Uneven-Recording — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$128

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

71.2%

Resolved

Trades

302

lifetime

Volume

$33.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$110

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-09

last 07-25 02:35

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

43% 100% +$9

Other

32% — —

Sports

26% 0% $-136

Crypto

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

30 active days in 12wk • peak 26 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Spurs vs. Thunder	14	$4.8K	3,210	3,210	+0	open	—	05-27 03:05
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	13	$3.4K	1,531	2,096	-565	open	—	06-23 07:11
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	10	$3.1K	1,654	1,654	+0	open	—	05-23 17:05
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	19	$2.8K	1,293	1,574	-281	open	—	05-30 05:35
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	5	$1.9K	1,439	1,439	+0	open	—	07-25 02:35
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	2	$1.4K	718	718	+0	open	—	06-06 05:39
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	1	$1.3K	0	1,275	-1,275	open	—	06-12 21:00
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	3	$1.1K	604	604	+0	open	—	05-25 22:30
Iran leadership change by June 30?	16	$1.1K	549	549	+0	open	—	06-14 21:18
kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	5	$968	527	527	+0	open	—	07-25 02:35
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	22	$950	549	549	+0	open	—	07-25 02:35
Spurs vs. Thunder	2	$895	536	536	+0	open	—	05-21 03:02
Iran leadership change by May 31?	5	$851	443	443	+0	open	—	05-24 08:06
israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 15 2026	4	$800	316	511	-195	open	—	06-17 13:08
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	4	$749	789	0	+789	open	—	06-10 12:50
nba gsw den 2026 03 29	2	$744	456	456	+0	open	—	03-30 04:23
will trump agree to iranian transit fees in the strait of hormuz by june 30	5	$708	371	371	+0	open	—	06-26 12:01
will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	6	$570	334	334	+0	open	—	07-25 02:35
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	6	$456	292	292	-0	open	—	07-25 02:35
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	1	$424	517	0	+517	open	—	06-14 02:19
israel closes its airspace by july 24	5	$400	211	211	+0	open	—	07-25 02:25
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	1	$376	0	418	-418	open	—	07-25 02:35
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	4	$366	192	192	+0	open	—	07-25 02:35
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	2	$336	174	174	+0	No	+$9	05-07 07:50
nba bkn lal 2026 03 27	2	$189	98	98	+0	open	—	03-28 04:51
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	1	$153	225	0	+225	open	—	06-19 04:01
Cavaliers vs. Pistons	6	$136	301	0	+301	Cavaliers	$-136	05-14 02:59
nba det okc 2026 03 30	3	$105	40	75	-35	open	—	03-31 04:26
cbb mst uconn 2026 03 27 spread home 1pt5	3	$98	95	47	+48	open	—	03-28 04:14
nba sas mil 2026 03 28 spread away 17pt5	2	$91	61	61	+0	open	—	03-28 21:05

