Testy-Tugboat — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$5.40K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

60.3%

Resolved

Trades

525

lifetime

Volume

$49.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$94

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-08 14:54

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 44 days

Categories

Other

70% 51% -$6,664

Crypto

24% 60% +$1,424

Sports

5% 40% -$137

Politics

1% 67% -$27

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

22 active days in 12wk • peak 28 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (26) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	4	$4.8K	4,496	1,996	+2,500	Yes	+$1,348	07-14 22:01
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	29	$4.2K	14,651	0	+14,651	No	-$4,155	09-16 11:13
epl ast not 2026 01 03 ast	2	$3.7K	3,700	0	+3,700	Yes	+$41	01-03 14:06
Fed rate hike in 2026?	14	$2.2K	2,929	2,929	+0	Yes	-$321	07-30 12:47
squid fdv above 100m one day after launch 392	4	$2.2K	1,536	1,536	+0	Yes	+$380	08-05 13:08
spx up or down on january 2 2026	13	$2.1K	2,089	508	+1,582	Up	+$383	01-02 20:58
Will over 50 Senators vote for the Clarity Act?	37	$2.0K	3,700	3,700	+0	open	—	09-16 10:22
Over $1M committed to the Linera public sale?	23	$1.8K	3,032	0	+3,032	No	-$1,818	09-08 13:55
will 01xyz reach 5b in total volume by march 31 2026	8	$1.7K	1,200	1,200	+0	No	+$71	02-03 16:16
Will Cap launch a token by June 30, 2026?	14	$1.4K	1,191	1,059	+133	Yes	+$530	06-24 07:03
Cap FDV above $150M one day after launch?	8	$1.1K	794	794	+0	Yes	+$393	06-26 12:02
over 7pt5m committed to the ethos public sale	4	$1.1K	1,606	0	+1,606	Yes	+$525	09-04 16:12
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	79	$1.0K	4,973	0	+4,973	Yes	-$1,046	02-05 16:21
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	2	$880	640	640	+0	No	-$120	06-01 12:57
LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch?	4	$837	1,053	527	+527	Yes	+$637	09-10 18:53
Linera FDV above $700M one day after launch?	3	$834	445	445	+0	open	—	09-11 11:05
laptop fdv above 1b one day after launch	7	$830	1,805	1,805	+0	No	$0	09-09 14:11
tur fen gen 2026 02 09 fen	2	$807	449	449	+0	Yes	+$89	02-09 20:08
will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	6	$728	4,164	0	+4,164	No	-$728	02-05 16:23
rut up or down on january 5 2026	5	$724	766	0	+766	Up	+$43	01-05 16:02
fifwc rsa can 2026 06 28 team to advance	4	$660	1,000	0	+1,000	Canada	+$340	06-28 20:13
LAPTOP FDV above $250M one day after launch?	3	$656	768	268	+500	Yes	+$373	09-10 18:50
Cap FDV above $250M one day after launch?	3	$630	888	888	+0	Yes	+$205	06-26 13:02
si hit 100 high jan 2026 422 587 453	12	$575	700	180	+520	Yes	-$335	01-17 23:00
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	5	$565	5,916	367	+5,549	No	-$477	06-21 14:32
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	3	$504	1,155	1,155	+0	No	+$27	01-30 00:09
Ethos FDV above $100M one day after launch?	7	$482	1,190	1,190	+0	No	-$59	10-08 14:54
ostium fdv above 100m one day after launch	4	$450	500	500	+0	open	—	06-17 01:48
Multipli.fi FDV above $300M one day after launch?	3	$435	435	435	+0	open	—	08-11 12:09
Will Hull City achieve promotion from the EFL Championship to the English Premier League for the 2026-27 season?	3	$430	1,178	0	+1,178	Yes	+$747	05-23 14:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-08 14:54:14	Ethos FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	1,041	15¢	$161	0xeba331…
10-06 14:04:23	Ethos FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	149	34¢	$51	0xcf7794…
10-06 13:59:05	Will 3jane launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	44¢	$5	0x55ad0a…
10-02 12:18:17	Over $50M committed to the Jumper public sale?	Yes	BUY	110	23¢	$25	0x96fe30…
10-02 12:17:29	Over $50M committed to the Jumper public sale?	Yes	BUY	1	23¢	$0	0x7ee835…
10-02 12:11:53	Over $50M committed to the Jumper public sale?	Yes	BUY	200	23¢	$46	0xb7eeb0…
10-02 12:11:35	Over $50M committed to the Jumper public sale?	Yes	BUY	24	23¢	$5	0x0c9308…
10-02 12:10:56	Over $50M committed to the Jumper public sale?	Yes	BUY	23	23¢	$5	0xfb107d…
09-21 14:02:33	Will Axis launch a token by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	37	60¢	$22	0x47dc5a…
