Smart-Foal — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$677

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

53.5%

Resolved

910

Trades

3,613

lifetime

Volume

$9.53K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-02

last 05-19 15:53

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 31 days

Categories

Crypto

93% 30% -$563

Other

4% 20% -$147

Politics

2% 83% +$24

Tech

1% 50% +$6

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$3

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-19).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-03 06:05 UTC	23	$259	308	286	+22	Down	+$211	04-03 06:10
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-04 07:10 UTC	9	$176	168	160	+7	Up	+$112	04-04 07:15
Will Trump announce a tariff reduction on China?	9	$147	160	160	+0	No	+$35	05-16 16:10
Will Greece be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	4	$95	87	74	+13	Yes	+$63	05-16 22:55
Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	19	$94	70	70	+0	Down	+$39	05-02 19:05
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-02 08:50 UTC	4	$86	75	45	+29	Down	+$27	04-02 08:55
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-04 13:50 UTC	11	$74	167	79	+88	Up	+$20	04-04 13:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-03 02:45 UTC	6	$73	80	80	+1	Up	-$6	04-03 02:49
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-03 01:10 UTC	4	$71	107	100	+7	Down	+$58	04-03 01:15
Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	29	$71	50	50	+0	Down	+$24	05-03 14:25
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-04 02:30 UTC	7	$69	112	104	+8	Down	-$11	04-04 02:45
Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	20	$66	50	44	+6	Down	+$28	05-03 12:25
Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	18	$63	40	45	-4	Down	+$19	05-03 13:18
Solana Up or Down - May 9, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	14	$61	60	60	+0	Up	+$2	05-09 08:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-04 16:05 UTC	3	$61	42	40	+1	Down	+$20	04-04 16:10
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-03 03:35 UTC	10	$61	59	59	+0	Up	$0	04-03 03:40
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-03 03:45 UTC	5	$60	31	31	+0	Down	+$1	04-03 03:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-03 03:45 UTC	3	$57	33	32	+1	Down	+$7	04-03 03:50
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-03 03:50 UTC	5	$56	61	30	+31	Down	+$12	04-03 03:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-02 06:10 UTC	4	$55	86	0	+86	Up	+$31	04-02 06:14
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?	5	$54	49	49	+0	Yes	+$19	05-19 15:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	5	$52	42	42	+0	Up	+$18	05-09 05:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	13	$52	44	22	+22	Up	$0	05-12 12:40
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-04 16:30 UTC	36	$49	344	0	+344	Down	-$49	04-04 16:34
Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?	11	$48	75	75	+0	Yes	-$13	05-18 18:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	10	$47	54	28	+26	Down	+$11	05-09 23:59
Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	16	$47	40	30	+10	Down	+$21	05-03 11:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-04 13:10 UTC	3	$46	61	0	+61	Up	-$46	04-04 13:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-04 15:30 UTC	3	$45	26	26	+0	Down	+$5	04-04 15:34
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-02 11:40 UTC	6	$45	26	26	+0	Up	+$4	04-02 11:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-19 15:53:16	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?	Yes	SELL	18	76¢	$14	0xf1b5ac…
05-19 15:35:16	Will the Slovenian People’s Party (SLS) be part of the next Government of Slovenia?	Yes	SELL	17	6¢	$1	0x618e0d…
05-19 15:26:38	Will the Slovenian People’s Party (SLS) be part of the next Government of Slovenia?	Yes	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0xb56846…
05-19 15:24:53	Will the Slovenian People’s Party (SLS) be part of the next Government of Slovenia?	Yes	BUY	16	40¢	$7	0xeb05f4…
05-19 15:02:14	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?	Yes	SELL	6	76¢	$5	0x9c38fa…
05-19 14:11:50	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?	Yes	BUY	25	36¢	$9	0x86c2da…
05-19 13:59:59	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?	Yes	SELL	24	76¢	$18	0xdb4d5d…
05-19 13:57:41	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?	Yes	BUY	24	36¢	$9	0xa49c0d…
05-19 13:29:09	Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?	No	SELL	53	4¢	$2	0x0560a4…
05-19 13:26:25	Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?	No	BUY	34	32¢	$11	0xe2c516…
05-19 13:26:23	Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?	No	BUY	19	47¢	$9	0xc03c95…
05-19 04:03:46	Will Justin McNeal be the Republican nominee for Senate in South Dakota?	No	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x2e2328…
05-18 18:56:57	Solana Up or Down - May 18, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	6¢	$0	0xb4f0fc…
05-18 18:56:57	Solana Up or Down - May 18, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	6¢	$0	0x1ef921…
05-18 18:44:33	Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?	No	SELL	10	22¢	$2	0xaf66a6…
05-18 17:05:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0xedfbdb…
05-18 12:02:24	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	No	SELL	40	56¢	$22	0x68b6d6…
05-18 11:04:20	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	40	30¢	$12	0xa7e21c…
05-18 01:33:16	Will Justin McNeal be the Republican nominee for Senate in South Dakota?	No	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0xde0416…
05-17 14:35:57	Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?	No	BUY	0	26¢	$0	0x6cdcbd…
05-17 14:26:00	Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?	No	BUY	1	26¢	$0	0xb7061f…
05-17 14:16:10	Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?	No	BUY	1	26¢	$0	0xc9d5f8…
05-17 14:06:24	Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?	No	BUY	1	26¢	$0	0x5a0b0e…
05-17 14:05:58	Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?	No	BUY	1	26¢	$0	0x81b525…
05-17 12:17:45	Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?	No	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x98120f…
05-17 12:09:04	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0xb1c634…
05-17 12:06:49	XRP Up or Down - May 17, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0x9046c5…
05-17 06:54:09	Will China announce a Boeing aircraft purchase by May 22?	No	BUY	93	30¢	$28	0x1bcbdf…
