Will the median home value in the San Francisco Metro area be between $1,226,000 and $1,244,000 on April 30?
closed
Total volume
$358
Trades
47
Unique wallets
17
Liquidity
$0
End date
2026-04-30
First seen
2026-04-02
last 04-27 00:29
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Not enough snapshot data yet — the snapshot daemon polls every 5 min.
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-31.1¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $10
vs crowd: 31% YES on $205)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 2 | — | $19 | $19 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 6 | $18 | $31 | $13 |
| 🐟 Fish | 3 | $20 | $76 | $56 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 6 | $25 | $14 | +$11 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | — | $10 | $10 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 1 | $1 | — | +$1 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 2 | $1 | — | +$1 |
| Median | 3 | $13 | $3 | +$9 |
| Below median | 4 | $8 | $31 | $24 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | — | $5 | $5 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 1 | — | $10 | $10 |
| unranked | 4 | $42 | $82 | $41 |
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0xedaf…895d | Yes | +41 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 04-24 23:31 |
| Glorious-Pretzel 0x2b24…1586 | Yes | +16 | $-32 | $76 | 6 | 04-27 00:29 |
| Lonely-Mother 0x2056…2dbe | No | +15 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 04-27 00:29 |
| (anonymous) 0x5aec…904b | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 2 | 04-02 23:50 |
| Different-Ecclesia 0xb6fa…abcf | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 04-02 23:23 |
| (anonymous) 0x1da1…5d8c | No | +9 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 04-23 16:11 |
| Quaint-Shock 0xecc1…5931 | Yes | +5 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 04-22 13:45 |
| Brown-Destination 0xc540…f00d | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 04-02 23:52 |
| (anonymous) 0xedaf…895d | No | +3 | $29 | $124 | 8 | 04-26 04:02 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-27 00:29:14 | Glorious-Pretzel 0x2b24…1586 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 77¢ | $12 | 0x5aaa92… |
| 04-27 00:29:14 | Lonely-Mother 0x2056…2dbe | No | BUY | 15 | 23¢ | $3 | 0x5aaa92… |
| 04-26 04:02:04 | Glorious-Pretzel 0x2b24…1586 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 55¢ | $5 | 0xbcfa56… |
| 04-26 04:02:04 | (anonymous) 0xedaf…895d | No | SELL | 10 | 45¢ | $5 | 0xbcfa56… |
| 04-24 23:31:18 | Glorious-Pretzel 0x2b24…1586 | Yes | SELL | 41 | 48¢ | $20 | 0x513b5e… |
| 04-24 23:31:18 | (anonymous) 0xedaf…895d | Yes | BUY | 41 | 48¢ | $20 | 0x513b5e… |
| 04-24 23:29:24 | Glorious-Pretzel 0x2b24…1586 | Yes | SELL | 61 | 48¢ | $29 | 0xa6da37… |
| 04-24 23:29:24 | (anonymous) 0xedaf…895d | No | SELL | 61 | 52¢ | $32 | 0xa6da37… |
| 04-23 16:11:14 | (anonymous) 0x1da1…5d8c | No | BUY | 9 | 57¢ | $5 | 0xaeb86c… |
| 04-23 16:11:14 | (anonymous) 0xedaf…895d | No | SELL | 9 | 57¢ | $5 | 0xaeb86c… |
| 04-22 13:45:38 | (anonymous) 0xedaf…895d | No | BUY | 5 | 41¢ | $2 | 0xb5e95f… |
| 04-22 13:45:38 | Quaint-Shock 0xecc1…5931 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 59¢ | $3 | 0xb5e95f… |
| 04-19 04:28:30 | (anonymous) 0x7c15…9667 | Yes | SELL | 23 | 43¢ | $10 | 0x8431d0… |
| 04-19 04:28:30 | (anonymous) 0x3dfb…ebbf | No | SELL | 23 | 57¢ | $13 | 0x8431d0… |
