Hard-Leverage — Polymarket

Realized P&L (24h)

—

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

—

Resolved (24h)

Trades (24h)

9 lifetime

Volume (24h)

$24 lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

4 positions

First seen

2026-05-11

last 05-16 02:34

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Sports

65% 100% +$1

Other

18% — —

Crypto

17% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	No	+5	$3	84¢	$4	+$1	05-13 20:43
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?	No	+3	$1	42¢	$1	+$0	05-12 21:51
AI bubble burst in 2026?	No	+1	$1	76¢	$1	$-0	05-12 21:51
Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 250,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?	No	+1	$1	44¢	$0	$-1	05-14 19:36

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-16 02:34:10	Spurs vs. Timberwolves	Spurs	SELL	11	96¢	$10	0xce711e…
05-14 19:36:54	Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 250,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?	No	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x99039a…
05-14 19:27:21	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	No	SELL	2	87¢	$1	0xd5315b…
05-13 20:43:19	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	No	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x13c620…
05-13 18:47:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x786b6f…
05-12 21:51:47	AI bubble burst in 2026?	No	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x6e157a…
05-12 21:51:03	Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?	No	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xca7b7b…
05-12 02:03:01	Pistons vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	SELL	3	90¢	$3	0xf0bd46…
05-11 23:12:51	Pistons vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x338724…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Monstrous-Dew 0x5b63…11a4	6	$4.88K	37	05-17 01:15
(anonymous) 0xe907…cff6	6	$4.04K	63	05-17 05:44
(anonymous) 0x0f34…7684	3	$900	32	05-16 02:51

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Spurs vs. Timberwolves	1	$10	0	11	-11	open	—	05-16 02:34
Pistons vs. Cavaliers	2	$5	3	3	+0	Cavaliers	+$1	05-12 02:03
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	1	$3	5	0	+5	open	—	05-13 20:43
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	1	$1	0	2	-2	open	—	05-14 19:27
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?	1	$1	3	0	+3	open	—	05-12 21:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	1	$1	1	0	+1	Down	+$0	05-13 18:47
AI bubble burst in 2026?	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	05-12 21:51
Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 250,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	05-14 19:36