform gold in february 2026	1	$7	42	0	+42	No	-$7	02-07 16:38
BNB Up or Down - April 29, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	2	$6	6	0	+6	Down	+$0	04-29 22:42

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-17 11:48:00	Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Yes	SELL	1,739	4¢	$70	0x284616…
09-16 13:37:16	Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Yes	BUY	1,739	11¢	$191	0x5b9f21…
07-22 15:36:18	Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	1,220	49¢	$600	0x731510…
07-19 21:59:51	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	545	5¢	$30	0xeafb23…
07-19 21:53:16	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Spain	SELL	830	94¢	$776	0x73ddf8…
07-19 21:51:12	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 penalty shootout	Yes	BUY	276	10¢	$28	0x2453ae…
07-19 21:48:10	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Spain	SELL	830	91¢	$755	0x0a1180…
07-19 21:38:04	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Spain	BUY	488	60¢	$295	0x9afcbe…
07-19 21:24:30	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Spain	BUY	1,172	67¢	$785	0xed0c46…
07-19 20:57:24	Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?	Yes	BUY	247	31¢	$77	0xd4c93b…
07-19 20:44:30	Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?	Yes	BUY	577	34¢	$199	0x131d0d…
06-09 17:05:12	will a claude mythos model be released by june 9 2026	No	BUY	2,000	1¢	$20	0xf421a3…
06-09 17:01:21	will a claude mythos model be released by june 9 2026	No	BUY	180	2¢	$4	0xe7e89b…
05-16 22:58:19	Will Israel win the televote for Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	144	95¢	$137	0x6f374c…
05-16 22:58:19	Will Israel win the televote for Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	452	95¢	$430	0x592834…
05-16 22:58:18	Will Israel win the televote for Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	10	95¢	$10	0x45f345…
05-16 22:58:16	Will Israel win the televote for Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	30	95¢	$28	0xf37fa0…
05-16 22:58:16	Will Israel win the televote for Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	50	95¢	$48	0x6ee9c0…
05-16 22:58:14	Will Israel win the televote for Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	10	95¢	$10	0x9daf07…
05-16 22:58:11	Will Israel win the televote for Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	38	97¢	$37	0x7aff18…
05-16 22:58:11	Will Israel win the televote for Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	8	95¢	$8	0x3e7022…
05-16 22:48:38	Will Israel win the televote for Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	743	54¢	$400	0xe10e1f…
05-16 22:25:25	Will Sweden be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	10¢	$2	0x81b53b…
05-16 22:25:13	Will Sweden be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	74	10¢	$7	0xa3de48…
05-16 22:24:52	Will Sweden be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	95	10¢	$9	0x06e8fb…
05-16 22:13:12	Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	2,000	76¢	$1,520	0xd67b34…
05-16 13:16:27	Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	1,000	51¢	$510	0x66afcd…
05-16 12:24:16	Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	1,000	52¢	$520	0x0baad4…
05-09 07:24:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x74156a…
05-09 07:19:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x132edd…
05-09 07:14:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x51749b…
05-09 06:59:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x515b97…
05-09 06:54:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x87f0ba…
05-09 06:49:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x8aa50b…
05-09 06:34:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x62f9fa…
05-09 06:14:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x9370e3…
05-09 06:04:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	58	2¢	$1	0x1324c6…
05-09 05:54:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x501cc7…
05-09 05:44:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x638959…
05-09 05:34:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x449da0…
05-09 05:24:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xda4bc5…
05-09 05:14:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xeeda89…
05-09 05:04:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x4a3ef4…
05-09 04:59:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xe80a11…
05-09 04:49:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x30f76d…
05-09 04:39:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x4593c3…
05-09 04:14:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x66ef65…
05-09 03:54:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xd176c8…
05-09 03:39:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xa2d1a6…
05-09 03:24:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x9946d0…
05-09 02:59:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xaa6ee5…
05-09 02:59:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x19cf84…
05-09 02:44:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xfd73ed…
05-09 02:44:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x8b8582…
05-09 02:39:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x01225e…
05-09 02:29:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xe5e45b…
05-09 02:29:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xcb401b…
05-09 02:19:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x6ca538…
05-09 02:14:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xdad1c8…
05-09 01:54:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xf97a91…
05-09 01:49:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x0ae65e…
05-09 01:44:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xa01ec9…
05-09 01:39:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x9c2de9…
05-09 01:29:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xbaf9a0…
05-09 01:24:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xb9c446…
05-09 01:19:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x0305f1…
05-09 01:09:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x37773f…
05-09 00:59:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xfdf9b2…
05-09 00:54:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xdf1fbc…
05-09 00:49:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x9ca5fa…
05-09 00:44:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	143	1¢	$1	0x69eef4…
05-09 00:29:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x32e9db…
05-09 00:19:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x4dbec7…
05-09 00:14:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xed93b4…
05-09 00:14:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x3880a7…
05-09 00:04:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x5ee0f9…
05-08 23:49:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x1f9020…
05-08 23:44:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xe0a453…
05-08 23:14:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x2c54d5…
05-08 23:09:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x79e91e…
05-08 22:59:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x04a3c8…
05-08 22:44:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x358557…
05-08 22:39:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x605e9b…
05-08 22:29:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xbc6751…
05-08 21:59:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x6fc26e…
05-08 21:59:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x4b2753…
05-08 21:49:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xeb8ac0…
05-08 21:44:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xd6fdc6…
05-08 21:39:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x1da48a…
05-08 21:29:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xd07467…
05-08 21:14:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x865f19…
05-08 20:49:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xd58590…
05-08 20:39:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xa6d840…
05-08 20:29:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x536f31…
05-08 20:29:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x1d6763…
05-08 20:19:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x19d32e…
05-08 19:59:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x3ef36c…
05-08 19:44:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xf4aae3…
05-08 19:29:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x349a5e…
05-08 19:14:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x118681…