Defiant-Mineshaft — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$104

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

86.5%

Resolved

2,183

Trades

5,769

lifetime

Volume

$180.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$31

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-17

last 10-28 08:23

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 157 days

Categories

Other

99% 89% +$112

Politics

0% 35% -$9

Sports

0% 78% +$0

Tech

0% 0% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

68 active days in 12wk • peak 104 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 26?	21	$3.1K	1,608	1,608	+0	No	+$75	06-26 04:31
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on July 11?	12	$1.8K	906	906	+0	No	+$21	07-11 00:59
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 27?	13	$1.5K	820	820	+0	No	+$48	06-27 05:06
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on June 28?	11	$1.4K	688	688	+0	No	+$20	06-28 03:35
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on June 27?	20	$1.3K	740	740	+0	No	+$187	06-27 07:05
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on June 26?	11	$1.2K	590	590	+0	No	+$2	06-26 02:01
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on June 26?	25	$1.1K	595	595	+0	No	+$29	06-26 07:01
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on August 3?	15	$1.0K	514	514	+0	No	+$1	08-03 01:31
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on July 5?	5	$1.0K	523	523	+0	No	+$20	07-05 01:05
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 32°C on May 16?	15	$999	521	521	+0	No	+$42	05-16 04:21
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on June 27?	3	$984	495	495	+0	No	+$5	06-27 04:31
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 31°C on May 17?	16	$943	480	480	+0	No	+$16	05-17 05:48
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 9?	55	$912	909	787	+121	No	+$47	06-09 05:07
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on August 11?	3	$844	422	422	+0	No	+$0	08-11 15:37
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C or below on July 11?	4	$833	424	424	+0	No	+$14	07-11 04:31
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on July 5?	7	$810	416	416	+0	No	+$20	07-05 03:31
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on July 6?	10	$810	411	411	+0	No	+$11	07-06 05:35
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 37°C on July 15?	2	$783	392	392	+0	No	+$1	07-15 02:43
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 9?	33	$759	582	512	+71	Yes	-$1	06-09 05:26
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on July 14?	8	$742	450	300	+150	No	+$6	07-14 03:26
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 31°C on May 16?	6	$730	368	368	+0	No	+$4	05-16 03:35
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on July 8?	7	$718	365	365	+0	No	+$12	07-08 01:52
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on June 28?	8	$706	451	271	+180	No	+$16	06-28 03:06
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on June 10?	35	$699	656	569	+87	No	-$238	06-10 04:58
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C or below on July 12?	2	$695	350	350	+0	No	+$5	07-12 04:05
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on June 29?	6	$677	340	340	+0	No	+$3	06-28 16:06
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 38°C on July 14?	2	$623	312	312	+0	No	+$1	07-14 05:35
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on July 8?	14	$615	323	323	+0	No	+$30	07-08 06:31
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on June 11?	9	$603	636	0	+636	No	+$33	06-11 04:00
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on July 6?	2	$599	300	300	+0	No	+$0	07-06 01:35

