Shocked-Tension — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$715

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

55.0%

Resolved

1,347

Trades

3,408

lifetime

Volume

$10.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-03

last 10-13 00:56

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 130 days

Categories

Crypto

46% 35% -$200

Politics

21% 46% +$22

Other

16% 27% -$332

Sports

15% 23% -$204

Tech

2% 38% -$4

Pop-Culture

0% 75% +$3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

13 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	21	$295	400	400	+0	Yes	+$8	03-06 02:09
will germany win the third most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	8	$159	778	646	+132	No	-$29	02-20 13:00
will italy win the third most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	10	$156	216	249	-33	Yes	+$5	02-22 11:28
Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	16	$156	153	153	+0	Yes	+$12	05-04 04:36
will italy win the second most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	18	$153	473	432	+41	No	-$15	02-19 02:05
will germany win the third most medals in the 2026 winter olympics	13	$137	459	50	+409	No	-$65	02-21 02:14
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	6	$123	78	113	-35	Yes	+$39	03-01 03:35
will france win the third most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	3	$113	68	68	+0	No	+$13	02-17 15:30
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?	2	$111	106	106	+0	Yes	-$1	02-26 05:24
will japan win the third most medals in the 2026 winter olympics	3	$111	81	38	+42	No	+$1	02-16 05:40
winter games 2026 norway 6pt5 vs usa 6pt5 gold medals	6	$109	61	108	-47	USA	+$42	02-21 04:26
will war machine be the top us netflix movie this week	13	$103	154	154	+0	Yes	+$4	03-08 23:36
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-11 12:35 UTC	4	$92	100	97	+3	Down	+$47	04-11 12:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-11 09:05 UTC	7	$88	250	100	+150	Down	+$22	04-11 09:09
Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 Assam Legislative Assembly election?	3	$81	41	41	+0	Yes	+$0	05-04 03:55
will netherlands win the third most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	3	$80	53	45	+8	No	-$2	02-21 02:27
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-11 12:45 UTC	7	$79	100	100	+0	Down	+$19	04-11 12:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-11 12:30 UTC	13	$77	100	50	+50	Up	+$17	04-11 12:34
will one battle after another win best picture at the 98th academy awards	4	$77	32	68	-36	Yes	-$7	03-16 02:37
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	4	$77	124	124	+0	No	-$6	03-25 18:06
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-11 12:00 UTC	3	$76	100	50	+50	Up	+$16	04-11 12:04
Will Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?	10	$73	54	54	+0	Yes	+$4	06-20 05:46
will alphabet be the second largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	11	$72	99	99	+0	No	-$6	03-24 15:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-11 10:45 UTC	8	$72	60	49	+11	Up	+$4	04-11 10:49
will alphabet be the second largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	10	$71	167	167	+0	No	-$17	02-24 14:34
will italy win the third most medals in the 2026 winter olympics	7	$69	113	113	+0	Yes	-$11	02-21 04:30
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	5	$69	60	60	+0	Yes	+$1	02-27 19:12
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	11	$67	136	136	+0	No	-$20	05-10 18:27
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-11 13:45 UTC	8	$61	105	100	+5	Up	+$3	04-11 13:48
will alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	16	$59	1,161	1,161	+0	No	-$46	02-14 06:32

