Elaborate-Cookie — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$0

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

33.7%

Resolved

Trades

363

lifetime

Volume

$364

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-05

last 07-03 10:24

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

37% — —

Politics

33% 0% $-0

Crypto

23% 100% +$0

Tech

4% — —

Sports

3% — —

Pop-Culture

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

61 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?	Anthropic		-1	$-1	83¢	$-1	$-0	06-02 07:49

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?	10	$12	6	6	+0	open	—	04-14 06:12
will antnio jos seguro win the 2026 portugal presidential election	10	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	02-05 09:34
will logan pauls psa 10 pokmon illustrator sale price be over 4 million	7	$8	4	4	-0	open	—	01-14 03:37
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	7	$8	4	4	+0	open	—	02-10 09:34
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	03-23 06:51
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?	3	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	02-26 06:50
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-02 07:12
will google have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	01-28 09:13
will bitcoin reach 70000 in june 2026 from june 2	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	06-24 10:09
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	06-01 08:55
nothing ever happens microstrategy	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	02-26 06:50
will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846	4	$4	3	3	+0	open	—	06-29 09:38
Will Eric Ciotti win the 2026 Nice mayoral election?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	03-18 07:31
will bitcoin reach 67500 in june 2026 from june 4	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	06-26 10:10
will bangladesh nationalist party win the most seats in the bangladesh parliamentary election	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	02-12 07:58
will t lm be the next president of vietnam	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	01-25 05:40
will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 12 2026	3	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	06-12 09:41
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	4	$3	1	3	-2	open	—	06-11 09:22
Will Synopsys Q2 Design Automation revenue be above $1.4B?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-20 08:07
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 18?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-18 09:34
Will China announce a U.S. soybean purchase by May 22?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-14 07:36
Sentio FDV above $20M one day after launch?	2	$2	1	1	+0	Yes	+$0	04-03 07:07
us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 436	2	$2	1	1	-0	open	—	06-17 09:12
bitcoin above 64k on march 28	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-28 08:42
Will Australia be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	2	$2	3	0	+3	open	—	05-16 07:53
highest temperature in toronto on april 3 2026 8c	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-03 07:10
bitcoin above 68k on march 14	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-14 06:30
andrew tate of tweets march 6 march 13 2026 130 159	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-12 03:54
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	06-25 08:35
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-15 07:51

