Strong-Character — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

-$49

Unrealized P&L

+$54

Hit rate

53.9%

Resolved (90d)

Trades (90d)

2,953 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$366

$43.8K lifetime

Avg / trade

$15

Open exposure

$17

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-20

last 08-14 05:16

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 127 days

Categories

Politics

36% 54% -$506

Crypto

34% 42% -$555

Other

27% 63% -$464

Tech

3% 83% +$32

Sports

0% 67% +$29

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
US recession by end of 2026?	Yes		-273	-$66	6¢	$-15	+$51	05-05 04:24
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	Yes		-79	-$6	2¢	$-2	+$4	05-01 21:56

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	3	$2.0K	1,193	1,193	+0	No	+$248	04-25 18:36
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	7	$1.3K	888	888	+0	No	+$86	05-28 10:18
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	3	$1.3K	703	703	+0	No	+$145	04-22 02:10
Nothing Ever Happens: May	3	$1.0K	587	587	+0	Nothing	+$76	05-28 09:18
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?	21	$854	7,425	7,425	+0	No	-$648	06-28 14:00
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz in April?	4	$809	418	418	+0	No	+$25	05-01 03:23
will bitcoin reach 76k on april 16	2	$788	405	404	+1	No	+$20	04-17 05:47
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	2	$745	421	421	+0	No	+$13	04-09 07:28
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	3	$740	413	413	+0	No	+$28	05-04 01:24
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	5	$639	378	378	+0	No	+$15	05-01 04:57
Will annual inflation increase by 3.5% in April?	2	$511	286	284	+2	No	+$13	05-04 01:24
spx up or down on april 22 2026	2	$503	254	254	+0	Up	+$3	04-22 20:34
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	3	$503	312	312	+0	No	+$3	05-28 11:42
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	8	$465	537	876	-339	No	+$161	06-28 04:25
Will Trump visit China by May 31?	2	$457	247	247	+0	Yes	+$7	05-08 04:44
will bitcoin reach 79k on april 17	1	$450	454	0	+454	No	+$4	04-18 00:28
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?	16	$442	4,551	2,947	+1,604	No	-$312	05-28 09:50
will bitcoin dip to 66k on april 1	2	$419	221	220	+2	No	+$21	04-02 04:56
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	4	$352	538	244	+294	Yes	+$8	06-25 11:40
will bitcoin reach 77k on april 20	3	$344	177	176	+1	No	+$8	04-21 04:27
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $90 on May 28?	2	$337	312	312	+0	No	-$139	05-28 14:45
Will Trump visit Pakistan by April 30?	2	$324	181	181	+0	No	+$24	04-22 18:04
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	3	$321	173	173	+0	Yes	+$11	04-27 20:37
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	4	$317	185	185	+0	No	+$17	05-20 04:19
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	4	$310	161	161	+0	Yes	+$10	03-24 23:07
will bitcoin dip to 77k on april 22	2	$307	158	158	+1	No	+$8	04-23 04:56
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	2	$303	172	172	+0	Yes	+$3	03-31 18:05
US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?	2	$301	165	165	+0	No	+$21	05-11 02:58
trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 21 2026	3	$272	144	144	+0	No	+$2	04-21 01:20
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	4	$269	215	215	+0	No	+$3	05-24 07:49

