Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$14

Unrealized P&L

+$2

Hit rate

92.4%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$658

lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

$68

5 positions

First seen

2026-01-15

last 06-10 16:16

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Politics

31% 100% +$12

Tech

29% — —

Other

27% 50% +$2

Sports

10% — —

Crypto

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	+20	$20	99¢	$20	+$0	06-07 08:46
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30?	No	+20	$19	99¢	$20	+$1	05-28 04:21
Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026?	No	+14	$13	97¢	$13	+$0	05-28 04:16
Zendaya confirmed pregnant by June 30?	No	+12	$12	98¢	$12	+$0	05-28 04:20
Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by June 30, 2026?	Yes	+171	$2	2¢	$3	+$1	06-10 16:16

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	6	$149	540	0	+540	open	—	04-22 13:15
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	1	$70	1,000	0	+1,000	open	—	03-15 06:12
will israel nuke iran by january 31	1	$55	55	0	+55	open	—	01-15 04:53
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	2	$38	40	0	+40	open	—	02-19 09:04
Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	1	$30	30	0	+30	open	—	02-19 09:02
JD Vance out as VP by June 15?	1	$30	30	0	+30	open	—	05-28 08:35
will andr ventura win the 2026 portugal presidential election	2	$27	500	0	+500	open	—	01-15 04:51
Will Leeds win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	1	$25	0	25	-25	open	—	01-15 04:59
Will OpenAI IPO by July 31 2026?	1	$24	24	0	+24	open	—	05-28 04:14
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	1	$23	25	0	+25	open	—	02-19 09:07
will france uk or germany strike iran by march 31 929	1	$20	22	0	+22	open	—	03-15 05:10
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	2	$20	20	0	+20	open	—	06-07 08:46
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30?	1	$19	20	0	+20	open	—	05-28 04:21
Will Trump visit Pakistan by May 31?	1	$19	19	0	+19	open	—	05-28 04:17
Will PSG win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?	2	$16	20	0	+20	Yes	+$4	02-19 12:14
russia x ukraine ceasefire by january 31 2026	1	$15	15	0	+15	open	—	01-15 04:54
will yoweri kaguta museveni win the 2026 ugandan presidential election	1	$13	14	0	+14	open	—	01-15 04:55
Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026?	1	$13	14	0	+14	open	—	05-28 04:16
Zendaya confirmed pregnant by June 30?	1	$12	12	0	+12	open	—	05-28 04:20
UFC Fight Night: Belal Muhammad vs. Gabriel Bonfim (Welterweight, Main Card)	1	$9	17	0	+17	open	—	05-28 04:16
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	1	$8	20	0	+20	Yes	+$12	02-19 09:27
Will MicroStrategy announce holding 800k+ BTC by December 31, 2026?	1	$5	100	0	+100	open	—	03-16 11:46
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	1	$5	1,000	0	+1,000	open	—	04-22 13:39
ufc kyl3 bon 2026 06 14	1	$2	10	0	+10	open	—	06-09 01:28
Will Trump nominate no one before 2027?	7	$2	366	219	+148	open	—	02-19 10:55
Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by June 30, 2026?	4	$2	171	0	+171	open	—	06-10 16:16
Will Rick Reider be confirmed as Fed Chair?	3	$2	1,009	0	+1,009	No	$-2	03-16 12:03
will hyperliquid reach 44 in march	1	$2	5	0	+5	open	—	03-15 05:09
will ethan hawke win best actor at the 98th academy awards	1	$1	130	0	+130	open	—	03-15 06:00
will openai have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	1	$1	232	0	+232	open	—	02-19 09:04

