Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$36

Unrealized P&L

-$3

Hit rate

38.9%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.07K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

$12

2 positions

First seen

2026-03-01

last 06-21 02:18

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Politics

59% — —

Other

39% 36% $-36

Crypto

2% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

10 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Iran leadership change by December 31?	Yes		-33	$-5	26¢	$-9	$-4	06-18 16:47
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	Yes		-13	$-4	22¢	$-3	+$1	06-21 02:18

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
houthi strike on israel by march 31 2026	5	$71	121	121	+0	open	—	03-29 03:38
will uae strike iran by march 31	2	$70	68	68	+0	open	—	03-03 15:50
ndx up or down on march 6 2026	1	$62	70	0	+70	open	—	03-06 14:12
will another country strike iran by march 31 833	3	$54	63	63	+0	open	—	03-24 03:45
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	3	$50	88	88	+0	open	—	04-24 07:34
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	3	$45	67	60	+7	open	—	03-08 11:53
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 15 153 144 999 648 116 955 829 149	2	$38	30	30	+0	open	—	03-06 02:35
spx opens up or down on march 2 2026	2	$36	20	20	+0	open	—	03-02 16:39
trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 31st	3	$35	86	33	+52	open	—	03-24 03:46
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	2	$33	50	50	+0	open	—	03-04 10:30
houthi strike on israel by april 15 2026	2	$31	55	0	+55	open	—	03-28 08:21
will the kharg island oil terminal be hit by march 31	2	$29	56	56	+0	open	—	03-28 02:14
iran leadership change by march 31	3	$28	75	75	+0	open	—	03-28 16:17
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 30?	1	$20	32	0	+32	open	—	04-30 06:00
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?	2	$19	14	14	+0	open	—	04-24 07:34
will saudi arabia strike iran by march 31	2	$19	25	25	+0	open	—	03-13 14:18
Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	1	$18	0	25	-25	open	—	06-18 16:47
mojtaba khamenei seen in public by march 31	2	$18	41	41	+0	open	—	03-20 02:32
Iran leadership change by April 30?	2	$16	36	36	+0	open	—	04-17 13:28
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?	2	$15	32	32	+0	open	—	03-06 00:41
will iran strike jordan in march 375	1	$15	18	0	+18	open	—	03-08 11:37
Will Chevron (CVX) beat quarterly earnings?	1	$15	17	0	+17	open	—	05-01 02:23
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?	2	$15	21	21	+0	No	$-5	04-03 10:32
usisrael strike on fordow nuclear facility by march 31 388	2	$14	18	18	+0	open	—	03-16 03:10
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	1	$14	20	0	+20	open	—	03-28 02:13
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	2	$13	24	24	+0	open	—	05-08 01:04
Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?	2	$12	16	16	+0	open	—	04-08 17:01
will iran strike cyprus in march	2	$12	38	38	+0	open	—	03-12 05:50
masoud pezeshkian out by march 31	2	$11	24	24	+0	open	—	03-24 03:47
Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?	2	$11	15	15	+0	open	—	04-08 17:02

