Upset-Cuisine — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.88K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

73.8%

Resolved

3,213

Trades

9,073

lifetime

Volume

$310.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$34

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-04

last 10-15 22:19

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 125 days

Categories

Crypto

59% 56% -$1,249

Politics

41% 79% -$412

Other

0% 50% -$217

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

26 active days in 12wk • peak 172 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	223	$57.7K	42,114	40,467	+1,647	No	+$42	01-31 21:04
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	88	$27.4K	21,193	17,593	+3,600	Yes	-$1,069	02-28 07:03
israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453	256	$25.2K	27,475	26,024	+1,451	No	+$473	01-31 13:23
us strikes iran by january 23 2026 494 711 798 734 155	11	$4.2K	2,214	2,214	+0	No	+$38	01-21 18:08
us strikes iran by january 24 2026 318	12	$3.1K	1,567	1,567	+0	No	+$8	01-24 22:36
us strikes iran by february 10 2026	2	$2.2K	1,120	1,120	+0	No	+$1	02-10 19:46
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	2	$2.2K	2,665	2,665	+0	Yes	+$80	02-17 22:35
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by January 31?	7	$1.4K	742	742	+0	No	+$49	01-17 11:11
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-24 01:15 UTC	64	$1.4K	921	913	+7	Up	+$15	02-24 01:30
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	2	$1.1K	620	620	+0	No	+$0	01-17 23:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-18 03:15 UTC	22	$850	681	672	+9	Up	+$14	02-18 03:27
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-24 03:30 UTC	4	$826	657	647	+10	Down	+$112	02-24 03:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-24 01:30 UTC	6	$772	536	531	+5	Down	-$1	02-24 01:44
internet access restored in iran by friday 972	17	$712	865	415	+450	Yes	-$74	01-22 00:08
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-24 02:15 UTC	7	$655	483	478	+6	Up	+$69	02-24 02:28
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 19:35 UTC	9	$580	335	335	+0	Down	+$6	06-09 19:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	11	$558	442	442	+0	Up	+$155	10-09 19:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-24 15:40 UTC	13	$534	396	396	+0	Down	+$107	06-24 15:43
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-23 22:15 UTC	6	$522	528	454	+75	Down	-$40	02-23 22:26
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 16:35 UTC	20	$516	275	275	+0	Down	+$16	06-07 16:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 16:30 UTC	7	$507	274	274	+0	Up	+$7	06-07 16:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 16:25 UTC	2	$503	258	258	+0	Down	+$3	06-07 16:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 11:15 UTC	16	$496	325	325	+0	Up	+$49	06-09 11:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 00:35 UTC	4	$496	394	394	+0	Down	+$103	06-11 00:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 20:00 UTC	2	$484	326	326	+0	Down	+$130	06-09 20:02
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 16:50 UTC	16	$470	264	264	+0	Up	+$14	06-05 16:54
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-24 02:45 UTC	3	$465	457	393	+64	Down	+$28	02-24 02:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-24 03:00 UTC	4	$465	338	337	+1	Down	+$9	02-24 03:05
will the iranian regime fall by january 31	2	$463	240	240	+0	No	+$0	01-18 15:10
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-24 02:00 UTC	3	$463	452	313	+138	Up	-$55	02-24 02:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-15 22:19:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	419	53¢	$222	0x84cbe7…
10-15 22:16:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	SELL	288	16¢	$48	0xb6b5ca…
10-15 22:14:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	288	52¢	$150	0xdd8c0e…
10-15 22:12:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0xf2c042…
10-15 22:05:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	SELL	113	64¢	$72	0x4f322b…
10-15 22:04:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	48	52¢	$25	0x5f7032…
10-15 22:04:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x4ae076…
10-15 22:03:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x92c872…
10-15 22:03:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	8	52¢	$4	0x020d18…
10-15 22:03:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	8	52¢	$4	0x324c9f…
10-15 22:03:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	8	52¢	$4	0x6a1222…
10-15 22:03:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	8	52¢	$4	0xc56d69…
10-15 22:03:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	8	52¢	$4	0x3417cc…
10-15 22:03:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x7ed0c3…
10-15 22:03:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x39e0cd…
10-15 22:03:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xe3619e…
10-15 22:03:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xb076ae…
10-15 22:02:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	SELL	56	3¢	$2	0xd1edb4…
10-15 22:00:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	56	45¢	$25	0xe8bd0e…
10-15 21:41:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	SELL	96	65¢	$62	0x34349d…
10-15 21:39:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	96	52¢	$50	0x84013c…
10-15 21:27:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	SELL	51	39¢	$20	0x83f4ea…
10-15 21:26:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	51	49¢	$25	0xe5c6bc…
10-15 21:17:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	SELL	290	71¢	$206	0x9c3ccd…
10-15 21:14:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	290	52¢	$150	0xdddc8e…
10-15 21:13:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	128	39¢	$50	0x79c3e2…
10-15 21:06:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	217	23¢	$50	0x10718e…
10-15 21:04:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	300	50¢	$150	0x08e99a…
10-15 20:56:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	SELL	200	11¢	$22	0xd12d08…