09-21 12:50:09	3Jane FDV above $40M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	165	60¢	$100	0x0c49ef…
09-18 21:51:18	Linera FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	SELL	243	79¢	$192	0x7e868a…
09-16 11:13:13	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2,029	12¢	$243	0x76687c…
09-16 11:12:15	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	14	12¢	$2	0x7a1a56…
09-16 11:11:52	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	556	12¢	$67	0x9a97d7…
09-16 10:22:55	Will over 50 Senators vote for the Clarity Act?	Yes	SELL	37	6¢	$2	0xa4f373…
09-16 10:22:55	Will over 50 Senators vote for the Clarity Act?	Yes	SELL	190	6¢	$11	0x6c6db5…
09-16 10:22:31	Will over 50 Senators vote for the Clarity Act?	Yes	SELL	44	6¢	$3	0xe856c6…
09-16 10:22:28	Will over 50 Senators vote for the Clarity Act?	Yes	SELL	3	6¢	$0	0x9a93af…
09-16 10:22:25	Will over 50 Senators vote for the Clarity Act?	Yes	SELL	34	6¢	$2	0xda6442…
09-16 10:22:25	Will over 50 Senators vote for the Clarity Act?	Yes	SELL	1,065	6¢	$66	0xb4f77c…
09-16 10:22:24	Will over 50 Senators vote for the Clarity Act?	Yes	SELL	190	6¢	$11	0xd79f08…
09-16 10:22:24	Will over 50 Senators vote for the Clarity Act?	Yes	SELL	31	6¢	$2	0xb59b06…
09-16 10:22:24	Will over 50 Senators vote for the Clarity Act?	Yes	SELL	190	6¢	$11	0x454393…
09-16 10:22:15	Will over 50 Senators vote for the Clarity Act?	Yes	SELL	80	10¢	$8	0xe69b26…
09-16 10:19:55	Will over 50 Senators vote for the Clarity Act?	Yes	SELL	2	9¢	$0	0x121dcb…
09-16 10:19:55	Will over 50 Senators vote for the Clarity Act?	Yes	SELL	0	9¢	$0	0x1077c3…
09-16 10:19:54	Will over 50 Senators vote for the Clarity Act?	Yes	SELL	120	9¢	$11	0xf8b752…
09-16 10:19:54	Will over 50 Senators vote for the Clarity Act?	Yes	SELL	1,508	10¢	$150	0xc74501…
09-16 10:19:54	Will over 50 Senators vote for the Clarity Act?	Yes	SELL	69	9¢	$6	0x4799d2…
09-16 10:14:42	Will over 50 Senators vote for the Clarity Act?	Yes	SELL	0	15¢	$0	0x314e7d…
09-16 10:14:39	Will over 50 Senators vote for the Clarity Act?	Yes	SELL	138	15¢	$21	0xc076bc…
09-15 18:35:40	Will over 50 Senators vote for the Clarity Act?	Yes	BUY	408	36¢	$147	0xf6fa1f…
09-15 18:27:45	Will over 50 Senators vote for the Clarity Act?	Yes	BUY	73	36¢	$26	0x509c7c…
09-15 18:26:06	Will over 50 Senators vote for the Clarity Act?	Yes	BUY	50	36¢	$18	0x2e1d08…
09-15 18:26:04	Will over 50 Senators vote for the Clarity Act?	Yes	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x57777c…
09-15 18:26:03	Will over 50 Senators vote for the Clarity Act?	Yes	BUY	50	36¢	$18	0xd82949…
09-15 18:24:09	Will over 50 Senators vote for the Clarity Act?	Yes	BUY	15	36¢	$5	0x224536…
09-15 18:24:06	Will over 50 Senators vote for the Clarity Act?	Yes	BUY	1	36¢	$0	0x726272…
09-15 18:23:42	Will over 50 Senators vote for the Clarity Act?	Yes	BUY	63	36¢	$23	0x41c7a8…
09-15 18:23:39	Will over 50 Senators vote for the Clarity Act?	Yes	BUY	63	36¢	$23	0x122b67…
09-15 18:22:51	Will over 50 Senators vote for the Clarity Act?	Yes	BUY	107	36¢	$39	0x180315…
09-15 17:17:39	Will over 50 Senators vote for the Clarity Act?	Yes	BUY	479	36¢	$172	0x4e4996…
09-15 16:56:51	Will over 50 Senators vote for the Clarity Act?	Yes	BUY	38	36¢	$14	0x2111f7…
09-15 16:51:46	Will over 50 Senators vote for the Clarity Act?	Yes	BUY	10	36¢	$4	0x16b087…
09-15 16:51:45	Will over 50 Senators vote for the Clarity Act?	Yes	BUY	10	36¢	$4	0x1e5342…
09-15 16:51:34	Will over 50 Senators vote for the Clarity Act?	Yes	BUY	25	36¢	$9	0x607eff…
09-15 16:51:31	Will over 50 Senators vote for the Clarity Act?	Yes	BUY	25	36¢	$9	0x75ce54…
09-15 16:51:31	Will over 50 Senators vote for the Clarity Act?	Yes	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x1e707f…
09-15 16:19:16	Will over 50 Senators vote for the Clarity Act?	Yes	BUY	74	36¢	$27	0x71596e…
09-15 13:49:58	Will over 50 Senators vote for the Clarity Act?	Yes	BUY	600	47¢	$282	0x38c5ed…
09-15 10:33:43	Will over 50 Senators vote for the Clarity Act?	Yes	BUY	1,600	53¢	$848	0x1d7f7c…
09-14 11:41:39	Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-09-14?	Yes	BUY	500	64¢	$320	0x0025ff…
09-11 12:51:28	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,000	19¢	$190	0x6b7e9d…
09-11 12:42:52	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,000	19¢	$190	0xe4693f…
