Realized P&L (30d)
-$8
Unrealized P&L
-$3
Hit rate
74.8%
Resolved (30d)
738
Trades (30d)
2,185
2,185 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$4.02K
$4.02K lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$21
24 positions
First seen
2026-10-12
last 11-10 07:53
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 22 days
Categories
Crypto
97% 74% -$11
Other
2% 87% +$3
Politics
0% — —
Sports
0% 50% $0
Tech
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
22 active days in 12wk • peak 674 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026? No +2 $1 96¢ $2 +$0 11-08 23:08
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 12, 2026? Yes +2 $1 55¢ $1 +$0 11-08 23:02
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +3 $1 38¢ $1 +$0 11-07 21:55
Will Japan Q3 GDP growth (annualized) be between 0.0% and 0.8%? No +2 $1 70¢ $1 +$0 11-09 19:49
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 24°C on November 10? No +1 $1 72¢ $1 +$0 11-09 18:09
Will UK annual inflation be between 3.7% and 3.9% in October? Yes +2 $1 54¢ $1 +$0 11-09 17:10
Will Kai Cenat finish his GTA marathon by November 10? No +1 $1 84¢ $1 $0 11-10 07:53
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +2 $1 66¢ $1 $0 11-09 19:32
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by November 15? No +2 $1 54¢ $1 $0 11-09 19:49
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 78-79°F on November 11? No +2 $1 56¢ $1 $0 11-10 06:02
Will 210 or more ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between November 9-November 15? No +1 $1 82¢ $1 $0 11-09 21:54
Will Jeremiah Smith win the 2026 Heisman Trophy? No +1 $1 73¢ $1 $0 11-09 20:58
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by November 8? No +1 $1 82¢ $1 $0 11-10 07:37
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026? No +1 $1 79¢ $1 $0 11-08 07:56
Will Anthropic IPO by November 20, 2026? Yes +1 $1 76¢ $1 $0 11-10 01:05
Will Malaysia win Eurovision Asia 2026? No +2 $1 42¢ $1 $0 11-07 16:24
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 9 to November 11, 2026? No +2 $1 56¢ $1 $0 11-09 18:03
Will Zoran Janković win the 2026 Ljubljana mayoral election? No +2 $1 36¢ $1 $0 11-08 19:41
Will the Republican Party hold between 175 and 179 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections? No +3 $1 23¢ $1 $0 11-08 02:06
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-03 House seat? No +5 $1 13¢ $1 $0 11-07 18:54
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026? No +1 $1 29¢ $0 -$1 11-08 07:56
Will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released between November 9 and November 15, 2026? Yes +0 $0 62¢ $0 +$0 11-08 23:02
Will Gemini Carbon be released on November 10, 2026? No +2 $1 10¢ $0 -$1 11-07 19:55
Gemini Carbon released by November 13, 2026? No +5 $1 2¢ $0 -$1 11-07 19:55