| 04-19 04:28:06 | (anonymous) 0x7c15…9667 | Yes | BUY | 23 | 43¢ | $10 | 0x007222… |
| 04-19 04:28:06 | (anonymous) 0x3dfb…ebbf | No | BUY | 23 | 57¢ | $13 | 0x007222… |
| 04-17 00:17:44 | (anonymous) 0xdbde…3dc9 | Yes | SELL | 21 | 37¢ | $8 | 0x8917e8… |
| 04-17 00:17:44 | (anonymous) 0x370e…5df3 | No | SELL | 21 | 63¢ | $13 | 0x8917e8… |
| 04-17 00:17:16 | (anonymous) 0x370e…5df3 | No | BUY | 21 | 63¢ | $13 | 0x935e01… |
| 04-17 00:17:16 | (anonymous) 0xdbde…3dc9 | Yes | BUY | 21 | 37¢ | $8 | 0x935e01… |
| 04-15 03:59:46 | (anonymous) 0xedaf…895d | No | BUY | 9 | 54¢ | $5 | 0xc28268… |
| 04-15 03:59:46 | Pungent-Meter 0x9e09…c25d | No | SELL | 9 | 54¢ | $5 | 0xc28268… |
| 04-14 15:09:53 | (anonymous) 0xedaf…895d | No | SELL | 9 | 67¢ | $6 | 0xdd80d3… |
| 04-14 15:09:53 | Pungent-Meter 0x9e09…c25d | No | BUY | 9 | 67¢ | $6 | 0xdd80d3… |
| 04-06 04:00:57 | Glorious-Pretzel 0x2b24…1586 | Yes | BUY | 36 | 11¢ | $4 | 0x6226df… |
| 04-06 04:00:57 | (anonymous) 0xedaf…895d | No | BUY | 36 | 89¢ | $32 | 0x6226df… |
| 04-06 03:44:23 | Honest-Basil 0x765c…dbb6 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x386eb7… |
| 04-06 03:44:23 | (anonymous) 0xedaf…895d | No | BUY | 41 | 90¢ | $37 | 0x386eb7… |
| 04-06 03:44:23 | Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | Yes | SELL | 16 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x386eb7… |
| 04-06 03:44:23 | Glorious-Pretzel 0x2b24…1586 | Yes | BUY | 77 | 8¢ | $6 | 0x386eb7… |
| 04-04 23:30:39 | (anonymous) 0xa98c…20d5 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x459593… |
| 04-04 23:30:39 | Honest-Basil 0x765c…dbb6 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x459593… |
| 04-02 23:52:11 | Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | Yes | BUY | 1 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xd01493… |
| 04-02 23:52:11 | Brown-Destination 0xc540…f00d | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0xd01493… |
| 04-02 23:52:11 | (anonymous) 0xa98c…20d5 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xd01493… |
| 04-02 23:52:09 | (anonymous) 0xa98c…20d5 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xe09e52… |
| 04-02 23:52:09 | Neighboring-Cucumber 0x16fe…1ddc | Yes | SELL | 6 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xe09e52… |
| 04-02 23:52:09 | Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | Yes | BUY | 0 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xe09e52… |
| 04-02 23:50:25 | (anonymous) 0x5aec…904b | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x054a08… |
| 04-02 23:50:25 | Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | Yes | BUY | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x054a08… |
| 04-02 23:48:25 | Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | Yes | BUY | 7 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x1b9bf5… |
| 04-02 23:48:25 | Neighboring-Cucumber 0x16fe…1ddc | Yes | SELL | 7 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x1b9bf5… |
| 04-02 23:47:19 | Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | Yes | BUY | 2 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x96c7d8… |
| 04-02 23:47:19 | (anonymous) 0x5aec…904b | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x96c7d8… |
| 04-02 23:47:19 | Honest-Basil 0x765c…dbb6 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x96c7d8… |
| 04-02 23:23:55 | Different-Ecclesia 0xb6fa…abcf | No | BUY | 10 | 96¢ | $10 | 0x93943b… |
| 04-02 23:23:55 | Honest-Basil 0x765c…dbb6 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x93943b… |