Noteworthy-Downfall — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.42K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

5.3%

Resolved

Trades

233

lifetime

Volume

$194.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$835

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-14

last 07-14 18:47

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 58 days

Categories

Politics

45% 25% -$5

Sports

40% 27% +$211

Other

14% 26% -$1,634

Crypto

0% 100% +$5

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-14).

Open positions Resolved markets (17) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	6	$7.6K	3,823	3,823	+0	open	—	05-08 09:05
Will Eric Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	6	$6.9K	3,475	3,475	+0	open	—	06-14 05:09
Will Nico Hülkenberg be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	6	$6.5K	3,238	3,238	+0	No	-$3	06-26 03:23
Will the Charlotte Hornets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	10	$5.7K	2,901	2,901	+0	No	-$4	03-26 03:49
Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	4	$5.5K	2,746	2,746	+0	No	-$3	04-17 03:25
Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026?	4	$5.3K	2,655	2,655	+0	No	-$3	05-07 09:06
Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals?	4	$5.2K	2,609	2,609	+0	No	-$3	03-19 07:55
Will François Ruffin win the 2027 French presidential election?	4	$5.0K	2,519	2,519	+0	open	—	06-02 07:30
Will Olivier Faure win the 2027 French presidential election?	4	$4.6K	2,336	2,336	+0	open	—	06-06 04:31
Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	4	$4.6K	2,311	2,311	+0	open	—	06-15 08:39
Will Kristi Noem win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	4	$4.4K	2,207	2,207	+0	open	—	06-18 07:01
Will Joe Kent win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	4	$3.7K	1,886	1,886	+0	open	—	06-16 10:51
Will Leverkusen win the 2025–26 Champions League?	4	$3.3K	1,651	1,651	+0	No	+$0	03-11 03:50
Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	4	$3.3K	1,637	1,637	+0	open	—	06-01 09:35
Will Isack Hadjar be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	4	$3.0K	1,519	1,519	+0	No	-$2	07-07 06:02
Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	4	$3.0K	1,512	1,512	+0	open	—	07-10 19:04
Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	2	$3.0K	1,498	1,498	+0	No	-$1	03-18 03:33
Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?	2	$2.8K	1,426	1,426	+0	No	-$1	05-02 04:48
Will New Zealand win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$2.8K	1,384	1,384	+0	No	-$1	05-05 08:43
Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$2.8K	1,388	1,388	+0	No	-$1	05-03 04:14
Will Audi be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?	2	$2.7K	1,379	1,379	+0	No	-$1	05-02 10:00
Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	2	$2.7K	1,372	1,372	+0	open	—	06-08 03:42
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$2.7K	1,364	1,364	+0	No	-$1	06-10 09:25
Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$2.7K	1,362	1,362	+0	No	-$1	05-09 02:09
Will Norway win Eurovision 2026?	2	$2.7K	1,363	1,363	+0	No	-$1	05-11 04:12
Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	2	$2.7K	1,365	1,365	+0	open	—	06-08 10:09
Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	2	$2.7K	1,363	1,363	+0	open	—	05-09 04:39
Will Georgia win Eurovision 2026?	2	$2.7K	1,348	1,348	+0	No	-$1	04-08 06:04
Will Scream 7 be the top grossing movie of 2026?	4	$2.7K	1,333	1,333	+0	open	—	06-22 07:52
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	2	$2.6K	1,307	1,307	+0	No	-$1	04-30 02:25

