Royal-Most — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$43

Unrealized P&L

-$22

Hit rate

80.7%

Resolved

138

Trades

235

lifetime

Volume

$3.21K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$14

Open exposure

$41

5 positions

First seen

2026-05-08

last 11-03 01:43

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 59 days

Categories

Other

71% 40% +$22

Sports

25% 47% +$41

Politics

4% 25% -$20

Tech

0% 0% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

25 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	+129	$30	17¢	$22	-$8	08-24 21:57
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	+73	$15	16¢	$12	-$3	08-24 21:56
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	+35	$5	11¢	$4	-$1	08-24 21:57
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2026?	Yes	+33	$3	6¢	$2	-$1	11-03 01:43
Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31?	Yes	+50	$10	2¢	$1	-$9	10-31 22:20

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 team to advance	3	$575	295	295	+0	Argentina	+$15	07-04 00:47
Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?	2	$207	108	108	+0	Yes	+$7	06-28 20:57
fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 team to advance	3	$136	153	0	+153	Paraguay	+$7	06-29 23:26
Will France win on 2026-06-30?	3	$136	78	78	+0	Yes	+$16	06-30 22:13
nba sas nyk 2026 06 10	3	$124	134	118	+17	Knicks	+$29	06-11 01:42
Will England win on 2026-07-01?	2	$124	64	64	+0	Yes	+$4	07-01 18:00
Eagles vs. Titans	2	$121	79	79	+0	Eagles	+$1	09-20 19:58
nhl car las 2026 06 09	4	$103	99	77	+21	Hurricanes	+$16	06-10 02:42
Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?	3	$69	49	49	+0	Yes	+$29	06-23 01:49
49ers vs. Falcons	4	$65	108	85	+24	Falcons	-$5	10-25 19:53
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?	3	$65	43	43	+0	Yes	+$15	06-20 17:26
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?	3	$58	42	42	+0	Yes	+$18	07-01 02:35
nfl kc mia 2026 09 27	2	$54	29	29	+0	Chiefs	+$4	09-27 19:47
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?	2	$53	34	34	+0	Yes	+$13	07-03 01:00
fifwc usa bel 2026 07 06 team to advance	4	$47	103	31	+71	Belgium	+$15	07-07 01:58
Will Belgium vs. Senegal end in a draw?	2	$42	22	22	+0	Yes	+$2	07-01 22:00
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?	3	$41	42	42	+0	Yes	-$19	07-07 17:25
Will Japan vs. Sweden end in a draw?	2	$41	21	21	+0	Yes	+$1	06-26 00:58
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?	3	$40	47	0	+47	No	-$40	07-01 18:06
fifwc can mar 2026 07 04 team to advance	2	$37	28	28	+0	Morocco	-$2	07-04 17:23
nfl sea ten 2026 08 24	2	$31	28	28	+0	Titans	+$11	08-24 00:49
Rams vs. Eagles	1	$30	49	0	+49	Rams	+$19	09-29 23:23
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	1	$30	129	0	+129	open	—	08-24 21:57
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27?	1	$30	32	0	+32	Yes	+$2	06-27 22:52
will the announcers say weather during the mexico vs england fifa world cup match 20260705031113090	3	$29	16	16	+0	Yes	+$3	07-06 01:10
Will Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?	3	$29	33	33	+0	Yes	+$9	06-22 00:03
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights	2	$27	19	19	+0	Hurricanes	+$7	06-15 02:19
Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?	3	$24	26	26	+0	Yes	+$14	07-05 21:53
mlb bos nyy 2026 09 30	2	$22	17	17	+0	New York Yankees	+$2	10-01 01:19
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-25?	2	$21	11	11	+0	Yes	+$1	06-25 21:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-03 01:43:37	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	33	9¢	$3	0x0c6ae3…
10-31 22:20:58	Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31?	Yes	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0xfa85e5…
10-27 11:01:20	Will Jay Z perform at the 2027 Big Game halftime show?	No	SELL	20	5¢	$1	0x4b86be…
10-25 22:18:09	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	37	41¢	$15	0xb82f42…
10-25 19:53:35	49ers vs. Falcons	49ers	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0xfab15e…
10-25 19:51:39	49ers vs. Falcons	49ers	SELL	85	36¢	$30	0x2d92b7…
10-25 19:40:30	49ers vs. Falcons	49ers	BUY	59	17¢	$10	0x1e5b2f…
10-25 02:11:11	49ers vs. Falcons	49ers	BUY	26	58¢	$15	0x73b0c6…
10-24 13:18:48	Will Jay Z perform at the 2027 Big Game halftime show?	No	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x7f22cc…
10-18 16:37:57	Texans vs. Jaguars	Jaguars	SELL	18	43¢	$8	0x9928e4…
10-17 22:46:23	Will the Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	BUY	15	21¢	$3	0x1358e8…
