Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$182

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

51.5%

Resolved

526

Trades

1,523

lifetime

Volume

$6.73K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-07-07

last 10-26 08:04

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 30 days

Categories

Crypto

69% 50% -$119

Other

24% 51% -$62

Politics

5% 60% -$3

Tech

1% 100% +$4

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Sports

0% 0% -$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

37 active days in 12wk • peak 277 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (18) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?	Yes		+2	$2	30¢	$0	-$1	10-20 18:13

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-16 18:00 UTC	42	$853	577	529	+48	Up	-$11	09-16 18:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-16 18:05 UTC	20	$349	204	204	+0	Up	+$4	09-16 18:07
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-16 15:10 UTC	10	$129	72	72	+0	Up	+$1	09-16 15:11
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-16 19:05 UTC	24	$117	304	303	+1	Down	-$6	09-16 19:07
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-16 17:35 UTC	2	$67	37	37	+0	Down	+$1	09-16 17:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-16 17:15 UTC	2	$65	38	38	+0	Up	+$1	09-16 17:16
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?	7	$64	60	60	+0	open	—	09-26 04:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-16 19:40 UTC	11	$59	130	77	+52	Up	-$8	09-16 19:43
will there be at least 6000 measles cases in the uptspt in 2026 954	4	$56	40	40	+0	open	—	09-27 17:18
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-16 19:35 UTC	14	$56	78	78	+0	Up	+$2	09-16 19:36
jumper fdv above 100m one day after launch	6	$47	60	60	+0	open	—	09-26 12:33
Will no live-action Miles Morales actor be chosen by end of 2027?	4	$46	40	40	+0	open	—	09-29 13:21
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-16 17:25 UTC	3	$45	64	64	+0	Up	+$1	09-16 17:28
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-16 15:50 UTC	7	$41	54	54	+0	Up	+$1	09-16 15:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 12:30 UTC	4	$41	35	35	+0	Up	+$4	09-17 12:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-16 18:10 UTC	9	$40	247	31	+216	Down	-$37	09-16 18:12
Will the Fed Pause-Hike-Pause in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)?	5	$38	40	40	+0	open	—	10-15 02:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-16 16:35 UTC	11	$37	42	37	+5	Up	+$1	09-16 16:37
Paris curfew by October 31?	3	$36	50	50	+0	Yes	+$0	10-19 14:50
Will NattyNatt Win the ADC Race 2026?	4	$35	40	40	+0	Yes	$0	09-30 01:48
Will the next Muse model family be named Muse Blaze?	2	$34	20	20	+0	No	+$0	10-09 18:23
next gpt luna 6pt1 released by november 30 2026	4	$33	40	40	+0	open	—	09-25 15:31
Will Claude Opus 5.6+ debut at an output token price of at least $15 by June 30, 2027?	2	$31	20	20	+0	open	—	09-25 10:43
Will Donyell Malen (Roma) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 Serie A season?	2	$30	20	20	+0	open	—	10-09 12:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 13:00 UTC	3	$30	42	23	+19	Up	-$6	09-17 13:00
Will there be 20 to 34 West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases among NYC residents in 2026?	2	$29	20	20	+0	open	—	10-17 15:20
Will the median home value in NYC be between $445,000 and $458,000 on December 31?	2	$29	20	17	+3	open	—	10-21 15:21
Will Bobby Witt Jr. win the 2026 AL Platinum Glove award?	2	$28	20	20	+0	open	—	10-17 02:50
Will no live-action Gwen Stacy actor be chosen by end of 2027?	2	$28	20	20	+0	open	—	09-28 01:21
Will Champi peak as a Violent typhoon?	3	$27	50	50	+0	Yes	+$0	10-17 18:12

