Lonely-Mother — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$5

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

33.8%

Resolved

Trades

530

lifetime

Volume

$244

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-22

last 05-11 04:54

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

55% 100% +$9

Politics

45% 0% $-4

Crypto

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

13 active days in 12wk • peak 139 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (5) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on May 7?	152	$36	1,106	954	+151	No	$-1	04-28 08:20
Will Lyft’s total rides in Q1 2026 be above 245m?	7	$25	26	12	+14	No	+$9	05-07 20:07
Will Russia enter Vasylivka by May 31, 2026?	6	$23	21	21	+0	open	—	05-06 16:40
Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on April 24?	29	$15	172	138	+34	open	—	04-23 13:51
Will Brian Varela be the Democratic nominee for NJ-07?	12	$15	109	88	+22	open	—	04-25 22:13
Will President Trump sign 5 pieces of legislation into law in April?	5	$13	14	14	+0	open	—	04-27 22:10
Spotify Monthly Active Users above 770M in Q1?	3	$12	7	7	+0	open	—	04-28 10:05
Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on May 4?	39	$10	241	141	+100	open	—	04-23 18:36
Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on May 3?	46	$10	223	168	+55	open	—	04-24 13:29
Will London have between 20-30mm of precipitation in April?	27	$9	204	109	+95	open	—	04-28 10:49
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	4	$7	13	12	+0	No	$-1	04-24 15:53
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $435 end of April?	6	$7	15	5	+10	open	—	04-28 02:00
will the dhs shutdown last 100 days or more 469 748	2	$6	7	7	+0	open	—	04-23 14:47
Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on April 23?	32	$6	529	1,114	-585	open	—	04-23 17:17
Will Russia enter Havrylivka by May 31, 2026?	2	$5	8	7	+0	open	—	04-27 10:19
Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on May 8?	21	$4	120	83	+37	No	$-1	04-23 15:52
Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on May 2?	8	$4	42	42	+0	open	—	04-23 10:59
Will Rebecca Bennett be the Democratic nominee for NJ-07?	2	$3	7	7	+0	open	—	04-24 14:10
Will the median home value in the San Francisco Metro area be between $1,226,000 and $1,244,000 on April 30?	1	$3	15	0	+15	open	—	04-27 00:29
Spotify Monthly Active Users above 760M in Q1?	2	$3	23	0	+23	open	—	04-28 10:05
Will Meta (META) close above $580 end of April?	4	$3	22	19	+3	open	—	04-27 13:33
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $120 end of April?	22	$2	106	96	+11	open	—	04-26 20:36
Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on April 28?	5	$2	20	11	+10	open	—	04-23 10:16
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $170 end of April?	8	$2	70	72	-2	open	—	04-24 07:05
Will Russia enter Myrne by May 31, 2026?	2	$2	7	6	+0	open	—	05-11 04:54
Octra FDV above $30M one day after launch?	3	$2	481	55	+426	open	—	04-23 08:15
Will Russia enter Rai-Oleksandrivka by May 31, 2026?	2	$2	8	7	+2	open	—	04-23 15:48
Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on May 6?	14	$1	63	21	+43	No	$-1	04-23 02:16
Will "The Great Divide" - Noah Kahan debut week album sales be less than 125k?	4	$1	83	0	+83	open	—	04-26 16:06
US announces military support of Kurds in Iran by April 30?	5	$1	21	19	+2	open	—	04-24 06:07