10-17 22:03:54	Texans vs. Jaguars	Jaguars	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0xc2ba2a…
10-17 22:03:38	Texans vs. Jaguars: O/U 44.5	Over	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x9cdb78…
10-01 01:19:48	mlb bos nyy 2026 09 30	New York Yankees	SELL	17	73¢	$12	0x77e90e…
10-01 01:03:12	mlb bos nyy 2026 09 30	New York Yankees	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0x6e5171…
09-29 23:23:14	Rams vs. Eagles	Rams	BUY	49	61¢	$30	0x55fc17…
09-27 19:47:48	nfl kc mia 2026 09 27	Chiefs	SELL	29	100¢	$29	0x6f81f8…
09-25 01:41:45	Falcons vs. Packers	Packers	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0xb9d321…
09-25 01:32:42	Falcons vs. Packers	Packers	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0xc19f5e…
09-24 01:26:31	nfl kc mia 2026 09 27	Chiefs	BUY	29	86¢	$25	0x771989…
09-23 01:08:56	Bengals vs. Steelers	Bengals	BUY	32	63¢	$20	0xd362ac…
09-20 19:58:46	Eagles vs. Titans	Eagles	SELL	79	77¢	$61	0x6a2ddd…
09-18 00:01:13	will the announcers say what a catch during the lions vs bills game 20260918	Yes	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x5355d9…
09-17 20:59:45	Eagles vs. Titans	Eagles	BUY	79	76¢	$60	0xa1093e…
09-15 00:43:40	Evan Engram: 2+ Touchdowns	Yes	SELL	62	5¢	$3	0x3d9eb9…
09-15 00:43:39	Evan Engram: 2+ Touchdowns	Yes	SELL	46	5¢	$2	0xc1a831…
09-14 23:08:21	Bo Nix: 2+ Touchdowns	Yes	BUY	59	2¢	$1	0x60b5f5…
09-14 22:31:07	Evan Engram: 2+ Touchdowns	Yes	BUY	217	1¢	$3	0xccf042…
09-13 14:46:34	will the announcers say referee 5 times during the cardinals vs chargers game 20260913	Yes	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0x8e0c80…
09-13 14:41:27	Falcons vs. Steelers	Steelers	BUY	21	73¢	$15	0x08295e…
09-13 00:07:28	Broncos vs. Chiefs	Broncos	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0xd29472…
09-13 00:06:15	Bears vs. Panthers	Bears	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0x70ec6b…
09-09 01:31:42	cfl ott tor 2026 09 12	Ottawa Redblacks	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0x84e217…
08-28 21:33:27	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x12d3b7…
08-28 14:45:37	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	77	0¢	$0	0x85761d…
08-28 14:45:33	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	9	43¢	$4	0x9c9ec3…
08-25 23:05:09	Bengals vs. Eagles	Eagles	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x27b3ca…
08-25 22:21:28	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	39	13¢	$5	0x44f052…
08-25 10:04:43	Montreal Alouettes vs. Winnipeg Blue Bombers	Montreal Alouettes	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0x061c63…
08-25 10:04:36	Toronto Argonauts vs. Saskatchewan Roughriders	Toronto Argonauts	BUY	19	31¢	$6	0xc8037d…
08-24 21:57:10	Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	129	23¢	$30	0x28f3c7…
08-24 21:57:03	Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	35	14¢	$5	0x69d23a…
08-24 21:56:42	Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	73	21¢	$15	0x9435da…
08-24 00:49:57	nfl sea ten 2026 08 24	Seahawks	SELL	28	74¢	$21	0xbb45cf…
08-24 00:49:54	Saskatchewan Roughriders vs. British Columbia Lions	Saskatchewan Roughriders	SELL	10	11¢	$1	0x618431…
08-22 21:42:46	nfl sea ten 2026 08 24	Seahawks	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0xb94fc0…
08-22 02:45:46	cfl wpg edm 2026 08 21	Winnipeg Blue Bombers	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0xcf7305…
08-21 21:08:36	cfl ssk bc 2026 08 23	Saskatchewan Roughriders	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0xbeb9a6…
08-15 23:14:21	nfl jax no 2026 08 15	Saints	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x27b4ed…
08-15 21:10:43	cfl tor edm 2026 08 15	Edmonton Elks	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x99ae2e…
08-15 02:04:07	cfl ott wpg 2026 08 14	Ottawa Redblacks	SELL	27	7¢	$2	0xbdf8a6…
08-15 01:45:01	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	11	55¢	$6	0xbe3768…
08-15 01:44:42	nfl tb nyj 2026 08 14	Buccaneers	SELL	16	87¢	$14	0x6a721f…
08-15 00:41:18	nfl tb nyj 2026 08 14	Buccaneers	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x9f220e…
08-14 02:26:49	cfl ott wpg 2026 08 14	Ottawa Redblacks	BUY	27	26¢	$7	0x51ee5f…
08-14 02:26:40	cfl bc cgy 2026 08 13	Calgary Stampeders	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x365738…
08-12 01:48:15	Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?	Yes	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0xa5ab18…
08-09 01:50:55	cfl ham bc 2026 08 08	Hamilton Tiger-Cats	SELL	42	1¢	$0	0xa1b0d6…