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 09:05:35	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on October 28?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x8dd021…
10-28 09:05:34	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on October 28?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xa0cbe1…
10-28 08:23:38	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 9°C on October 28?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x7db31a…
10-28 08:02:22	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 8°C on October 28?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xcdf430…
10-28 07:55:29	Will the lowest temperature in Los Angeles be between 64-65°F on October 28?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x9f5309…
10-28 07:31:31	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C on October 28?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xfad95b…
10-28 06:32:41	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 29°C on October 28?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x0e6814…
10-28 05:56:11	Will the lowest temperature in Houston be 80°F or higher on October 28?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x3133da…
10-28 05:54:02	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 14°C on October 28?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xaaae04…
10-28 05:08:20	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on October 28?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x469692…
10-28 05:04:37	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 16°C on October 28?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xf41e2c…
10-28 05:04:37	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 15°C on October 28?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xa0036a…
10-28 04:50:44	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on October 28?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x5b7b92…
10-28 04:38:22	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on October 28?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x69b642…
10-28 04:34:41	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 11°C on October 28?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x26d91a…
10-28 04:24:34	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on October 28?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x81704f…
10-28 04:24:34	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on October 28?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x751f3f…
10-28 04:23:55	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 13°C on October 28?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x97ffc0…
10-28 04:07:10	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 25°C on October 28?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x277c5c…
10-28 04:04:26	Will the lowest temperature in Buenos Aires be 19°C or higher on October 28?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xecd09b…
10-28 04:04:26	Will the lowest temperature in Buenos Aires be 9°C or below on October 28?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x7d630e…
10-28 02:36:32	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 24°C on October 28?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xd975b9…
10-28 02:01:39	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on October 28?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xdafa03…
10-28 01:34:51	Will the lowest temperature in Madrid be 10°C on October 28?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x4d8478…
10-28 01:06:41	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 23°C on October 28?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x4d4dec…
10-28 01:01:00	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 28°C on October 28?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xa405fa…
10-28 00:24:14	Will the lowest temperature in London be 11°C on October 28?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xd611d9…
10-28 00:24:14	Will the lowest temperature in London be 14°C or higher on October 28?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x9586c5…
10-27 23:32:23	Will the lowest temperature in Warsaw be 4°C on October 28?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x19f8e7…
10-27 22:24:24	Will the lowest temperature in London be 11°C on October 27?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x1a3aa9…
10-27 22:21:44	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 9°C on October 28?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xfb5f41…
10-27 22:21:44	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 8°C on October 28?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x6d0384…
10-27 22:21:44	Will the lowest temperature in Helsinki be 13°C on October 28?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x568600…
10-27 22:21:44	Will the lowest temperature in Helsinki be 14°C or higher on October 28?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x3cd219…
10-27 22:15:18	Will the lowest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on October 28?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x6f7385…
10-27 21:34:47	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 6°C on October 28?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xed21ea…
10-27 21:27:41	Will the lowest temperature in Amsterdam be 12°C on October 27?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x2bf3f6…
10-27 19:59:27	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 22°C on October 27?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xeb2b56…
10-27 19:55:57	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 60-61°F on October 27?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xdeb8a5…
10-27 19:55:57	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 78-79°F on October 27?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x1a0c15…
10-27 19:31:30	Will the lowest temperature in Karachi be 28°C on October 28?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x0582c2…
10-27 19:02:29	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 12°C on October 27?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xbbde06…
10-27 18:32:27	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 13°C on October 27?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x6c2f89…
10-27 18:04:50	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on October 28?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xb9862c…
10-27 18:04:35	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 7°C on October 28?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xcbceee…
10-27 18:04:14	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 18°C on October 27?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x06f0d4…
10-27 17:55:23	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 78-79°F on October 27?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x90f54c…
10-27 16:55:48	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 76-77°F on October 27?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xfd14f8…
10-27 16:34:39	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on October 28?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xc8cea3…
10-27 15:55:51	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on October 27?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x69ea91…
10-27 15:38:24	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on October 28?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xae2db7…
10-27 14:58:39	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 19°C on October 27?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x8e5a12…
10-27 14:04:50	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 10°C on October 27?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xbcecfa…
10-27 14:04:42	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on October 27?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x728b43…
10-27 14:00:41	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 18°C on October 27?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xc39e76…
10-27 13:05:41	Will the lowest temperature in Beijing be 5°C on October 27?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xfd6852…
10-27 13:05:41	Will the lowest temperature in Beijing be 4°C on October 27?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xcc9c6a…
10-27 12:55:30	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 16°C on October 27?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x59585c…
10-27 12:38:09	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on October 27?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x2e2502…
10-27 12:35:24	Will the lowest temperature in Beijing be 6°C on October 27?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xeee9b1…
10-27 12:35:00	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 19°C on October 27?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x0087e9…
10-27 12:04:35	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C or below on October 28?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x84f156…
10-27 11:56:08	Will the lowest temperature in Los Angeles be between 62-63°F on October 27?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x5f0843…
10-27 11:34:45	Will the lowest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on October 28?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xd88bf2…
10-27 11:34:45	Will the lowest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on October 28?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x1e6645…
10-27 11:34:33	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 11°C on October 27?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xd0c523…
10-27 10:53:44	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 56-57°F on October 27?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xdb22dc…
10-27 10:05:17	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on October 27?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xb306ab…
10-27 10:02:27	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 10°C on October 27?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x68be16…
10-27 09:58:06	Will the lowest temperature in Los Angeles be between 64-65°F on October 27?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x126fc0…
10-27 09:32:27	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 9°C on October 27?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x28e811…
10-27 09:24:02	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 16°C on October 27?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xbd6e71…
10-27 09:05:20	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on October 27?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xf49cdd…
10-27 08:55:54	Will the lowest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on October 27?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xe8b5b1…
10-27 08:54:15	Will the lowest temperature in Atlanta be between 56-57°F on October 27?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x3580bd…
10-27 08:51:06	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 26°C on October 27?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xc22c61…
10-27 08:24:14	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 14°C on October 27?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x1fda17…
10-27 08:24:14	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 15°C on October 27?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x051de5…
10-27 08:05:27	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on October 27?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x9dc00d…
10-27 07:56:12	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on October 27?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x1f62e0…
10-27 07:52:44	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on October 27?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xd28ced…
10-27 07:22:39	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 25°C on October 27?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x62d2b1…
10-27 07:04:48	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on October 27?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x3dcfcd…
10-27 07:02:23	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 14°C or higher on October 27?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x5d0861…
10-27 06:18:57	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 30°C on October 27?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xbd7e47…
10-27 05:50:36	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 24°C on October 27?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xcfdf20…
10-27 05:08:21	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on October 27?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x7b72c3…
10-27 05:03:36	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on October 27?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xc68597…
10-27 04:56:05	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on October 27?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xa35287…
10-27 04:16:21	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on October 27?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xf319fe…
10-27 04:05:18	Will the lowest temperature in Cape Town be 15°C on October 27?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xa6e0dd…
10-27 03:36:39	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 26°C on October 27?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xaaf4a3…
10-27 03:34:41	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 15°C on October 27?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x0ddae3…
10-27 02:38:38	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 29°C on October 27?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x4c18b1…
10-27 02:06:42	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 25°C on October 27?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xa1530f…
10-27 01:32:39	Will the lowest temperature in Warsaw be 2°C on October 27?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x0228da…
10-27 01:31:24	Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on October 27?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xf7e510…
10-27 01:04:48	Will the lowest temperature in Madrid be 9°C on October 27?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3b5491…
10-27 00:38:44	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on October 27?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc25f13…
10-27 00:24:26	Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on October 27?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb5fc43…