Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET
Down won
Total volume
$65,509
Trades
6,236
Unique wallets
983
Liquidity
$0
Latest YES mid
66¢
Latest NO mid
34¢
End date
2026-10-15
First seen
2026-10-15
last 10-15 18:20
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Not enough snapshot data yet — the snapshot daemon polls every 5 min.
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-4.2¢
(top1%: 46% YES on $34.4K
vs crowd: 50% YES on $56.6K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 198 | $18.4K | $20.6K | $2.2K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 267 | $6.7K | $4.8K | +$1.9K |
| 🐟 Fish | 298 | $2.4K | $2.4K | $61 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 220 | $750 | $603 | +$147 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 202 | $15.7K | $18.7K | $3.1K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 121 | $1.8K | $1.6K | +$124 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 52 | $138 | $199 | $62 |
| Median | 63 | $188 | $126 | +$62 |
| Below median | 220 | $1.4K | $1.3K | +$18 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 118 | $1.7K | $1.5K | +$218 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 133 | $3.1K | $2.4K | +$781 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 74 | $4.2K | $2.6K | +$1.6K |
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30 | Down | +2,193 | $1,634 | $1,634 | 40 | 10-15 18:19 |
| Vague-Hourglass 0x21f4…691d | Up | +1,743 | $768 | $768 | 71 | 10-15 18:19 |
| (anonymous) 0xc533…69a9 | Up | +1,349 | $843 | $843 | 64 | 10-15 18:19 |
| (anonymous) 0x8718…ff8c | Up | +1,289 | $900 | $900 | 5 | 10-15 18:19 |
| Vague-Hourglass 0x21f4…691d | Down | +1,272 | $456 | $456 | 62 | 10-15 18:19 |
| Impolite-Sister 0xc2ad…40ed | Down | +1,163 | $468 | $468 | 5 | 10-15 18:19 |
| (anonymous) 0xaa1a…0602 | Up | +1,134 | $551 | $551 | 52 | 10-15 18:19 |
| (anonymous) 0x764f…c347 | Up | +1,111 | $503 | $503 | 75 | 10-15 18:19 |
| (anonymous) 0xc533…69a9 | Down | +1,079 | $377 | $377 | 50 | 10-15 18:19 |
| (anonymous) 0x239e…1c10 | Down | +1,061 | $858 | $858 | 30 | 10-15 18:19 |
| Elastic-Flour 0xec10…6eb9 | Down | +1,052 | $548 | $548 | 178 | 10-15 18:19 |
| Elastic-Flour 0xec10…6eb9 | Up | +1,044 | $616 | $616 | 190 | 10-15 18:19 |
| (anonymous) 0xaa1a…0602 | Down | +1,021 | $467 | $467 | 57 | 10-15 18:19 |
| (anonymous) 0x3708…daf9 | Down | +1,019 | $745 | $745 | 21 | 10-15 18:19 |
| Illiterate-Pod 0x5e4a…be6b | Down | +1,012 | $1,002 | $1,002 | 1 | 10-15 18:19 |
| (anonymous) 0x4c23…1092 | Up | +984 | $141 | $367 | 9 | 10-15 18:19 |
| (anonymous) 0x9417…6e5e | Down | +974 | $754 | $754 | 10 | 10-15 18:19 |
| (anonymous) 0x764f…c347 | Down | +947 | $486 | $486 | 56 | 10-15 18:19 |
| All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6 | Up | +934 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 10-15 18:19 |
| (anonymous) 0x0cb0…3a90 | Down | +926 | $172 | $267 | 38 | 10-15 18:18 |
| (anonymous) 0xb129…890c | Down | +904 | $598 | $598 | 21 | 10-15 18:19 |
| (anonymous) 0x9417…6e5e | Up | +900 | $560 | $560 | 27 | 10-15 18:19 |
| Rural-Wharf-Parable 0x3725…ad88 | Down | +797 | $241 | $241 | 18 | 10-15 18:19 |
| Fitting-Entree 0x86b1…fc87 | Up | +768 | $557 | $557 | 18 | 10-15 18:19 |
| (anonymous) 0xa0e7…9461 | Up | +767 | $624 | $624 | 13 | 10-15 18:18 |