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-11 04:54:17	Will Russia enter Myrne by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	13¢	$1	0x4636a3…
05-11 04:34:15	Will Russia enter Myrne by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x5e3d06…
05-07 20:07:11	Will Lyft’s total rides in Q1 2026 be above 245m?	No	SELL	5	79¢	$4	0xee38d4…
05-07 19:52:08	Will Lyft’s total rides in Q1 2026 be above 245m?	No	BUY	8	49¢	$4	0xe83388…
05-07 19:41:34	Will Lyft’s total rides in Q1 2026 be above 245m?	No	BUY	1	53¢	$0	0x362263…
05-07 19:41:33	Will Lyft’s total rides in Q1 2026 be above 245m?	No	BUY	11	53¢	$6	0x8f2346…
05-07 19:26:52	Will Lyft’s total rides in Q1 2026 be above 245m?	No	SELL	7	79¢	$6	0x7759ba…
05-07 13:00:39	Will Lyft’s total rides in Q1 2026 be above 245m?	No	BUY	0	73¢	$0	0x79a01e…
05-07 12:47:42	Will Lyft’s total rides in Q1 2026 be above 245m?	No	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x094281…
05-06 16:40:19	Will Russia enter Vasylivka by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	51¢	$3	0xfed2b3…
05-06 16:06:45	Will Russia enter Vasylivka by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	55¢	$4	0xf14a7d…
05-04 08:26:06	Pakistan military action against Kabul by April 30?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x761cb8…
05-04 08:25:50	Pakistan military action against Kabul by April 30?	Yes	BUY	8	1¢	$0	0x09fb66…
05-04 07:10:42	Pakistan military action against Kabul by April 30?	Yes	SELL	7	3¢	$0	0xdfd5f9…
05-04 06:52:22	Pakistan military action against Kabul by April 30?	Yes	BUY	19	1¢	$0	0x9729af…
05-03 05:43:48	Will Russia capture Lyman by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0xf9c562…
05-02 23:06:56	Will Russia enter Vasylivka by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	55¢	$4	0x1c8d6a…
05-02 22:32:08	Will Russia enter Vasylivka by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	56¢	$4	0x84a99c…
04-28 10:49:32	Will London have between 20-30mm of precipitation in April?	Yes	SELL	23	3¢	$1	0x247341…
04-28 10:05:56	Spotify Monthly Active Users above 760M in Q1?	No	BUY	14	3¢	$0	0xb8b069…
04-28 10:05:40	Spotify Monthly Active Users above 770M in Q1?	No	SELL	7	96¢	$6	0xcaafb9…
04-28 09:39:24	Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $270 end of April?	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x5be24f…
04-28 09:06:38	Spotify Monthly Active Users above 770M in Q1?	No	BUY	3	86¢	$3	0xe163b0…
04-28 09:06:38	Spotify Monthly Active Users above 770M in Q1?	No	BUY	4	86¢	$3	0xab63ed…
04-28 08:20:30	Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on May 7?	Yes	SELL	13	2¢	$0	0xcde6f1…
04-28 08:10:14	Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on May 7?	Yes	SELL	37	2¢	$1	0x75a914…
04-28 05:56:42	Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on May 7?	Yes	BUY	13	2¢	$0	0xf02d01…
04-28 05:56:42	Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on May 7?	Yes	BUY	7	2¢	$0	0x57a2be…
04-28 05:56:42	Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on May 7?	Yes	BUY	30	2¢	$1	0x1afe39…
04-28 05:39:56	Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on May 7?	Yes	SELL	32	3¢	$1	0x147b24…
04-28 04:44:16	Will Opendoor (OPEN) close above $2.00 end of April?	No	BUY	71	1¢	$0	0xa54948…
04-28 02:00:20	Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $435 end of April?	Yes	BUY	1	39¢	$0	0xe60a3e…
04-28 02:00:20	Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $435 end of April?	Yes	BUY	1	39¢	$0	0x452905…
04-28 01:59:50	Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $435 end of April?	Yes	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x6d1a97…
04-28 01:32:00	Will London have between 20-30mm of precipitation in April?	Yes	BUY	22	1¢	$0	0xd13962…
04-28 00:35:44	Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $435 end of April?	Yes	SELL	4	39¢	$2	0xbac876…
04-28 00:35:44	Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $435 end of April?	Yes	SELL	1	39¢	$0	0x4b60b8…
04-27 22:10:48	Will President Trump sign 5 pieces of legislation into law in April?	Yes	SELL	8	37¢	$3	0x4f6843…
04-27 22:06:08	Will Russia capture Lyman by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x9492e6…
04-27 21:43:30	Will London have between 20-30mm of precipitation in April?	Yes	BUY	27	2¢	$1	0x6bf359…
04-27 21:03:52	Spotify Monthly Active Users above 760M in Q1?	No	BUY	8	31¢	$3	0x9362d7…
04-27 19:34:56	Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on May 7?	Yes	BUY	21	2¢	$0	0xf525aa…
04-27 17:53:50	Will "The Great Divide" - Noah Kahan debut week album sales be between 225k and 250k?	Yes	BUY	0	1¢	$0	0xef98d1…
04-27 17:53:50	Will "The Great Divide" - Noah Kahan debut week album sales be between 225k and 250k?	Yes	BUY	7	1¢	$0	0x78045a…
04-27 17:36:14	Will President Trump sign 5 pieces of legislation into law in April?	Yes	BUY	7	46¢	$3	0x57ae6b…
04-27 16:12:56	Will "The Great Divide" - Noah Kahan debut week album sales be between 225k and 250k?	Yes	BUY	12	1¢	$0	0xbf181b…
04-27 15:15:02	Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on May 7?	Yes	SELL	34	3¢	$1	0xe26df8…
04-27 13:59:38	Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on May 7?	Yes	BUY	9	2¢	$0	0x5051a7…
04-27 13:33:16	Will Meta (META) close above $580 end of April?	No	SELL	13	5¢	$1	0x9336f5…
04-27 13:31:50	Will Meta (META) close above $580 end of April?	No	BUY	6	6¢	$0	0x15279c…
04-27 13:16:12	Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on May 7?	Yes	BUY	26	3¢	$1	0x12654b…
04-27 13:03:58	Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $435 end of April?	Yes	BUY	8	28¢	$2	0x8e1149…
04-27 12:47:14	Will London have between 20-30mm of precipitation in April?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0xc9b3c2…
04-27 12:03:56	Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on May 7?	Yes	SELL	29	2¢	$0	0xec6f38…
