(anonymous) 0x206a5d…af1d46 Create alert
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Realized P&L (90d)
-$11
Unrealized P&L
-$1
Hit rate
74.7%
Resolved (90d)
753
Trades (90d)
2,215
2,215 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$4.06K
$4.06K lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$29
30 positions
First seen
2026-10-12
last 11-11 10:25
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 23 days
Categories
Crypto
96% 74% -$11
Other
3% 71% +$1
Politics
0% 100% +$0
Sports
0% 33% -$1
Tech
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
23 active days in 12wk • peak 674 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on November 11? No +2 $1 64¢ $1 +$0 11-11 05:37
Will the highest temperature in London be 9°C on November 12? No +2 $1 62¢ $1 +$0 11-10 16:43
Will "Victorian Psycho" score at least 80 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? No +1 $1 94¢ $1 +$0 11-10 13:25
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +3 $1 39¢ $1 +$0 11-07 21:55
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 12, 2026? Yes +2 $1 55¢ $1 +$0 11-08 23:02
Will UK annual inflation be between 3.7% and 3.9% in October? Yes +2 $1 64¢ $1 +$0 11-09 17:10
Will Anthropic IPO by November 20, 2026? Yes +1 $1 94¢ $1 +$0 11-10 01:05
Will Iran target the United Arab Emirates by November 15, 2026? No +1 $1 90¢ $1 +$0 11-10 16:03
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 17°C on November 12? No +2 $1 72¢ $1 +$0 11-10 15:02
Will Japan Q3 GDP growth (annualized) be between 0.0% and 0.8%? No +2 $1 73¢ $1 +$0 11-09 19:49
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 6°C on November 11? No +1 $1 90¢ $1 +$0 11-10 18:50
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 15, 2026? Yes +2 $1 63¢ $1 +$0 11-11 05:52
Will 210 or more ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between November 9-November 15? No +1 $1 87¢ $1 +$0 11-09 21:54
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 78-79°F on November 11? No +2 $1 59¢ $1 +$0 11-10 06:02
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on November 12? No +2 $1 59¢ $1 +$0 11-11 10:25
Will Zoran Janković win the 2026 Ljubljana mayoral election? No +2 $1 44¢ $1 +$0 11-08 19:41
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +2 $1 46¢ $1 +$0 11-10 20:37
Will Pablo Picasso's “Le Baiser” sell for at least $70m at auction? No +1 $1 83¢ $1 +$0 11-10 20:42
Will Chuck Schumer be the next Senate Majority Leader? Yes +1 $1 86¢ $1 $0 11-10 20:17
Will Jeremiah Smith win the 2026 Heisman Trophy? No +1 $1 72¢ $1 $0 11-09 20:58
Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 15, 2026? Yes +6 $1 16¢ $1 $0 11-10 18:43
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by November 8? No +1 $1 74¢ $1 $0 11-10 07:37
Will Malaysia win Eurovision Asia 2026? No +2 $1 40¢ $1 $0 11-07 16:24
Will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released on November 12, 2026? No +2 $1 42¢ $1 $0 11-10 21:13
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by November 15? No +2 $1 46¢ $1 $0 11-09 19:49
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +2 $1 42¢ $1 $0 11-09 19:32
Will the Republican Party hold between 175 and 179 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections? No +3 $1 15¢ $1 -$1 11-08 02:06
Will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released between November 9 and November 15, 2026? Yes +0 $0 62¢ $0 +$0 11-08 23:02
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from November 9 to November 11, 2026? No +1 $1 20¢ $0 -$1 11-10 17:05
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-03 House seat? No +5 $1 1¢ $0 -$1 11-07 18:54