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-21 02:18:58	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	Yes	SELL	13	27¢	$4	0x0ac016…
06-21 01:05:43	will xauusd dip to 4000 in june 2026	No	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x563123…
06-20 00:59:16	fifwc bra hai 2026 06 19 spread home 3pt5	Haiti	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x74b92c…
06-18 16:47:44	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	12	84¢	$10	0xa0efe8…
06-18 16:47:32	Iran leadership change by December 31?	Yes	SELL	33	15¢	$5	0x3f0ba4…
06-18 16:47:11	Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	Yes	SELL	25	73¢	$18	0x0d5d71…
05-08 01:04:57	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	24	33¢	$8	0x5fe6d4…
05-07 09:28:47	Will McDonald's (MCD) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0x042f52…
05-07 09:27:44	Robinhood (HOOD) Up or Down on May 7?	Up	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0xf93f69…
05-06 09:39:18	Will MetLife (MET) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0x70d75b…
05-06 09:38:58	Will Papa John's (PZZA) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0xe46874…
05-06 09:38:04	Will Under Armour (UAA) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0x136b89…
05-06 09:36:50	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?	Yes	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0x2924f4…
05-04 16:56:44	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0x33f20f…
05-01 13:17:52	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0x652053…
05-01 13:15:36	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0xc4f6f2…
05-01 02:23:52	Will Chevron (CVX) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	17	87¢	$15	0xc360a1…
05-01 02:23:24	Will Krispy Kreme (DNUT) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x0deedb…
05-01 02:23:00	Will Marathon Petroleum (MPC) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x873d19…
05-01 02:20:38	Will Cboe Global Markets (CBOE) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x7631a4…
05-01 02:20:26	Will Grab Holdings (GRAB) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x88d989…
05-01 02:20:10	Will Uber (UBER) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	18	27¢	$5	0xefb144…
05-01 02:19:12	Will Coinbase (COIN) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	77	6¢	$5	0x1c7834…
04-30 06:00:48	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 30?	Up	BUY	17	46¢	$8	0x16766a…
04-30 06:00:20	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 30?	Down	BUY	32	62¢	$20	0xfd4499…
04-29 13:01:32	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 29?	Down	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0x8f0e05…
04-27 16:48:38	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 27?	Down	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0xbc2b6c…
04-24 07:34:42	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	Yes	SELL	88	6¢	$5	0x947680…
04-24 07:34:28	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?	Yes	SELL	14	61¢	$8	0xeb3f15…
04-17 13:29:24	spx up or down on april 17 2026	Up	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0x7d9e13…
04-17 13:28:28	Iran leadership change by April 30?	Yes	SELL	36	4¢	$1	0x0c1aa5…
04-13 09:16:17	bitcoin up or down on april 13 2026	Down	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0xe62fe2…
04-12 02:17:37	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?	Yes	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0xc24d07…
04-12 02:14:43	spy up or down on april 13 2026	Down	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0x8bfe82…
04-12 02:13:43	qqq up or down on april 13 2026	Down	BUY	9	44¢	$4	0x27f929…
04-11 10:03:05	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	Yes	BUY	57	44¢	$25	0x7071de…
04-11 10:02:37	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?	Yes	BUY	14	80¢	$11	0x39e4fc…
04-10 18:48:31	spx up or down on april 10 2026	Up	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x20a5ec…
04-08 17:02:01	Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	15	40¢	$6	0xd8d74d…
04-08 17:01:33	Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	16	43¢	$7	0xa5bd82…
04-04 17:24:25	Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x582d39…
04-04 17:23:51	Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0xa75a95…
04-03 10:33:21	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	172	3¢	$5	0x2d7e1f…
04-03 10:32:09	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?	Yes	SELL	21	23¢	$5	0x51c396…
03-29 05:15:26	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?	Yes	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0xcd03ef…
03-29 03:38:50	houthi strike on israel by march 31 2026	Yes	SELL	81	27¢	$22	0x446f60…
