Junior-Cappelletti — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$13.4K

Unrealized P&L

+$19

Hit rate

38.5%

Resolved

541

Trades

1,276

lifetime

Volume

$85.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$67

Open exposure

$161

13 positions

First seen

2026-04-15

last 11-01 01:21

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 128 days

Categories

Politics

61% 67% -$10,156

Sports

19% 56% -$2,389

Other

19% 52% -$933

Tech

1% 100% +$32

Crypto

0% 62% +$17

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

61 active days in 12wk • peak 25 trades/day

Open positions (13) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	-600	-$90	6¢	$-39	+$51	07-29 03:36
Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	-240	-$9	14¢	$-34	-$25	06-18 02:24
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	No	+50	$18	29¢	$14	-$3	09-23 14:46
Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	-120	-$8	12¢	$-14	-$5	05-25 18:33
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	+80	$10	16¢	$13	+$3	09-15 18:40
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	+20	$14	64¢	$13	-$1	09-24 21:54
Anthropic IPO before 2027?	No	+101	$22	10¢	$11	-$11	09-23 09:40
Will the New York Giants win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	-900	-$11	1¢	$-9	+$1	05-25 16:31
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?	No	+40	$9	18¢	$7	-$2	09-15 19:13
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	-10	-$6	28¢	$-3	+$3	05-18 16:52
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	-40	-$9	6¢	$-2	+$7	05-18 16:52
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	-10	-$4	11¢	$-1	+$3	05-18 16:52
Will the Denver Broncos win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	-22	-$1	4¢	$-1	$0	05-18 18:57

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	316	$36.6K	115,355	119,400	-4,045	No	-$11,577	06-11 23:38
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	23	$14.0K	10,493	10,493	+0	Yes	+$1,221	06-08 02:02
Spread: Bears (-3.5)	2	$2.2K	1,910	1,910	+0	Bears	-$19	10-22 19:52
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-20?	2	$1.3K	1,000	1,000	+0	Yes	+$509	10-20 20:49
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	6	$1.3K	13,905	0	+13,905	No	-$1,285	06-24 16:19
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	7	$1.0K	10,000	0	+10,000	No	-$1,027	06-12 01:00
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	11	$988	25,175	0	+25,175	No	-$988	06-20 18:18
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	9	$980	555	555	+0	Yes	+$63	04-26 19:35
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17?	8	$979	629	684	-55	Yes	+$332	06-18 01:24
Cowboys vs. Eagles	2	$900	1,343	0	+1,343	Cowboys	+$443	10-26 20:17
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	4	$769	797	797	+0	No	+$125	10-04 14:30
UFC 333: Merab Dvalishvili vs. Petr Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card)	7	$723	1,317	879	+438	Petr Yan	+$111	10-24 20:25
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?	2	$700	1,207	0	+1,207	No	-$700	06-18 16:10
Timberwolves vs. Heat	9	$661	1,088	0	+1,088	Timberwolves	+$427	10-22 00:05
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?	2	$635	1,650	0	+1,650	No	-$635	05-30 15:27
Seahawks vs. Broncos	3	$604	755	754	+0	Broncos	-$257	10-16 01:41
sud cie apc 2026 04 16 cie	5	$586	775	165	+610	Yes	+$310	04-17 03:25
Thunder vs. Spurs	1	$534	600	0	+600	Thunder	+$66	10-21 03:06
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$512	649	4,400	-3,751	No	+$412	07-01 17:40
UFC 333: Alexander Volkanovski vs. Movsar Evloev (Featherweight, Main Card)	4	$453	512	412	+100	Alexander Volkanovski	+$51	10-24 21:06
fifwc fra irq 2026 06 22 spread home 1pt5	2	$360	200	200	+0	France	+$40	06-23 00:54
fifwc can qat 2026 06 18 total 2pt5	10	$358	470	470	+0	Over	-$46	06-18 22:22
ufc mic12 mau4 2026 06 14	2	$356	198	198	+0	Mauricio Ruffy	+$36	06-15 02:17
ucl bay1 rma1 2026 04 15 rma1	3	$301	1,000	479	+521	No	-$99	04-15 18:16
Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-10-20?	1	$300	857	0	+857	No	-$300	10-20 23:57
Spread: 49ers (-6.5)	1	$300	523	0	+523	Cardinals	-$300	09-27 19:57
fifwc par fra 2026 07 04 spread away 1pt5	1	$300	517	0	+517	Paraguay	-$300	07-04 20:28
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-08-23?	1	$300	405	0	+405	Yes	+$105	08-23 18:09
Will CA Mineiro win on 2026-10-14?	1	$296	435	0	+435	Yes	+$139	10-14 21:57
Rhamondre Stevenson: Anytime Touchdown	2	$288	612	0	+612	Yes	+$324	10-22 23:03