| (anonymous) 0x855e…5189 | Up | +765 | $611 | $611 | 14 | 10-15 18:19 |
| (anonymous) 0x239e…1c10 | Up | +750 | $607 | $607 | 28 | 10-15 18:17 |
| (anonymous) 0x4483…54c6 | Down | +740 | $625 | $625 | 12 | 10-15 18:19 |
| (anonymous) 0x7743…fb42 | Down | +728 | $531 | $531 | 13 | 10-15 18:19 |
| Artistic-Design 0x55ae…f5df | Up | +700 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 10-15 18:19 |
| Regular-Settlement 0xea41…14e5 | Up | +694 | $252 | $252 | 49 | 10-15 18:19 |
| Fitting-Entree 0x86b1…fc87 | Down | +669 | $441 | $441 | 20 | 10-15 18:19 |
| (anonymous) 0xf332…b1c0 | Down | +657 | $580 | $580 | 13 | 10-15 18:19 |
| (anonymous) 0xb958…f513 | Up | +656 | $209 | $209 | 19 | 10-15 18:19 |
| (anonymous) 0x6bc7…c4a9 | Up | +648 | $336 | $336 | 15 | 10-15 18:14 |
| (anonymous) 0x0ca4…77a6 | Up | +638 | $266 | $266 | 20 | 10-15 18:19 |
| (anonymous) 0x32ed…8ec3 | Down | +620 | $297 | $297 | 2 | 10-15 18:19 |
| (anonymous) 0xd844…5908 | Up | +611 | $314 | $314 | 16 | 10-15 18:19 |
| Tangible-Friendship 0x21d0…e8d7 | Up | +609 | $306 | $306 | 15 | 10-15 18:14 |
| (anonymous) 0x0cb0…3a90 | Up | +602 | $362 | $1,115 | 50 | 10-15 18:18 |
| Supportive-Matchmaker 0x9d57…56ea | Up | +602 | $454 | $566 | 46 | 10-15 18:19 |
| Peppery-Digging 0x2ed9…f271 | Down | +600 | $294 | $294 | 32 | 10-15 18:19 |
| (anonymous) 0x19b3…0b9b | Down | +600 | $309 | $309 | 25 | 10-15 18:19 |
| (anonymous) 0xd4fa…dcc8 | Up | +581 | $447 | $447 | 41 | 10-15 18:19 |
| Sweltering-Fashion 0x73e4…fb79 | Down | +576 | $570 | $570 | 13 | 10-15 18:20 |
| Windy-Turban 0xe290…a33f | Up | +576 | $416 | $416 | 30 | 10-15 18:17 |
| Windy-Turban 0xe290…a33f | Down | +574 | $106 | $106 | 37 | 10-15 18:18 |
| (anonymous) 0x41e2…a354 | Down | +559 | $190 | $190 | 8 | 10-15 18:19 |
| (anonymous) 0x280e…fbd8 | Down | +543 | $243 | $243 | 5 | 10-15 18:19 |
| (anonymous) 0x85a1…91b9 | Down | +540 | $169 | $169 | 23 | 10-15 18:19 |
| (anonymous) 0xd4fa…dcc8 | Down | +537 | $148 | $148 | 54 | 10-15 18:19 |
| Wooden-Hearsay 0x3139…9e2e | Down | +523 | $68 | $68 | 40 | 10-15 18:19 |
| (anonymous) 0xf9b7…a37c | Up | +514 | $415 | $415 | 21 | 10-15 18:18 |
| Gloomy-Drawing 0x322b…aa0c | Up | +512 | $338 | $338 | 38 | 10-15 18:19 |
| Supportive-Matchmaker 0x9d57…56ea | Down | +511 | $106 | $224 | 38 | 10-15 18:19 |
| (anonymous) 0x1988…7d42 | Up | +505 | $480 | $480 | 1 | 10-15 18:17 |
| (anonymous) 0xb129…890c | Up | +461 | $243 | $243 | 9 | 10-15 18:19 |
| (anonymous) 0x28cc…904f | Down | +460 | $364 | $364 | 8 | 10-15 18:19 |
| (anonymous) 0xf332…b1c0 | Up | +459 | $156 | $156 | 16 | 10-15 18:19 |
| (anonymous) 0x85a1…91b9 | Up | +457 | $262 | $262 | 32 | 10-15 18:19 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-15 18:20:58 | (anonymous) 0xd249…f163 | Down | SELL | 13 | 99¢ | $13 | 0x973ddf… |
| 10-15 18:20:58 | Sweltering-Fashion 0x73e4…fb79 | Down | BUY | 13 | 99¢ | $13 | 0x973ddf… |
| 10-15 18:20:20 | (anonymous) 0x765e…36dd | Down | SELL | 6 | 99¢ | $6 | 0x444587… |
| 10-15 18:20:20 | Sweltering-Fashion 0x73e4…fb79 | Down | BUY | 6 | 99¢ | $6 | 0x444587… |
| 10-15 18:20:19 | (anonymous) 0xce25…4f23 | Down | SELL | 10 | 99¢ | $9 | 0xe6dac0… |
| 10-15 18:20:19 | Sweltering-Fashion 0x73e4…fb79 | Down | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $9 | 0xe6dac0… |