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-25 02:35:43	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	SELL	192	97¢	$186	0x2cddf8…
07-25 02:35:39	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	292	69¢	$202	0xee4ae8…
07-25 02:35:28	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	No	SELL	334	92¢	$308	0x2f0740…
07-25 02:35:22	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	SELL	418	90¢	$376	0xa21dce…
07-25 02:35:19	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	No	SELL	549	86¢	$472	0x432eb6…
07-25 02:35:15	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	No	SELL	527	91¢	$480	0x2db8bc…
07-25 02:35:12	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	1,439	51¢	$734	0xa8cc66…
07-25 02:25:25	israel closes its airspace by july 24	No	SELL	211	99¢	$209	0xe1d20c…
07-22 16:53:15	israel closes its airspace by july 24	No	BUY	15	90¢	$14	0x3cd8cc…
07-22 16:42:51	israel closes its airspace by july 24	No	BUY	84	91¢	$76	0x61ba80…
07-22 16:33:07	israel closes its airspace by july 24	No	BUY	56	90¢	$50	0x93b38a…
07-22 16:31:55	israel closes its airspace by july 24	No	BUY	56	90¢	$50	0x5235da…
07-20 12:25:58	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	No	BUY	91	93¢	$85	0x9aa1a6…
07-20 12:22:25	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	No	BUY	184	93¢	$171	0xf9fe81…
07-16 06:30:50	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	No	BUY	24	92¢	$22	0x81dda0…
07-16 06:27:05	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	No	BUY	227	92¢	$210	0xf87a8c…
07-08 08:38:38	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586	No	BUY	62	79¢	$49	0x91f20d…
07-08 08:37:59	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586	No	BUY	117	78¢	$91	0x621a01…
07-08 08:37:23	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586	No	BUY	146	79¢	$116	0xb2938e…
07-08 08:36:37	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586	No	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x31cac3…
07-08 08:36:26	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586	No	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x064efa…
07-03 16:12:29	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	76	87¢	$66	0xa6477c…
07-03 14:11:23	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	51	87¢	$44	0x967283…
07-03 14:03:07	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	55	87¢	$48	0xb25a83…
07-03 13:55:47	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	55	87¢	$48	0x60dbdf…
07-03 13:49:32	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	55	87¢	$48	0xe6f426…
07-02 09:13:22	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	46	82¢	$38	0x21a61c…
07-02 08:16:08	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	767	82¢	$629	0x7bc06a…
06-28 15:53:50	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	611	81¢	$495	0xdc162c…
06-28 15:48:34	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	15	81¢	$12	0x1887e2…
06-26 12:01:43	will trump agree to iranian transit fees in the strait of hormuz by june 30	No	SELL	371	99¢	$367	0x036795…
06-24 17:48:23	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	BUY	46	94¢	$43	0xb39851…
06-24 17:27:14	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	BUY	123	94¢	$115	0xea64f6…
06-24 17:25:55	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	BUY	22	93¢	$21	0xd4ca3f…
06-23 07:11:43	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	799	99¢	$791	0x78835b…
06-23 06:32:16	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	900	99¢	$891	0xca4b3e…
06-23 06:32:04	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	397	99¢	$393	0xfd3383…
06-19 04:01:32	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	BUY	225	68¢	$153	0x777898…
06-18 20:02:25	will trump agree to iranian transit fees in the strait of hormuz by june 30	No	BUY	22	92¢	$21	0x3c0e60…
06-18 19:49:35	will trump agree to iranian transit fees in the strait of hormuz by june 30	No	BUY	216	92¢	$198	0x82ec1c…
06-18 19:46:47	will trump agree to iranian transit fees in the strait of hormuz by june 30	No	BUY	110	92¢	$101	0x5c8454…
06-17 13:08:50	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 15 2026	No	SELL	321	99¢	$318	0x8eae30…
06-17 12:31:41	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 15 2026	No	SELL	189	99¢	$188	0x86d6ec…
06-16 10:41:04	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	No	BUY	27	87¢	$23	0x587f66…
06-16 10:40:18	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	No	BUY	27	87¢	$23	0x7074c2…
06-16 10:39:33	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	No	BUY	27	87¢	$23	0x1d66b5…
06-16 10:38:57	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	No	BUY	27	87¢	$23	0x550826…
06-16 08:42:28	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	No	BUY	22	87¢	$19	0x54dafd…
