Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$110

Unrealized P&L

-$2

Hit rate

67.7%

Resolved

Trades

269

lifetime

Volume

$1.90K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$51

10 positions

First seen

2026-07-23

last 10-27 19:52

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 27 days

Categories

Other

71% 53% -$45

Politics

13% 67% -$6

Crypto

12% 67% -$55

Sports

4% 43% -$3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

17 active days in 12wk • peak 44 trades/day

Open positions (10) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?	Yes	+39	$10	38¢	$15	+$5	10-03 17:45
Will Josh Allen win the 2026 NFL MVP?	Yes	+22	$4	34¢	$8	+$3	10-08 03:03
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by January 31, 2027?	Yes	+30	$6	22¢	$7	+$0	10-03 16:06
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	+16	$4	30¢	$5	+$1	10-08 03:44
Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	+20	$4	22¢	$4	$0	10-08 22:25
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?	Yes	+12	$3	31¢	$4	+$1	10-03 14:17
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026?	Yes	+22	$4	15¢	$3	-$1	10-08 16:25
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	+22	$4	14¢	$3	-$1	10-08 07:38
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	Yes	+8	$2	22¢	$2	-$1	10-08 16:07
Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?	Yes	+18	$10	4¢	$1	-$9	10-08 06:46

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Israeli airspace closed by September 30, 2026?	3	$131	68	68	+0	No	+$0	09-24 08:51
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in September?	2	$106	62	62	+0	No	-$13	09-21 08:45
cs2 vpp psna 2026 07 30	4	$97	50	50	+0	VP.Prodigy	+$3	07-30 15:45
cs2 arc4 ww 2026 07 29	11	$89	90	30	+60	WW Team	+$1	07-29 15:24
cs2 ttbs wraith 2026 07 29	13	$74	81	20	+61	WRAITH PCIFIC	$0	07-29 10:26
Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?	31	$67	425	425	+0	No	-$22	07-31 14:20
Iran leadership change by September 30?	2	$59	30	30	+0	No	+$1	09-24 08:51
Christopher Luxon out by September 30?	3	$59	30	30	+0	No	+$1	09-24 08:52
Andrew Tate Extradited to UK by Sep 30?	2	$59	30	30	+0	No	+$0	09-24 08:51
Will there be Houthi military action against Israel by September 30, 2026?	2	$59	30	30	+0	No	+$1	09-24 08:51
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	2	$59	30	30	+0	No	+$1	09-24 08:51
will bitcoin dip to 62pt5k in july 2026 from july 14	1	$47	50	0	+50	Yes	-$47	07-30 16:03
will bitcoin dip to 60000 in july 20260706151220612 754	1	$46	50	0	+50	No	+$4	07-29 10:28
lol t1 kt 2026 07 29	3	$43	25	25	+0	KT Rolster	+$7	07-29 12:24
US announces withdrawal from Al Udeid Air Base by Sep 30?	2	$39	20	20	+0	No	+$0	09-15 19:36
lol blg lgd 2026 07 29	3	$38	20	20	+0	Bilibili Gaming	+$2	07-29 16:22
lol drx ns 2026 07 29	3	$30	20	20	+0	Nongshim Red Force	-$1	07-29 09:11
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	1	$29	30	0	+30	No	+$1	09-14 05:18
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	2	$26	200	200	+0	No	-$14	07-31 13:33
cs2 noirve atp1 2026 07 27	4	$26	20	20	+0	Atputies	+$2	07-27 13:10
Will Trump endorse Flávio Bolsonaro for President of Brazil?	3	$23	47	18	+29	No	-$9	10-08 04:30
Will Bryan Reynolds lead the MLB in doubles for the 2026 regular season?	2	$21	37	37	+0	Yes	-$4	09-11 10:07
lol dk hle1 2026 07 27	2	$19	10	10	+0	Hanwha Life Esports	+$1	07-27 08:29
cs2 mibr fxw7 2026 07 28	2	$19	20	0	+20	MIBR	+$1	07-28 16:28
cs2 g1 newvis 2026 07 28	2	$18	20	0	+20	NEW VISION	+$2	07-28 16:15
Counter-Strike: regain vs Voca (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries North American Qualifier Playoffs	2	$18	20	0	+20	Voca	+$2	07-29 01:53
lol fox1 gen 2026 07 27	2	$18	10	10	+0	Gen.G	+$2	07-27 08:30
cs2 rustec innerc 2026 07 27	3	$18	20	0	+20	Inner Circle Academy	+$2	07-27 15:54
dota2 pckcp kw1 2026 07 28	2	$18	20	0	+20	PuckChamp	+$2	07-28 16:36
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	2	$17	10	10	+0	No	-$1	07-30 13:56

