Realized P&L
+$30.6K
Unrealized P&L
+$8.31K
Hit rate
84.8%
Resolved
210
Trades
3,766
lifetime
Volume
$2.78M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$737
Open exposure
$152.0K
19 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-26 12:58
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 111 days
Categories
Politics
57% 49% +$82,964
Other
32% 42% -$59,955
Crypto
9% 25% +$7,478
Tech
2% 50% +$540
Sports
0% 33% -$385
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
43 active days in 12wk • peak 48 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No +65,319 $60,216 98¢ $63.8K +$3,634 05-25 22:18
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No -30,726 -$30,020 97¢ $-29943 +$77 10-26 12:58
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes +30,162 $11,974 66¢ $19.8K +$7,781 09-29 14:34
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +25,870 $8,438 38¢ $9.7K +$1,289 06-01 03:02
Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by December 31, 2027? Yes +15,000 $9,313 64¢ $9.5K +$212 08-27 01:26
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -5,623 -$3,936 81¢ $-4555 -$619 05-03 21:02
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +29,130 $4,745 12¢ $3.3K -$1,395 06-01 11:31
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +5,000 $2,250 64¢ $3.2K +$975 06-14 22:06
New pandemic in 2026? No +2,890 $2,572 96¢ $2.8K +$215 05-06 18:15
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? No +30,000 $5,250 6¢ $1.9K -$3,300 10-07 12:30
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +9,239 $490 13¢ $1.2K +$702 06-13 19:40
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No -1,750 -$893 59¢ $-1033 -$140 08-22 23:08
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? No -5,000 -$1,480 15¢ $-725 +$755 05-25 10:04
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? Yes +10,000 $2,925 3¢ $320 -$2,605 05-02 20:08
Will Eric Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +19,288 $313 0¢ $39 -$275 04-28 12:53
Will Moshe Feiglin be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +19,965 $80 0¢ $30 -$50 08-23 13:51
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? No +15 $6 92¢ $14 +$8 05-02 22:41
Will 2026 be the fourth-hottest year on record? No -5 -$5 100¢ $-5 $0 07-20 04:45
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? No +0 -$1,049 40¢ $0 +$1,049 06-02 14:53