Smart-Foal — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$279

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

52.8%

Resolved

260

Trades

3,561

lifetime

Volume

$9.34K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-02

last 05-19 15:53

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Crypto

94% 28% $-279

Other

3% — —

Politics

2% — —

Tech

1% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

18 active days in 12wk • peak 429 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
eth updown 5m 1775196300	23	$259	308	286	+22	open	—	04-03 06:10
eth updown 5m 1775286600	9	$176	168	160	+7	open	—	04-04 07:15
Will Trump announce a tariff reduction on China?	9	$147	160	160	+0	open	—	05-16 16:10
Will Greece be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	4	$95	87	74	+13	open	—	05-16 22:55
Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	19	$94	70	70	+0	open	—	05-02 19:05
eth updown 5m 1775119800	4	$86	75	45	+29	open	—	04-02 08:55
eth updown 5m 1775310600	11	$74	167	79	+88	open	—	04-04 13:54
btc updown 5m 1775184300	6	$73	80	80	+1	open	—	04-03 02:49
eth updown 5m 1775178600	4	$71	107	100	+7	open	—	04-03 01:15
Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	29	$71	50	50	+0	open	—	05-03 14:25
btc updown 15m 1775269800	7	$69	112	104	+8	open	—	04-04 02:45
Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	20	$66	50	44	+6	open	—	05-03 12:25
Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	18	$63	40	45	-4	open	—	05-03 13:18
Solana Up or Down - May 9, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	14	$61	60	60	+0	Up	+$2	05-09 08:24
btc updown 5m 1775318700	3	$61	42	40	+1	open	—	04-04 16:10
xrp updown 5m 1775187300	10	$61	59	59	+0	open	—	04-03 03:40
eth updown 5m 1775187900	5	$60	31	31	+0	open	—	04-03 03:49
btc updown 5m 1775187900	3	$57	33	32	+1	open	—	04-03 03:50
sol updown 5m 1775188200	5	$56	61	30	+31	open	—	04-03 03:54
btc updown 5m 1775110200	4	$55	86	0	+86	open	—	04-02 06:14
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?	5	$54	49	49	+0	open	—	05-19 15:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	5	$52	42	42	+0	Up	+$18	05-09 05:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	13	$52	44	22	+22	Up	$-0	05-12 12:40
eth updown 5m 1775320200	36	$49	344	0	+344	open	—	04-04 16:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	10	$47	54	28	+26	Down	+$11	05-09 23:59
Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	16	$47	40	30	+10	open	—	05-03 11:19
btc updown 5m 1775308200	3	$46	61	0	+61	open	—	04-04 13:15
btc updown 5m 1775316600	3	$45	26	26	+0	open	—	04-04 15:34
eth updown 5m 1775130000	6	$45	26	26	+0	open	—	04-02 11:44
btc updown 5m 1775313000	20	$44	299	0	+299	open	—	04-04 14:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-19 15:53:16	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?	Yes	SELL	18	76¢	$14	0xf1b5ac…
05-19 15:02:14	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?	Yes	SELL	6	76¢	$5	0x9c38fa…
05-19 14:11:50	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?	Yes	BUY	25	36¢	$9	0x86c2da…
05-19 13:59:59	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?	Yes	SELL	24	76¢	$18	0xdb4d5d…
05-19 13:57:41	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?	Yes	BUY	24	36¢	$9	0xa49c0d…
05-18 18:56:57	Solana Up or Down - May 18, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	6¢	$0	0xb4f0fc…
05-18 18:56:57	Solana Up or Down - May 18, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	6¢	$0	0x1ef921…
05-18 17:05:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0xedfbdb…
05-18 12:02:24	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	No	SELL	40	56¢	$22	0x68b6d6…
05-18 11:04:20	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	40	30¢	$12	0xa7e21c…
05-17 12:09:04	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0xb1c634…
05-17 12:06:49	XRP Up or Down - May 17, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0x9046c5…
05-17 06:54:09	Will China announce a Boeing aircraft purchase by May 22?	No	BUY	93	30¢	$28	0x1bcbdf…
05-16 22:58:04	Will Romania be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	17	28¢	$5	0xfab2ad…
05-16 22:58:04	Will Romania be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	23	40¢	$9	0x9b0eda…
05-16 22:58:04	Will Romania be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	20	28¢	$6	0x5a72ff…
05-16 22:58:04	Will Romania be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	31	41¢	$13	0x32c3c4…
05-16 22:56:15	Will Finland be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	31	39¢	$12	0x988077…
05-16 22:56:15	Will Finland be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	37¢	$6	0x7d0a42…
05-16 22:55:56	Will Finland be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	39¢	$3	0xe04150…
05-16 22:55:52	Will France be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	49	43¢	$21	0x343549…
05-16 22:55:35	Will Greece be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	74	99¢	$73	0x81ae7e…
05-16 22:55:35	Will France be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	43¢	$1	0x7acb29…
05-16 22:52:26	Will Greece be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	26¢	$3	0x80cf41…
05-16 22:52:05	Will Greece be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	62	26¢	$16	0x1ff4ca…
05-16 22:52:03	Will Greece be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	26¢	$3	0xe0976a…
05-16 18:19:28	XRP Up or Down - May 16, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0xb894bb…
05-16 18:19:10	XRP Up or Down - May 16, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0xd55118…
05-16 18:09:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	SELL	2	94¢	$2	0x09e2ab…
05-16 18:09:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0x3d6308…
05-16 17:21:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x5f947a…
05-16 16:10:03	Will Trump announce a tariff reduction on China?	No	SELL	76	46¢	$35	0x9bc9ec…
05-16 12:26:43	Will Trump announce a tariff reduction on China?	No	BUY	45	37¢	$17	0x550505…