| 10-15 18:20:11 | Sweltering-Fashion 0x73e4…fb79 | Down | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $4 | 0xfde1ec… |
| 10-15 18:20:11 | (anonymous) 0x5b10…788e | Down | SELL | 5 | 99¢ | $4 | 0xfde1ec… |
| 10-15 18:20:10 | Sweltering-Fashion 0x73e4…fb79 | Down | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0xa501c7… |
| 10-15 18:20:10 | (anonymous) 0x983b…9900 | Down | SELL | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0xa501c7… |
| 10-15 18:20:02 | Similar-Balcony 0x1c2e…d554 | Down | SELL | 114 | 99¢ | $112 | 0xeec5c9… |
| 10-15 18:20:02 | Sweltering-Fashion 0x73e4…fb79 | Down | BUY | 114 | 99¢ | $112 | 0xeec5c9… |
| 10-15 18:20:01 | Neighboring-Advocacy 0x3bac…37e9 | Down | SELL | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x34c12e… |
| 10-15 18:20:01 | Sweltering-Fashion 0x73e4…fb79 | Down | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x34c12e… |
| 10-15 18:19:58 | (anonymous) 0xd612…2fc8 | Down | SELL | 4 | 99¢ | $4 | 0x18cffc… |
| 10-15 18:19:58 | Sweltering-Fashion 0x73e4…fb79 | Down | BUY | 4 | 99¢ | $4 | 0x18cffc… |
| 10-15 18:19:55 | Sweltering-Fashion 0x73e4…fb79 | Down | BUY | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0xcf203c… |
| 10-15 18:19:55 | Sweltering-Fashion 0x73e4…fb79 | Down | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x749d69… |
| 10-15 18:19:55 | Carefree-Willingness 0xa653…08cf | Down | SELL | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0xcf203c… |
| 10-15 18:19:55 | (anonymous) 0x355d…1c50 | Down | SELL | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x749d69… |
| 10-15 18:19:55 | (anonymous) 0xc1dc…48fa | Down | SELL | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0x8debd4… |
| 10-15 18:19:55 | Sweltering-Fashion 0x73e4…fb79 | Down | BUY | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0x8debd4… |
| 10-15 18:19:53 | Sweltering-Fashion 0x73e4…fb79 | Down | BUY | 30 | 99¢ | $30 | 0x85ae5b… |
| 10-15 18:19:53 | (anonymous) 0x8e6d…db08 | Down | SELL | 30 | 99¢ | $30 | 0x85ae5b… |
| 10-15 18:19:52 | Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30 | Down | BUY | 726 | 99¢ | $719 | 0xa82256… |
| 10-15 18:19:52 | (anonymous) 0x19b3…0b9b | Down | BUY | 158 | 99¢ | $156 | 0xa82256… |
| 10-15 18:19:52 | All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6 | Up | BUY | 934 | 1¢ | $9 | 0xa82256… |
| 10-15 18:19:52 | (anonymous) 0xe0cc…27b3 | Down | BUY | 50 | 99¢ | $49 | 0xa82256… |
| 10-15 18:19:50 | (anonymous) 0x2f1a…d280 | Down | SELL | 6 | 99¢ | $6 | 0xd5b2e3… |
| 10-15 18:19:50 | Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30 | Down | BUY | 100 | 99¢ | $99 | 0xe229f4… |
| 10-15 18:19:50 | (anonymous) 0xb958…f513 | Up | BUY | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xa2b6cf… |
| 10-15 18:19:50 | Sweltering-Fashion 0x73e4…fb79 | Down | BUY | 375 | 99¢ | $371 | 0x06cc16… |
| 10-15 18:19:50 | (anonymous) 0x0972…0eff | Down | BUY | 20 | 99¢ | $20 | 0x06cc16… |
| 10-15 18:19:50 | (anonymous) 0x5d4a…55d3 | Up | BUY | 115 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xb4d46c… |
| 10-15 18:19:50 | (anonymous) 0xb958…f513 | Up | BUY | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xe229f4… |
| 10-15 18:19:50 | (anonymous) 0xe0cc…27b3 | Down | BUY | 0 | 99¢ | $0 | 0x06cc16… |
| 10-15 18:19:50 | Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30 | Down | BUY | 115 | 99¢ | $114 | 0xb4d46c… |