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-14 05:16:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-14 05:15 UTC	Up	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x2b20bc…
08-14 05:14:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-14 05:10 UTC	Up	BUY	30	2¢	$1	0x4c2276…
08-14 05:14:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-14 05:10 UTC	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xf135dd…
08-14 05:13:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-14 05:10 UTC	Down	SELL	9	86¢	$7	0xfbe82c…
08-14 05:11:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-14 05:10 UTC	Down	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0xd5fedf…
08-09 09:16:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 09:15 UTC	Down	SELL	59	34¢	$20	0x6a2ea1…
08-09 09:16:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 09:15 UTC	Down	BUY	59	25¢	$15	0x2cae45…
08-09 09:14:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 09:10 UTC	Up	SELL	39	39¢	$15	0x18251b…
08-09 09:11:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 09:10 UTC	Up	BUY	39	38¢	$15	0xa49511…
08-09 09:02:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 09:00 UTC	Up	SELL	52	92¢	$48	0xe8e6ad…
08-09 09:00:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 09:00 UTC	Up	BUY	52	58¢	$30	0xbb8bd3…
08-09 08:58:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 9, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x316913…
08-09 08:56:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 08:55 UTC	Down	BUY	12	25¢	$3	0x5bf5bf…
08-09 08:53:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 08:50 UTC	Up	BUY	14	22¢	$3	0x22fa23…
08-09 08:53:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 08:50 UTC	Up	BUY	15	20¢	$3	0x6ceb9d…
08-09 08:46:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 08:45 UTC	Down	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0xbf34d9…
08-09 08:45:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 08:45 UTC	Down	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x1dcf2e…
08-09 08:43:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 08:40 UTC	Up	BUY	32	3¢	$1	0x1844e3…
08-09 08:42:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 08:40 UTC	Up	SELL	50	3¢	$2	0x09f4da…
08-09 08:40:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 08:40 UTC	Up	BUY	71	14¢	$10	0x0c1661…
08-09 08:35:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 08:35 UTC	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xc5fcaa…
08-09 08:32:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 08:30 UTC	Up	SELL	3	94¢	$2	0x137afa…
08-09 08:31:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 08:30 UTC	Up	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0x3eface…
08-09 08:22:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 08:20 UTC	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xd0f4bc…
08-09 08:22:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 08:20 UTC	Up	SELL	41	11¢	$5	0x2635ee…
08-09 08:20:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 08:20 UTC	Up	BUY	41	37¢	$15	0x191ef0…
08-09 08:19:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 08:15 UTC	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x3055ea…
08-09 08:18:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 08:15 UTC	Down	SELL	7	14¢	$1	0xa18a50…
08-09 08:16:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 08:15 UTC	Up	SELL	24	84¢	$20	0x09acad…
08-09 08:15:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 08:15 UTC	Down	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0x3b9e5d…
08-09 08:15:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 08:15 UTC	Up	BUY	24	63¢	$15	0x18537e…
08-09 08:13:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 08:10 UTC	Up	SELL	8	85¢	$6	0x1eb15d…
08-09 08:12:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 08:10 UTC	Up	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x6966d1…
08-09 08:12:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 08:10 UTC	Down	SELL	9	31¢	$3	0x529caa…
08-09 08:11:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 08:10 UTC	Down	BUY	9	32¢	$3	0xf3e359…
08-09 08:09:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 08:05 UTC	Up	SELL	9	91¢	$9	0x46bf13…
08-09 08:05:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 08:05 UTC	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xc3dc36…
08-09 08:00:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 08:00 UTC	Down	BUY	88	17¢	$15	0x01f872…
08-09 07:59:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 07:55 UTC	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xe7934d…
08-09 07:58:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 07:55 UTC	Down	SELL	5	35¢	$2	0x47be1c…
08-09 07:57:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 07:55 UTC	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x532df3…
08-09 07:57:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 07:55 UTC	Down	SELL	5	42¢	$2	0xfbfd78…
08-09 07:57:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 07:55 UTC	Down	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x548187…
08-09 07:54:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 07:50 UTC	Up	BUY	31	3¢	$1	0x0bc928…
08-09 07:54:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 07:50 UTC	Up	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x3327e7…
08-09 07:52:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 07:50 UTC	Up	BUY	16	25¢	$4	0x09efef…
08-09 07:51:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 07:50 UTC	Up	SELL	56	36¢	$20	0x6bfe3c…
08-09 07:51:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 07:50 UTC	Up	BUY	11	27¢	$3	0x7f5ec6…
08-09 07:50:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 07:50 UTC	Up	BUY	44	34¢	$15	0x189256…
08-09 07:49:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 07:45 UTC	Up	SELL	28	1¢	$0	0x423d19…
08-09 07:48:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 07:45 UTC	Up	BUY	28	7¢	$2	0x883022…
08-09 07:48:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 07:45 UTC	Up	SELL	34	8¢	$3	0x4e9353…