10-15 20:53:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x09827e…
10-15 20:53:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	52	52¢	$27	0x090a08…
10-15 20:53:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	52	52¢	$27	0x252504…
10-15 20:53:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	76	52¢	$40	0xfdcd11…
10-15 20:51:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	SELL	147	3¢	$4	0x06cc1c…
10-15 20:49:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	147	45¢	$66	0xbf3d11…
10-15 20:48:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	34	44¢	$15	0x20c661…
10-15 20:37:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	29	68¢	$20	0x36aacc…
10-15 20:33:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	SELL	56	8¢	$4	0xc82289…
10-15 20:31:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	56	44¢	$25	0x7208a4…
10-15 20:22:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1	17¢	$0	0xe61283…
10-15 20:22:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	17¢	$0	0x5dc99a…
10-15 20:22:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	19	17¢	$3	0x2571e6…
10-15 20:22:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	17¢	$0	0x21b429…
10-15 20:22:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	17¢	$1	0x0a3063…
10-15 20:18:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	50	51¢	$26	0xf1deab…
10-15 20:16:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0xad35e4…
10-15 20:14:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	50	51¢	$26	0xe03eab…
10-15 20:04:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	SELL	47	9¢	$4	0x2bfaea…
10-15 20:01:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0x349ce8…
10-15 20:00:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	47	53¢	$25	0xf73617…
10-15 19:58:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	SELL	47	5¢	$2	0x2ed052…
10-15 19:55:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	47	32¢	$15	0x11bb2c…
10-15 19:51:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	SELL	50	29¢	$14	0x78536b…
10-15 19:49:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	50	52¢	$26	0x25c616…
10-15 19:46:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	156	16¢	$25	0x5eed2f…
10-15 19:43:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	200	50¢	$100	0xba5879…
10-15 19:36:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	SELL	100	10¢	$10	0x2d3505…
10-15 19:33:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	100	51¢	$51	0x0c14bf…
10-15 19:26:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	52	48¢	$25	0x270a9f…
10-15 19:23:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	SELL	51	60¢	$31	0x4016cb…
10-15 19:23:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	SELL	32	45¢	$14	0x245113…
10-15 19:22:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	32	25¢	$8	0xf402e7…
10-15 19:19:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	51	49¢	$25	0xdbb825…
10-15 19:12:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	SELL	34	64¢	$22	0x460bff…
10-15 19:12:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	34	44¢	$15	0x5aabc9…
10-15 19:10:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	SELL	182	65¢	$118	0x1fff59…
10-15 19:10:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	182	44¢	$80	0x7e7ee4…
10-15 19:07:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	48	52¢	$25	0x5c2d4a…
10-15 19:06:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	SELL	40	11¢	$4	0xea9c72…
10-15 19:03:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$2	0x1406af…
10-15 19:03:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x470e21…
10-15 19:03:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x772cd6…
10-15 19:03:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	15	51¢	$8	0x8c24f0…
10-15 18:59:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	21	73¢	$15	0xc313cc…
10-15 18:57:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	SELL	56	39¢	$22	0x4e1554…
10-15 18:56:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	56	27¢	$15	0xf0c547…
10-15 18:53:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0x71a456…
10-15 18:51:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	57	44¢	$25	0xd596f7…
10-15 18:49:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	300	1¢	$3	0x0ec0ae…
10-15 18:44:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	47	53¢	$25	0xcd5e58…
10-15 18:43:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x539110…
10-15 18:41:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	29	51¢	$15	0x7873d2…
10-15 18:41:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	39¢	$4	0x68ec05…
10-15 18:34:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	36	50¢	$18	0xcb46d3…
10-15 18:33:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0x897fe1…
10-15 18:29:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	74	47¢	$35	0xbf48f1…
10-15 18:28:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	SELL	250	99¢	$248	0x31ddc7…
10-15 18:27:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	250	4¢	$10	0x9c0081…
10-15 18:24:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	250	52¢	$130	0x400170…
10-15 18:21:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	69	51¢	$35	0xe88c6f…
10-15 18:15:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0x7794bb…
10-15 18:13:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	70	51¢	$36	0x846a4c…
10-15 18:07:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	33	9¢	$3	0x8983f0…
10-15 18:06:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	SELL	44	52¢	$23	0xf5e616…
10-15 18:06:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	44	18¢	$8	0xb72805…
10-15 18:04:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0xda8cb6…
10-15 18:00:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xef9513…
10-15 17:59:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	54	64¢	$35	0xae23a7…
10-15 17:58:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	SELL	69	14¢	$10	0xdcb6df…
10-15 17:55:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	69	51¢	$35	0xbaeb9c…