Violet-Workshop — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.57K

Unrealized P&L

+$51

Hit rate

52.7%

Resolved

250

Trades

387

lifetime

Volume

$9.20K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$24

Open exposure

$120

4 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 09-23 05:16

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 73 days

Categories

Other

65% 37% -$1,284

Politics

14% 41% -$132

Tech

11% 25% -$428

Sports

10% 35% +$283

Crypto

1% 0% -$6

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 18 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	+115	$60	88¢	$102	+$42	05-26 11:49
AI bubble burst in 2026?	Yes	-126	-$26	8¢	$-11	+$15	05-27 01:20
Will Drake be the top artist for 2026?	Yes	+46	$8	11¢	$5	-$3	05-23 18:47
Will the Dallas Cowboys win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	+176	$6	1¢	$2	-$4	05-23 18:45

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
nothing ever happens january	1	$360	480	0	+480	No	-$360	01-02 10:01
Will Trump say "UFC" this week?	6	$312	292	292	+0	No	+$240	06-16 12:09
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?	4	$308	385	260	+125	No	-$112	06-17 18:56
LoL: JD Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs	3	$279	150	150	+0	JD Gaming	+$19	05-29 09:14
T20 Asian Games, Women, Qualifier: Indonesia vs Nepal	2	$272	173	173	+0	Nepal	+$72	05-28 09:04
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on June 12?	5	$223	374	374	+0	No	-$123	06-11 22:05
Will Love Island USA be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on June 15?	2	$205	106	106	+0	No	+$5	06-15 18:04
Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	3	$202	110	110	+0	Yes	+$2	06-13 19:16
Roland Garros WTA: Elina Svitolina vs Kaitlin Quevedo	1	$200	217	0	+217	Elina Svitolina	+$17	05-27 12:01
will threads be 2 free app in the us apple app store on january 30	2	$185	135	135	+0	No	+$42	01-28 09:59
Will Love Island USA be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on June 15?	2	$183	103	103	+0	No	+$23	06-15 18:03
will chatgpt be 1 free app in the us apple app store on january 30	2	$155	1,083	1,083	+0	Yes	-$5	01-30 10:06
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	2	$154	80	80	+0	Yes	+$3	02-02 17:33
Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?	2	$131	72	72	+0	Yes	+$11	09-23 05:16
Roland Garros ATP (Doubles): Krawietz/Puetz vs Golubev/Nedovyesov	2	$127	67	67	+0	Krawietz/Puetz	+$7	05-27 13:42
Spread: São Paulo FC (-1.5)	1	$120	241	0	+241	São Paulo FC	-$120	05-26 07:49
fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 team to advance	1	$116	123	0	+123	Argentina	+$7	07-03 12:56
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 29?	3	$114	167	66	+101	Yes	+$12	05-28 09:21
Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovic	1	$111	132	0	+132	Joao Fonseca	-$111	05-29 16:08
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-05-27?	1	$100	196	0	+196	Yes	-$100	05-27 07:50
will chatgpt be 1 free app in the us apple app store on april 24	1	$100	103	0	+103	Yes	+$3	04-23 17:47
Spurs vs. Thunder	1	$100	120	0	+120	Thunder	+$20	05-27 02:31
fifwc esp cvi 2026 06 15 total 2pt5	2	$97	53	53	+0	Under	+$8	06-15 18:04
Spread: Spain (-1.5)	3	$89	50	50	+0	Cabo Verde	+$12	06-15 18:04
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 94-95°F on August 14?	2	$82	55	55	+0	Yes	+$26	08-14 21:07
will chatgpt be 1 free app in the us apple app store on january 9	3	$82	1,999	0	+1,999	Yes	-$82	01-06 10:42
will chatgpt be 1 free app in the us apple app store on january 16	1	$80	1,492	0	+1,492	Yes	-$80	01-13 10:12
fifwc bra mar 2026 06 13 spread home 1pt5	3	$80	106	43	+63	Morocco	-$20	06-13 16:36
will chatgpt be 1 free app in the us apple app store on february 6	1	$78	1,924	0	+1,924	Yes	-$78	02-03 09:49
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 25°C on August 17?	2	$76	56	56	+0	Yes	+$16	08-17 12:17

