Supportive-Inspiration — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$250

Unrealized P&L

+$35

Hit rate

52.2%

Resolved

Trades

268

lifetime

Volume

$33.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$125

Open exposure

$65

1 position

First seen

2026-01-01

last 07-03 15:08

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

62% 100% +$63

Other

21% — —

Crypto

16% 45% $-314

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 77 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes		-1,000	$-100	6¢	$-65	+$35	06-14 12:34

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	2	$9.6K	5,000	5,000	+0	open	—	02-06 14:13
Will Sanae Takaichi be the Prime Minister of Japan as a result of the 2026 snap election?	56	$5.9K	5,951	0	+5,951	open	—	02-06 21:11
will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	3	$2.9K	2,376	2,376	+0	open	—	06-30 01:04
Kash Patel out by May 31?	6	$1.2K	2,000	1,000	+1,000	open	—	05-07 22:22
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	2	$1.1K	1,714	0	+1,714	open	—	03-01 23:33
will weapons be nominated for best picture at the 98th academy awards	4	$971	1,106	0	+1,106	open	—	01-14 17:18
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?	5	$883	624	624	+0	open	—	01-29 23:18
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	3	$878	1,044	1,044	+0	open	—	02-08 08:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	8	$672	1,215	0	+1,215	open	—	04-30 04:44
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	11	$660	1,000	0	+1,000	open	—	03-13 18:53
will japan make the 2026 world baseball classic final	7	$600	1,000	0	+1,000	open	—	03-12 14:53
will chlo zhao be nominated for best director at the 98th academy awards	1	$500	597	0	+597	open	—	01-20 12:53
will donald trump say oil during his mar a lago press conference on venezuela on saturday 738	6	$388	530	0	+530	open	—	01-03 16:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	4	$375	444	265	+180	open	—	04-30 04:03
will the us next strike iran on january 14 2026 et 369	2	$351	250	250	+0	open	—	01-14 23:01
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	3	$300	500	0	+500	open	—	06-10 06:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	3	$300	426	0	+426	open	—	04-30 04:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	3	$279	507	0	+507	open	—	04-30 06:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	5	$255	386	0	+386	open	—	04-30 06:24
will frankenstein win best production design at the 98th academy awards	4	$234	300	0	+300	open	—	02-09 02:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	3	$225	477	0	+477	open	—	04-30 04:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	3	$225	309	0	+309	open	—	04-30 04:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	7	$222	463	0	+463	open	—	04-30 04:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	3	$205	449	0	+449	Down	$-205	05-05 04:53
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	2	$204	182	182	+0	open	—	01-11 15:51
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by April 30?	1	$200	318	0	+318	open	—	04-08 04:04
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?	1	$200	355	0	+355	open	—	01-09 02:57
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	1	$200	263	0	+263	No	+$63	05-05 04:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	2	$200	313	0	+313	open	—	04-30 13:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	6	$185	326	0	+326	Down	+$141	05-05 04:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-03 15:08:52	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	Yes	BUY	40	55¢	$22	0xb022af…
07-03 15:08:04	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	Yes	BUY	56	55¢	$31	0xc5c1f9…
07-03 15:06:53	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	Yes	BUY	111	55¢	$61	0xf121e2…
07-03 15:06:17	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	Yes	BUY	11	55¢	$6	0x6d7ac5…
07-03 15:05:07	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	Yes	BUY	82	55¢	$45	0x5e5fba…
06-30 01:04:40	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	SELL	2,376	80¢	$1,901	0xcadb01…
06-26 17:38:50	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	1,111	45¢	$500	0x999421…
06-26 06:15:17	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	1,265	40¢	$500	0x5d851b…
06-14 12:34:31	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	SELL	1,000	10¢	$100	0x4fa3ee…
06-10 06:36:09	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	Yes	BUY	118	60¢	$71	0x81b100…
06-10 06:27:19	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	Yes	BUY	250	60¢	$150	0xd41992…
06-10 06:09:52	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	Yes	BUY	132	60¢	$79	0xff7ebd…
05-07 22:22:01	Kash Patel out by May 31?	No	BUY	942	75¢	$706	0xe72736…
05-05 05:40:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x363128…
05-05 05:39:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xe61f7e…
05-05 05:38:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0xa584d2…
05-05 05:38:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x48d8b7…
05-05 05:37:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0xbcd26a…
05-05 05:37:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x3977aa…
05-05 05:37:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x55f0a8…
05-05 05:34:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0x76ae4e…
05-05 05:33:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x59d834…
05-05 05:33:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0xf32ab0…
05-05 05:32:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	32	78¢	$25	0xef350d…
05-05 05:32:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0xa7c511…
05-05 05:31:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x0336ab…
05-05 05:30:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x9e04c0…
05-05 05:30:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x9d58b1…
05-05 05:30:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xc9a52f…
05-05 05:28:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x05456a…