05-16 12:25:05	Will Trump announce a tariff reduction on China?	No	BUY	2	37¢	$1	0xdddced…
05-16 12:25:05	Will Trump announce a tariff reduction on China?	No	BUY	8	37¢	$3	0x99482b…
05-16 12:25:05	Will Trump announce a tariff reduction on China?	No	BUY	8	37¢	$3	0x471973…
05-16 12:25:03	Will Trump announce a tariff reduction on China?	No	BUY	13	37¢	$5	0x0d34fa…
05-16 07:34:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x06a2cd…
05-16 07:05:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	10	6¢	$1	0x56de1b…
05-16 06:49:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0xd05465…
05-16 06:49:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	BUY	9	7¢	$1	0x5d982b…
05-16 06:49:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0x285ecb…
05-16 04:25:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Down	BUY	10	7¢	$1	0x14b4a6…
05-16 04:25:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Down	BUY	10	6¢	$1	0xbc8519…
05-16 04:19:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	BUY	10	6¢	$1	0x9623b9…
05-16 03:59:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xd55dbc…
05-15 21:49:34	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	2	29¢	$1	0xf00d31…
05-15 21:49:34	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0xd569f9…
05-15 21:49:34	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0xa43d8a…
05-15 21:49:32	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xf69995…
05-15 21:49:32	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0x987893…
05-15 21:49:30	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	2	29¢	$1	0xf8e74c…
05-15 21:49:30	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	1	29¢	$0	0xe8c60a…
05-15 21:49:30	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	4	29¢	$1	0xa04a0f…
05-15 21:49:30	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	0	29¢	$0	0x63f8cb…
05-15 21:49:30	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x5cd652…
05-15 21:49:30	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x4b3f64…
05-15 21:49:30	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	1	29¢	$0	0x427aa8…
05-15 21:49:30	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	2	29¢	$1	0x3e15b6…
05-15 21:49:30	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	1	29¢	$0	0x3a6bcf…
05-15 21:49:30	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	2	29¢	$0	0x18f1f4…
05-15 21:49:30	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	1	29¢	$0	0x03f5e0…
05-15 21:49:30	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	4	29¢	$1	0x0329e2…
05-15 21:49:28	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	1	29¢	$0	0xff806b…
05-15 21:49:28	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	1	29¢	$0	0xedb94b…
05-15 21:49:28	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	1	29¢	$0	0x92a9b7…
05-15 21:49:28	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	2	29¢	$0	0x893129…
05-15 21:49:28	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	2	29¢	$0	0x4040e7…
05-15 21:49:28	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	1	29¢	$0	0x16f916…
05-15 21:49:27	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	1	29¢	$0	0xa9f33f…
05-15 21:49:27	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	2	29¢	$0	0x8bd268…
05-15 21:49:25	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	1	29¢	$0	0xe8af38…
05-15 21:49:25	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	1	29¢	$0	0x262b8c…
05-15 21:49:25	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	2	29¢	$0	0x24ac8e…
05-15 21:49:23	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x207f61…
05-15 18:10:24	Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 15?	No	BUY	46	31¢	$14	0x04c5d0…
05-15 18:10:19	Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 15?	No	BUY	14	31¢	$4	0xb1df1c…
05-15 18:10:19	Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 15?	No	BUY	14	31¢	$4	0x37f6d9…
05-15 18:10:10	Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 15?	No	BUY	14	31¢	$4	0x64f2c5…
05-15 18:10:08	Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 15?	No	BUY	2	31¢	$0	0x1dc322…
05-15 15:38:34	Will Trump announce a tariff reduction on China?	No	SELL	71	66¢	$47	0x405f9a…
05-15 15:34:58	Will Trump announce a tariff reduction on China?	No	SELL	14	66¢	$9	0x26e1e3…
05-15 15:27:20	Will Russia enter Vozdvyzhivka by May 31?	No	SELL	27	7¢	$2	0x018f81…
05-15 15:23:10	US federally charges ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro?	No	SELL	34	38¢	$13	0xd751df…
05-15 14:07:39	Will Trump announce a tariff reduction on China?	No	BUY	85	33¢	$28	0x436d67…
05-15 13:44:45	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	6¢	$1	0xbde0b4…
05-15 12:40:02	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	SELL	8	11¢	$1	0xcdb62a…
05-15 12:39:55	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	6¢	$0	0xe183fb…
05-15 12:39:50	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	11	5¢	$1	0x23dd75…
05-15 09:58:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	30	4¢	$1	0x56e78c…
05-15 09:49:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	18	8¢	$1	0xb70d51…
05-15 09:49:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	8¢	$0	0x98d6a2…
05-15 09:49:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	23¢	$0	0x6c3a6e…
05-15 09:49:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	23¢	$0	0x1a85f3…
05-15 09:49:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	8	23¢	$2	0x405243…
05-15 07:41:13	Will Russia enter Vozdvyzhivka by May 31?	No	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x7523ed…
05-15 07:41:08	Will Russia enter Vozdvyzhivka by May 31?	No	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x8dc25b…
05-15 07:40:52	Will Russia enter Vozdvyzhivka by May 31?	No	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x938533…
05-15 07:38:15	Will Russia enter Vozdvyzhivka by May 31?	No	BUY	7	24¢	$2	0x08f30e…
05-15 04:16:46	Will Drake feature Future on ICEMAN?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x3b5924…