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-14 18:47:35	Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	162	100¢	$162	0xdd2e46…
07-14 12:18:28	Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	162	100¢	$162	0xacf152…
07-10 19:04:23	Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	168	99¢	$167	0x3cf3fc…
07-10 17:15:53	Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	168	99¢	$167	0x3a22c5…
07-09 05:40:40	Will the Baltimore Orioles win the 2026 World Series?	No	SELL	255	100¢	$254	0x5cc605…
07-09 04:03:47	Will the Baltimore Orioles win the 2026 World Series?	No	BUY	255	100¢	$254	0x9b6dd3…
07-08 05:01:52	Will John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	210	99¢	$208	0x3fe2de…
07-08 03:31:34	Will John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	210	99¢	$209	0x97276f…
07-07 06:02:43	Will Isack Hadjar be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	SELL	216	100¢	$215	0x1a1f0c…
07-07 04:40:59	Will Isack Hadjar be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	BUY	216	100¢	$215	0x0ed8b7…
07-03 08:57:49	Will Nicolas Dupont-Aignan win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	124	99¢	$123	0x5e16ee…
07-03 04:15:47	Will Nicolas Dupont-Aignan win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	124	99¢	$123	0x3475bc…
07-02 10:51:55	Will Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu be the top grossing movie of 2026?	No	SELL	157	100¢	$156	0x4c8b5a…
07-02 07:53:29	Will Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu be the top grossing movie of 2026?	No	BUY	157	100¢	$156	0xf84b22…
06-30 08:02:17	Will Tereza Cristina win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	699	100¢	$697	0x71d4fd…
06-30 05:29:46	Will Tereza Cristina win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	699	100¢	$697	0x0ab98b…
06-30 05:25:50	Will Cory Booker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	620	99¢	$614	0xb96193…
06-30 01:46:25	Will Cory Booker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	620	99¢	$615	0x075737…
06-28 09:18:32	Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	374	100¢	$373	0x497130…
06-26 03:23:53	Will Nico Hülkenberg be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	SELL	660	100¢	$658	0xba7771…
06-26 01:55:47	Will Nico Hülkenberg be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	BUY	660	100¢	$658	0xfc6fb1…
06-24 10:27:13	Will Alpine be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?	No	SELL	659	100¢	$656	0x6efed2…
06-24 06:16:47	Will Alpine be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?	No	BUY	659	100¢	$657	0xb5e857…
06-24 03:46:08	Will Bernard Cazeneuve win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	657	99¢	$652	0x367bb5…
06-24 02:39:59	Will Bernard Cazeneuve win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	657	99¢	$653	0x2294ce…
06-22 11:48:28	Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	631	99¢	$627	0x8fc846…
06-22 09:17:31	Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	631	99¢	$627	0x563e89…
06-22 07:52:29	Will Scream 7 be the top grossing movie of 2026?	No	SELL	631	99¢	$628	0x453e47…
06-22 06:33:25	Will Scream 7 be the top grossing movie of 2026?	No	BUY	631	100¢	$629	0xc1ab17…
06-22 05:31:32	Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	SELL	362	100¢	$361	0x2e7b90…
06-22 03:30:50	Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	BUY	362	100¢	$362	0x5fd679…
06-18 07:01:32	Will Kristi Noem win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	864	99¢	$858	0xf57df2…
06-18 05:55:11	Will Kristi Noem win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	864	99¢	$859	0x5bef9a…
06-18 03:15:14	Will Ayelet Shaked be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	565	100¢	$563	0x04769b…
06-18 02:04:02	Will Ayelet Shaked be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	565	100¢	$564	0x290906…
06-17 11:08:56	Will The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping be the top grossing movie of 2026?	No	SELL	631	99¢	$628	0x2b0cb9…
06-17 09:10:01	Will The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping be the top grossing movie of 2026?	No	BUY	631	100¢	$629	0xf881ff…
06-16 10:51:51	Will Joe Kent win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	712	99¢	$706	0xce5ace…
06-16 09:24:10	Will Joe Kent win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	712	99¢	$707	0x3753c9…
06-15 10:36:58	Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	1,003	100¢	$998	0xa9f170…
06-15 08:42:25	Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	1,003	100¢	$999	0x280f54…
06-15 08:39:34	Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	1,005	99¢	$998	0x53f6b1…
06-15 05:51:43	Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	1,005	99¢	$999	0x338c1d…
06-14 08:31:21	Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	1,007	99¢	$1,000	0x377a9a…
06-14 07:11:22	Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	1,007	99¢	$1,001	0x8617cc…
06-14 05:09:13	Will Eric Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	1,008	99¢	$1,001	0x91cae7…
06-14 02:49:06	Will Eric Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	1,008	99¢	$1,002	0x2b86b5…
06-11 07:20:39	will bitcoin reach 85k in june 2026	No	BUY	358	99¢	$354	0x7ea856…
06-10 09:25:54	Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	1,364	100¢	$1,360	0xa46548…