| 10-15 18:19:50 | (anonymous) 0x720b…d2cd | Up | BUY | 400 | 1¢ | $4 | 0x06cc16… |
| 10-15 18:19:50 | Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30 | Down | BUY | 6 | 99¢ | $6 | 0xd5b2e3… |
| 10-15 18:19:50 | Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30 | Down | BUY | 100 | 99¢ | $99 | 0xa2b6cf… |
| 10-15 18:19:50 | (anonymous) 0xb958…f513 | Up | BUY | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x372054… |
| 10-15 18:19:50 | Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30 | Down | BUY | 100 | 99¢ | $99 | 0x372054… |
| 10-15 18:19:50 | Lively-Sand 0xe41b…9397 | Down | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x06cc16… |
| 10-15 18:19:49 | Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30 | Down | BUY | 27 | 99¢ | $27 | 0x18c11c… |
| 10-15 18:19:49 | (anonymous) 0xab00…3c39 | Down | SELL | 27 | 99¢ | $27 | 0x18c11c… |
| 10-15 18:19:47 | (anonymous) 0x9e3e…f882 | Down | SELL | 40 | 99¢ | $40 | 0xcd8ad8… |
| 10-15 18:19:47 | Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30 | Down | BUY | 40 | 99¢ | $40 | 0xcd8ad8… |
| 10-15 18:19:46 | (anonymous) 0xb90f…d2f6 | Down | SELL | 14 | 99¢ | $14 | 0x587344… |
| 10-15 18:19:46 | Bright-Jasmine 0x2277…6604 | Down | BUY | 33 | 99¢ | $33 | 0x3e262a… |
| 10-15 18:19:46 | Supportive-Gene 0x214c…6378 | Down | BUY | 17 | 99¢ | $17 | 0x384e2c… |
| 10-15 18:19:46 | Well-Documented-Harmonize 0x28f7…678f | Up | BUY | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x18b4ef… |
| 10-15 18:19:46 | (anonymous) 0x1a80…3b26 | Up | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x98539b… |
| 10-15 18:19:46 | (anonymous) 0xe084…702f | Up | BUY | 33 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x9655d3… |
| 10-15 18:19:46 | Supportive-Gene 0x214c…6378 | Down | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xe18f1a… |
| 10-15 18:19:46 | (anonymous) 0x6205…4c1e | Up | BUY | 246 | 1¢ | $2 | 0x4743db… |
| 10-15 18:19:46 | (anonymous) 0xf822…1b3a | Up | BUY | 50 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xd3f777… |
| 10-15 18:19:46 | Physical-Chipmunk 0x0899…459e | Down | BUY | 9 | 99¢ | $9 | 0x3eee8e… |
| 10-15 18:19:46 | (anonymous) 0x028b…7959 | Down | BUY | 14 | 99¢ | $14 | 0xdf0687… |
| 10-15 18:19:46 | Illiterate-Pod 0x5e4a…be6b | Down | BUY | 1,012 | 99¢ | $1,002 | 0x4743db… |
| 10-15 18:19:46 | Bright-Jasmine 0x2277…6604 | Down | BUY | 33 | 99¢ | $33 | 0x9c398b… |
| 10-15 18:19:46 | Crafty-Masonry 0x460f…c1fe | Down | SELL | 24 | 99¢ | $24 | 0x55d19b… |
| 10-15 18:19:46 | (anonymous) 0xbe82…90ed | Up | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x55d19b… |
| 10-15 18:19:46 | Vague-Hourglass 0x21f4…691d | Up | BUY | 117 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x55d19b… |
| 10-15 18:19:46 | Moral-Roof 0x576b…0cab | Up | BUY | 31 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x4743db… |
| 10-15 18:19:46 | (anonymous) 0x18a9…c231 | Down | BUY | 289 | 99¢ | $286 | 0x9a535a… |
| 10-15 18:19:46 | (anonymous) 0xe084…702f | Up | BUY | 33 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x3e262a… |
| 10-15 18:19:46 | (anonymous) 0xc1ba…b1ed | Down | BUY | 3 | 99¢ | $3 | 0xa3da6d… |
| 10-15 18:19:46 | Supportive-Gene 0x214c…6378 | Down | BUY | 50 | 99¢ | $50 | 0xb90c86… |
| 10-15 18:19:46 | Supportive-Matchmaker 0x9d57…56ea | Down | SELL | 50 | 99¢ | $50 | 0xb90c86… |