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-01 01:21:07	UFC Fight Night: Ode' Osbourne vs. Cody Durden (Flyweight, Main Card)	Ode' Osbourne	BUY	49	41¢	$20	0x031d62…
10-31 21:00:10	Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-10-31?	Yes	BUY	28	71¢	$20	0xf3251a…
10-31 19:43:09	Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-10-31?	Yes	BUY	102	49¢	$50	0xc1445c…
10-31 17:40:19	Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-10-31?	Yes	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0xca4ebc…
10-30 00:42:39	Spread: Packers (-3.5)	Packers	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0xf2066e…
10-30 00:42:27	Panthers vs. Packers	Packers	BUY	30	67¢	$20	0x00a37a…
10-29 23:26:03	Panthers vs. Packers: O/U 46.5	Over	BUY	264	53¢	$140	0x28c11c…
10-28 23:14:17	Spread: CS Cienciano (-1.5)	CS Cienciano	BUY	37	54¢	$20	0x26a005…
10-27 20:37:57	Will CS Huancayo win on 2026-10-27?	Yes	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x1266ad…
10-27 03:19:53	Warriors vs. Nuggets	Nuggets	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x3beeae…
10-26 20:17:47	Cowboys vs. Eagles	Cowboys	BUY	1,045	67¢	$700	0x073d5d…
10-26 18:40:59	Cowboys vs. Eagles	Cowboys	BUY	299	67¢	$200	0x6dba35…
10-26 01:12:21	Chiefs vs. Seahawks	Chiefs	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0xe01ae3…
10-26 00:14:56	Chiefs vs. Seahawks	Chiefs	BUY	262	42¢	$110	0x802fa0…
10-25 21:54:51	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	SELL	149	86¢	$128	0x642eee…
10-25 21:42:00	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	56	18¢	$10	0xb6dda7…
10-25 20:45:54	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	48	42¢	$20	0xb8faf3…
10-25 20:44:21	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	45	44¢	$20	0x281d85…
10-25 13:51:30	Spread: Steelers (-2.5)	Steelers	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x2a8d25…
10-25 13:40:18	Steelers vs. Saints	Steelers	BUY	24	63¢	$15	0x693557…
10-25 13:40:00	Spread: Steelers (-3.5)	Steelers	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0x6e6b03…
10-25 03:54:08	Spread: Steelers (-2.5)	Steelers	BUY	214	56¢	$120	0xe36ff7…
10-24 21:06:05	UFC 333: Alexander Volkanovski vs. Movsar Evloev (Featherweight, Main Card)	Movsar Evloev	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xeb7285…
10-24 21:04:41	UFC 333: Alexander Volkanovski vs. Movsar Evloev (Featherweight, Main Card)	Alexander Volkanovski	SELL	412	61¢	$252	0xecefb2…
10-24 20:44:14	UFC 333: Alexander Volkanovski vs. Movsar Evloev (Featherweight, Main Card)	Alexander Volkanovski	BUY	208	48¢	$100	0x897388…
10-24 20:33:33	UFC 333: Alexander Volkanovski vs. Movsar Evloev (Featherweight, Main Card)	Alexander Volkanovski	BUY	204	49¢	$100	0xb5252c…
10-24 20:25:33	UFC 333: Merab Dvalishvili vs. Petr Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card)	Petr Yan	BUY	24	85¢	$20	0x3db51b…
10-24 20:24:27	UFC 333: Merab Dvalishvili vs. Petr Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card)	Petr Yan	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0xcacd4b…
10-24 20:22:21	Fight to Go the Distance?	No	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x8583e2…