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 19:52:17	Will Pedro Sánchez be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	SELL	39	4¢	$2	0xd1ab07…
10-27 12:57:59	Will Pedro Sánchez be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	SELL	1	4¢	$0	0x4f5017…
10-27 08:00:09	Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	SELL	10	3¢	$0	0xa947bb…
10-17 15:36:30	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	19	21¢	$4	0x2a4d20…
10-15 14:32:31	Will Trump endorse JD Vance for president before 2027?	Yes	SELL	50	15¢	$8	0x81384c…
10-11 01:27:33	Will Chicago White Sox win the 2026 American League Championship Series?	Yes	SELL	10	2¢	$0	0xbc44b9…
10-08 22:25:30	Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	20	22¢	$4	0x43f96e…
10-08 16:25:21	Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	20¢	$4	0x377a13…
10-08 16:07:54	Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x8b63a1…
10-08 16:07:11	Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0xa1eac8…
10-08 08:33:28	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	19	23¢	$4	0x8ac05c…
10-08 07:38:58	Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	BUY	22	20¢	$4	0x2b8a6c…
10-08 06:46:09	Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?	Yes	BUY	18	24¢	$4	0xee3e5f…
10-08 04:30:41	Will Trump endorse Flávio Bolsonaro for President of Brazil?	Yes	BUY	29	30¢	$9	0xe7bea7…
10-08 04:20:17	Will the Democratic Party win the NY-01 House seat?	Yes	SELL	30	13¢	$4	0x556474…
10-08 04:17:43	Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	BUY	10	23¢	$2	0xea404e…
10-08 03:44:58	Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	27¢	$4	0xa1b33b…
10-08 03:12:32	Will Spirit Win the ESL Pro League Season 24?	Yes	BUY	10	22¢	$2	0xb6c401…
10-08 03:03:08	Will Josh Allen win the 2026 NFL MVP?	Yes	BUY	22	20¢	$4	0xd5c1d4…
10-08 02:34:25	Will Chicago White Sox win the 2026 American League Championship Series?	Yes	BUY	10	25¢	$2	0xb736dd…
10-08 01:08:49	Will Las Vegas Aces win the 2026 WNBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	7	19¢	$1	0xeb1666…
10-08 00:43:16	Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?	Yes	SELL	40	9¢	$4	0xb5fefe…
10-05 10:49:23	Will Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship?	Yes	BUY	44	21¢	$9	0xb9600e…
10-05 07:07:25	Will Pedro Sánchez be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	40	21¢	$9	0xdf4c02…
10-04 18:33:49	cricwcl ind eng 2026 10 04	India Champions	BUY	55	14¢	$8	0x5c966d…
10-04 15:30:38	Will Trump endorse Flávio Bolsonaro for President of Brazil?	Yes	SELL	18	39¢	$7	0x5e6c91…
10-04 15:10:35	Will Trump endorse Flávio Bolsonaro for President of Brazil?	Yes	BUY	18	43¢	$8	0x7cfa03…
10-04 13:03:29	Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?	Yes	BUY	40	23¢	$9	0x06de81…
10-04 08:23:04	Will Pete Fry win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	6	69¢	$4	0x69bfb1…
10-04 06:10:32	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by February 28, 2027?	Yes	BUY	37	25¢	$9	0x762d01…
10-04 04:25:55	Spread: Arizona (-7.5)	Cincinnati	SELL	10	38¢	$4	0x031507…
10-04 03:12:01	Spread: Arizona (-7.5)	Cincinnati	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0x68b723…
10-03 19:45:58	Spread: Georgia (-24.5)	Georgia	SELL	6	3¢	$0	0xf70604…
10-03 18:20:30	Spread: Wake Forest (-14.5)	Stanford	SELL	11	1¢	$0	0xe41aea…
10-03 17:45:32	Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	39	25¢	$10	0x57c45e…
10-03 17:23:33	Alabama vs. Mississippi State: O/U 61.5	Under	BUY	6	12¢	$1	0x0cb4bc…
10-03 17:20:51	Spread: Georgia (-24.5)	Georgia	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0xeaf53a…
10-03 17:02:41	Spread: Georgia (-25.5)	Vanderbilt	BUY	6	42¢	$3	0x835595…
10-03 16:59:36	Alabama vs. Mississippi State: O/U 59.5	Over	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0xbdc7cb…
10-03 16:50:47	Spread: Michigan (-6.5)	Minnesota	BUY	6	61¢	$4	0x072817…
10-03 16:36:50	Navy vs. Air Force: O/U 43.5	Over	BUY	9	38¢	$3	0x1fb221…
10-03 16:21:54	Spread: Michigan (-5.5)	Michigan	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x92476d…
10-03 16:21:17	Navy vs. Air Force: O/U 43.5	Over	BUY	2	38¢	$1	0xbb2716…
10-03 16:16:38	Spread: Alabama (-6.5)	Mississippi State	BUY	1	44¢	$0	0x02edd6…
10-03 16:13:39	Spread: Wake Forest (-14.5)	Stanford	BUY	11	40¢	$4	0x619fdb…
10-03 16:12:42	Spread: Alabama (-6.5)	Mississippi State	BUY	9	44¢	$4	0x8ce021…
10-03 16:06:45	Will the Democratic Party win the NY-01 House seat?	Yes	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x50a36b…
10-03 16:06:38	Will the Democratic Party win the NY-01 House seat?	Yes	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0xb2b62b…
10-03 16:06:30	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by January 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	30	21¢	$6	0x3ea1e8…
10-03 16:06:30	Will the Democratic Party win the NY-01 House seat?	Yes	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x06cab8…
10-03 14:37:09	Will Trump endorse JD Vance for president before 2027?	Yes	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0x1d7938…
10-03 14:17:09	Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?	Yes	BUY	12	20¢	$3	0x928c2a…