05-16 22:58:09	Will Romania come in 3rd place at Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0xdab3a0…
05-16 22:58:05	Will Romania come in 3rd place at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x382da2…
05-16 22:58:05	Will Romania come in 3rd place at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0x2087c5…
05-16 22:58:04	Will Romania be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	17	28¢	$5	0xfab2ad…
05-16 22:58:04	Will Romania come in 3rd place at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0xad41cd…
05-16 22:58:04	Will Romania be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	23	40¢	$9	0x9b0eda…
05-16 22:58:04	Will Romania come in 3rd place at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	14	45¢	$6	0x94473d…
05-16 22:58:04	Will Romania come in 3rd place at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	29	45¢	$13	0x7904a7…
05-16 22:58:04	Will Romania be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	20	28¢	$6	0x5a72ff…
05-16 22:58:04	Will Romania come in 3rd place at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x41e1e3…
05-16 22:58:04	Will Romania be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	31	41¢	$13	0x32c3c4…
05-16 22:58:04	Will Romania come in 3rd place at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x115707…
05-16 22:56:15	Will Finland be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	31	39¢	$12	0x988077…
05-16 22:56:15	Will Finland be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	37¢	$6	0x7d0a42…
05-16 22:55:56	Will Finland be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	39¢	$3	0xe04150…
05-16 22:55:52	Will France be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	49	43¢	$21	0x343549…
05-16 22:55:35	Will Greece be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	74	99¢	$73	0x81ae7e…
05-16 22:55:35	Will France be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	43¢	$1	0x7acb29…
05-16 22:52:26	Will Greece be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	26¢	$3	0x80cf41…
05-16 22:52:05	Will Greece be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	62	26¢	$16	0x1ff4ca…
05-16 22:52:03	Will Greece be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	26¢	$3	0xe0976a…
05-16 22:40:46	Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?	No	SELL	30	23¢	$7	0x2f8c44…
05-16 22:40:44	Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?	No	SELL	35	23¢	$8	0x954712…
05-16 22:25:57	Will Bulgaria be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?	No	BUY	52	43¢	$22	0x8d2466…
05-16 18:19:28	XRP Up or Down - May 16, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0xb894bb…
05-16 18:19:10	XRP Up or Down - May 16, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0xd55118…
05-16 18:09:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	SELL	2	94¢	$2	0x09e2ab…
05-16 18:09:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0x3d6308…
05-16 17:21:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x5f947a…
05-16 16:10:47	Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	48¢	$1	0x630d2d…
05-16 16:10:03	Will Trump announce a tariff reduction on China?	No	SELL	76	46¢	$35	0x9bc9ec…
05-16 12:26:43	Will Trump announce a tariff reduction on China?	No	BUY	45	37¢	$17	0x550505…
05-16 12:25:05	Will Trump announce a tariff reduction on China?	No	BUY	2	37¢	$1	0xdddced…
05-16 12:25:05	Will Trump announce a tariff reduction on China?	No	BUY	8	37¢	$3	0x99482b…
05-16 12:25:05	Will Trump announce a tariff reduction on China?	No	BUY	8	37¢	$3	0x471973…
05-16 12:25:03	Will Trump announce a tariff reduction on China?	No	BUY	13	37¢	$5	0x0d34fa…
05-16 11:58:10	Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	26¢	$1	0xcc3cfd…
05-16 08:19:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xed53d0…
05-16 08:09:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xd8a9dc…
05-16 07:34:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x06a2cd…
05-16 07:19:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0x7d3183…
05-16 07:19:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	SELL	7	14¢	$1	0xec5ab2…
05-16 07:19:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0xffc8cc…
05-16 07:19:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	BUY	4	5¢	$0	0x3bfc00…
05-16 07:19:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x327826…
05-16 07:05:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	10	6¢	$1	0x56de1b…
05-16 06:49:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0xd05465…
05-16 06:49:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	BUY	9	7¢	$1	0x5d982b…
05-16 06:49:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0x285ecb…
05-16 04:25:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Down	BUY	10	7¢	$1	0x14b4a6…
05-16 04:25:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Down	BUY	10	6¢	$1	0xbc8519…
05-16 04:19:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	BUY	10	6¢	$1	0x9623b9…
05-16 03:59:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xd55dbc…
05-15 21:49:34	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	2	29¢	$1	0xf00d31…
05-15 21:49:34	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0xd569f9…
05-15 21:49:34	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0xa43d8a…
05-15 21:49:32	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xf69995…
05-15 21:49:32	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0x987893…
05-15 21:49:30	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	2	29¢	$1	0xf8e74c…
05-15 21:49:30	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	1	29¢	$0	0xe8c60a…
05-15 21:49:30	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	4	29¢	$1	0xa04a0f…
05-15 21:49:30	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	0	29¢	$0	0x63f8cb…
05-15 21:49:30	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x5cd652…
05-15 21:49:30	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x4b3f64…
05-15 21:49:30	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	1	29¢	$0	0x427aa8…
05-15 21:49:30	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	2	29¢	$1	0x3e15b6…
05-15 21:49:30	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	1	29¢	$0	0x3a6bcf…
05-15 21:49:30	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	2	29¢	$0	0x18f1f4…
05-15 21:49:30	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	1	29¢	$0	0x03f5e0…
05-15 21:49:30	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	4	29¢	$1	0x0329e2…
05-15 21:49:28	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	1	29¢	$0	0xff806b…
05-15 21:49:28	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	1	29¢	$0	0xedb94b…