Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$4

Unrealized P&L

-$2

Hit rate

99.9%

Resolved

112

Trades

135

lifetime

Volume

$1.33K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-08

last 10-27 13:25

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 38 days

Categories

Other

49% 96% +$2

Politics

26% 100% +$1

Crypto

19% 100% +$1

Tech

6% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

34 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes		+2	$2	1¢	$0	-$2	10-27 13:25

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 5, 2026?	2	$94	47	47	+0	No	+$0	10-08 05:39
israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 9 20260727170733638	2	$84	42	42	+0	Yes	+$0	08-12 17:19
Gemini 4.0 released by November 30, 2026?	2	$76	38	38	+0	Yes	+$0	10-13 13:29
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 14?	2	$73	37	37	+0	No	+$0	09-14 13:46
LAPTOP FDV above $25M one day after launch?	2	$70	35	35	+0	Yes	+$0	09-10 13:19
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?	2	$70	35	35	+0	No	+$0	09-07 13:03
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 31?	1	$45	45	0	+45	No	+$0	09-01 05:02
will bitcoin reach 80k in august 2026 from august 28	1	$45	45	0	+45	No	+$0	09-01 01:55
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 14 2026	1	$42	42	0	+42	No	+$0	08-14 06:10
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 3	1	$42	42	0	+42	Yes	+$0	07-01 01:49
Will XRP reach $2.00 in September?	2	$42	21	21	+0	No	+$0	09-29 01:33
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 13 2026	1	$42	42	0	+42	No	+$0	08-12 23:23
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	1	$40	41	0	+41	No	+$0	08-15 22:22
Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 24?	1	$37	37	0	+37	Yes	+$0	09-23 08:48
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?	2	$35	36	0	+36	No	+$1	09-30 10:14
Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by October 31, 2026?	2	$35	35	0	+35	Yes	+$0	09-04 10:03
us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	1	$32	32	0	+32	No	+$0	07-30 19:41
Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?	1	$29	29	0	+29	Yes	+$0	05-30 06:01
tsla above 440 on march 31 2026	1	$27	27	0	+27	No	+$0	03-31 11:53
Will Lithuania be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?	1	$26	26	0	+26	No	+$0	05-16 00:13
Variational FDV above $5B one day after launch?	2	$21	11	11	+0	open	—	09-13 06:37
Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	1	$19	20	0	+20	No	+$0	08-18 19:46
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	2	$18	9	9	+0	No	+$0	09-29 01:25
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in August?	2	$16	16	0	+16	No	+$0	08-26 20:51
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in August?	1	$14	14	0	+14	No	+$0	08-27 19:33
will dogecoin dip to 0pt05 in february 2026	1	$13	13	0	+13	No	+$0	02-24 22:27
will solana dip to 50 in february 2026	1	$10	11	0	+11	No	+$0	02-28 13:13
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in September?	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	09-29 22:23
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,700 in October?	1	$9	9	0	+9	open	—	10-10 01:03
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $168 in August?	1	$8	8	0	+8	No	+$0	08-27 09:33