10-24 20:19:50	UFC 333: Merab Dvalishvili vs. Petr Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card)	Merab Dvalishvili	SELL	402	21¢	$86	0x798871…
10-24 20:19:29	UFC 333: Merab Dvalishvili vs. Petr Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card)	Merab Dvalishvili	BUY	402	25¢	$100	0x4fc5f4…
10-24 20:19:00	UFC 333: Merab Dvalishvili vs. Petr Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card)	Merab Dvalishvili	SELL	476	24¢	$112	0x4d6791…
10-24 20:14:54	UFC 333: Merab Dvalishvili vs. Petr Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card)	Petr Yan	BUY	408	49¢	$200	0x63f62f…
10-24 19:49:53	UFC 333: Merab Dvalishvili vs. Petr Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card)	Merab Dvalishvili	BUY	476	42¢	$200	0xf233cc…
10-24 12:42:24	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	196	51¢	$100	0x8f8bff…
10-24 12:40:45	Will Arsenal WFC win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	SELL	62	48¢	$30	0x30a8c2…
10-24 11:18:39	Will Arsenal WFC win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	62	65¢	$40	0xacfbce…
10-23 03:11:54	Patriots vs. Bears	Patriots	SELL	190	13¢	$25	0x633b0b…
10-23 02:07:42	Spread: CR Flamengo (-1.5)	CR Flamengo	SELL	83	6¢	$5	0xae6d97…
10-23 02:03:39	Spread: Bears (-5.5)	Patriots	BUY	59	51¢	$30	0x749fde…
10-23 02:01:17	Patriots vs. Bears	Patriots	BUY	190	27¢	$51	0x45ad09…
10-23 02:00:33	Spread: Bears (-5.5)	Patriots	BUY	196	51¢	$100	0x3502ff…
10-22 23:03:21	Rhamondre Stevenson: Anytime Touchdown	Yes	BUY	63	48¢	$30	0x602fe0…
10-22 23:02:36	Spread: CR Flamengo (-1.5)	CR Flamengo	BUY	83	36¢	$30	0x08157a…
10-22 19:58:44	Rhamondre Stevenson: Anytime Touchdown	Yes	BUY	549	47¢	$258	0xac2778…
10-22 19:52:06	Spread: Bears (-3.5)	Patriots	SELL	1,910	56¢	$1,069	0x8f585d…
10-22 19:43:02	Spread: Bears (-3.5)	Patriots	BUY	1,910	57¢	$1,089	0xd08ad1…
10-22 04:08:48	Spread: Clippers (-9.5)	Clippers	SELL	1	55¢	$1	0x5a460a…
10-22 04:08:29	Spread: Clippers (-9.5)	Clippers	SELL	59	55¢	$32	0x54226c…
10-22 03:27:35	Spread: Clippers (-9.5)	Clippers	BUY	10	44¢	$4	0xdc2e4e…
10-22 03:25:48	Spread: Clippers (-9.5)	Clippers	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x52e2a6…
10-22 03:24:12	Spread: Clippers (-9.5)	Clippers	BUY	20	54¢	$11	0x9944ce…
10-22 03:22:47	Spread: Clippers (-9.5)	Clippers	BUY	20	57¢	$11	0x17413e…
10-22 02:57:26	Warriors vs. Lakers	Lakers	BUY	30	69¢	$21	0xed9d89…
10-22 00:05:41	Timberwolves vs. Heat	Timberwolves	BUY	25	63¢	$16	0x3c7136…
10-22 00:05:00	Timberwolves vs. Heat	Timberwolves	BUY	570	63¢	$359	0x56dc83…
10-22 00:02:35	Timberwolves vs. Heat	Timberwolves	BUY	30	58¢	$17	0x9af58e…
10-22 00:02:33	Timberwolves vs. Heat	Timberwolves	BUY	8	58¢	$5	0xcdea9f…
10-22 00:02:33	Timberwolves vs. Heat	Timberwolves	BUY	118	58¢	$69	0xc1f2ab…
10-22 00:02:33	Timberwolves vs. Heat	Timberwolves	BUY	50	58¢	$29	0x8862d8…
10-22 00:02:33	Timberwolves vs. Heat	Timberwolves	BUY	6	58¢	$4	0x1f3bc9…
10-22 00:02:32	Timberwolves vs. Heat	Timberwolves	BUY	200	58¢	$116	0x37d6d3…
10-22 00:02:30	Timberwolves vs. Heat	Timberwolves	BUY	80	58¢	$47	0x764b4d…
10-21 23:43:21	Will Montevideo City Torque vs. CA Mineiro end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	20	71¢	$14	0x41b34e…