10-03 13:09:26	Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	54¢	$5	0x9cb3f9…
10-03 12:22:57	Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	42¢	$4	0x6e003c…
09-24 08:52:26	Christopher Luxon out by September 30?	No	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0xd60baa…
09-24 08:51:44	Israeli airspace closed by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	8	96¢	$8	0xf4f902…
09-24 08:51:41	Andrew Tate Extradited to UK by Sep 30?	No	SELL	30	98¢	$30	0x20f1b1…
09-24 08:51:39	Christopher Luxon out by September 30?	No	SELL	19	99¢	$18	0x4078fd…
09-24 08:51:38	Will there be Houthi military action against Israel by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	30	99¢	$30	0x33a027…
09-24 08:51:36	Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	No	SELL	30	99¢	$30	0x6b198e…
09-24 08:51:35	Iran leadership change by September 30?	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0xdbaff2…
09-24 07:34:18	Israeli airspace closed by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	60	97¢	$58	0xdec4cf…
09-21 08:45:44	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in September?	No	SELL	62	75¢	$47	0xf14ca7…
09-16 15:46:00	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in September?	No	BUY	62	95¢	$59	0xdc9359…
09-16 12:13:07	Will Hyperliquid dip to $12 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	3¢	$0	0xa548ad…
09-16 12:13:06	Will the Philadelphia Phillies have the highest ABS success rate during the 2026 MLB regular season?	Yes	SELL	2	0¢	$0	0x20837f…
09-16 12:13:04	Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?	Yes	SELL	4	8¢	$0	0x7aff37…
09-16 12:13:03	Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?	Yes	SELL	6	6¢	$0	0x2d7c05…
09-16 12:13:01	Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	31¢	$2	0xe50cd1…
09-16 12:13:00	Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31?	Yes	SELL	9	19¢	$2	0xd554ef…
09-16 12:13:00	Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.75% at the end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	7¢	$1	0x98cdfb…
09-16 11:50:16	israeli airspace closed by september 30 2026	No	BUY	68	96¢	$66	0xc734ca…
09-15 19:36:58	US announces withdrawal from Al Udeid Air Base by Sep 30?	No	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x5e59a3…
09-15 18:53:39	will there be houthi military action against israel by september 30 2026	No	BUY	30	97¢	$29	0x96b690…
09-15 14:51:48	Will Ethereum dip to $2,250 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	65¢	$3	0xbc6d2e…
09-14 06:57:04	Iran leadership change by September 30?	No	BUY	30	97¢	$29	0x6518d5…
09-14 06:08:12	US announces withdrawal from Al Udeid Air Base by Sep 30?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x91df5a…
09-14 05:21:43	Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	No	BUY	30	97¢	$29	0xfd9509…
09-14 05:21:43	Andrew Tate Extradited to UK by Sep 30?	No	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0x9ebfe2…
09-14 05:18:57	Christopher Luxon out by September 30?	No	BUY	30	97¢	$29	0x3ef397…
09-14 05:18:57	Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	30	97¢	$29	0x26168d…
09-13 19:20:19	Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?	Yes	SELL	10	24¢	$2	0x8196f6…
09-13 19:10:34	Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?	Yes	BUY	10	33¢	$3	0x7676a0…
09-12 08:48:04	Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)	New York Yankees	SELL	3	42¢	$1	0xbbf216…
09-12 08:20:37	Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)	New York Yankees	BUY	3	44¢	$1	0xaf3c56…
09-12 07:51:30	Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)	New York Yankees	SELL	3	42¢	$1	0x80be53…
09-12 07:23:22	Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)	New York Yankees	BUY	3	44¢	$1	0x450d4d…
09-11 12:59:40	Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?	Yes	BUY	4	13¢	$1	0x717f1c…
09-11 12:50:19	Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.75% at the end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	8¢	$1	0x09515c…
09-11 12:49:55	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	62¢	$3	0xe7f909…
09-11 12:49:49	Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	41¢	$3	0xcad92b…
09-11 12:44:22	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	59¢	$3	0x08177e…
09-11 12:41:24	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	59¢	$0	0x8f27d8…
09-11 12:40:13	Will Ethereum dip to $2,250 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0xb41d52…
09-11 12:30:33	Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?	Yes	BUY	6	25¢	$1	0xe40327…
09-11 12:15:09	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in September?	Yes	SELL	5	53¢	$3	0x69e2cf…
09-11 12:15:04	Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	Yes	SELL	5	66¢	$3	0x62b238…
09-11 12:13:36	Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	Yes	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x0afb3f…
09-11 12:12:57	Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31?	Yes	BUY	9	29¢	$3	0xf88e37…
09-11 12:02:24	Will Hyperliquid dip to $12 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0xf8ff18…