Growling-Ambiguity — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$327

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

23.4%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$8.48K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$107

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-04-08

last 09-17 04:16

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 11 days

Categories

Other

63% 27% -$329

Politics

37% 29% +$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (18) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will UAE leave the Gulf Cooperation Council in 2026?	No		+3	$2	97¢	$3	+$0	09-17 04:16

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	6	$944	492	492	+0	No	$0	05-17 05:35
Saudi Arabia bans US military aircraft by May 31?	2	$932	490	490	+0	No	+$1	05-19 07:44
will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by august 31	2	$865	465	465	+0	No	+$0	08-05 03:08
another nato article 4 invocation by august 31 2026 20260726214511852	2	$865	470	470	+0	No	+$0	08-05 02:09
will benjamin netanyahu visit new york city by december 31 20260722053445711 376	3	$814	445	445	+0	Yes	-$4	08-10 06:52
total internet blackout in iran by august 31 2026 20260720155238428	2	$810	445	445	+0	No	+$0	08-10 07:46
Will Russia enter Moskovka by August 31?	2	$718	382	382	+0	No	+$0	08-25 01:51
Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?	2	$714	375	375	+0	open	—	08-25 02:26
Spread: Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC (-2.5)	1	$469	495	0	+495	Dalian Yingbo FC	+$26	05-19 07:51
j2100 tsc van 2026 04 08 spread away 2pt5	7	$306	310	0	+310	Vanraure Hachinohe FC	-$306	04-08 08:10
Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026?	5	$160	800	800	+0	open	—	06-26 02:39
Will Trump attend NATO Summit?	4	$129	788	788	+0	Yes	+$0	06-24 06:58
will russia capture mala tokmachka by september 30 2026	4	$119	795	795	+0	No	+$8	06-24 02:51
will mojtaba khamenei leave iran by august 31 20260720003950635	4	$112	935	935	+0	No	+$0	07-21 03:04
ukraine coup attempt by december 31	4	$88	880	880	+0	open	—	07-07 03:06
iran invades kuwait by august 31 20260720015031546	4	$81	919	919	+0	No	+$0	07-21 06:42
Will there be no de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?	4	$76	772	772	+0	open	—	06-26 06:00
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	4	$76	994	994	+0	No	+$2	05-13 04:23
UAE x Saudi Arabia sever diplomatic relations in 2026?	4	$63	880	880	+0	open	—	07-07 06:35
Will North and South Korea engage in direct talks by June 30?	4	$62	565	565	+0	No	-$17	06-17 07:52
Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by May 31, 2026?	4	$39	976	976	+0	No	+$0	05-14 06:41
Spread: Al Ettifaq Saudi Club (-2.5)	2	$25	983	0	+983	Al Ittihad Saudi Club	-$25	05-14 06:51
Spread: Tōkyō Verdy (-2.5)	2	$12	966	0	+966	FC Machida Zelvia	-$12	05-13 04:27
Will UAE leave the Gulf Cooperation Council in 2026?	1	$2	3	0	+3	open	—	09-17 04:16