10-21 03:07:35	Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026?	No	SELL	100	25¢	$25	0xa96e33…
10-21 03:06:20	Thunder vs. Spurs	Thunder	BUY	600	89¢	$534	0xbd4d21…
10-20 23:57:59	Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	BUY	857	35¢	$300	0xbc5fe1…
10-20 20:49:14	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	SELL	1,000	91¢	$909	0x8dd342…
10-20 18:23:12	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	BUY	1,000	40¢	$400	0xe95ae6…
10-20 00:18:56	Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	131	100¢	$131	0xe69e96…
10-20 00:18:44	Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026?	No	SELL	160	89¢	$143	0xb28a58…
10-16 01:41:40	Seahawks vs. Broncos	Seahawks	SELL	754	23¢	$174	0xf9b439…
10-16 00:06:04	Seahawks vs. Broncos	Seahawks	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xe7d597…
10-15 22:31:12	Seahawks vs. Broncos	Seahawks	BUY	753	57¢	$429	0xefc3ad…
10-14 21:57:42	Will CA Mineiro win on 2026-10-14?	Yes	BUY	435	68¢	$296	0x0a0a38…
10-14 21:57:07	mlb mil lad 2026 10 14	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	323	62¢	$200	0xb3c3c6…
10-14 02:07:28	Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	140	23¢	$32	0xc3d615…
10-14 02:06:34	Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-10-13?	Yes	SELL	130	55¢	$72	0x6c1a1e…
10-14 02:01:23	Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-10-13?	Yes	BUY	130	52¢	$68	0x6b6175…
10-14 00:19:34	Dana White's Contender Series: Aline Pereira vs. Smilla Sundell (Women's Bantamweight, Main Card)	Aline Pereira	BUY	436	23¢	$100	0x4e8c10…
10-13 18:27:06	Will Sabah FK vs. SK Slavia Praha end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0x3c1cb6…
10-13 02:31:59	Bills vs. Rams	Bills	BUY	10	44¢	$4	0xb94f77…
10-13 00:27:36	Bills vs. Rams	Bills	BUY	90	38¢	$34	0x2d9722…
10-12 15:20:35	Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-10-12?	Yes	BUY	100	46¢	$46	0xc3990f…
10-12 15:16:35	Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	SELL	80	10¢	$8	0x3cda67…
10-12 02:19:47	Ravens vs. Falcons	Ravens	BUY	54	37¢	$20	0xfa5fd7…
10-11 22:08:21	Spread: Falcons (-3.5)	Ravens	BUY	20	53¢	$11	0x557ab7…
10-11 22:08:02	Lions vs. Cardinals	Lions	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0x40b2f2…
10-11 22:07:53	Spread: Broncos (-2.5)	Broncos	BUY	20	56¢	$11	0xd0add2…
10-11 22:07:35	49ers vs. Seahawks	49ers	BUY	20	72¢	$14	0x4f8273…
10-11 19:54:25	Spread: Seahawks (-3.5)	49ers	BUY	270	56¢	$151	0x28bf1c…
10-11 17:24:40	Spread: Vikings (-2.5)	Vikings	BUY	10	61¢	$6	0x115b8f…
10-11 16:43:28	Spread: Vikings (-2.5)	Vikings	BUY	60	50¢	$30	0x96bb37…
10-10 22:53:10	UFC Fight Night: Ismael Bonfim vs. Francisco Prado (Welterweight, Prelims)	Francisco Prado	BUY	400	60¢	$240	0x77cc1e…
10-10 10:24:40	Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	20	48¢	$10	0x739e2f…
10-04 14:30:25	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	385	63¢	$242	0xd162fd…
09-29 19:29:29	Will Mexico win on 2026-09-29?	Yes	BUY	66	66¢	$44	0xc1f688…
09-27 19:57:47	Spread: 49ers (-6.5)	49ers	BUY	523	57¢	$300	0x4c056e…
09-27 17:49:56	Spread: Giants (-3.5)	Titans	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0x8f2e70…
09-27 02:33:42	ufc rao rau2 2026 09 26	Raul Rosas Jr.	SELL	34	13¢	$4	0x49262d…