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-13 00:56:18	Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Yes	SELL	6	16¢	$1	0x8a6c85…
10-13 00:56:11	Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	22	15¢	$3	0x7f13cb…
10-13 00:56:03	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	SELL	7	61¢	$4	0x59b53c…
10-13 00:55:54	Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	13	42¢	$5	0x030cb1…
10-13 00:55:45	Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	41¢	$8	0x4310dc…
10-08 02:05:34	Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xaca0d2…
10-03 08:53:45	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	SELL	7	63¢	$4	0x0edab2…
09-15 16:52:37	Will Jessica Schülke win the next Hannover mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	159	0¢	$0	0x361f91…
09-15 02:12:36	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	BUY	14	53¢	$7	0xb8a275…
09-15 02:12:00	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	Yes	SELL	24	31¢	$8	0xdd5ff5…
09-02 05:01:01	Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	41	35¢	$14	0xf04e47…
08-31 22:33:42	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	11	55¢	$6	0xdeeedf…
08-31 22:33:40	Will Christopher Luxon be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections?	Yes	SELL	20	42¢	$8	0xbfd86e…
08-31 15:11:18	Will Alexandru Nazare be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Yes	SELL	7	46¢	$3	0xc0a094…
08-31 14:53:49	Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Yes	SELL	33	12¢	$4	0x057b14…
08-30 12:56:45	Will Alexandru Nazare be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Yes	SELL	7	46¢	$3	0x62db5f…
08-30 12:54:07	Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	52	15¢	$8	0x5890ce…
08-30 12:51:36	Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Yes	SELL	98	13¢	$13	0x26801d…
08-25 18:28:58	Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	28	35¢	$10	0xba5c88…
08-25 18:16:09	Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Yes	BUY	91	11¢	$10	0xfefe62…
08-24 16:36:15	Will Thomas Schlick win the next Wolfsburg mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0x51d9f7…
08-24 16:36:07	Will Riina Kionka be the next President of Estonia?	Yes	SELL	25	0¢	$0	0x6dcb96…
08-24 16:36:03	Will Jonatan Vseviov be the next President of Estonia?	Yes	SELL	75	0¢	$0	0xb9f583…
08-24 16:35:58	Will Hannes Hanso be the next President of Estonia?	Yes	SELL	25	0¢	$0	0x1bb920…
08-18 21:04:01	Will Jonatan Vseviov be the next President of Estonia?	Yes	BUY	25	2¢	$0	0x6c4ac3…
08-18 19:22:19	Will Jonatan Vseviov be the next President of Estonia?	Yes	BUY	12	2¢	$0	0xbddc2b…
08-16 18:30:27	Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	32	23¢	$7	0x112b7d…
08-14 03:00:30	Will Jessica Schülke win the next Hannover mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0x946177…
08-14 03:00:30	Will Jessica Schülke win the next Hannover mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x58aa18…
08-14 03:00:30	Will Jessica Schülke win the next Hannover mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	7	1¢	$0	0x496824…
08-12 12:11:48	Will Jessica Schülke win the next Hannover mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	30	1¢	$0	0xf95a13…
08-12 12:11:48	Will Jessica Schülke win the next Hannover mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0x373978…
08-11 02:53:00	Will Christopher Luxon be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections?	Yes	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x42039d…
08-11 02:52:10	Will Christopher Luxon be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections?	Yes	BUY	18	40¢	$7	0xf4dec2…
08-10 21:04:15	Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	11	22¢	$2	0xdb7aad…
08-10 21:03:49	Will Alexandru Nazare be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Yes	SELL	5	49¢	$2	0x2f3e85…
08-10 21:03:13	Will Eugen Tomac be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Yes	SELL	90	1¢	$1	0xdb36f5…
08-10 21:03:09	Will Ignác Romsics be the next President of Hungary?	Yes	SELL	50	0¢	$0	0xa57df0…
08-10 21:03:06	Will Adrienn Laczó be the next President of Hungary?	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0xaa5da8…
08-10 08:19:24	Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Yes	BUY	5	10¢	$1	0xb3e5ff…
08-10 08:19:04	Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Yes	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0xe3facb…
08-10 07:55:36	Will Jonatan Vseviov be the next President of Estonia?	Yes	BUY	12	2¢	$0	0x4c89ac…
08-10 01:41:16	Will Jessica Schülke win the next Hannover mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0x742f24…
08-10 01:41:04	Will Jessica Schülke win the next Hannover mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0x9726e2…
08-09 18:42:45	Will Thomas Schlick win the next Wolfsburg mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0x3e0f67…
08-09 17:21:16	Will Thomas Schlick win the next Wolfsburg mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	8	2¢	$0	0x47f9b4…
08-09 17:21:16	Will Thomas Schlick win the next Wolfsburg mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	25	2¢	$0	0x1e3655…
08-09 07:21:07	Will Thomas Schlick win the next Wolfsburg mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	15	2¢	$0	0x841b0b…
08-08 12:19:13	Will Jessica Schülke win the next Hannover mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xa4ca88…
