Bitcoin Up or Down - August 9, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET | Polymarket | Vike

Total volume

$30,589

Trades

2,770

Unique wallets

672

Liquidity

$0

End date

2026-08-09

First seen

2026-08-09

last 08-09 08:42

YES price (mid)

last 60 days, hourly

Not enough snapshot data yet — the snapshot daemon polls every 5 min.

YES holders

(anon) +2,000 Unlawful-Shear +1,173 (anon) +1,052 Dismal-Euphonium +680 (anon) +595 Nice-Trapdoor +554 (anon) +505 Formal-Seaweed +488

NO holders

(anon) +5,056 Unlawful-Shear +1,176 Cheery-Taro-Win +967 (anon) +829 Ill-Informed-Commission +707 Meaty-Borrowing +701 Formal-Seaweed +664 (anon) +590

Cohort breakdown

who's buying — by wallet tier SMI: -10.0¢ (top1%: 18% YES on $14.6K vs crowd: 28% YES on $28.4K)

By volume tier

Tier	Wallets	YES buy	NO buy	Net bias
🐋 Whale	120	$3.9K	$15.3K	$11.3K
🐬 Dolphin	166	$1.8K	$2.4K	$614
🐟 Fish	228	$1.8K	$2.3K	$542
🦐 Shrimp	158	$430	$390	+$40

By P&L percentile

Tier	Wallets	YES buy	NO buy	Net bias
🎯 Top 1%	105	$2.6K	$11.9K	$9.3K
🏆 Top 5%	47	$749	$1.6K	$831
✅ Top 10%	32	$126	$138	$12
Median	42	$100	$73	+$27
Below median	158	$862	$905	$43
⚠️ Bottom 10%	110	$608	$2.1K	$1.5K
🔻 Bottom 5%	111	$1.1K	$896	+$191
💀 Bottom 1%	67	$1.8K	$2.8K	$1.0K