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-17 04:16:37	Will UAE leave the Gulf Cooperation Council in 2026?	No	BUY	3	95¢	$2	0xdeb77c…
08-25 02:26:43	Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?	No	SELL	375	94¢	$354	0x3594fe…
08-25 02:00:15	Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?	No	BUY	375	96¢	$360	0x4cce4f…
08-25 01:51:48	Will Russia enter Moskovka by August 31?	No	SELL	382	94¢	$359	0x682f10…
08-25 01:25:55	Will Russia enter Moskovka by August 31?	No	BUY	382	94¢	$359	0x5605b4…
08-10 07:46:13	total internet blackout in iran by august 31 2026 20260720155238428	No	SELL	445	91¢	$405	0xded315…
08-10 06:58:40	total internet blackout in iran by august 31 2026 20260720155238428	No	BUY	445	91¢	$405	0x0bcfde…
08-10 06:52:10	will benjamin netanyahu visit new york city by december 31 20260722053445711 376	Yes	SELL	10	91¢	$9	0xb62eb1…
08-10 06:51:54	will benjamin netanyahu visit new york city by december 31 20260722053445711 376	Yes	SELL	435	91¢	$396	0x12ee7c…
08-10 05:46:33	will benjamin netanyahu visit new york city by december 31 20260722053445711 376	Yes	BUY	445	92¢	$409	0xb0aabb…
08-05 03:08:44	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by august 31	No	SELL	465	93¢	$432	0xca0e7b…
08-05 02:23:38	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by august 31	No	BUY	465	93¢	$432	0xb83529…
08-05 02:09:05	another nato article 4 invocation by august 31 2026 20260726214511852	No	SELL	470	92¢	$432	0xa2e211…
08-05 01:24:30	another nato article 4 invocation by august 31 2026 20260726214511852	No	BUY	470	92¢	$432	0x5f19be…
07-21 06:42:55	iran invades kuwait by august 31 20260720015031546	Yes	SELL	454	4¢	$20	0xf0c741…
07-21 06:42:43	iran invades kuwait by august 31 20260720015031546	Yes	SELL	465	4¢	$20	0xaa174f…
07-21 06:10:37	iran invades kuwait by august 31 20260720015031546	Yes	BUY	465	4¢	$20	0xe4cdcc…
07-21 06:10:27	iran invades kuwait by august 31 20260720015031546	Yes	BUY	454	4¢	$20	0x557952…
07-21 03:04:55	will mojtaba khamenei leave iran by august 31 20260720003950635	Yes	SELL	462	6¢	$28	0x6a8498…
07-21 03:04:37	will mojtaba khamenei leave iran by august 31 20260720003950635	Yes	SELL	473	6¢	$28	0x1cbb06…
07-21 02:45:55	will mojtaba khamenei leave iran by august 31 20260720003950635	Yes	BUY	473	6¢	$28	0x479b9b…
07-21 02:45:43	will mojtaba khamenei leave iran by august 31 20260720003950635	Yes	BUY	462	6¢	$28	0x0e67e7…
07-07 06:35:43	UAE x Saudi Arabia sever diplomatic relations in 2026?	Yes	SELL	455	4¢	$16	0xe5c789…
07-07 06:35:02	UAE x Saudi Arabia sever diplomatic relations in 2026?	Yes	SELL	425	4¢	$15	0xb2e230…
07-07 06:06:19	UAE x Saudi Arabia sever diplomatic relations in 2026?	Yes	BUY	435	4¢	$16	0x287a65…
07-07 06:06:05	UAE x Saudi Arabia sever diplomatic relations in 2026?	Yes	BUY	445	4¢	$16	0x944a4d…
07-07 03:06:40	ukraine coup attempt by december 31	Yes	SELL	455	4¢	$18	0xe6025d…
07-07 03:05:50	ukraine coup attempt by december 31	Yes	SELL	425	4¢	$17	0x4cef2a…
07-07 02:17:37	ukraine coup attempt by december 31	Yes	BUY	455	6¢	$27	0xc0df08…
07-07 02:17:19	ukraine coup attempt by december 31	Yes	BUY	425	6¢	$26	0xb58c03…
06-26 06:00:02	Will there be no de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	388	5¢	$19	0xf633c5…
06-26 05:59:41	Will there be no de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	384	5¢	$19	0xae2765…
06-26 04:52:37	Will there be no de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	384	5¢	$19	0x6a82d3…
06-26 04:51:59	Will there be no de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	388	5¢	$19	0xf03339…
06-26 02:39:35	Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026?	Yes	SELL	25	9¢	$2	0x67454c…
06-26 02:38:38	Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026?	Yes	SELL	385	10¢	$38	0xd40965…
06-26 02:33:05	Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026?	Yes	SELL	390	12¢	$47	0x12adbb…
06-26 01:40:14	Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026?	Yes	BUY	405	9¢	$36	0xeab686…