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 13:25:56	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	2	78¢	$2	0x44461d…
10-13 13:29:14	Gemini 4.0 released by November 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	38	99¢	$38	0xb72ffc…
10-13 12:06:52	Gemini 4.0 released by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	38	99¢	$38	0xa4ccc9…
10-10 01:03:50	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,700 in October?	No	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0xd3dafc…
10-08 05:39:40	Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 5, 2026?	No	SELL	47	100¢	$47	0xaa96a9…
10-06 06:19:45	Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 5, 2026?	No	BUY	47	100¢	$47	0x6bade1…
09-30 10:14:44	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xe638f2…
09-29 22:23:56	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in September?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x6dcfba…
09-29 02:20:54	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	31	97¢	$30	0xc8f2a5…
09-29 01:33:00	Will XRP reach $2.00 in September?	No	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0x865dd7…
09-29 01:25:14	Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x3833f6…
09-28 16:18:44	Will XRP reach $2.00 in September?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xf6e24e…
09-27 06:23:35	Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xc4c4fd…
09-26 17:43:18	Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xa79655…
09-25 05:59:35	Will XRP reach $2.80 in September?	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x007799…
09-24 01:22:04	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in September?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x58dccb…
09-23 08:48:40	Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 24?	Yes	BUY	37	100¢	$37	0xc4e399…
09-14 13:46:28	Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 14?	No	SELL	37	99¢	$37	0x3db39d…
09-14 07:59:33	Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 14?	No	BUY	37	99¢	$36	0x7229ff…
09-13 06:37:16	Variational FDV above $5B one day after launch?	No	SELL	11	96¢	$10	0xad0204…
09-11 07:14:12	Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x79c1ec…
09-10 13:19:15	LAPTOP FDV above $25M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	35	100¢	$35	0x66b773…
09-09 18:53:21	LAPTOP FDV above $25M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	35	99¢	$35	0x897f8c…
09-07 13:03:34	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?	No	SELL	35	100¢	$35	0xc72ac7…
09-06 01:50:07	us announces end of iranian blockade by september 7 2026	No	BUY	35	99¢	$35	0xa41147…
09-04 10:03:51	Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0xe1da24…
09-04 09:00:37	Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x035527…
09-03 11:04:18	Variational FDV above $5B one day after launch?	No	BUY	11	96¢	$10	0xaad830…
09-01 05:02:25	Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 31?	No	BUY	45	100¢	$45	0x3233e2…
09-01 01:55:39	will bitcoin reach 80k in august 2026 from august 28	No	BUY	45	100¢	$45	0x940390…
08-27 19:33:57	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in August?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xe6bc47…
08-27 09:33:06	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $168 in August?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x40f1e5…
08-26 20:51:07	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in August?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x32293c…
08-23 18:04:03	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x5c8a43…
08-23 18:01:30	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x5f77f2…
08-22 09:37:55	Will ByteDance be the second-best AI lab at the end of August 2026?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x502bff…
08-18 19:46:34	Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$19	0x27199e…
08-18 17:09:34	will wti dip to 50 in august 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x14c514…
08-16 08:57:18	Will Amazon be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x3b4321…
08-15 22:22:52	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	No	BUY	41	100¢	$40	0x8b318f…
08-15 20:01:15	will wti reach 130 in august 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xd4e9f2…
08-15 14:19:36	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	Yes	BUY	300	0¢	$0	0xffadc5…
08-15 03:48:52	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from August 13 to August 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$0	0xedd986…
08-14 06:10:58	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 14 2026	No	BUY	42	99¢	$42	0xca22b1…
08-12 23:23:19	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 13 2026	No	BUY	42	99¢	$42	0x7c001b…
08-12 17:19:03	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 9 20260727170733638	Yes	SELL	42	100¢	$42	0x7b07c0…
08-09 14:51:46	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 9 20260727170733638	Yes	BUY	42	100¢	$42	0xb83f2f…
08-08 05:55:25	Will Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x4ac8d8…
08-03 19:28:12	Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$1	0x3a1f89…
07-30 19:41:56	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	No	BUY	32	99¢	$32	0x994aef…
07-27 05:59:22	will googl dip to 280 in july 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xbac238…
07-27 02:00:07	will spy dip to 670 in july 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x6e50f6…
07-25 14:09:25	Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xae4cde…
07-25 04:19:25	will nvda dip to 152 in july 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x929edc…
07-23 07:28:40	will xagusd dip to 44 in july 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xb24caa…
07-21 11:12:01	will wti dip to 45 in july 2026 954	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x2da05a…
07-21 06:49:07	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x73b078…
07-17 18:19:45	will ethereum dip to 900 in july 2026 757	No	BUY	2	100¢	$1	0xb6b8da…
07-17 11:08:33	will wti dip to 60 in july 2026 528	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xde9ec5…
07-01 01:49:32	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 3	Yes	BUY	42	100¢	$42	0xbf2f8e…
06-05 04:04:30	will anthropics valuation hit low 750b by june 30	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x708ca0…
05-30 11:57:08	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x9ad072…
05-30 06:01:30	Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?	Yes	BUY	29	99¢	$29	0x6bd940…
05-17 14:07:27	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $1.60 in May?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x1adbd2…
05-16 00:13:05	Will Lithuania be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0xaa592b…
05-09 13:54:29	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $1.60 in May?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x8cef6b…
05-06 06:13:16	Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xe9c04c…
05-05 17:40:00	Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in May?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xd85762…
05-05 12:52:00	Will Tesla be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xc5c84b…
05-05 12:27:36	Will Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x656cff…
05-05 10:05:52	Will Amazon be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xd67038…
05-05 09:12:20	Will Saudi Aramco be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x9cbc03…
05-05 05:56:26	Will Ethereum dip to $600 in May?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xd4bec8…
04-28 23:35:24	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x8d9036…
04-27 19:00:26	Will Netflix (NFLX) close above $200 end of April?	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x12363f…
04-26 14:13:14	Will Solana reach $120 in April?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$3	0x3cbf74…
04-24 18:32:34	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x51f1a8…
04-23 19:32:32	Will BNB dip to $300 in April?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$3	0x227e2e…
04-23 00:38:14	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in April?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x95edb3…
04-20 20:51:50	Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$2	0x44826f…
04-20 02:43:20	Will BNB dip to $200 in April?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xe01343…
04-19 09:43:14	Will the Bank of Brazil increase the Selic rate after April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x1bef79…
04-18 05:15:02	Bank of England decreases interest rates by 25 bps after April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x56338d…
04-17 20:55:24	Will Dogecoin dip to $0.05 in April?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xb90f32…
04-16 19:30:20	Will Tesla be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$2	0xc9876d…
04-15 10:38:58	Will Ethereum dip to $600 in April?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xe9eea1…
04-14 15:36:59	Bank of Japan decreases interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$1	0x3c1e06…
04-13 16:33:55	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x0971bc…
04-13 09:40:19	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x4837ea…
03-31 11:53:01	tsla above 440 on march 31 2026	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0xa74967…
03-27 17:23:43	will chainlink dip to 4 in march	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xe4931d…
03-27 07:22:45	will deepseek have the third best ai model at the end of march 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xbfd273…
03-26 06:33:07	aapl above 320 on march 31 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x2579e3…
03-24 04:55:35	meta above 780 on march 31 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x024db6…
03-22 22:09:41	will bitcoin dip to 30k in march 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xcefacb…
03-22 04:30:01	will microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 889	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x5c452d…
03-15 17:46:39	meta above 740 on march 31 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x379a0d…
03-15 05:38:55	bank of england increases interest rates after march 2026 meeting 393	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x77607d…
03-12 15:45:39	will solana reach 160 in march 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x5657d1…
03-10 22:31:49	will the bank of brazil increase the selic rate after march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x3ad79c…