Apprehensive-Teacher — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$7

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

41.2%

Resolved

Trades

160

lifetime

Volume

$741

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-28

last 05-17 12:12

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

92% 29% $-7

Other

5% — —

Politics

4% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

11 active days in 12wk • peak 82 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	8	$133	168	168	+0	open	—	04-28 22:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	8	$126	77	77	+0	open	—	04-28 21:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	7	$89	75	75	+0	open	—	04-28 23:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	8	$63	47	47	+0	open	—	04-28 23:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	5	$23	23	10	+13	open	—	04-28 20:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	2	$23	15	15	+0	open	—	04-28 22:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	4	$23	116	14	+102	open	—	04-28 22:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	2	$22	23	23	+0	open	—	05-02 00:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	2	$20	13	13	+0	open	—	04-28 20:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	6	$17	1,008	3	+1,005	open	—	04-28 20:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	3	$15	29	8	+21	open	—	05-02 00:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	5	$14	15	13	+2	open	—	04-28 22:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	3	$12	19	18	+1	open	—	04-28 20:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	1	$10	20	0	+20	open	—	05-02 00:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	5	$9	8	8	+0	open	—	04-29 19:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	6	$7	13	13	+0	open	—	04-29 19:53
Abidjan 2: Hamish Stewart vs Aditya Balsekar	2	$7	76	0	+76	open	—	04-28 21:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	6	$7	8	8	+0	open	—	04-29 21:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	6	$7	6	6	+0	open	—	04-29 16:04
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	2	$7	50	50	+0	open	—	05-05 19:17
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	1	$6	32	0	+32	open	—	04-28 23:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	5	$5	9	3	+6	open	—	04-29 19:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	2	$5	6	6	+0	Up	+$1	05-05 19:22
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	1	$5	396	0	+396	open	—	04-28 20:29
Will Microsoft (MSFT) beat quarterly earnings?	1	$5	508	0	+508	open	—	04-29 21:58
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?	1	$5	1,000	0	+1,000	open	—	04-28 23:25
Will Trump say "NATO" during King Charles visit?	1	$5	7	0	+7	open	—	04-28 20:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	1	$4	12	0	+12	Down	$-4	05-09 18:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	3	$4	101	1	+100	Up	$-2	05-09 18:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	3	$3	35	1	+33	open	—	04-28 22:39