06-26 01:39:35	Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026?	Yes	BUY	395	9¢	$36	0x57c26c…
06-24 06:58:20	Will Trump attend NATO Summit?	No	SELL	390	8¢	$32	0x4e1b0d…
06-24 06:58:10	Will Trump attend NATO Summit?	No	SELL	398	8¢	$33	0xf30b3c…
06-24 03:06:43	Will Trump attend NATO Summit?	No	BUY	390	8¢	$32	0xdaa927…
06-24 03:05:50	Will Trump attend NATO Summit?	No	BUY	398	8¢	$32	0xef68ac…
06-24 02:51:25	will russia capture mala tokmachka by september 30 2026	Yes	SELL	410	8¢	$33	0x4761bc…
06-24 02:51:05	will russia capture mala tokmachka by september 30 2026	Yes	SELL	385	8¢	$31	0x2360e1…
06-24 01:43:11	will russia capture mala tokmachka by september 30 2026	Yes	BUY	410	7¢	$29	0xd0c05e…
06-24 01:40:11	will russia capture mala tokmachka by september 30 2026	Yes	BUY	385	7¢	$27	0x04d23b…
06-17 07:52:44	Will North and South Korea engage in direct talks by June 30?	Yes	SELL	285	4¢	$11	0x924f9c…
06-17 07:52:17	Will North and South Korea engage in direct talks by June 30?	Yes	SELL	280	4¢	$11	0x9cdb43…
06-17 05:58:08	Will North and South Korea engage in direct talks by June 30?	Yes	BUY	285	7¢	$20	0x4655c6…
06-17 05:57:52	Will North and South Korea engage in direct talks by June 30?	Yes	BUY	280	7¢	$20	0x9da42a…
05-19 07:51:31	Spread: Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC (-2.5)	Dalian Yingbo FC	BUY	495	95¢	$469	0x61b272…
05-19 07:44:52	Saudi Arabia bans US military aircraft by May 31?	No	SELL	490	95¢	$466	0x106305…
05-19 06:26:25	Saudi Arabia bans US military aircraft by May 31?	No	BUY	490	95¢	$466	0xe41a59…
05-17 05:35:50	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	No	SELL	92	96¢	$88	0x1d6b22…
05-17 05:34:59	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	No	SELL	100	96¢	$96	0x978227…
05-17 05:34:44	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	No	SELL	100	96¢	$96	0xe2ab65…
05-17 05:34:28	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	No	SELL	100	96¢	$96	0x96af4f…
05-17 05:34:12	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	No	SELL	100	96¢	$96	0x1e2a44…
05-17 04:06:18	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	No	BUY	492	96¢	$472	0x885657…
05-14 06:51:46	Spread: Al Ettifaq Saudi Club (-2.5)	Al Ettifaq Saudi Club	BUY	508	2¢	$13	0x7e3b1a…
05-14 06:51:18	Spread: Al Ettifaq Saudi Club (-2.5)	Al Ettifaq Saudi Club	BUY	475	2¢	$12	0xc2886a…
05-14 06:41:23	Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	493	2¢	$10	0x1e3406…
05-14 06:41:02	Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	483	2¢	$10	0xbc2526…
05-14 05:49:47	Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	493	2¢	$10	0x5750bc…
05-14 05:49:30	Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	483	2¢	$10	0x0aa011…
05-13 04:27:14	Spread: Tōkyō Verdy (-2.5)	Tōkyō Verdy	BUY	473	1¢	$6	0x36555b…
05-13 04:26:58	Spread: Tōkyō Verdy (-2.5)	Tōkyō Verdy	BUY	493	1¢	$6	0x2e0854…
05-13 04:23:54	Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	487	4¢	$19	0xf8510f…
05-13 04:23:38	Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	507	4¢	$20	0xed3aa8…
05-13 03:20:24	Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	518	4¢	$19	0xeac5fb…
05-13 03:20:02	Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	476	4¢	$18	0x627c4d…
04-08 08:10:23	j2100 tsc van 2026 04 08 spread away 2pt5	Tochigi SC	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xb4c4d8…
04-08 08:10:07	j2100 tsc van 2026 04 08 spread away 2pt5	Tochigi SC	BUY	50	99¢	$49	0x5ee357…
04-08 08:09:55	j2100 tsc van 2026 04 08 spread away 2pt5	Tochigi SC	BUY	50	99¢	$49	0x9f8790…
04-08 08:09:43	j2100 tsc van 2026 04 08 spread away 2pt5	Tochigi SC	BUY	50	99¢	$49	0xc585a0…
04-08 08:09:29	j2100 tsc van 2026 04 08 spread away 2pt5	Tochigi SC	BUY	50	99¢	$49	0x464cf5…
04-08 08:09:19	j2100 tsc van 2026 04 08 spread away 2pt5	Tochigi SC	BUY	50	99¢	$49	0x39ffb5…
04-08 08:08:03	j2100 tsc van 2026 04 08 spread away 2pt5	Tochigi SC	BUY	50	99¢	$49	0x5516a2…