Joint-Footnote — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$22

Unrealized P&L

+$9

Hit rate

51.9%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$647

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$19

2 positions

First seen

2026-05-16

last 07-15 17:10

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 24 days

Categories

Crypto

72% 44% -$37

Other

23% 53% +$31

Sports

3% 33% -$7

Tech

1% 0% -$5

Politics

0% 0% -$3

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-15).

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes		+13	$5	100¢	$13	+$8	05-17 01:01
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No		+6	$5	96¢	$5	+$0	05-17 01:06

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	2	$52	29	29	+0	Up	+$2	05-16 05:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	2	$50	125	0	+125	Down	-$18	05-16 05:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	1	$25	39	0	+39	Down	+$14	05-16 19:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	1	$25	50	0	+50	Up	-$25	05-16 05:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	1	$25	78	0	+78	Up	-$25	05-17 14:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	1	$25	89	0	+89	Up	+$64	05-17 15:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	1	$25	39	0	+39	Down	+$14	05-16 05:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	1	$25	38	0	+38	Down	-$25	05-17 14:58
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17?	1	$15	19	0	+19	Yes	+$4	05-16 20:29
Solana Up or Down - May 16, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	1	$10	22	0	+22	Down	-$10	05-16 20:22
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 (BO3) - LCS Regular Season	1	$10	17	0	+17	Cloud9	+$7	05-16 20:01
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	1	$10	17	0	+17	Up	+$7	05-16 20:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	1	$10	17	0	+17	Up	+$7	05-16 20:16
Solana Up or Down - May 16, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	1	$10	14	0	+14	Down	-$10	05-17 00:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	1	$10	22	0	+22	Down	+$12	05-16 20:23
Solana Up or Down - May 16, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	1	$10	16	0	+16	Up	+$6	05-16 20:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	1	$10	19	0	+19	Up	+$9	05-16 23:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	1	$10	27	0	+27	Up	-$10	05-16 20:11
Will France win on 2026-06-26?	2	$10	17	0	+17	Yes	+$7	06-24 17:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	1	$10	17	0	+17	Down	+$7	05-16 20:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	1	$10	16	0	+16	Down	-$10	05-16 20:23
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?	2	$10	19	0	+19	No	-$10	06-24 17:16
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	1	$10	12	0	+12	Up	+$2	05-17 00:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	1	$10	12	0	+12	Down	+$2	05-16 20:31
LoL: T1 vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	1	$10	11	0	+11	T1	+$1	05-16 20:02
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on July 6?	1	$6	7	0	+7	Yes	+$1	07-06 04:35
New York Yankees vs. New York Mets	1	$6	9	0	+9	New York Mets	+$3	05-17 00:59
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-27?	2	$6	7	0	+7	Yes	+$1	06-24 17:17
Will MrBeast say "Cash" during his next YouTube video?	1	$5	252	0	+252	No	-$5	05-16 20:18
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-24 03:50 UTC	1	$5	10	0	+10	Down	+$5	06-24 03:40