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-10 16:16:30	Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x75cf75…
06-10 15:15:30	Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x80d840…
06-10 14:06:09	Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	152	1¢	$2	0x8dd7a7…
06-10 13:09:25	Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	1¢	$0	0xa2ea45…
06-09 01:28:16	ufc kyl3 bon 2026 06 14	Kyle Daukaus	BUY	10	25¢	$2	0xb6869d…
06-07 08:46:12	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	19	99¢	$19	0x3355b9…
06-07 08:46:09	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x83cfdb…
05-28 08:35:12	JD Vance out as VP by June 15?	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x71ca91…
05-28 04:21:15	Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30?	No	BUY	20	94¢	$19	0xef4fd2…
05-28 04:20:17	Zendaya confirmed pregnant by June 30?	No	BUY	12	96¢	$12	0x4d7ee5…
05-28 04:17:05	Will Trump visit Pakistan by May 31?	No	BUY	19	99¢	$19	0x5f1bef…
05-28 04:16:26	Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	14	94¢	$13	0x1d401d…
05-28 04:16:03	UFC Fight Night: Belal Muhammad vs. Gabriel Bonfim (Welterweight, Main Card)	Belal Muhammad	BUY	17	55¢	$9	0x5405e4…
05-28 04:14:32	Will OpenAI IPO by July 31 2026?	No	BUY	24	98¢	$24	0x8c0490…
04-22 13:39:38	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$5	0xa6ce84…
04-22 13:15:12	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	222	28¢	$61	0xa1f185…
04-22 13:05:28	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	116	28¢	$32	0x652526…
04-22 13:03:58	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	28¢	$2	0xa6b2a6…
04-22 13:00:56	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	47	28¢	$13	0xf53e3e…
04-22 13:00:56	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	145	28¢	$40	0x86d3c1…
04-22 12:50:38	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x7a3297…
03-16 12:03:07	Will Rick Reider be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	424	0¢	$1	0x238b18…
03-16 11:59:23	Will Rick Reider be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	230	0¢	$0	0xeb2fa1…
03-16 11:59:23	Will Rick Reider be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	355	0¢	$1	0x463aa5…
03-16 11:46:15	Will MicroStrategy announce holding 800k+ BTC by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x4a3508…
03-15 06:12:21	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1,000	7¢	$70	0xa008bb…
03-15 06:00:13	will ethan hawke win best actor at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	130	1¢	$1	0x4ee4d2…
03-15 05:10:13	will france uk or germany strike iran by march 31 929	No	BUY	22	92¢	$20	0xd5b6a3…
03-15 05:09:49	will hyperliquid reach 44 in march	Yes	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x4b1726…
02-19 12:14:10	Will PSG win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?	Yes	BUY	10	82¢	$8	0x76291e…
02-19 10:55:06	Will Trump nominate no one before 2027?	Yes	SELL	17	1¢	$0	0x775220…
02-19 10:42:42	Will Trump nominate no one before 2027?	Yes	SELL	3	1¢	$0	0x561e62…
02-19 10:42:40	Will Trump nominate no one before 2027?	Yes	SELL	3	1¢	$0	0xac6cd2…
02-19 10:36:22	Will Trump nominate no one before 2027?	Yes	SELL	11	1¢	$0	0xc83e4d…
02-19 10:00:50	Will Trump nominate no one before 2027?	Yes	SELL	87	1¢	$1	0xc4c2c2…
02-19 09:38:02	Will Trump nominate no one before 2027?	Yes	SELL	98	1¢	$1	0x3b2671…
02-19 09:27:12	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0x37e534…
02-19 09:07:34	Will PSG win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?	Yes	BUY	10	82¢	$8	0xb8fb75…
02-19 09:07:34	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	25	93¢	$23	0x065e37…
02-19 09:04:34	will openai have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	BUY	232	1¢	$1	0x8cddba…
02-19 09:04:08	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	19	95¢	$18	0x865b65…
02-19 09:02:48	Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x19b83f…
02-19 09:01:44	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0xeec7d6…
01-15 04:59:58	Will Leeds win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	No	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0x821706…
01-15 04:58:16	Will Trump nominate no one before 2027?	Yes	BUY	366	0¢	$1	0x0c7a94…
01-15 04:55:02	will yoweri kaguta museveni win the 2026 ugandan presidential election	Yes	BUY	14	98¢	$13	0x90ee0b…
01-15 04:54:32	russia x ukraine ceasefire by january 31 2026	No	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0x6fb977…
01-15 04:53:20	will israel nuke iran by january 31	No	BUY	55	99¢	$55	0x558003…
01-15 04:51:58	will andr ventura win the 2026 portugal presidential election	Yes	BUY	90	5¢	$5	0xd6e9f2…
01-15 04:51:58	will andr ventura win the 2026 portugal presidential election	Yes	BUY	410	5¢	$22	0x4f1706…