Basic-Marimba — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$404

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

64.1%

Resolved

132

Trades

211

lifetime

Volume

$3.90K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$18

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-05

last 06-29 21:15

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 21 days

Categories

Crypto

51% 25% -$392

Other

48% 76% -$2

Politics

1% 50% -$7

Sports

0% 0% -$2

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-29).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will bitcoin dip to 62k february 2 8	2	$512	282	282	+0	Yes	+$52	02-06 00:11
bitcoin above 88k on january 31	2	$449	649	649	+0	No	-$31	01-27 22:27
bitcoin above 90k on january 31	2	$411	641	641	+0	No	+$91	01-27 20:22
will bitcoin dip to 50k in february 2026 273 489 988	2	$329	733	733	+0	No	-$211	02-06 17:48
bitcoin above 88k on february 4	1	$190	760	0	+760	No	-$190	01-29 16:18
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on May 7?	3	$169	94	94	+0	No	+$18	05-07 17:11
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 30°C on May 7?	2	$142	74	74	+0	No	+$6	05-07 22:09
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on May 7?	2	$65	36	36	+0	No	+$8	05-07 22:09
bitcoin above 62k on february 12	1	$58	967	0	+967	Yes	-$58	02-06 17:52
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on May 9?	2	$40	23	23	+0	No	$0	05-08 17:44
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 27°C on May 6?	2	$37	20	20	+0	No	+$3	05-06 11:36
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on May 8?	2	$36	21	21	+0	No	+$6	05-08 14:26
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C on May 8?	2	$24	14	14	+0	No	+$4	05-08 14:27
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on May 6?	2	$24	13	13	+0	No	+$2	05-06 22:10
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 27°C on May 8?	2	$23	13	13	+0	No	+$3	05-08 12:28
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 8?	2	$23	13	13	+0	No	+$3	05-08 12:28
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on May 7?	2	$22	12	12	+0	No	+$2	05-07 12:17
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C on May 8?	2	$22	12	12	+0	No	+$2	05-08 21:35
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 15°C on May 8?	2	$22	12	12	+0	No	+$2	05-08 21:36
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C on May 6?	2	$21	11	11	+0	No	+$1	05-06 12:19
highest temperature in chicago on april 24 2026 76forhigher	2	$21	11	11	+0	No	+$1	04-24 20:14
will x energys market cap be between 7b and 8b at market close on ipo day	2	$21	11	11	+0	No	+$1	04-24 20:29
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 Week of April 20 2026?	2	$21	11	11	+0	No	+$1	04-24 20:29
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on May 8?	2	$21	11	11	+0	No	+$1	05-08 21:36
will trump dance today	2	$21	11	11	+0	No	+$1	04-24 20:29
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 18°C on May 7?	2	$20	11	11	+0	No	+$0	05-07 17:12
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 70-71°F on May 8?	1	$20	22	0	+22	No	+$2	05-08 17:47
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 82-83°F on May 8?	2	$20	11	11	+0	No	$0	05-08 21:36
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 26°C on May 6?	2	$20	11	11	+0	No	+$2	05-06 19:06
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 26°C or higher on May 7?	2	$18	10	10	+0	No	+$0	05-06 22:12