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-15 17:10:13	Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0xceca14…
07-07 03:11:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-07 03:10 UTC	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xc9f3e2…
07-07 03:00:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-07 03:00 UTC	Down	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x118a73…
07-07 02:59:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-07 02:55 UTC	Down	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x8dc5c9…
07-06 04:42:28	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	Yes	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x25439f…
07-06 04:41:32	lol t1 fur 2026 07 06	T1	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xbf751b…
07-06 04:41:11	lol blg ly 2026 07 05	Bilibili Gaming	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x8e18e5…
07-06 04:40:53	Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x03ff56…
07-06 04:35:58	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on July 6?	Yes	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xbd3d7d…
07-06 04:35:38	Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C on July 6?	Yes	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x4cf91e…
07-06 04:35:28	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on July 6?	Yes	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xe47319…
07-06 04:35:19	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on July 6?	Yes	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x94de13…
07-06 04:35:07	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on July 6?	Yes	BUY	7	92¢	$6	0xca73dc…
07-06 04:34:46	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 6?	Yes	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x51118f…
07-06 04:34:32	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C on July 6?	Yes	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x08ba57…
07-06 04:34:07	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 6?	Yes	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x9cdb9e…
07-06 04:28:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-06 04:30 UTC	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xda8a3a…
07-06 04:28:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-06 04:25 UTC	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xd974d6…
07-06 04:21:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-06 04:20 UTC	Down	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x54d88a…
07-06 04:18:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-06 04:15 UTC	Up	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0x0ea43b…
06-26 20:22:05	Will Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xfc1b27…
06-26 20:21:38	Will United States win on 2026-07-01?	Yes	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x888c9a…
06-26 20:20:23	Will Croatia vs. Ghana end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xdeefab…
06-26 20:19:55	Will Morocco win on 2026-06-29?	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x11fd68…
06-26 20:17:40	Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?	Yes	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x574e68…
06-26 20:16:58	Will Egypt win on 2026-06-26?	Yes	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xf59797…
06-26 20:15:08	Will Uruguay vs. Spain end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	4	27¢	$1	0x28a99b…
06-26 20:15:01	Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-27?	Yes	SELL	4	21¢	$1	0x173a1f…
06-26 01:17:10	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 26?	Yes	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x07cdff…
06-25 23:02:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-25 23:05 UTC	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x052309…
06-24 17:17:56	Will Argentina win on 2026-06-27?	Yes	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x9c661e…
06-24 17:17:47	Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-27?	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xf3931a…
06-24 17:17:28	Will France win on 2026-06-26?	Yes	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0xeb4293…
06-24 17:17:08	Will Curaçao vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xdcf85d…
06-24 17:16:58	Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?	Yes	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xfc8629…
06-24 17:16:41	Will Canada win on 2026-06-24?	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xc49f7d…
06-24 17:16:02	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0x93af64…
06-24 03:40:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-24 03:50 UTC	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xb01b67…
06-24 03:35:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-24 03:35 UTC	Down	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xa6df26…
06-24 03:29:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-24 03:30 UTC	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xbbde4b…
06-24 03:26:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0xbd900a…
06-23 18:30:46	Will Uruguay vs. Spain end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x9d7318…
06-23 18:26:04	Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?	Yes	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x44403e…
06-23 18:25:49	Will Argentina win on 2026-06-27?	Yes	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x1c17bc…
06-23 18:14:40	Will France win on 2026-06-26?	Yes	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x1c0ee3…
06-23 18:14:23	Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?	Yes	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x3cdb75…
06-23 18:14:07	Will England vs. Ghana end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0x997b53…
05-17 16:10:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xbd54f1…
05-17 16:07:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x290c20…
05-17 15:58:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x7deb20…
05-17 15:58:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0xa6d80c…
05-17 15:21:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0x7f0593…
05-17 15:10:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x274acb…
05-17 15:08:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0xf82482…
05-17 15:01:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	89	28¢	$25	0x8d3f71…
05-17 14:58:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	38	66¢	$25	0x6ae7e0…
05-17 14:52:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	78	32¢	$25	0x5cfb09…
05-17 01:06:22	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x5fb16d…
05-17 01:05:19	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x6644dc…
05-17 01:01:09	Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x3c12fd…
05-17 00:59:27	New York Yankees vs. New York Mets	New York Mets	BUY	9	70¢	$6	0x774e3c…
05-17 00:54:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0x297c4d…
05-17 00:53:11	Solana Up or Down - May 16, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0x1db2f5…
05-16 23:21:20	Will Trump say "Cookie" this week?	No	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x9e4b3b…
05-16 23:21:08	Will Trump say "Boeing" this week?	No	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x56f814…
05-16 23:15:14	Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	Yes	BUY	36	3¢	$1	0x990dac…
05-16 23:13:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0xef3e38…
05-16 20:44:48	Will GPT-5.6 be released prior to May 18, 2026?	Yes	BUY	189	3¢	$5	0xae4693…
05-16 20:31:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0xdf472e…
05-16 20:29:55	Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17?	Yes	BUY	19	81¢	$15	0x25d4ff…
05-16 20:23:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0x83d071…
05-16 20:23:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0x14fa56…
05-16 20:22:27	Solana Up or Down - May 16, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0x8312b9…
05-16 20:18:26	Will MrBeast say "Cash" during his next YouTube video?	Yes	BUY	252	2¢	$5	0x643a63…
05-16 20:16:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0x1226a8…
05-16 20:16:39	Solana Up or Down - May 16, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0xd27e8e…
05-16 20:16:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0xea165e…
05-16 20:15:15	LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Disguised (BO3) - LCS Regular Season	Disguised	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x8b3284…
05-16 20:11:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0x400618…
05-16 20:10:21	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?	No	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0xff7d31…
05-16 20:08:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0x0f5680…
05-16 20:07:51	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on May 17?	Yes	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0x1f57a5…
05-16 20:02:30	LoL: T1 vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	T1	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x09f137…
05-16 20:01:54	LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 (BO3) - LCS Regular Season	Cloud9	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0x2a66ab…
05-16 19:58:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	39	64¢	$25	0x5bb9e7…
05-16 06:01:48	Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $75 by end of June?	No	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0x013327…
05-16 05:53:24	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on May 16?	Yes	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x25de0a…
05-16 05:42:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xad8398…
05-16 05:36:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0x71cf00…
05-16 05:33:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	32	77¢	$25	0x24dde2…
05-16 05:31:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	BUY	93	27¢	$25	0x8ab8db…
05-16 05:26:27	LoL: Gen.G vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	T1	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0xb4114b…
05-16 05:22:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	BUY	39	64¢	$25	0xe8df9b…
05-16 05:14:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	SELL	29	90¢	$27	0x39dec9…
05-16 05:13:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	29	85¢	$25	0x4aadfc…