04-27 11:34:18	Will the median home value in the San Francisco Metro area be greater than $1,262,000 on April 30?	Yes	BUY	15	1¢	$0	0x7d7f97…
04-27 10:46:18	Will London have between 20-30mm of precipitation in April?	Yes	SELL	5	5¢	$0	0xeaeaf4…
04-27 10:43:02	Will Russia enter Vasylivka by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	51¢	$4	0xc9e206…
04-27 10:19:18	Will Russia enter Havrylivka by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	25¢	$2	0x0d65dc…
04-27 10:18:08	Will London have between 20-30mm of precipitation in April?	Yes	SELL	9	5¢	$0	0xa48e4d…
04-27 09:12:44	Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $345 end of April?	No	BUY	51	1¢	$1	0xe44dd7…
04-27 09:12:44	Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $345 end of April?	No	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0x74b768…
04-27 07:46:48	Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on May 7?	Yes	SELL	10	2¢	$0	0xe10aa5…
04-27 07:06:08	Will London have between 20-30mm of precipitation in April?	Yes	BUY	67	2¢	$1	0xa4066f…
04-27 07:04:08	Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on May 7?	Yes	BUY	16	2¢	$0	0xa3761b…
04-27 06:53:10	Will London have between 20-30mm of precipitation in April?	Yes	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0xd5255f…
04-27 04:14:10	Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on May 7?	Yes	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0x2bded0…
04-27 02:36:46	Will London have between 20-30mm of precipitation in April?	Yes	BUY	4	2¢	$0	0x84e5f1…
04-27 00:40:34	Will the median home value in Chicago be between $344,000 and $346,000 on April 30?	Yes	BUY	24	1¢	$0	0x0ce951…
04-27 00:40:32	Will the median home value in Chicago be between $344,000 and $346,000 on April 30?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xb13032…
04-27 00:29:14	Will the median home value in the San Francisco Metro area be between $1,226,000 and $1,244,000 on April 30?	No	BUY	15	23¢	$3	0x5aaa92…
04-26 22:51:18	Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on May 7?	Yes	SELL	29	3¢	$1	0xd3ea4b…
04-26 22:21:32	Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on May 7?	Yes	BUY	6	3¢	$0	0xa14c5b…
04-26 22:21:32	Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on May 7?	Yes	BUY	20	3¢	$1	0x13ba75…
04-26 22:12:00	Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on May 7?	Yes	SELL	6	4¢	$0	0x33edb4…
04-26 21:37:54	Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on May 7?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0xe086ed…
04-26 21:37:54	Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on May 7?	Yes	BUY	4	4¢	$0	0x2ee5f2…
04-26 20:57:06	Will London have between 20-30mm of precipitation in April?	Yes	SELL	1	2¢	$0	0xa3f11a…
04-26 20:56:58	Will London have between 20-30mm of precipitation in April?	Yes	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0xef8fe9…
04-26 20:56:52	Will London have between 20-30mm of precipitation in April?	Yes	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0xb60178…
04-26 20:56:44	Will London have between 20-30mm of precipitation in April?	Yes	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0xea6bdd…
04-26 20:56:38	Will London have between 20-30mm of precipitation in April?	Yes	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0xb53ce0…
04-26 20:56:32	Will London have between 20-30mm of precipitation in April?	Yes	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0xb448c9…
04-26 20:36:00	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $120 end of April?	No	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x926239…
04-26 20:27:26	Will the median home value in New York City be between $575,000 and $582,000 on April 30?	Yes	BUY	3	2¢	$0	0x6d3643…
04-26 20:27:24	Will the median home value in New York City be between $575,000 and $582,000 on April 30?	Yes	BUY	7	3¢	$0	0xa5135a…
04-26 19:00:30	Will "The Great Divide" - Noah Kahan debut week album sales be between 225k and 250k?	Yes	BUY	0	2¢	$0	0x8e5100…
04-26 16:56:18	Will President Trump sign 5 pieces of legislation into law in April?	Yes	SELL	6	54¢	$3	0x775c17…
04-26 16:50:32	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $120 end of April?	No	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0xadcd78…
04-26 16:06:26	Will "The Great Divide" - Noah Kahan debut week album sales be less than 125k?	Yes	BUY	12	1¢	$0	0xd1924f…
04-26 15:05:16	Will President Trump sign 5 pieces of legislation into law in April?	Yes	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x425c12…
04-26 13:12:40	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $120 end of April?	No	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0xf7babe…
04-26 10:30:32	Will any of the stolen KitKats be recovered by April 30?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x1ccb59…
04-26 09:51:32	Will Russia enter Havrylivka by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	40¢	$3	0xd4dd18…
04-26 09:49:02	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $120 end of April?	No	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x3a0d5b…
04-26 05:57:38	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $120 end of April?	No	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x4b6354…
04-26 03:19:48	Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on May 7?	Yes	SELL	18	2¢	$0	0x7fbf97…
04-26 03:19:36	Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on May 7?	Yes	SELL	23	2¢	$0	0x63a21c…
04-26 03:07:00	Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on May 7?	Yes	BUY	30	2¢	$1	0xf37306…
04-26 03:07:00	Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on May 7?	Yes	BUY	11	2¢	$0	0x4f4581…
04-26 02:03:04	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $120 end of April?	No	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x721d83…