06-16 08:29:43	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	No	BUY	22	87¢	$19	0x2d27f7…
06-16 08:16:49	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	No	BUY	22	87¢	$19	0x875e11…
06-16 08:04:13	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	No	BUY	23	87¢	$20	0x2b0349…
06-16 07:52:06	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	No	BUY	23	87¢	$20	0xa57ddf…
06-16 07:23:57	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	No	BUY	29	87¢	$25	0xdaaff2…
06-16 07:15:43	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	No	BUY	29	87¢	$25	0x350af9…
06-16 07:07:22	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	No	BUY	30	87¢	$26	0xde6ba7…
06-16 06:59:16	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	No	BUY	30	87¢	$26	0x0980dc…
06-16 06:51:46	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	No	BUY	31	87¢	$27	0x5fd202…
06-16 06:44:55	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	No	BUY	31	87¢	$27	0x3542b4…
06-16 06:38:37	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	No	BUY	31	87¢	$27	0xeddb55…
06-16 06:32:45	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	No	BUY	32	87¢	$28	0xe84d00…
06-16 06:32:00	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	No	BUY	23	87¢	$20	0x8f2ab8…
06-16 06:27:30	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	No	BUY	23	87¢	$20	0x635563…
06-16 06:20:52	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	No	BUY	21	87¢	$18	0x90b4d8…
06-16 06:14:37	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	No	BUY	21	87¢	$18	0x1ff4e4…
06-15 14:49:30	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 15 2026	No	BUY	195	94¢	$184	0x9999f5…
06-15 14:49:15	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	225	85¢	$192	0x6c00fd…
06-15 14:49:15	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	107	85¢	$91	0x4ed056…
06-15 14:48:39	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	300	85¢	$255	0xbe80e0…
06-15 14:48:31	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	145	85¢	$122	0x8daff3…
06-15 14:45:48	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	63	85¢	$53	0x53f3f4…
06-15 14:45:34	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 15 2026	No	BUY	120	92¢	$110	0xdfca5d…
06-15 14:45:10	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	15	85¢	$13	0x1acf1f…
06-15 14:43:03	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	207	85¢	$176	0xbfb395…
06-15 14:38:43	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	50	85¢	$42	0x5bc21e…
06-15 14:35:31	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	409	85¢	$346	0x0ac9c6…
06-15 14:35:19	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	10	85¢	$8	0x1ae616…
06-14 21:18:54	Iran leadership change by June 30?	No	SELL	549	99¢	$544	0xab0449…
06-14 02:19:42	US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	517	82¢	$424	0xd0ac83…
06-12 21:00:51	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	1,275	99¢	$1,262	0x50edef…
06-10 12:50:00	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	61	95¢	$58	0x693bd9…
06-10 12:49:49	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	392	95¢	$372	0xbe91f8…
06-10 12:46:45	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	330	95¢	$313	0x80e379…
06-10 12:46:01	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xf9f312…
06-06 05:39:58	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	No	SELL	718	99¢	$711	0x7a6ad9…
06-01 16:25:31	Iran leadership change by June 30?	No	BUY	34	95¢	$32	0x62baea…
06-01 16:13:22	Iran leadership change by June 30?	No	BUY	34	95¢	$33	0xf9b61c…
06-01 15:54:14	Iran leadership change by June 30?	No	BUY	24	94¢	$22	0x1d1f26…
06-01 15:53:23	Iran leadership change by June 30?	No	BUY	35	95¢	$34	0x7df53f…
06-01 15:43:19	Iran leadership change by June 30?	No	BUY	36	95¢	$34	0xee7711…
06-01 15:35:13	Iran leadership change by June 30?	No	BUY	36	95¢	$35	0x5d96a6…
06-01 15:27:13	Iran leadership change by June 30?	No	BUY	37	95¢	$35	0x8b0403…
06-01 15:19:28	Iran leadership change by June 30?	No	BUY	37	95¢	$36	0xa12e57…
06-01 15:11:28	Iran leadership change by June 30?	No	BUY	38	95¢	$36	0xe96906…
06-01 15:02:10	Iran leadership change by June 30?	No	BUY	33	94¢	$31	0xabc744…
06-01 14:57:44	Iran leadership change by June 30?	No	BUY	39	95¢	$37	0xfe28d6…
06-01 14:49:16	Iran leadership change by June 30?	No	BUY	33	94¢	$31	0x292f7b…
06-01 14:46:13	Iran leadership change by June 30?	No	BUY	40	95¢	$38	0x9fbf01…
06-01 14:39:23	Iran leadership change by June 30?	No	BUY	41	95¢	$39	0xea6c1b…
06-01 14:35:58	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	No	BUY	718	95¢	$682	0xa81c8d…
06-01 14:31:38	Iran leadership change by June 30?	No	BUY	52	95¢	$49	0x7ca03e…