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 08:04:24	Will GEN be number 1 on the end of year Global Power Rankings?	No	BUY	20	62¢	$12	0x98ff5f…
10-26 07:55:33	Will AP call US House control by November 13, 11:59 PM?	No	SELL	20	3¢	$1	0xebdb2f…
10-25 23:08:12	Will Post Malone perform at the 2027 Big Game halftime show?	Yes	SELL	5	21¢	$1	0xc14b8a…
10-25 23:08:11	Will Post Malone perform at the 2027 Big Game halftime show?	Yes	BUY	20	18¢	$4	0x3d1d73…
10-25 03:07:56	Will Jahmyr Gibbs be the highest-scoring RB of the 2026-27 NFL season?	Yes	BUY	20	55¢	$11	0xdabcfb…
10-24 20:56:35	Will Brennan Day win the next Courtenay-Comox British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?	No	SELL	20	16¢	$3	0x70e869…
10-24 16:53:36	US Gov confirms PHP2Shell exploited by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	20	10¢	$2	0x2cab1c…
10-24 16:21:21	Will GitHub's longest critical incident in October 2026 be between 3 and 6 hours?	No	SELL	50	16¢	$8	0x4efea9…
10-24 13:19:00	Will Jay Z perform at the 2027 Big Game halftime show?	No	SELL	20	10¢	$2	0x029d21…
10-24 12:47:39	Will Etsy (ETSY) beat quarterly earnings?	No	SELL	47	3¢	$1	0x1e48b2…
10-24 07:25:11	Will White House post 200+ posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	SELL	6	16¢	$1	0x939122…
10-23 19:15:29	Lyon curfew effectively lifted by November 7?	No	SELL	20	11¢	$2	0x8834f7…
10-23 19:13:11	Will the Bank of Korea hike by 25 bps at the November 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	20	32¢	$6	0x922e75…
10-23 13:23:30	Will We're Fine win Best Documentary Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	SELL	9	7¢	$1	0x34b13f…
10-23 08:08:09	Will OpenRouter process between 675T and 725T tokens from Sep 28 to Oct 25?	No	SELL	18	1¢	$0	0x720f20…
10-23 07:04:54	Will OpenRouter process between 675T and 725T tokens from Sep 28 to Oct 25?	No	SELL	2	1¢	$0	0xd91571…
10-22 21:06:06	Will "You Can See Everything" 2nd Weekend Box Office be at least $11M?	No	SELL	20	2¢	$0	0xdcf0fd…
10-22 15:48:45	Will the median home value in the US be between $407,000 and $411,000 on December 31?	No	BUY	20	65¢	$13	0xad38da…
10-22 13:46:20	Will South African inflation be greater than 5.0% in 2026?	No	SELL	15	29¢	$4	0x3990e4…
10-22 13:46:17	Will South African inflation be greater than 5.0% in 2026?	No	SELL	5	29¢	$1	0xf0d467…
10-22 13:45:23	Will South African inflation be greater than 5.0% in 2026?	No	BUY	20	26¢	$5	0xc38265…
10-22 11:00:48	Will PP win the most seats in Zamora in the 2026 Spanish general election?	No	SELL	9	16¢	$1	0x224ff7…
10-22 04:55:32	Will PP win the most seats in Zamora in the 2026 Spanish general election?	No	SELL	0	15¢	$0	0xb84e5a…
10-22 04:55:30	Will PP win the most seats in Zamora in the 2026 Spanish general election?	No	SELL	11	15¢	$2	0xd13497…
10-22 01:40:27	Will a third-place Senate candidate win at least 8% of the vote in 2026?	No	SELL	20	16¢	$3	0x79ce5a…
10-22 01:38:38	Will OpenAI have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 19?	No	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x9182f8…
10-22 01:33:54	Will IMAX (IMAX) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x210fca…
10-22 01:17:09	Will a third-place Senate candidate win at least 8% of the vote in 2026?	No	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0x70f2ab…
10-22 01:15:45	Will PP win the most seats in Zamora in the 2026 Spanish general election?	No	BUY	20	14¢	$3	0xee01ae…
10-21 23:50:03	Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by June 30, 2027?	No	SELL	20	36¢	$7	0x828ba0…
10-21 23:19:59	Will Marvell Q3 Data Center revenue be above $2.6B?	No	SELL	20	33¢	$7	0x590959…
10-21 23:08:20	Will AP call US Senate control by December 2, 11:59 PM?	No	BUY	20	24¢	$5	0xf08c64…
10-21 22:49:03	will ap call us house control by november 13	No	BUY	1	19¢	$0	0xbdaa37…
10-21 22:49:03	will ap call us house control by november 13	No	BUY	19	19¢	$4	0xb93bb2…
10-21 21:50:44	Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	20	35¢	$7	0x126fce…