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-17 12:12:46	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0x5fe664…
05-09 18:40:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xe0ee0b…
05-09 18:35:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	12	33¢	$4	0xcd8044…
05-09 18:27:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x44b897…
05-09 18:27:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xc377fa…
05-09 18:26:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xdd3839…
05-07 11:15:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x1d284f…
05-07 11:12:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x144108…
05-05 19:22:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	SELL	6	55¢	$3	0xe8f324…
05-05 19:20:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0xb87f11…
05-05 19:17:18	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	4¢	$2	0x357cdf…
05-05 07:46:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	SELL	2	78¢	$2	0x28bf2a…
05-05 07:45:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x0b0135…
05-04 12:13:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xa4ff84…
05-04 07:50:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x569266…
05-04 07:45:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x1f8906…
05-03 20:09:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	SELL	1	86¢	$1	0x33cfa1…
05-03 20:08:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x74f5b6…
05-03 10:26:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	SELL	2	59¢	$1	0x9d4443…
05-03 10:25:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xf653cc…
05-03 09:33:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	SELL	3	39¢	$1	0x776b32…
05-03 09:31:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x81a235…
05-03 09:22:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	SELL	2	62¢	$1	0x27806d…
05-03 09:21:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xf49a45…
05-03 09:20:44	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	No	SELL	5	31¢	$2	0xbfa72f…
05-02 00:28:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0xbe44fd…
05-02 00:27:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	SELL	8	62¢	$5	0x56e69a…
05-02 00:25:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x4feadc…
05-02 00:20:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xa6b5ed…
05-02 00:18:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	SELL	23	51¢	$12	0x8e30b3…
05-02 00:16:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0x405b8d…
05-01 19:31:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x2338fc…
04-30 19:28:10	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xaf8599…
04-30 19:27:58	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	Yes	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x134499…
04-30 19:25:36	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?	No	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x811623…
04-30 19:25:02	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	No	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x1aa807…
04-30 19:23:04	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?	No	BUY	57	2¢	$1	0xa19c8b…
04-30 08:03:50	Jimmy Kimmel fired/resigns by May 31?	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xa9c7dd…
04-29 21:58:16	Will Microsoft (MSFT) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	508	1¢	$5	0xa89a3f…
04-29 21:55:34	BNB Up or Down on April 30?	Up	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x67dd46…
04-29 21:49:18	Solana Up or Down - April 29, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	SELL	2	53¢	$1	0x7b2d91…
04-29 21:47:12	Solana Up or Down - April 29, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x717385…
04-29 21:43:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	SELL	2	80¢	$1	0xd9a6b8…
04-29 21:43:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x9844b3…
04-29 21:43:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	SELL	5	28¢	$1	0x5b0605…
04-29 21:42:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x725faa…
04-29 21:42:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	SELL	1	79¢	$1	0xb3e3df…
04-29 21:41:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x3f4c9a…
04-29 19:53:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	SELL	9	15¢	$1	0x924e96…
04-29 19:53:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x9f63fd…
04-29 19:52:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	SELL	1	84¢	$1	0xcf43b5…
04-29 19:51:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xb1d085…
04-29 19:51:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	SELL	2	74¢	$2	0x851d76…
04-29 19:50:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x2cc61a…
04-29 19:48:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xb9b2b0…
04-29 19:47:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	SELL	1	79¢	$1	0x49c5e0…
04-29 19:46:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xbd11b9…
04-29 19:46:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	SELL	2	70¢	$1	0x5d746d…
04-29 19:45:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x947685…
04-29 19:44:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xfc1034…
04-29 19:43:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x1db2e1…
04-29 19:43:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	SELL	7	53¢	$4	0x8e687b…
04-29 19:41:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x0fc5d7…
04-29 19:40:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xa8e6f7…
04-29 19:38:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xc982c6…
04-29 19:38:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x8440bd…
04-29 19:36:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x261f41…
04-29 19:35:34	Will Meta Platforms (META) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xba84a6…
04-29 19:34:02	Will Meta Platforms (META) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xaf890a…
04-29 19:19:48	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x47b6e7…
04-29 16:07:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	SELL	2	72¢	$1	0x75d8a9…
04-29 16:05:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x2c06f0…
04-29 16:04:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x17b78c…
04-29 16:03:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x4ae871…
04-29 16:03:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	SELL	2	72¢	$1	0x95a400…
04-29 16:01:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x88455d…
04-29 16:01:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	SELL	3	53¢	$1	0xbf36e7…
04-29 16:00:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xe6d403…
04-28 23:49:46	Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	No	BUY	32	3¢	$1	0x90e180…
04-28 23:47:18	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	Yes	BUY	32	19¢	$6	0x539ca6…
04-28 23:38:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	SELL	10	69¢	$7	0xe7472f…
04-28 23:38:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xa85d41…
04-28 23:37:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x1af242…
04-28 23:36:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	SELL	16	42¢	$7	0x9fd028…
04-28 23:36:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	16	37¢	$6	0x95420b…
04-28 23:36:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	SELL	48	69¢	$33	0xfa943a…
04-28 23:35:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	BUY	48	62¢	$30	0x13d330…
04-28 23:34:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	SELL	2	93¢	$2	0x2d027d…
04-28 23:33:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x71dbaa…
04-28 23:32:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	SELL	4	48¢	$2	0xaee101…
04-28 23:32:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x4d60e3…
04-28 23:32:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	SELL	8	86¢	$7	0x274a6b…
04-28 23:31:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	8	77¢	$6	0x25893f…
04-28 23:31:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	SELL	34	72¢	$24	0x9972bd…
04-28 23:30:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	34	59¢	$20	0x798756…
04-28 23:28:20	Will Trump say "Ballroom" during King Charles visit?	Yes	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0xf5fb93…
04-28 23:25:04	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$5	0x7894ac…
04-28 22:43:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	SELL	15	86¢	$13	0x14e91f…
04-28 22:40:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0x2c5b03…
04-28 22:39:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x08f8b4…