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-29 21:15:52	Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$2	0xce171d…
05-28 12:14:01	Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	500	2¢	$8	0xac2229…
05-08 21:36:28	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 82-83°F on May 8?	No	SELL	11	92¢	$10	0x138e40…
05-08 21:36:17	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on May 8?	No	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0xd9f66d…
05-08 21:36:05	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 15°C on May 8?	No	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0xe2d062…
05-08 21:35:49	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C on May 8?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x7120ee…
05-08 17:53:01	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 82-83°F on May 8?	No	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x97ad59…
05-08 17:52:03	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 60-61°F on May 8?	No	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x23b3b6…
05-08 17:51:04	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 15°C on May 8?	No	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0xbd3ed1…
05-08 17:49:21	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C on May 8?	No	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0x1a13a2…
05-08 17:48:39	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on May 8?	No	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0x24239c…
05-08 17:47:39	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on May 8?	No	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0xaf47a8…
05-08 17:47:08	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 70-71°F on May 8?	No	BUY	22	91¢	$20	0xe6eecf…
05-08 17:44:04	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on May 9?	No	SELL	23	84¢	$20	0x6b11f2…
05-08 17:43:38	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on May 9?	No	BUY	23	86¢	$20	0x46749c…
05-08 17:41:37	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 20°C on May 8?	No	SELL	23	0¢	$0	0x5c0ea0…
05-08 17:41:30	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on May 8?	No	SELL	21	0¢	$0	0x93229f…
05-08 14:27:12	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C on May 8?	No	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0x237640…
05-08 14:26:51	Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on May 8?	No	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0x6e353e…
05-08 14:26:37	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on May 8?	No	SELL	21	6¢	$1	0xecc32e…
05-08 12:56:54	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on May 8?	No	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0x5ecfe3…
05-08 12:55:02	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 20°C on May 8?	No	BUY	23	65¢	$15	0x6944a4…
05-08 12:53:59	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C on May 8?	No	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0x9d97cf…
05-08 12:53:01	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on May 8?	No	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0x528dbf…
05-08 12:51:06	Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on May 8?	No	BUY	21	72¢	$15	0xece034…
05-08 12:28:49	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 8?	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0xfb6c1b…
05-08 12:28:37	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 27°C on May 8?	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x492de3…
05-07 23:01:43	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 24°C on May 8?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x6e6aa5…
05-07 23:00:26	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 27°C on May 8?	No	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0xdefda4…
05-07 22:59:21	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 29°C on May 8?	No	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0xef3369…
05-07 22:47:25	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on May 8?	No	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0x1259ac…
05-07 22:40:53	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on May 8?	No	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0x99cc5f…
05-07 22:39:54	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 8?	No	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0xead14b…
05-07 22:36:59	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on May 8?	No	BUY	13	80¢	$10	0x33999e…
05-07 22:35:35	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on May 8?	No	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x9754dc…
05-07 22:31:39	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on May 8?	No	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0xe816a6…
05-07 22:09:58	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on May 7?	No	SELL	36	100¢	$36	0xa6c0a9…
05-07 22:09:48	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 30°C on May 7?	No	SELL	74	100¢	$74	0x69fcd5…
05-07 21:40:08	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on May 7?	No	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x7482af…
05-07 17:24:38	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on May 7?	No	BUY	36	78¢	$28	0xb1adca…
05-07 17:14:45	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 30°C on May 7?	No	BUY	74	91¢	$68	0x0dbe63…
05-07 17:12:20	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 18°C on May 7?	No	SELL	11	98¢	$10	0xb7f193…
05-07 17:11:52	Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on May 7?	No	SELL	94	99¢	$93	0xbe3494…
05-07 13:57:45	Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on May 7?	No	BUY	81	80¢	$65	0x89b89a…
05-07 13:55:41	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 18°C on May 7?	No	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x32c861…
05-07 13:55:24	Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on May 7?	No	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0xaeeead…
05-07 12:17:25	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 7?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x85984b…
05-07 12:17:17	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on May 7?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x118df5…