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-04 08:24:26	will trump pardon sbf by july 31 20260608235339562	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x97a731…
07-04 08:14:58	will trump pardon sbf by july 31 20260608235339562	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xfb2774…
07-03 10:24:23	will trump speak to ahmed al sharaa in june	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x75640a…
07-03 10:08:49	will trump speak to ahmed al sharaa in june	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xd60aec…
07-02 09:11:31	Will Jared Goff attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x2fcb9f…
07-02 09:01:22	Will Jared Goff attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x34e495…
07-02 08:55:13	tesla and spacex merger officially announced by september 30	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x746822…
07-02 08:41:32	tesla and spacex merger officially announced by september 30	No	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x446c35…
07-02 08:36:28	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xe60cd8…
07-02 08:27:49	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xde76f8…
07-01 08:18:52	will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026	No	SELL	1	85¢	$1	0xd67b63…
07-01 08:15:56	will marco rubio sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950069	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xde8ce6…
07-01 08:01:55	will marco rubio sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950069	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xe97fe4…
07-01 07:51:01	will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026	No	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x7538aa…
06-30 08:31:16	will bitcoin dip to 54k june 29 july 5 2026	No	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0x9fa675…
06-30 08:23:01	will bitcoin dip to 54k june 29 july 5 2026	No	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xa1ac6c…
06-30 08:19:04	iran successfully targets shipping on july 1 20260625225210242	No	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x4ad9ea…
06-30 08:05:46	iran successfully targets shipping on july 1 20260625225210242	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x5e9089…
06-29 09:38:17	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846	No	SELL	1	81¢	$1	0xaf53ca…
06-29 09:36:05	will steve witkoff attend the us iran signing ceremony 20260615232204726	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x108fbc…
06-29 09:25:28	will steve witkoff attend the us iran signing ceremony 20260615232204726	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x833289…
06-29 09:10:13	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846	No	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x79fa45…
06-27 09:18:01	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	1	87¢	$1	0xcd2eef…
06-27 09:16:08	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846	No	SELL	1	72¢	$1	0x92ca9e…
06-27 08:57:35	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846	No	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x45461b…
06-27 08:52:50	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x69271e…
06-26 10:10:04	will bitcoin reach 67500 in june 2026 from june 4	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xd3b41d…
06-26 10:00:40	will bitcoin reach 67500 in june 2026 from june 4	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x0ce0ce…
06-25 08:51:41	will ethereum dip to 1300 in june 2026	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x907867…
06-25 08:41:43	will ethereum dip to 1300 in june 2026	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x7a61c6…
06-25 08:35:23	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x9ece5d…
06-25 08:26:43	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x75ff0b…
06-24 10:11:05	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345	No	SELL	1	76¢	$1	0x96e283…
06-24 10:09:56	will bitcoin reach 70000 in june 2026 from june 2	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x1aa086…
06-24 10:03:11	will bitcoin reach 70000 in june 2026 from june 2	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x403025…
06-24 09:59:01	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345	No	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xf70fc5…
06-23 09:26:04	GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x3f89cf…
06-23 09:06:20	GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xf38001…
06-23 08:42:08	will solana dip to 60 in june 2026	No	SELL	1	82¢	$1	0xbb6ffc…
06-23 08:13:56	will solana dip to 60 in june 2026	No	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xdbc375…
06-22 09:34:14	will bitcoin reach 70000 in june 2026 from june 2	No	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x9de2e6…
06-22 09:00:05	will bitcoin reach 70000 in june 2026 from june 2	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xd6587d…
06-21 09:14:31	will bitcoin reach 68k june 15 21 2026	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xa5f437…
06-21 09:05:20	will bitcoin reach 68k june 15 21 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x54d4ff…
06-18 09:21:56	Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xdcfcfa…
06-18 09:05:47	Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xeb5946…
06-17 09:12:25	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 436	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x1ff76a…
06-17 08:40:01	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 436	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x128a0e…
06-16 09:09:43	will bitcoin reach 67500 in june 2026 from june 4	Yes	SELL	1	87¢	$1	0x537c98…
06-16 09:08:58	will usd reach 2pt0m iranian rials by june 30	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xe07c5b…
06-16 08:57:24	will bitcoin reach 67500 in june 2026 from june 4	Yes	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x914f1f…
06-16 08:49:33	will usd reach 2pt0m iranian rials by june 30	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x01fce0…
06-15 08:17:24	Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $85 by end of June?	No	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x2424c1…
06-15 07:57:55	Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $85 by end of June?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x96b38d…
06-15 07:52:10	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 30 20260607232556276 219	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xdc11d8…
06-13 09:36:00	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by july 31	Yes	SELL	1	83¢	$1	0x439080…
06-13 09:28:27	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by july 31	Yes	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x4d929d…
06-12 09:41:36	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 12 2026	No	SELL	2	92¢	$2	0x5a898c…
06-12 09:28:58	jonathan tah 20260609173253872	Yes	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xfa494e…
06-12 09:07:16	jonathan tah 20260609173253872	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x187631…
06-12 09:02:45	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 12 2026	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xe41d2a…
06-12 09:02:27	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 12 2026	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xf29372…
06-11 09:46:39	will bret johnsen be on stage at a bell ceremony commemorating spacexs ipo 20260608220212483	Yes	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xea10be…
06-11 09:34:04	will bret johnsen be on stage at a bell ceremony commemorating spacexs ipo 20260608220212483	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xf403f4…
06-11 09:22:52	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	4¢	$0	0x5772dc…
06-11 09:22:30	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	SELL	1	17¢	$0	0x4e1ecf…
06-11 09:21:46	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	SELL	1	82¢	$1	0x40008a…
06-11 09:20:57	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x60941a…
06-09 06:30:31	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 12 20260607232556274	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xd96db9…
06-09 06:16:10	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 12 20260607232556274	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xc6484a…
06-09 06:09:27	will jd vance attend the g7 summit	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x9da604…
06-09 04:33:46	will bitcoin dip to 62k june 8 14 2026	Yes	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xe95bed…
06-09 04:26:43	will jd vance attend the g7 summit	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x6e83d2…
06-08 06:10:27	Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	72¢	$1	0x88f1c3…
06-08 06:09:43	will donald trump publicly insult someone on june 8 2026	Yes	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0xd5b0a1…
06-08 04:30:22	will donald trump publicly insult someone on june 8 2026	Yes	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x29439b…
06-08 04:26:57	Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x1cced6…
06-06 08:55:16	Trump out as President before 2027?	No	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0xbbe302…
06-06 08:41:16	Trump out as President before 2027?	No	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xa624d3…
06-05 08:11:27	Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?	Yes	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xd42e71…
06-05 08:08:40	will xauusd reach 5200 in june 2026	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xd28f84…
06-05 07:47:01	will xauusd reach 5200 in june 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x3a7fce…
06-05 07:43:10	Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x1e3d26…
06-04 08:47:16	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x3827d3…
06-04 08:46:22	nba playoffs will president trump attend the nba finals	Yes	SELL	1	83¢	$1	0xbfde9b…
06-04 08:18:07	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x0a5a94…
06-04 08:12:18	nba playoffs will president trump attend the nba finals	Yes	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0xa4da89…
06-03 08:33:03	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x22b00c…
06-03 08:13:03	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x478bb0…
06-02 07:49:33	Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?	Anthropic	SELL	1	80¢	$1	0xbb1b26…
06-02 07:48:49	Iran closes its airspace by June 15?	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x1648a6…
06-01 08:55:20	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x5d509c…
06-01 08:54:42	Iran leadership change by June 30?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x348315…
06-01 08:41:41	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x3bc2c8…
06-01 08:38:13	Iran leadership change by June 30?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xac021b…
05-30 08:36:56	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xfbb82c…
05-30 08:34:55	Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $900B by December 31?	Yes	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x6313f1…
05-30 08:20:48	Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $900B by December 31?	Yes	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xb75d7c…
05-30 08:14:40	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x72b4a8…
05-29 07:17:01	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x615422…