09-11 12:41:13	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,200	21¢	$252	0x22d89a…
09-11 12:34:57	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	100	22¢	$22	0x5b7c88…
09-11 12:34:55	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	24	22¢	$5	0xfff860…
09-11 12:34:55	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	100	22¢	$22	0xcda97d…
09-11 12:34:55	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	100	22¢	$22	0x87797f…
09-11 12:34:55	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	0	22¢	$0	0x7675f0…
09-11 12:34:55	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	100	22¢	$22	0x67cb4b…
09-11 12:34:55	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	76	22¢	$17	0x5b6341…
09-11 12:34:55	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,418	22¢	$312	0x39b571…
09-11 12:34:55	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	24	22¢	$5	0x2daed3…
09-11 12:34:55	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	100	22¢	$22	0x058279…
09-11 12:30:54	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	194	8¢	$16	0x6565c8…
09-11 12:30:54	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,606	8¢	$128	0x2c4b7d…
09-11 12:26:36	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	10	41¢	$4	0x06c052…
09-11 11:06:16	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	238	39¢	$93	0x77c7f0…
09-11 11:06:06	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	100	39¢	$39	0xc89ea8…
09-11 11:06:00	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	200	39¢	$78	0x611cc4…
09-11 11:05:52	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	500	39¢	$195	0x0cb5cb…
09-11 11:05:15	Linera FDV above $700M one day after launch?	No	SELL	445	96¢	$427	0x08e9d0…
09-11 11:05:00	Linera FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	SELL	68	98¢	$66	0x27cc50…
09-10 18:57:48	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	100	35¢	$35	0xd7b807…
09-10 18:57:42	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	500	35¢	$175	0x17f7fc…
09-10 18:53:48	LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	517	90¢	$465	0x59bc47…
09-10 18:51:58	LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	10	90¢	$9	0x893f7e…
09-10 18:50:52	LAPTOP FDV above $250M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	150	99¢	$149	0xbfd634…
09-10 18:50:09	LAPTOP FDV above $250M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	118	99¢	$116	0x308939…
09-10 13:27:48	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	712	36¢	$256	0xd9626d…
09-09 17:48:15	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	310	47¢	$146	0xa5ae11…
09-09 14:12:18	LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	253	36¢	$91	0xeaab31…
09-09 14:11:09	laptop fdv above 1b one day after launch	Yes	SELL	57	17¢	$10	0xe74bcf…
09-09 14:10:54	laptop fdv above 1b one day after launch	Yes	SELL	743	17¢	$126	0x3f1cde…
09-09 14:09:46	laptop fdv above 1b one day after launch	Yes	SELL	102	17¢	$17	0x0fb78a…
09-09 13:25:46	Umia listed on Coinbase within 30 days of TGE?	Yes	SELL	322	20¢	$64	0x47abd9…
09-09 12:52:07	laptop fdv above 1b one day after launch	Yes	SELL	902	29¢	$262	0xf66910…
09-09 12:42:58	LAPTOP FDV above $250M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	768	51¢	$391	0x6f3326…
09-09 12:40:24	LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	800	34¢	$272	0x0840c1…
09-09 12:39:43	laptop fdv above 1b one day after launch	Yes	BUY	1,100	23¢	$253	0x851274…
09-09 12:39:37	laptop fdv above 1b one day after launch	Yes	BUY	500	23¢	$115	0x42743e…
09-09 12:39:16	laptop fdv above 1b one day after launch	Yes	BUY	205	23¢	$47	0xf7217b…
09-08 13:55:39	Over $1M committed to the Linera public sale?	Yes	BUY	8	45¢	$4	0xd623b0…
09-08 13:18:24	Over $1M committed to the Linera public sale?	Yes	BUY	153	31¢	$48	0x99933e…
09-08 12:46:43	Over $1M committed to the Linera public sale?	Yes	BUY	120	58¢	$69	0x07c3dc…
09-08 12:13:40	Over $1M committed to the Linera public sale?	Yes	BUY	787	55¢	$433	0x13348d…
09-07 10:43:25	Over $1M committed to the Linera public sale?	Yes	BUY	20	52¢	$10	0x3a5e6b…
09-07 06:37:40	Over $1M committed to the Linera public sale?	Yes	BUY	170	50¢	$85	0x037287…
09-07 04:05:36	Will 3jane launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	55¢	$27	0xacdeed…