05-07 02:06:07	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on May 7?	No	SELL	10	2¢	$0	0xffbd25…
05-07 02:04:54	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on May 7?	No	SELL	10	23¢	$2	0x49cedd…
05-06 22:22:09	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on May 7?	No	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0xd2e8be…
05-06 22:20:43	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C on May 7?	No	BUY	8	84¢	$7	0x69d4c6…
05-06 22:20:08	Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 32°C on May 7?	No	BUY	8	91¢	$7	0xffb735…
05-06 22:19:30	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on May 7?	No	BUY	8	93¢	$7	0xcbd01c…
05-06 22:19:02	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on May 7?	No	BUY	9	77¢	$7	0x33201e…
05-06 22:17:55	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 23°C on May 7?	No	BUY	8	90¢	$7	0x055b5d…
05-06 22:16:54	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on May 7?	No	BUY	8	88¢	$7	0x317eb2…
05-06 22:15:09	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 7?	No	BUY	8	87¢	$7	0x2b3228…
05-06 22:13:24	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on May 6?	No	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0x1f5fd0…
05-06 22:13:01	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on May 7?	No	SELL	9	94¢	$8	0xd3a80f…
05-06 22:12:44	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on May 7?	No	SELL	9	95¢	$8	0xbc2fe8…
05-06 22:12:07	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 26°C or higher on May 7?	No	SELL	10	97¢	$9	0x923a9e…
05-06 22:11:58	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on May 6?	No	SELL	9	97¢	$9	0x82107e…
05-06 22:10:59	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on May 6?	No	SELL	13	97¢	$13	0xa4eea6…
05-06 22:09:45	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on May 7?	No	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0x4e5bbd…
05-06 22:05:23	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 64-65°F on May 6?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x45c086…
05-06 21:02:26	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on May 6?	No	BUY	9	86¢	$8	0xb1cf27…
05-06 20:03:10	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 54-55°F on May 6?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x9641f9…
05-06 19:21:12	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 26°C or higher on May 7?	No	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0xcaed2d…
05-06 19:20:30	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on May 7?	No	BUY	9	92¢	$8	0xba65cb…
05-06 19:19:32	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on May 7?	No	BUY	9	92¢	$8	0xbecc67…
05-06 19:19:01	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on May 7?	No	BUY	9	92¢	$8	0xc249e2…
05-06 19:17:02	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on May 7?	No	BUY	10	82¢	$8	0xcb4cbc…
05-06 19:15:57	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on May 7?	No	BUY	9	88¢	$8	0x5f46d0…
05-06 19:06:51	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 26°C on May 6?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x45dbb7…
05-06 19:06:37	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 82-83°F on May 6?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x3ea1bb…
05-06 19:06:26	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 16°C on May 6?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x1a8ad0…
05-06 19:06:02	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C on May 6?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xf77f06…
05-06 19:05:48	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 22°C on May 6?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x8e59ea…
05-06 19:05:39	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on May 6?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xa91f80…
05-06 19:04:40	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on May 7?	No	BUY	10	83¢	$8	0x9c3c65…
05-06 17:14:02	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 26°C on May 6?	No	BUY	11	84¢	$9	0x1fb4c3…
05-06 13:46:20	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 17°C on May 6?	No	SELL	12	6¢	$1	0x0a725e…
05-06 12:33:32	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on May 6?	No	BUY	13	85¢	$11	0xad808e…
05-06 12:32:02	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on May 6?	No	BUY	7	94¢	$7	0xf2bfa4…
05-06 12:31:14	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 16°C on May 6?	No	BUY	8	87¢	$7	0x987945…
05-06 12:30:38	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 22°C on May 6?	No	BUY	8	93¢	$7	0x3522d5…
05-06 12:30:02	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 54-55°F on May 6?	No	BUY	8	89¢	$7	0x2e0767…
05-06 12:29:12	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 15°C on May 6?	No	BUY	10	72¢	$7	0xb3d0c0…
05-06 12:28:34	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C on May 6?	No	BUY	8	93¢	$7	0x9cb691…
05-06 12:26:18	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 17°C on May 6?	No	BUY	12	60¢	$7	0x1c6c1a…
05-06 12:24:16	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 64-65°F on May 6?	No	BUY	10	67¢	$7	0xd61349…
05-06 12:21:38	Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on May 6?	No	BUY	8	91¢	$7	0x251f68…
05-06 12:21:04	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on May 6?	No	BUY	8	90¢	$7	0x132531…
05-06 12:19:52	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C on May 6?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x5df5ec…
05-06 11:38:16	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 70-71°F on May 6?	No	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0xa9d90e…
05-06 11:37:54	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on May 6?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xf5bde2…
05-06 11:37:32	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on May 6?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x77a097…
05-06 11:37:18	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 27°C on May 6?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x5cef04…
05-06 11:37:06	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on May 6?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x41531d…