06-10 08:11:22	Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	1,364	100¢	$1,362	0xa7f3ae…
06-10 03:31:34	Will Nico Hülkenberg be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	SELL	1,326	100¢	$1,322	0x7de054…
06-10 01:57:10	Will Nico Hülkenberg be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	BUY	1,326	100¢	$1,324	0xea1382…
06-09 10:13:58	Will Gabriel Bortoleto be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	SELL	1,168	100¢	$1,164	0xd182ee…
06-09 07:35:37	Will Gabriel Bortoleto be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	BUY	1,168	100¢	$1,165	0xfaeafc…
06-09 07:01:49	Will Nico Hülkenberg be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	SELL	1,252	100¢	$1,249	0x8cbabe…
06-09 05:10:49	Will Nico Hülkenberg be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	BUY	1,252	100¢	$1,250	0xb7dd0d…
06-08 10:09:30	Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	1,365	99¢	$1,355	0x247f18…
06-08 07:38:45	Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	1,365	99¢	$1,356	0x9fbb57…
06-08 03:42:58	Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	1,372	99¢	$1,363	0xf4e7ae…
06-08 02:22:54	Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	1,372	99¢	$1,364	0xbcd056…
06-07 05:12:13	Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	1,287	99¢	$1,275	0x5f9a09…
06-07 03:22:15	Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	1,287	99¢	$1,276	0x10561c…
06-06 04:31:00	Will Olivier Faure win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	1,076	99¢	$1,068	0xb01a4b…
06-06 03:22:51	Will Olivier Faure win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	1,076	99¢	$1,069	0xdeb00c…
06-05 08:47:39	mlb sf chc 2026 06 05	San Francisco Giants	BUY	114	40¢	$46	0x50e2c2…
06-03 04:43:54	Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	988	99¢	$981	0x900a8a…
06-03 03:17:39	Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	988	99¢	$982	0xa1f5f2…
06-02 10:01:09	Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	1,039	100¢	$1,036	0xe06b13…
06-02 09:10:31	Chicago White Sox vs. Minnesota Twins	Chicago White Sox	BUY	126	53¢	$67	0xeb5d80…
06-02 07:32:43	Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	1,039	100¢	$1,037	0xaee0fa…
06-02 07:30:01	Will François Ruffin win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	1,192	99¢	$1,183	0x4e0343…
06-02 05:57:42	Will François Ruffin win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	1,192	99¢	$1,184	0x5a3525…
06-02 04:22:14	Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	1,344	99¢	$1,335	0x3b86a5…
06-02 03:28:32	Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	1,344	99¢	$1,336	0x4819f1…
06-01 12:02:54	Will Marine Tondelier win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	1,025	99¢	$1,018	0xcc0237…
06-01 09:37:18	Will Marine Tondelier win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	1,025	99¢	$1,019	0xe0b14c…
06-01 09:35:19	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	595	99¢	$592	0xaffc1c…
06-01 09:35:07	Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	352	99¢	$349	0xfc7ec3…
06-01 08:32:58	Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	352	99¢	$350	0xafd700…
05-31 04:40:28	Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	773	99¢	$767	0x437d04…
05-31 03:07:55	Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	773	99¢	$768	0xdde554…
05-28 09:09:34	Will Franco Colapinto be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	SELL	744	100¢	$741	0x698411…
05-28 07:10:37	Will Franco Colapinto be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	BUY	744	100¢	$742	0xb01e0c…
05-28 04:32:43	Will Manuel Bompard win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	506	99¢	$502	0x983c1b…
05-28 03:03:36	Will Manuel Bompard win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	506	99¢	$503	0x99956c…
05-26 10:06:39	Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	706	99¢	$700	0x7239a9…
05-26 08:43:02	Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	706	99¢	$701	0xe1c63f…
05-26 07:51:23	Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	598	99¢	$594	0xee9e03…
05-26 06:04:10	Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	598	99¢	$594	0x6b41a3…
05-26 05:39:26	Will Scream 7 be the top grossing movie of 2026?	No	SELL	702	99¢	$697	0x9f3ff5…
05-26 03:57:45	Will Scream 7 be the top grossing movie of 2026?	No	BUY	702	100¢	$698	0xe7e8da…
05-25 08:07:43	Will John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	722	99¢	$715	0x5f1478…
05-25 06:31:39	Will John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	722	99¢	$716	0x733327…
05-24 03:46:43	Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-05-24?	Yes	BUY	111	48¢	$53	0x1d6955…
05-24 03:42:17	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	595	100¢	$592	0x360c9f…
05-23 11:00:23	Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	1,249	100¢	$1,244	0x511e80…
05-23 08:46:15	Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	1,249	100¢	$1,245	0x25efb5…
05-23 07:02:42	Will the Colorado Rockies win the 2026 World Series?	No	SELL	1,250	99¢	$1,241	0x49a3ef…
05-23 05:47:50	Will the Colorado Rockies win the 2026 World Series?	No	BUY	1,250	99¢	$1,243	0x9937c7…
05-23 04:31:53	Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2026?	No	SELL	1,099	99¢	$1,092	0xe7c7a4…