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-23 05:16:29	Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?	Yes	SELL	72	98¢	$71	0x735a09…
09-03 12:35:21	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	50	55¢	$28	0x8dae3a…
08-17 15:08:28	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on August 18?	Yes	BUY	30	4¢	$1	0x328776…
08-17 15:07:49	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C or higher on August 18?	Yes	BUY	68	3¢	$2	0xdf4b80…
08-17 15:06:31	Will the lowest temperature in London be 17°C on August 18?	Yes	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0x107af6…
08-17 15:06:03	Will the lowest temperature in London be 20°C on August 18?	Yes	BUY	53	9¢	$5	0xd955d4…
08-17 15:04:43	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 20°C on August 18?	Yes	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0xbd1c1a…
08-17 15:04:10	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 21°C on August 18?	Yes	BUY	73	7¢	$5	0xcc163c…
08-17 15:02:31	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 18?	Yes	BUY	54	9¢	$5	0x9860e5…
08-17 14:59:03	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on August 18?	Yes	BUY	89	17¢	$15	0x165e50…
08-17 12:17:24	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 25°C on August 17?	Yes	SELL	56	82¢	$46	0x5e8abc…
08-17 12:14:04	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on August 17?	Yes	BUY	48	39¢	$19	0x71fb27…
08-17 11:22:00	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 25°C on August 17?	Yes	BUY	56	54¢	$30	0xd6ac79…
08-17 10:59:15	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on August 17?	Yes	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0x8d19be…
08-17 05:31:01	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C on August 17?	Yes	BUY	42	43¢	$18	0xa6f7b4…
08-17 05:24:21	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on August 17?	Yes	BUY	43	23¢	$10	0xc09dfa…
08-17 05:19:52	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on August 17?	Yes	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0x42fc3b…
08-17 05:17:00	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 29°C on August 17?	Yes	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0x09c003…
08-17 05:13:21	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on August 17?	Yes	BUY	50	40¢	$20	0xd12680…
08-17 05:06:31	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on August 17?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xb490fc…
08-16 09:25:57	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 24°C on August 16?	Yes	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x4c9559…
08-16 07:08:51	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on August 16?	Yes	BUY	50	60¢	$30	0x8bcdc5…
08-16 03:48:16	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 25°C on August 16?	Yes	BUY	1,006	0¢	$1	0xe656dc…
08-16 03:42:55	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 29°C on August 16?	Yes	BUY	273	4¢	$10	0xe5ec0e…
08-15 22:00:25	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 94-95°F on August 15?	Yes	SELL	21	99¢	$21	0x98fe03…
08-15 21:55:54	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 94-95°F on August 15?	Yes	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x085b3f…
08-15 21:55:16	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 94-95°F on August 15?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x660f16…
08-15 10:44:09	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on August 15?	Yes	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x652d32…
08-15 09:19:39	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on August 15?	No	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xafcd8b…
08-15 08:55:27	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on August 15?	No	BUY	28	0¢	$0	0x93e3d8…
08-15 08:06:30	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on August 15?	No	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x57b4ec…
08-15 08:01:09	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on August 15?	No	BUY	22	0¢	$0	0x1f267f…
08-15 07:57:03	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 94-95°F on August 15?	Yes	BUY	7	60¢	$4	0xb82568…
08-15 07:56:24	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 94-95°F on August 15?	Yes	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0x785a25…
08-15 07:47:57	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on August 15?	Yes	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0x185479…
08-15 07:46:43	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on August 15?	Yes	BUY	66	46¢	$30	0x1b89fb…
08-15 07:37:25	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on August 15?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xf26b33…
08-14 21:08:24	will trump say barack hussein obama this week 20260807162748313	Yes	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x233e22…
08-14 21:07:49	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 94-95°F on August 14?	Yes	SELL	55	99¢	$54	0x5f027b…
08-14 13:35:57	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 94-95°F on August 14?	Yes	BUY	55	51¢	$28	0xf87e62…
08-13 10:13:22	Will the highest temperature in London be 35°C on August 13?	Yes	BUY	69	58¢	$40	0xe3d602…
08-12 10:20:06	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on August 12?	Yes	BUY	43	63¢	$27	0x74029c…
08-12 10:19:31	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on August 12?	No	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0x657afc…
08-12 10:18:22	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 80-81°F on August 12?	Yes	BUY	81	37¢	$30	0x687591…
08-12 09:19:00	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on August 13?	Yes	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0x63a9ba…
08-11 20:52:46	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on August 12?	Yes	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0xb21073…
08-11 18:14:03	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on August 11?	No	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0x6db3c0…
08-11 18:13:07	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on August 12?	No	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xb01fd2…