10-21 20:59:53	Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Mexico City Congress election?	No	SELL	20	17¢	$3	0x96d510…
10-21 19:42:51	Will "Ali G: Who Iz I?" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $2M?	No	SELL	20	20¢	$4	0x56d9ab…
10-21 17:14:18	CISA confirms PHP2Shell exploited by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	31¢	$6	0xa39902…
10-21 15:21:18	Will the median home value in NYC be between $445,000 and $458,000 on December 31?	No	SELL	17	74¢	$12	0xa67928…
10-21 15:09:35	Will GitHub's longest critical incident in October 2026 be between 3 and 6 hours?	No	BUY	50	29¢	$14	0x18c56b…
10-21 15:01:15	Lyon curfew effectively lifted by November 7?	No	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0x78a91a…
10-21 14:21:29	Will CZ post 20-39 posts from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	No	SELL	20	2¢	$0	0x77c5d6…
10-21 09:24:06	Will Brennan Day win the next Courtenay-Comox British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?	No	BUY	20	35¢	$7	0x1bb4ae…
10-21 09:21:41	Will "Ali G: Who Iz I?" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $2M?	No	BUY	20	19¢	$4	0x3d7af7…
10-21 09:00:14	Will Doug Morneau win the next Maple Ridge-Pitt Meadows British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?	No	SELL	20	35¢	$7	0x5c9959…
10-21 08:55:48	Paris curfew effectively lifted by October 31?	No	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xa9d305…
10-21 08:53:41	Will the Republicans win Greenville County in the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	18	32¢	$6	0xaff0f4…
10-21 08:53:39	Will the Republicans win Greenville County in the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	2	32¢	$0	0xb3e869…
10-21 07:10:06	Will Doug Morneau win the next Maple Ridge-Pitt Meadows British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?	No	BUY	20	34¢	$7	0x9789d2…
10-21 06:27:39	GitHub.com critical incident by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	19	16¢	$3	0xba9c9a…
10-21 06:01:05	Will the Republicans win Greenville County in the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	20	31¢	$6	0xbc2b84…
10-21 05:26:57	Will Marvell Q3 Data Center revenue be above $2.6B?	No	BUY	20	32¢	$6	0xb3fb91…
10-21 05:20:50	GitHub.com critical incident by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	19	15¢	$3	0x56e42f…
10-21 04:40:24	Will "Resident Evil Requiem" win Ultimate Game of the Year at the 2026 Golden Joystick Awards?	No	SELL	20	31¢	$6	0xb6936b…
10-21 04:39:11	Will "Resident Evil Requiem" win Ultimate Game of the Year at the 2026 Golden Joystick Awards?	No	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0x8ca0c6…
10-21 03:08:51	Will the Democrats win Mahoning County in the Ohio Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	3	32¢	$1	0xd09b1f…
10-21 03:08:50	Will the Democrats win Mahoning County in the Ohio Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	17	32¢	$6	0x09c1c1…
10-21 02:20:48	Will Airbnb (ABNB) Q3 gross booking value be above $26.2B?	No	SELL	20	34¢	$7	0x629369…
10-21 02:14:06	Will Airbnb (ABNB) Q3 gross booking value be above $26.2B?	No	BUY	20	33¢	$7	0xba2da4…
10-21 01:09:35	will you can see everything 2nd weekend box office be at least 11m 20261025	No	BUY	20	20¢	$4	0x8b6f5a…
10-21 00:34:44	Will Natalia Silva fight Alexa Grasso next?	No	SELL	20	16¢	$3	0x220abe…
10-20 23:41:24	Will "Ali G: Who Iz I?" score at least 40 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	No	SELL	1	36¢	$0	0xda1d34…
10-20 23:41:21	Will "Ali G: Who Iz I?" score at least 40 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	No	SELL	19	36¢	$7	0x5f7417…
10-20 23:27:32	Will "Ali G: Who Iz I?" score at least 40 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	No	BUY	19	35¢	$7	0xc44815…
10-20 23:27:32	Will "Ali G: Who Iz I?" score at least 40 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	No	BUY	1	35¢	$0	0x7a600a…
10-20 23:10:06	Will OpenRouter process between 675T and 725T tokens from Sep 28 to Oct 25?	No	BUY	20	31¢	$6	0x5ba09c…