05-05 05:28:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x0444e4…
05-05 05:27:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0xb8efd2…
05-05 05:27:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0xd02f36…
05-05 05:27:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x38d606…
05-05 05:26:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	30	82¢	$25	0x574bad…
05-05 05:26:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	9	63¢	$6	0xa66ecb…
05-05 05:24:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	BUY	30	84¢	$25	0x31b7a8…
05-05 05:23:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	BUY	32	77¢	$25	0x38ed55…
05-05 05:23:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	BUY	32	77¢	$25	0xffefa5…
05-05 05:22:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x8841cf…
05-05 05:22:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x5ae83e…
05-05 05:17:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x26e717…
05-05 05:14:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	51	49¢	$25	0xc9cde4…
05-05 05:13:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	32	78¢	$25	0xf0a098…
05-05 05:13:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	32	78¢	$25	0x4e0d6c…
05-05 05:12:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	37	67¢	$25	0xe6c3f7…
05-05 05:11:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	38	66¢	$25	0xf4dc29…
05-05 05:09:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	125	4¢	$5	0xc7f4bf…
05-05 05:09:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	SELL	137	4¢	$5	0x5b9022…
05-05 05:06:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	137	73¢	$100	0x64c151…
05-05 05:01:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	BUY	28	89¢	$25	0x2a90df…
05-05 05:00:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0xf23103…
05-05 05:00:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	BUY	33	76¢	$25	0x6b2f58…
05-05 04:59:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	43	58¢	$25	0xfd3fd0…
05-05 04:59:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	44	57¢	$25	0x46138e…
05-05 04:59:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	43	58¢	$25	0xf79729…
05-05 04:58:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x26a5ce…
05-05 04:58:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	180	56¢	$100	0x5d3c6f…
05-05 04:56:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x901fb2…
05-05 04:53:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	BUY	206	48¢	$100	0x61ba38…
05-05 04:52:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	BUY	233	43¢	$100	0xee92a2…
05-05 04:51:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x929bf3…
05-05 04:44:54	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	BUY	263	76¢	$200	0xa89f94…
04-30 14:06:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	161	62¢	$100	0x9336de…
04-30 13:59:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	166	65¢	$107	0xa149b4…
04-30 13:45:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	176	57¢	$100	0xee7dc8…
04-30 13:36:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	164	61¢	$100	0xf6ef5f…
04-30 13:31:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	36	70¢	$25	0x20fcde…
04-30 13:31:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	164	61¢	$100	0xccdfce…
04-30 13:26:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	169	59¢	$100	0x900bf4…
04-30 13:23:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	154	65¢	$100	0x28c960…
04-30 13:16:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	161	62¢	$100	0xe428f5…
04-30 13:15:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	152	66¢	$100	0x8f1f0b…
04-30 12:44:24	Kash Patel out by May 31?	No	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0xd74332…
04-30 07:03:20	Kash Patel out by May 31?	No	BUY	2	75¢	$1	0xbe4cc5…
04-30 06:24:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	30	83¢	$25	0xa857e3…
04-30 06:23:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	37	67¢	$25	0x7fe888…
04-30 06:23:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x5b81c2…
04-30 06:22:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	157	64¢	$100	0x6a3f65…
04-30 06:21:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	155	65¢	$100	0x83b227…
04-30 06:03:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	191	52¢	$100	0xb425c0…
04-30 06:02:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	149	53¢	$79	0x330cdc…
04-30 06:01:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	167	60¢	$100	0xfb08c6…
04-30 05:54:08	Kash Patel out by May 31?	No	BUY	53	75¢	$40	0xca90f5…
04-30 05:51:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	126	79¢	$100	0x05a225…
04-30 05:43:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	176	57¢	$100	0x9f580e…
04-30 05:25:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	122	82¢	$100	0x8a8170…
04-30 05:21:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	BUY	165	61¢	$100	0xb430e5…
04-30 05:08:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	237	2¢	$5	0x293fbc…
04-30 05:05:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2,500	1¢	$25	0xa26c71…
04-30 04:54:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	BUY	246	41¢	$100	0xa36cd7…
04-30 04:53:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	BUY	182	55¢	$100	0x4ff30f…
04-30 04:51:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	48	52¢	$25	0x7f79df…
04-30 04:44:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	132	76¢	$100	0x05ca65…
04-30 04:44:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	151	66¢	$100	0x654d6b…
04-30 04:44:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	146	68¢	$100	0x66655c…
04-30 04:44:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	186	54¢	$100	0x94e015…
04-30 04:43:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	94	50¢	$47	0xd049f6…
04-30 04:43:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	69	36¢	$25	0xba4e5f…
04-30 04:42:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	268	37¢	$100	0xf38a1c…