Wallet leaderboard (60) Recent trades

Wallet	Side	Net shares	Cost basis	Volume	Trades	Last activity
(anonymous) 0x48ac…4a7e	Down	+5,056	$4,948	$4,948	20	08-09 08:39
(anonymous) 0xbb3a…2911	Up	+2,000	$20	$20	1	08-09 08:39
Unlawful-Shear 0xb27b…5b82	Down	+1,176	$741	$741	183	08-09 08:39
Unlawful-Shear 0xb27b…5b82	Up	+1,173	$410	$410	188	08-09 08:39
(anonymous) 0x651d…17d9	Up	+1,052	$500	$500	1	08-09 08:35
Cheery-Taro-Win 0xef04…f6e3	Down	+967	$782	$982	23	08-09 08:39
(anonymous) 0x0cb0…3a90	Down	+829	$370	$861	67	08-09 08:39
Ill-Informed-Commission 0x59fc…bcb4	Down	+707	$706	$706	5	08-09 08:42
Meaty-Borrowing 0x7cb2…e655	Down	+701	$700	$700	3	08-09 08:40
Dismal-Euphonium 0x6d00…515b	Up	+680	$25	$25	1	08-09 08:39
Formal-Seaweed 0x6f39…5030	Down	+664	$338	$338	138	08-09 08:34
(anonymous) 0x82c8…da77	Up	+595	$351	$351	22	08-09 08:37
(anonymous) 0x82c8…da77	Down	+590	$318	$318	22	08-09 08:38
(anonymous) 0xb552…b70c	Down	+589	$327	$327	3	08-09 08:38
Juvenile-Distance 0x081c…bfb1	Down	+584	$223	$223	12	08-09 08:37
Nice-Trapdoor 0xc1b4…624f	Up	+554	$227	$227	34	08-09 08:39
(anonymous) 0xf9b7…a37c	Down	+508	$270	$270	29	08-09 08:38
(anonymous) 0xb552…b70c	Up	+505	$187	$187	1	08-09 08:38
Formal-Seaweed 0x6f39…5030	Up	+488	$233	$233	102	08-09 08:34
Drab-Wonder-Plight 0xa407…3e06	Up	+449	$160	$160	5	08-09 08:39
(anonymous) 0x4c94…ffad	Down	+444	$248	$248	35	08-09 08:39
Flawed-Infinite 0x081e…f76e	Up	+434	$100	$100	1	08-09 08:38
(anonymous) 0xf263…129b	Down	+412	$205	$205	88	08-09 08:34
Unusual-Dancer 0xcfbb…4197	Up	+400	$22	$22	4	08-09 08:39
(anonymous) 0xced1…91bc	Up	+395	$199	$199	4	08-09 08:35
(anonymous) 0xebec…f03a	Down	+384	$200	$200	2	08-09 08:34
(anonymous) 0x13e0…5204	Down	+379	$218	$218	10	08-09 08:39
(anonymous) 0x13e0…5204	Up	+372	$120	$120	24	08-09 08:39
Edible-Awareness 0x7f65…d822	Up	+355	$196	$196	2	08-09 08:36
Lighthearted-Brood 0xcb7c…b03f	Up	+350	$17	$17	13	08-09 08:39
Nice-Trapdoor 0xc1b4…624f	Down	+348	$152	$152	37	08-09 08:38
Threadbare-Girdle 0x9020…5f4b	Up	+342	$7	$7	19	08-09 08:39
(anonymous) 0x9b89…8011	Up	+325	$11	$11	34	08-09 08:39
(anonymous) 0x3048…7537	Up	+313	$121	$121	8	08-09 08:39
(anonymous) 0x17de…cb7b	Down	+303	$300	$300	3	08-09 08:40
(anonymous) 0x470b…1885	Up	+301	$150	$150	2	08-09 08:35
Suburban-Characterization 0x251c…541f	Down	+300	$267	$267	3	08-09 08:39
(anonymous) 0x568b…0b3b	Down	+298	$173	$173	17	08-09 08:39
(anonymous) 0xbb5a…df66	Down	+290	$250	$250	1	08-09 08:38
Threadbare-Girdle 0x9020…5f4b	Down	+288	$279	$279	8	08-09 08:40
(anonymous) 0x0cb0…3a90	Up	+287	$145	$145	2	08-09 08:37
(anonymous) 0xf9b7…a37c	Up	+278	$140	$140	11	08-09 08:38
Powerful-Mastoid 0xf03b…3ba1	Up	+277	$150	$150	2	08-09 08:36
(anonymous) 0x4c94…ffad	Up	+271	$150	$150	13	08-09 08:39
Lighthearted-Brood 0xcb7c…b03f	Down	+270	$258	$258	8	08-09 08:39
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	Down	+261	$174	$174	4	08-09 08:38
(anonymous) 0x568b…0b3b	Up	+260	$145	$145	13	08-09 08:38
Adventurous-Parole 0xeba7…2d1f	Down	+250	$248	$248	1	08-09 08:39
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	Up	+247	$95	$95	8	08-09 08:38
(anonymous) 0xb129…890c	Up	+241	$72	$72	34	08-09 08:39
(anonymous) 0x3c57…6b08	Up	+232	$17	$17	3	08-09 08:39
(anonymous) 0xca71…719a	Up	+231	$61	$61	21	08-09 08:39
(anonymous) 0x7953…9758	Up	+226	$87	$87	52	08-09 08:38
(anonymous) 0x49da…d5d5	Up	+225	$110	$110	1	08-09 08:34
(anonymous) 0xe18b…db44	Down	+200	$192	$192	3	08-09 08:39
(anonymous) 0x7953…9758	Down	+160	$74	$74	39	08-09 08:38
Double-Compassion 0x5f02…c123	Down	+140	$137	$137	4	08-09 08:39
(anonymous) 0xca71…719a	Down	+139	$52	$52	11	08-09 08:38
Drafty-Spider 0xc216…7071	Down	+131	$130	$130	1	08-09 08:39
Rash-Alternative 0xf353…6685	Down	+120	$83	$83	1	08-09 08:38