08-09 07:48:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 07:45 UTC	Up	BUY	22	9¢	$2	0x0c992b…
08-09 07:47:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 07:45 UTC	Up	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0xbd8b88…
07-26 03:12:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-26 03:10 UTC	Down	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0x64f561…
07-26 03:12:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-26 03:10 UTC	Down	BUY	14	14¢	$2	0x7e6fe2…
07-26 03:12:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-26 03:10 UTC	Down	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0x1432df…
07-26 03:10:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-26 03:05 UTC	Down	BUY	67	3¢	$2	0x908488…
07-26 03:09:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-26 03:05 UTC	Down	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0xf2dc58…
07-26 03:08:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-26 03:05 UTC	Down	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0xa40a29…
07-26 03:06:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-26 03:05 UTC	Up	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xf7ff57…
07-26 03:02:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-26 03:00 UTC	Up	BUY	18	11¢	$2	0xa70e9a…
07-26 03:01:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-26 03:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x244c00…
07-26 03:00:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-26 03:00 UTC	Down	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x701ca3…
07-26 02:57:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-26 02:55 UTC	Up	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0xffa8c7…
07-26 02:57:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-26 02:55 UTC	Down	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x7c5de2…
07-26 02:53:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-26 02:50 UTC	Up	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xa8a0f2…
07-26 02:51:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-26 02:50 UTC	Down	BUY	14	14¢	$2	0x22a8a2…
07-26 02:50:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-26 02:50 UTC	Down	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0x107d93…
07-26 02:46:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-26 02:45 UTC	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x204822…
07-26 02:46:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-26 02:45 UTC	Down	BUY	8	40¢	$3	0x8e6c30…
07-26 02:46:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-26 02:45 UTC	Down	BUY	7	46¢	$3	0xdd52c3…
07-26 02:45:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-26 02:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x174713…
07-26 02:44:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-26 02:40 UTC	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xabc970…
07-26 02:43:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-26 02:40 UTC	Up	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0x75bd8f…
07-26 02:42:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-26 02:40 UTC	Up	BUY	10	41¢	$4	0xe67f39…
07-26 02:42:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-26 02:40 UTC	Down	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0xf736d1…
07-26 02:39:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-26 02:35 UTC	Down	BUY	31	6¢	$2	0x244d59…
07-26 02:39:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-26 02:35 UTC	Down	BUY	13	23¢	$3	0x96790d…
07-26 02:38:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-26 02:35 UTC	Up	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0xf1715a…
07-26 02:37:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-26 02:35 UTC	Up	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x2f9df0…
07-26 02:36:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-26 02:35 UTC	Down	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0x0423de…
07-26 02:35:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-26 02:35 UTC	Up	BUY	8	40¢	$3	0xb41326…
07-26 02:33:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-26 02:30 UTC	Down	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0x5d4ee5…
07-26 02:32:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-26 02:30 UTC	Down	BUY	3	92¢	$3	0x08acd7…
07-26 02:31:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-26 02:30 UTC	Up	BUY	14	21¢	$3	0x936942…
07-26 02:31:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-26 02:30 UTC	Up	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0x36d1f5…
07-26 02:28:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0x95e659…
07-26 02:28:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	29	7¢	$2	0x1e04fb…
07-26 02:27:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	33	9¢	$3	0x07df51…
07-26 02:27:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-26 02:25 UTC	Down	BUY	14	21¢	$3	0x86da6c…
07-26 02:26:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-26 02:25 UTC	Up	BUY	7	44¢	$3	0x93e748…
07-26 02:26:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-26 02:25 UTC	Up	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0xba6200…
07-26 02:25:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-26 02:25 UTC	Down	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x781a35…
07-26 02:23:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-26 02:20 UTC	Up	SELL	5	80¢	$4	0xd8c11b…
07-26 02:20:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-26 02:20 UTC	Up	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x6cc84e…
07-25 15:20:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-25 15:15 UTC	Down	BUY	33	6¢	$2	0x9faf11…
07-25 15:17:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-25 15:15 UTC	Up	BUY	8	36¢	$3	0x96db5d…
07-25 15:12:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-25 15:10 UTC	Down	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0xc5a962…
07-25 15:12:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-25 15:10 UTC	Down	BUY	11	19¢	$2	0x3d524c…