08-08 12:22:33	cfl ham bc 2026 08 08	Hamilton Tiger-Cats	BUY	42	24¢	$10	0x4ba9b7…
08-07 21:48:22	will the senate vote on the clarity act before the august recess 20260729185025133	No	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0x5cf581…
08-04 01:13:48	will the senate vote on the clarity act before the august recess 20260729185025133	No	BUY	11	57¢	$6	0x35c996…
08-03 13:19:23	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0xc1af81…
08-03 13:19:15	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	77	1¢	$1	0x788a1a…
07-26 19:51:36	cfl ham mtl 2026 07 26	Hamilton Tiger-Cats	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0x81b235…
07-07 21:44:46	Will Switzerland vs. Colombia end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	21	72¢	$15	0x868dac…
07-07 17:25:01	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?	Yes	SELL	42	27¢	$11	0x49f78c…
07-07 01:58:38	fifwc usa bel 2026 07 06 team to advance	Belgium	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x4832f5…
07-07 01:54:49	fifwc usa bel 2026 07 06 team to advance	Belgium	SELL	31	100¢	$31	0x70765e…
07-07 01:52:16	fifwc usa bel 2026 07 06 team to advance	United States	BUY	71	1¢	$1	0x2ff4fc…
07-06 01:53:26	fifwc mex eng 2026 07 05 team to advance	Mexico	BUY	9	32¢	$3	0xc44c14…
07-06 01:53:14	Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?	Yes	SELL	29	15¢	$4	0x465a06…
07-06 01:38:16	Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x3ac0ac…
07-06 01:10:23	will the announcers say weather during the mexico vs england fifa world cup match 20260705031113090	Yes	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0xebf625…
07-05 21:53:41	Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?	Yes	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0xb67b0c…
07-05 21:43:20	Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?	Yes	SELL	20	63¢	$12	0xacb113…
07-05 20:39:04	will the announcers say weather during the mexico vs england fifa world cup match 20260705031113090	Yes	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0x242659…
07-05 19:23:17	Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?	Yes	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0x09bc48…
07-05 16:43:47	will the announcers say weather during the mexico vs england fifa world cup match 20260705031113090	Yes	BUY	12	81¢	$10	0x0f0be7…
07-05 16:34:10	Will France win on 2026-07-09?	Yes	BUY	24	62¢	$15	0x7f9c28…
07-04 18:15:28	Will Canada win on 2026-07-04?	Yes	BUY	43	7¢	$3	0xd8018f…
07-04 17:23:53	Will Canada win on 2026-07-04?	Yes	BUY	12	25¢	$3	0x39ba83…
07-04 17:23:41	fifwc can mar 2026 07 04 team to advance	Morocco	SELL	28	63¢	$17	0x027f43…
07-04 13:36:13	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?	Yes	BUY	21	72¢	$15	0xc10d39…
07-04 13:36:11	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?	Yes	BUY	21	72¢	$15	0xdfe191…
07-04 00:47:23	fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 team to advance	Argentina	SELL	295	100¢	$295	0x79f51a…
07-04 00:13:31	fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	189	95¢	$180	0x6f7f7a…
07-04 00:08:04	fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	106	95¢	$100	0x796aab…
07-03 23:39:43	Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03?	Yes	BUY	67	6¢	$4	0xa52e79…
07-03 01:38:46	Will Switzerland vs. Algeria end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	13	30¢	$4	0x5543b9…
07-03 01:00:46	Will Portugal vs. Croatia end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	7	2¢	$0	0xc5f14f…
07-03 01:00:34	Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?	Yes	SELL	34	98¢	$33	0xb1091d…
07-02 23:06:52	Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?	Yes	BUY	34	60¢	$20	0x8620d7…
07-02 22:45:56	fifwc usa bel 2026 07 06 team to advance	Belgium	BUY	31	48¢	$15	0x4997d9…
07-02 10:37:02	Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?	Yes	BUY	12	32¢	$4	0x801978…
07-02 01:59:56	fifwc can mar 2026 07 04 team to advance	Morocco	BUY	28	72¢	$20	0xe0b4af…
07-01 22:00:50	fifwc bel sen 2026 07 01 team to advance	Belgium	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0x4ec06e…
07-01 22:00:01	Will Belgium vs. Senegal end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0xb815b9…
07-01 21:57:37	Will Belgium vs. Senegal end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	22	89¢	$20	0xbd7a30…
07-01 21:57:08	Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?	Yes	SELL	8	7¢	$1	0x990e75…
07-01 20:57:53	Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01?	Yes	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x797149…