08-08 02:32:55	Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain?	Yes	SELL	10	80¢	$8	0x1847dd…
08-08 02:31:01	Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	64	18¢	$12	0xab0ee1…
08-08 02:30:19	Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	25	25¢	$6	0xd0863c…
08-08 02:29:57	Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	50	3¢	$2	0xd9d459…
08-07 16:41:09	Will Jonatan Vseviov be the next President of Estonia?	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0x5af488…
08-06 09:30:48	Will Hannes Hanso be the next President of Estonia?	Yes	BUY	21	6¢	$1	0x705223…
08-05 04:55:59	Will Jonatan Vseviov be the next President of Estonia?	Yes	BUY	15	6¢	$1	0xe5c251…
08-04 14:21:32	Will Jessica Schülke win the next Hannover mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	3	0¢	$0	0x85bd4f…
08-04 14:21:32	Will Jessica Schülke win the next Hannover mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x11a2e0…
08-04 05:14:00	Will Jonatan Vseviov be the next President of Estonia?	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0xdaaf90…
08-04 05:14:00	Will Jonatan Vseviov be the next President of Estonia?	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x37411f…
08-03 20:28:18	Will Jessica Schülke win the next Hannover mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	9	0¢	$0	0x2c012d…
08-03 16:04:14	Will Alexandru Nazare be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Yes	SELL	6	53¢	$3	0x503c4b…
08-03 12:22:14	Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain?	Yes	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0xb2b799…
08-03 11:19:02	Will Adrienn Laczó be the next President of Hungary?	Yes	BUY	19	35¢	$7	0x7b60c2…
08-03 10:59:41	Will Thomas Schlick win the next Wolfsburg mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	33	10¢	$3	0x41ddf9…
08-03 10:42:29	Will Thomas Schlick win the next Wolfsburg mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	11	10¢	$1	0x8eb152…
08-03 10:42:29	Will Thomas Schlick win the next Wolfsburg mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	6	10¢	$1	0x5cfc69…
08-03 08:19:33	Will Adrienn Laczó be the next President of Hungary?	Yes	BUY	1	35¢	$0	0x94ae33…
08-03 07:33:26	Will Riina Kionka be the next President of Estonia?	Yes	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0x0f3500…
08-03 04:43:27	Will Jessica Schülke win the next Hannover mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0x127d80…
08-02 21:09:59	Will Hannes Hanso be the next President of Estonia?	Yes	BUY	4	6¢	$0	0xcd88e7…
08-02 19:32:11	Will Riina Kionka be the next President of Estonia?	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0xca0f85…
08-02 19:05:44	Will Ignác Romsics be the next President of Hungary?	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xbda927…
08-02 06:33:05	Will Eugen Tomac be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Yes	BUY	50	3¢	$1	0xdf77e3…
08-02 06:32:02	Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Yes	BUY	30	16¢	$5	0x244e09…
07-30 16:15:56	Will Jessica Schülke win the next Hannover mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	70	1¢	$1	0x25b0f2…
07-30 16:15:11	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	2	63¢	$1	0xe47bfe…
07-28 16:38:05	Will Eugen Tomac be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Yes	BUY	12	4¢	$1	0xb26f03…
07-28 16:37:02	Will Eugen Tomac be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Yes	BUY	12	4¢	$1	0x711225…
07-28 16:36:20	Will Jessica Schülke win the next Hannover mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x725dde…
07-25 15:43:49	Will Jessica Schülke win the next Hannover mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0xba52e9…
07-25 13:55:51	Will Alexandru Nazare be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Yes	BUY	26	35¢	$9	0xda4d1d…
07-25 13:54:55	Will Eugen Tomac be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Yes	BUY	16	6¢	$1	0xdd388c…
07-24 13:59:30	Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x27f922…
07-19 14:22:51	Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina?	Yes	BUY	27	4¢	$1	0x8ec7d9…
07-19 14:22:43	Exact Score: Spain 1 - 2 Argentina?	Yes	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xa502fb…
07-19 14:22:37	Exact Score: Spain 1 - 3 Argentina?	Yes	BUY	36	3¢	$1	0x963571…
07-19 14:21:36	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xdcc878…
07-19 02:36:09	Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	7	28¢	$2	0x54d203…
07-17 06:06:52	Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	17	15¢	$2	0x1ece83…
07-17 05:43:13	Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x18aca4…
07-15 15:34:40	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	30	4¢	$1	0x204f00…
07-14 02:42:07	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	10	34¢	$3	0x566825…
07-12 01:37:49	Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	100	4¢	$4	0xf256c7…
07-11 15:12:28	Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?	Yes	SELL	52	15¢	$8	0xbccda7…
07-11 00:13:31	Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0xd7637d…
07-10 17:21:01	Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	25	27¢	$7	0x86daee…
07-10 17:13:34	Will Belgium win on 2026-07-10?	Yes	BUY	10	16¢	$2	0xd19219…
07-09 13:53:52	Will Jordan Bardella be the National Rally’s candidate for the 2027 French Presidential election?	Yes	SELL	76	6¢	$4	0x0fe745…
07-09 03:07:40	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0xc819d5…