| 10-15 18:19:46 | Acrobatic-Dream 0x9b6f…7fb9 | Down | BUY | 151 | 99¢ | $150 | 0x5efa4e… |
| 10-15 18:19:46 | (anonymous) 0x5577…7d35 | Down | SELL | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xe18f1a… |
| 10-15 18:19:46 | (anonymous) 0xe084…702f | Up | BUY | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x9c1185… |
| 10-15 18:19:46 | (anonymous) 0xcddf…c887 | Up | BUY | 2 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x1f46a6… |
| 10-15 18:19:46 | (anonymous) 0xe084…702f | Up | BUY | 244 | 1¢ | $2 | 0x9a535a… |
| 10-15 18:19:46 | Lighthearted-Brood 0xcb7c…b03f | Up | BUY | 158 | 1¢ | $2 | 0xbf4ba2… |
| 10-15 18:19:46 | Scared-Puffin 0x456b…38d3 | Down | BUY | 50 | 98¢ | $49 | 0xd3f777… |
| 10-15 18:19:46 | (anonymous) 0xe18b…db44 | Up | BUY | 20 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x18b4ef… |
| 10-15 18:19:46 | Artistic-Design 0x55ae…f5df | Up | BUY | 700 | 1¢ | $7 | 0x4743db… |
| 10-15 18:19:46 | (anonymous) 0xa7dc…250f | Down | SELL | 61 | 99¢ | $60 | 0x55d19b… |
| 10-15 18:19:46 | Visible-Belfry 0x99a4…d89f | Down | BUY | 39 | 99¢ | $39 | 0x568650… |
| 10-15 18:19:46 | (anonymous) 0x6205…4c1e | Up | BUY | 23 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x9c1185… |
| 10-15 18:19:46 | Moral-Roof 0x576b…0cab | Up | BUY | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x18b4ef… |
| 10-15 18:19:46 | Lighthearted-Brood 0xcb7c…b03f | Up | BUY | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xc83804… |
| 10-15 18:19:46 | Superb-Luncheonette 0x4492…90ea | Down | BUY | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0x1f46a6… |
| 10-15 18:19:46 | (anonymous) 0x8e2a…9839 | Down | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xcb723e… |
| 10-15 18:19:46 | (anonymous) 0x6205…4c1e | Up | BUY | 33 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x37c619… |
| 10-15 18:19:46 | Peppery-Digging 0x2ed9…f271 | Down | BUY | 158 | 99¢ | $156 | 0xbf4ba2… |
| 10-15 18:19:46 | Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30 | Down | BUY | 49 | 99¢ | $48 | 0x5efa4e… |
| 10-15 18:19:46 | Lighthearted-Brood 0xcb7c…b03f | Up | BUY | 22 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x55d19b… |
| 10-15 18:19:46 | Bright-Jasmine 0x2277…6604 | Down | BUY | 33 | 99¢ | $33 | 0x37c619… |
| 10-15 18:19:46 | Stale-Timpani 0x404e…4cd2 | Down | BUY | 407 | 99¢ | $403 | 0x55d19b… |
| 10-15 18:19:46 | Elastic-Flour 0xec10…6eb9 | Up | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x55d19b… |
| 10-15 18:19:46 | (anonymous) 0x251f…cb19 | Up | BUY | 10 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x18b4ef… |
| 10-15 18:19:46 | (anonymous) 0x18ac…6ff9 | Down | SELL | 6 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x55d19b… |
| 10-15 18:19:46 | Supportive-Gene 0x214c…6378 | Down | BUY | 14 | 99¢ | $14 | 0x587344… |
| 10-15 18:19:46 | Supportive-Gene 0x214c…6378 | Down | BUY | 14 | 99¢ | $14 | 0x13aa3c… |
| 10-15 18:19:46 | Stiff-Radiator 0x9919…0a5d | Down | BUY | 16 | 99¢ | $16 | 0xc83804… |
| 10-15 18:19:46 | Moral-Roof 0x576b…0cab | Up | BUY | 36 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x568650… |
| 10-15 18:19:46 | (anonymous) 0x1a80…3b26 | Up | BUY | 14 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xdf0687… |
| 10-15 18:19:46 | (anonymous) 0x1a80…3b26 | Up | BUY | 3 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xa3da6d… |