03-28 16:17:23	iran leadership change by march 31	Yes	SELL	75	3¢	$2	0x317567…
03-28 08:22:01	houthi strike on israel by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	45	34¢	$16	0xb55a17…
03-28 08:21:55	houthi strike on israel by april 15 2026	Yes	BUY	28	55¢	$16	0x40aba6…
03-28 08:20:51	houthi strike on israel by april 15 2026	Yes	BUY	27	56¢	$15	0x7ddf10…
03-28 08:20:35	houthi strike on israel by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	36	28¢	$10	0x268819…
03-28 02:14:37	will the kharg island oil terminal be hit by march 31	Yes	SELL	56	8¢	$4	0x188302…
03-28 02:14:15	will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	Yes	BUY	36	22¢	$8	0x25a2fb…
03-28 02:13:59	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	Yes	BUY	20	69¢	$14	0x447c80…
03-24 03:47:47	masoud pezeshkian out by march 31	Yes	SELL	24	6¢	$1	0xccd3b7…
03-24 03:47:31	houthi strike on israel by march 31 2026	Yes	SELL	40	9¢	$4	0xb647c3…
03-24 03:46:53	trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 31st	Yes	BUY	52	19¢	$10	0x014c79…
03-24 03:45:43	will another country strike iran by march 31 833	Yes	SELL	63	14¢	$9	0xe969c5…
03-20 02:32:27	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by march 31	Yes	SELL	41	19¢	$8	0x21116d…
03-16 03:10:39	usisrael strike on fordow nuclear facility by march 31 388	Yes	SELL	18	23¢	$4	0xd901cc…
03-14 00:18:37	will the kharg island oil terminal be hit by march 31	Yes	BUY	56	45¢	$25	0x272da9…
03-14 00:18:03	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by march 31	Yes	BUY	41	24¢	$10	0x2ded8c…
03-13 14:18:11	will saudi arabia strike iran by march 31	Yes	SELL	25	16¢	$4	0xc3cce6…
03-12 05:50:31	will iran strike cyprus in march	Yes	SELL	38	5¢	$2	0xa77cf7…
03-11 00:05:25	trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 31st	Yes	SELL	33	46¢	$15	0x591d30…
03-09 05:23:57	Iran leadership change by April 30?	Yes	BUY	36	42¢	$15	0xa619e1…
03-09 05:22:53	iran leadership change by march 31	Yes	BUY	31	34¢	$11	0xabcd5b…
03-09 05:22:27	iran leadership change by march 31	Yes	BUY	43	34¢	$15	0xf1d1a8…
03-08 11:53:29	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x103b0c…
03-08 11:38:51	will another country strike iran by march 31 833	Yes	BUY	29	70¢	$20	0x592112…
03-08 11:37:53	will iran strike jordan in march 375	Yes	BUY	18	84¢	$15	0x3192fd…
03-08 11:37:11	will another country strike iran by march 31 833	Yes	BUY	34	73¢	$25	0x07e547…
03-07 11:40:39	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	Yes	BUY	32	63¢	$20	0x1ddbb0…
03-07 11:40:13	trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 31st	Yes	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0xfc4d44…
03-07 09:44:41	will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	Yes	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0x8b12ab…
03-06 14:12:07	ndx up or down on march 6 2026	Down	BUY	70	88¢	$62	0x3b813e…
03-06 02:35:19	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 15 153 144 999 648 116 955 829 149	Yes	SELL	30	63¢	$19	0x8abc6c…
03-06 00:41:19	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?	No	SELL	32	16¢	$5	0xd8ba0d…
03-05 00:07:05	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	SELL	60	58¢	$35	0xf2a799…
03-04 10:30:25	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	No	SELL	50	26¢	$13	0xc5fab4…
03-03 23:35:45	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?	No	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0x6e4f75…
03-03 23:35:21	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	No	BUY	50	40¢	$20	0xaee808…
03-03 15:50:47	will uae strike iran by march 31	Yes	SELL	68	61¢	$42	0x1218be…
03-03 15:48:29	usisrael strike on fordow nuclear facility by march 31 388	Yes	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0xe172dc…
03-03 15:47:23	will iran strike cyprus in march	Yes	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0x050960…
03-03 15:21:31	houthi strike on israel by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0x1c5fe5…
03-03 15:20:13	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 15 153 144 999 648 116 955 829 149	Yes	BUY	30	63¢	$19	0x7a0766…
03-03 10:45:37	will uae strike iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	68	41¢	$28	0x22fe5f…
03-03 10:38:59	masoud pezeshkian out by march 31	Yes	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0x076126…
03-03 03:21:57	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	60	8¢	$5	0x06bd0c…
03-02 16:41:11	will saudi arabia strike iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	25	59¢	$15	0x7acda4…
03-02 16:39:15	spx opens up or down on march 2 2026	Down	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xcf54f6…
03-01 15:27:13	spx opens up or down on march 2 2026	Down	BUY	20	81¢	$16	0x46d547…