Realized P&L
+$110
Unrealized P&L
-$83
Hit rate
56.1%
Resolved
30
Trades
882
lifetime
Volume
$50.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$58
Open exposure
$48.7K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-02
last 10-30 07:51
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 8 days
Categories
Sports
39% 53% +$110
Politics
39% — —
Other
23% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
26 active days in 12wk • peak 73 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +10,014 $8,981 90¢ $9.0K +$67 10-30 11:49
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No +5,498 $5,246 97¢ $5.3K +$89 09-08 10:13
Will the Dallas Cowboys win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +5,077 $4,863 98¢ $5.0K +$110 10-27 03:15
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +4,297 $4,093 97¢ $4.2K +$77 09-08 23:32
Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election? No +4,072 $3,921 97¢ $4.0K +$32 10-30 07:47
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +3,742 $3,201 83¢ $3.1K -$86 09-08 03:18
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +2,822 $2,705 96¢ $2.7K $0 10-29 23:29
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +2,691 $2,490 95¢ $2.6K +$67 09-09 07:48
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No +2,070 $2,031 100¢ $2.1K +$30 09-08 08:44
Will Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? No +2,134 $2,032 96¢ $2.0K +$13 10-25 16:04
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +2,142 $1,992 94¢ $2.0K +$32 09-05 13:14
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +1,076 $939 86¢ $920 -$20 10-21 19:38
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes +9,437 $1,013 10¢ $911 -$102 10-29 17:54
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No +960 $883 94¢ $897 +$14 10-21 21:51
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No +757 $717 96¢ $730 +$13 09-03 03:31
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +3,738 $543 17¢ $626 +$83 09-08 02:57
Will CoreWeave announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029? No +891 $648 70¢ $624 -$24 10-30 05:55
Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? No +446 $396 88¢ $391 -$5 10-26 08:17
Will CoreWeave announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029? Yes +891 $265 30¢ $267 +$3 10-29 23:25
Xi Jinping out before 2027? Yes +5,498 $257 3¢ $162 -$95 09-06 06:32
Iran leadership change by December 31? Yes +1,076 $142 15¢ $156 +$14 10-22 23:45
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +2,691 $198 5¢ $135 -$63 09-06 19:19
Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +4,302 $172 3¢ $127 -$45 10-29 14:57
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +4,297 $226 3¢ $127 -$99 09-07 18:42
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes +2,142 $150 6¢ $118 -$32 09-09 08:06
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? No +139 $132 85¢ $118 -$14 08-29 10:15
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +2,707 $109 4¢ $112 +$3 10-29 23:59
Will the Dallas Cowboys win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +5,461 $234 2¢ $112 -$122 10-29 17:43
Will Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? Yes +2,169 $114 4¢ $90 -$24 10-29 17:46
Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? Yes +632 $76 12¢ $79 +$3 10-30 02:05