10-20 23:00:47	Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	SELL	14	18¢	$2	0x2f6c59…
10-20 22:13:00	Will there be between 35 and 59 tornadoes in the US in October 2026?	No	SELL	16	16¢	$3	0xedb62a…
10-20 22:13:00	Will there be between 35 and 59 tornadoes in the US in October 2026?	No	SELL	34	16¢	$5	0x015ced…
10-20 21:41:21	Will Republicans win the Mississippi, South Carolina, and Montana Senate seats?	No	SELL	20	32¢	$6	0x0a0e64…
10-20 21:40:53	Will Republicans win the Mississippi, South Carolina, and Montana Senate seats?	No	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0x60ffd6…
10-20 21:04:21	Will there be between 35 and 59 tornadoes in the US in October 2026?	No	BUY	50	15¢	$8	0x65f4e5…
10-20 20:51:23	will rklb reach 52 in october 2026 from october 20	No	BUY	20	12¢	$2	0x810d4d…
10-20 20:01:20	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $382.50 Week of October 19 2026?	No	SELL	20	32¢	$6	0x685197…
10-20 19:42:51	Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $67.50 Week of October 19 2026?	No	SELL	5	26¢	$1	0x6b1426…
10-20 19:42:11	Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $67.50 Week of October 19 2026?	No	SELL	15	28¢	$4	0xf840bd…
10-20 19:33:08	Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $67.50 Week of October 19 2026?	No	BUY	20	23¢	$5	0xd53067…
10-20 19:23:32	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 Week of October 19 2026?	No	BUY	20	35¢	$7	0x8e9826…
10-20 18:36:24	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.90 Week of October 19 2026?	No	SELL	20	34¢	$7	0xf1ee31…
10-20 18:26:12	Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $700 in October?	No	SELL	20	20¢	$4	0x854451…
10-20 18:13:23	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	SELL	38	26¢	$10	0xccbb33…
10-20 17:40:47	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $344 in October?	No	SELL	20	21¢	$4	0x8d9c5f…
10-20 17:32:21	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	SELL	10	26¢	$3	0x784659…
10-20 17:23:12	will aapl reach 344 in october 2026 from october 20	No	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0xcc7acb…
10-20 17:23:12	will aapl reach 344 in october 2026 from october 20	No	BUY	6	20¢	$1	0xa62e51…
10-20 17:23:12	will aapl reach 344 in october 2026 from october 20	No	BUY	6	20¢	$1	0x0fa855…
10-20 17:23:11	will aapl reach 344 in october 2026 from october 20	No	BUY	6	20¢	$1	0x3044cc…
10-20 17:11:30	will meta reach 700 in october 2026	No	BUY	20	16¢	$3	0xe83005…
10-20 14:39:18	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $382.50 Week of October 19 2026?	No	BUY	20	29¢	$6	0x17df2d…
10-20 14:09:59	Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $100 Week of October 19 2026?	No	BUY	20	13¢	$3	0xedcbf2…
10-20 14:07:36	Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $175 Week of October 19 2026?	No	BUY	20	34¢	$7	0x76f3ee…
10-20 14:07:35	Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $189 Week of October 19 2026?	No	SELL	20	30¢	$6	0x29690c…
10-20 14:07:24	Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $172.50 Week of October 19 2026?	No	BUY	20	18¢	$4	0xfc0115…
10-20 13:49:38	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $760 Week of October 19 2026?	No	SELL	20	36¢	$7	0x77d5ce…
10-20 13:49:35	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.90 Week of October 19 2026?	No	BUY	20	33¢	$7	0xab0702…
10-20 13:42:14	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $760 Week of October 19 2026?	No	BUY	20	34¢	$7	0xcd81af…
10-20 13:30:15	Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $189 Week of October 19 2026?	No	BUY	20	28¢	$6	0x2974c2…
10-20 11:20:23	Will MiniMax have the best Image-to-Video AI at the end of November 2026?	No	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x6dfe58…
10-20 06:22:22	Will Jay Z perform at the 2027 Big Game halftime show?	No	BUY	20	27¢	$5	0x66b024…
10-20 05:50:06	Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Mexico City Congress election?	No	BUY	20	23¢	$5	0x1056fc…