08-11 13:43:54	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 34°C on August 11?	Yes	BUY	618	0¢	$1	0x518800…
08-11 13:42:06	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on August 11?	No	BUY	84	6¢	$5	0xb88042…
08-11 13:20:06	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on August 13?	Yes	BUY	75	4¢	$3	0xdabfd1…
08-11 13:17:43	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on August 13?	Yes	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0xb4af85…
08-11 13:17:27	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on August 13?	Yes	BUY	62	16¢	$10	0x612e05…
08-11 13:15:34	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on August 12?	Yes	BUY	47	56¢	$26	0x42320d…
08-11 13:14:40	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on August 12?	Yes	BUY	62	26¢	$16	0xd384a8…
08-11 13:13:52	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on August 12?	Yes	BUY	1	24¢	$0	0xa0e449…
08-11 13:12:46	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on August 12?	Yes	BUY	12	23¢	$3	0xeb3028…
08-11 13:12:46	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on August 12?	Yes	BUY	8	23¢	$2	0x3d1afa…
08-11 12:52:07	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on August 11?	Yes	BUY	28	70¢	$20	0x3444a7…
08-09 14:15:19	will trump say compost this week 20260807162748300	Yes	BUY	24	3¢	$1	0xe0623a…
08-08 09:10:54	will trump say barack hussein obama this week 20260807162748313	Yes	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x171a0e…
08-07 08:53:57	will trump say no no no this week 20260731171246145	No	BUY	30	17¢	$5	0x1bfb86…
08-06 19:58:42	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on August 8?	Yes	BUY	51	4¢	$2	0x8572b5…
08-06 19:58:29	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on August 8?	Yes	BUY	40	12¢	$5	0xa6ab52…
08-06 13:57:09	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on August 8?	Yes	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0x597c14…
08-06 13:56:59	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on August 8?	Yes	BUY	29	35¢	$10	0x22ef67…
08-06 13:56:50	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on August 8?	Yes	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0x8a0d63…
08-06 13:56:12	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on August 7?	Yes	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x9cf22d…
08-06 13:55:18	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on August 7?	Yes	BUY	3	49¢	$2	0x93c3cb…
08-06 13:54:57	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on August 7?	Yes	BUY	26	49¢	$13	0xdd8225…
08-05 15:19:39	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on August 6?	Yes	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xf57345…
08-05 13:03:21	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on August 5?	Yes	BUY	7	42¢	$3	0x74db08…
08-05 12:19:50	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on August 5?	Yes	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x1a9f23…
08-05 12:07:48	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on August 6?	Yes	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0xc312cc…
08-05 12:02:30	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on August 5?	Yes	BUY	10	42¢	$4	0x119373…
08-05 11:40:23	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on August 5?	Yes	BUY	6	42¢	$3	0x9947a7…
08-05 11:22:03	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on August 6?	Yes	BUY	9	48¢	$4	0x522f24…
08-05 11:21:38	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on August 6?	Yes	BUY	11	48¢	$5	0xc0ffc1…
08-05 11:11:35	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on August 6?	Yes	BUY	8	38¢	$3	0x7d7a55…
08-05 11:10:29	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on August 5?	Yes	BUY	4	42¢	$1	0x190b09…
08-03 10:09:38	will trump say no no no this week 20260731171246145	No	BUY	30	17¢	$5	0x5252a6…
08-02 19:27:00	will trump post israel on truth social this week 20260731171732968	Yes	BUY	20	62¢	$12	0x378211…
08-02 19:17:50	will trump say stupid question this week 20260731171342120	Yes	BUY	50	28¢	$14	0xc123cc…
08-02 19:16:09	will trump say make america great again this week 20260731171342114	No	BUY	101	35¢	$35	0x459669…
08-02 19:15:45	will trump say epic fury this week 20260731171342115	Yes	BUY	60	30¢	$18	0x8d13bc…
08-01 15:20:26	will trump say six seven this week 20260724154805089	No	BUY	30	17¢	$5	0x4ab56c…
08-01 10:34:21	will trump say crypto or bitcoin this week 20260724154805106	Yes	BUY	150	4¢	$6	0x5e0232…
08-01 10:33:05	will trump say marijuana weed or cannabis this week 20260724154805098	Yes	BUY	29	4¢	$1	0x0a7f51…
08-01 10:32:09	will trump say melania this week 20260724154805093	Yes	BUY	180	6¢	$11	0xdc4475…
08-01 06:03:05	will trump say marijuana weed or cannabis this week 20260724154805098	Yes	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0x95de4c…
07-31 19:07:56	will trump post football on truth social this week 20260724154822847	No	BUY	15	50¢	$8	0x97b1cf…
07-31 03:56:38	will trump say president xi this week 20260724154805100	Yes	SELL	5	84¢	$4	0xe4cd88…
07-29 19:33:09	will trump post football on truth social this week 20260724154822847	No	BUY	15	50¢	$8	0x339a8b…
07-29 19:33:08	will trump post football on truth social this week 20260724154822847	No	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x9aef9f…
07-28 13:05:19	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 86°F or higher on July 29?	Yes	BUY	286	0¢	$1	0x4a1b52…
07-28 09:42:10	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 86°F or higher on July 29?	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0x7edb11…
07-28 09:32:01	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 86°F or higher on July 29?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0xd499fb…
07-28 09:31:44	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 86°F or higher on July 29?	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0xff9a70…
07-28 09:31:44	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 86°F or higher on July 29?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0x546778…
07-28 09:31:41	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 86°F or higher on July 29?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x7f3d9c…