Bare-Widow — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$153

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

2.2%

Resolved

271

Trades

368

lifetime

Volume

$4.35K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-04

last 06-09 17:05

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Other

54% — —

Crypto

37% 2% $-153

Tech

9% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

9 active days in 12wk • peak 90 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 5m 1774284600	3	$945	12,544	0	+12,544	open	—	03-23 16:54
will the silicon data h100 index sdh100rt hit 2pt40 high by february 28 2026	3	$659	1,100	1,100	+0	open	—	02-05 14:33
spx opens up or down on february 5 2026	3	$585	582	582	+0	open	—	02-05 12:27
will grok 4pt20 not be released by february 14 2026	2	$332	1,865	0	+1,865	open	—	02-11 12:03
will openai have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	7	$245	3,195	3,195	+0	open	—	02-07 14:46
Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026?	2	$201	1,120	1,120	+0	open	—	02-28 09:43
will xai have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	5	$193	10,056	0	+10,056	open	—	02-05 19:16
btc updown 15m 1770336900	1	$157	375	0	+375	open	—	02-06 00:16
will felicia win melodifestivalen 2026	2	$132	142	142	+0	open	—	02-28 09:43
will anthropic have the 1 ai model at the end of february 2026	2	$92	136	136	+0	open	—	02-07 00:41
will denmark be said during the next episode of the all in podcast 668	5	$89	790	0	+790	open	—	02-05 14:45
will sanders be said during the next episode of the all in podcast 359	3	$76	895	0	+895	open	—	02-05 16:46
will xai be the first company to have an ai model hit 1500 on chatbot arena by june 30 2026	1	$60	470	0	+470	open	—	02-06 00:04
will a claude mythos model be released by june 9 2026	2	$24	2,180	0	+2,180	open	—	06-09 17:05
Will Sweden be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	3	$19	187	0	+187	open	—	05-16 22:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	1	$10	500	0	+500	open	—	04-29 22:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	1	$10	317	0	+317	open	—	04-29 23:14
XRP Up or Down - April 29, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	1	$10	1,000	0	+1,000	open	—	04-29 22:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	1	$10	1,000	0	+1,000	open	—	04-29 22:54
Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	1	$10	474	0	+474	open	—	04-29 23:14
will openai have the 1 ai model at the end of february 2026	1	$10	208	0	+208	open	—	02-05 19:44
will bitcoin outperform gold in february 2026	1	$7	42	0	+42	open	—	02-07 16:38
BNB Up or Down - April 29, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	2	$6	6	0	+6	open	—	04-29 22:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	1	$5	500	0	+500	open	—	04-30 02:04
XRP Up or Down - April 29, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	1	$5	500	0	+500	open	—	04-30 00:19
XRP Up or Down - April 30, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	1	$5	500	0	+500	open	—	04-30 05:24
Solana Up or Down - April 30, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	1	$5	500	0	+500	open	—	04-30 07:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	1	$5	65	0	+65	open	—	04-30 06:40
Solana Up or Down - April 30, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	1	$5	62	0	+62	open	—	04-30 04:29
Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	1	$5	500	0	+500	open	—	04-29 23:49

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 17:05:12	will a claude mythos model be released by june 9 2026	No	BUY	2,000	1¢	$20	0xf421a3…
06-09 17:01:21	will a claude mythos model be released by june 9 2026	No	BUY	180	2¢	$4	0xe7e89b…
05-16 22:25:25	Will Sweden be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	10¢	$2	0x81b53b…
05-16 22:25:13	Will Sweden be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	74	10¢	$7	0xa3de48…
05-16 22:24:52	Will Sweden be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	95	10¢	$9	0x06e8fb…
05-09 07:24:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x74156a…
05-09 07:19:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x132edd…
05-09 07:14:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x51749b…
05-09 06:59:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x515b97…
05-09 06:54:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x87f0ba…
05-09 06:49:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x8aa50b…
05-09 06:34:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x62f9fa…
05-09 06:14:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x9370e3…
05-09 06:04:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	58	2¢	$1	0x1324c6…
05-09 05:54:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x501cc7…
05-09 05:44:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x638959…
05-09 05:34:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x449da0…
05-09 05:24:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xda4bc5…
05-09 05:14:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xeeda89…
05-09 05:04:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x4a3ef4…
05-09 04:59:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xe80a11…
05-09 04:49:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x30f76d…
05-09 04:39:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x4593c3…
05-09 04:14:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x66ef65…
05-09 03:54:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xd176c8…
05-09 03:39:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xa2d1a6…
05-09 03:24:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x9946d0…
05-09 02:59:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xaa6ee5…
05-09 02:59:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x19cf84…
05-09 02:44:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xfd73ed…
05-09 02:44:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x8b8582…
05-09 02:39:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x01225e…
05-09 02:29:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xe5e45b…
05-09 02:29:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xcb401b…
05-09 02:19:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x6ca538…
05-09 02:14:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xdad1c8…
05-09 01:54:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xf97a91…
05-09 01:49:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x0ae65e…
05-09 01:44:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xa01ec9…
05-09 01:39:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x9c2de9…
05-09 01:29:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xbaf9a0…
05-09 01:24:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xb9c446…
05-09 01:19:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x0305f1…
05-09 01:09:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x37773f…
05-09 00:59:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xfdf9b2…
05-09 00:54:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xdf1fbc…
05-09 00:49:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x9ca5fa…
05-09 00:44:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	143	1¢	$1	0x69eef4…
05-09 00:29:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x32e9db…
05-09 00:19:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x4dbec7…
05-09 00:14:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xed93b4…
05-09 00:14:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x3880a7…
05-09 00:04:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x5ee0f9…
05-08 23:49:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x1f9020…
05-08 23:44:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xe0a453…
05-08 23:14:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x2c54d5…
05-08 23:09:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x79e91e…
05-08 22:59:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x04a3c8…
05-08 22:44:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x358557…
05-08 22:39:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x605e9b…
05-08 22:29:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xbc6751…
05-08 21:59:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x6fc26e…
05-08 21:59:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x4b2753…
05-08 21:49:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xeb8ac0…
05-08 21:44:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xd6fdc6…
05-08 21:39:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x1da48a…
05-08 21:29:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xd07467…
05-08 21:14:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x865f19…
05-08 20:49:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xd58590…
05-08 20:39:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xa6d840…
05-08 20:19:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x19d32e…
05-08 19:59:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x3ef36c…
05-08 19:44:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xf4aae3…
05-08 19:29:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x349a5e…
05-08 19:14:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x118681…
05-08 18:39:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x12e4a4…
05-08 18:29:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x5f30b0…
05-08 18:24:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xe19bf5…
05-08 18:14:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x0290db…
05-08 17:14:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x2b4b36…
05-08 16:49:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x803c81…
05-08 16:19:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xbf7e25…
05-08 14:59:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x99acb3…
05-08 14:44:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x9800cc…
05-08 13:59:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xcbee36…
05-08 13:04:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x234ed3…
05-08 12:09:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x13e116…
05-08 12:04:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	51	2¢	$1	0x075fff…
05-08 11:59:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x17c7be…
05-08 11:54:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xa3c064…
05-08 11:34:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x7b6de2…
05-08 11:29:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xc40ddf…
05-08 11:24:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xae34e4…
05-08 11:09:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x4cf969…
05-08 10:29:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xbce233…
05-08 10:24:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x779d97…
05-08 10:14:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x9c9a7c…
05-08 09:59:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xd70ab9…
05-08 09:59:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xd0fe40…
05-08 09:54:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xaa6a77…