Showy-Nightlife-Tolerance — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$86

Unrealized P&L

+$8

Hit rate

64.4%

Resolved

191

Trades

307

lifetime

Volume

$1.34K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$42

3 positions

First seen

2026-05-08

last 10-23 17:23

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 69 days

Categories

Other

44% 35% -$35

Crypto

24% 41% +$27

Sports

19% 27% -$48

Politics

13% 33% -$30

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

24 active days in 12wk • peak 17 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (23) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	+95	$31	42¢	$41	+$10	08-17 08:42
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	+50	$2	3¢	$2	-$1	09-04 16:50
Will Likud win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	+26	$1	0¢	$0	-$1	07-09 21:05

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-23 08:00 UTC	2	$43	33	33	+0	Down	+$3	06-23 08:02
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-23 07:55 UTC	2	$42	26	26	+0	Down	+$2	06-23 07:57
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	2	$41	88	88	+0	open	—	10-23 16:51
Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?	2	$40	27	27	+0	Yes	+$5	10-11 12:39
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on September 7?	2	$35	22	22	+0	Yes	+$5	09-07 10:25
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	1	$31	95	0	+95	open	—	08-17 08:42
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$30	132	0	+132	No	-$30	07-15 18:57
Will Max Verstappen finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix?	2	$27	28	28	+0	Yes	+$11	09-06 13:08
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 86-87°F on October 5?	2	$25	15	15	+0	Yes	+$5	10-06 03:12
Will Max Verstappen win the Sprint at the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?	2	$25	15	15	+0	Yes	+$5	10-10 10:27
Will Otzma win 10 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	2	$24	40	40	+0	open	—	10-09 12:52
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on October 5?	2	$23	14	14	+0	Yes	+$4	10-05 18:54
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 86-87°F on October 5?	2	$23	15	15	+0	Yes	+$3	10-05 19:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-23 07:00 UTC	2	$21	25	0	+25	Up	+$4	06-23 07:04
israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	2	$20	40	40	+0	No	+$0	07-24 16:06
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17?	2	$20	100	100	+0	No	+$10	06-17 20:53
Israel closes its airspace by September 30?	1	$20	50	0	+50	Yes	-$20	09-07 20:39
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$20	426	0	+426	No	-$20	07-06 18:21
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-23 08:05 UTC	1	$20	29	0	+29	Down	-$20	06-23 08:07
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	2	$20	33	33	+0	open	—	07-24 16:06
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	2	$18	91	91	+0	open	—	07-24 16:06
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on October 5?	3	$17	12	12	+0	Yes	+$3	10-05 10:11
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on October 6?	2	$15	20	20	+0	No	-$15	10-06 09:11
Will Ofer Winter be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	2	$15	415	415	+0	open	—	08-27 11:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-20 09:25 UTC	1	$15	22	0	+22	Down	+$7	06-20 09:28
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-21 04:30 UTC	1	$15	22	0	+22	Up	+$7	06-21 04:33
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-20 08:50 UTC	1	$15	19	0	+19	Down	+$4	06-20 08:53
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 7?	2	$15	11	11	+0	Yes	$0	10-06 09:31
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	2	$14	13	13	+0	open	—	06-11 08:41
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 94-95°F on October 6?	2	$14	7	7	+0	Yes	+$1	10-06 20:31

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-23 17:23:11	Will Max Verstappen get pole position at the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	22	40¢	$9	0x5990e3…
10-23 16:58:44	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	No	BUY	134	7¢	$9	0x33c037…
10-23 16:56:02	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	No	BUY	8	7¢	$1	0xfddd95…
10-23 16:51:48	Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	SELL	88	23¢	$20	0xd1f5a3…
10-17 06:30:27	Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	BUY	88	24¢	$21	0x07b365…
10-11 12:40:57	Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x2107d6…
10-11 12:39:54	Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?	Yes	SELL	27	84¢	$23	0xab0304…
10-11 11:37:48	Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	27	64¢	$17	0x3f025e…
10-10 10:27:22	Will Max Verstappen win the Sprint at the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?	Yes	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x2b1506…
10-10 05:53:12	Will Max Verstappen win the Sprint at the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0x40aa5e…
10-09 12:52:09	Will Otzma win 10 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	SELL	40	32¢	$13	0x6e20aa…
10-08 10:54:41	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on October 8?	Yes	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x94e8c8…
10-08 10:54:00	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on October 8?	Yes	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0xc927fb…
10-07 22:19:28	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on October 7?	Yes	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x4db54d…
10-07 19:52:08	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on October 7?	Yes	BUY	4	84¢	$4	0xa6ee42…
10-07 14:05:17	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 14°C on October 7?	Yes	SELL	3	92¢	$3	0x898a47…
10-07 13:10:43	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 14°C on October 7?	Yes	BUY	3	87¢	$3	0xf95eac…
10-07 13:07:50	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 20°C on October 7?	Yes	SELL	4	94¢	$3	0x3687a7…
10-07 11:34:52	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 20°C on October 7?	Yes	BUY	4	82¢	$3	0x6bcdd6…
10-07 08:42:45	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on October 7?	Yes	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x890923…
10-07 06:24:47	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 28°C on October 7?	Yes	BUY	3	90¢	$3	0xe90a00…
10-07 06:24:09	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 28°C on October 7?	Yes	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0xed158a…
10-07 05:12:39	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on October 7?	Yes	BUY	3	90¢	$3	0xd1e9fc…
10-06 22:57:56	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 14°C on October 6?	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xb5a645…
10-06 21:59:39	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 90-91°F on October 6?	Yes	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x074ead…
10-06 20:36:42	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 14°C on October 6?	Yes	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0xcc03f9…
10-06 20:35:32	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 90-91°F on October 6?	Yes	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0x5db96a…
10-06 20:31:18	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 94-95°F on October 6?	Yes	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x24b42a…
10-06 18:14:42	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 94-95°F on October 6?	Yes	BUY	7	90¢	$7	0xba10ca…
10-06 18:13:15	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 23°C on October 6?	Yes	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0xc8cc7f…
10-06 17:21:56	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 23°C on October 6?	Yes	BUY	7	88¢	$6	0x2337ac…
10-06 17:21:15	Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on October 6?	Yes	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x1e5ac2…
10-06 14:56:02	Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on October 6?	Yes	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x4a1e24…
10-06 10:01:04	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on October 6?	Yes	SELL	18	30¢	$5	0x3a4f1c…
10-06 09:32:33	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on October 6?	Yes	BUY	18	39¢	$7	0xe51ae7…
10-06 09:31:24	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 7?	Yes	SELL	11	68¢	$7	0x8ba09a…
10-06 09:18:39	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 7?	Yes	BUY	11	69¢	$7	0xc87c59…
10-06 09:11:52	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on October 6?	Yes	SELL	20	2¢	$0	0x139849…
10-06 08:21:04	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on October 6?	Yes	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0x08747e…
10-06 03:12:25	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 86-87°F on October 5?	Yes	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x7a66a6…
10-05 20:02:31	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 86-87°F on October 5?	Yes	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0x7f13bb…
10-05 19:53:58	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 86-87°F on October 5?	Yes	SELL	15	85¢	$13	0xac5e69…
10-05 19:20:23	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 86-87°F on October 5?	Yes	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0x0cb8db…
10-05 18:54:32	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on October 5?	Yes	SELL	14	95¢	$13	0x85057e…
10-05 17:28:16	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on October 5?	Yes	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0xb3c2ef…
10-05 10:11:58	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on October 5?	Yes	SELL	11	83¢	$9	0x020be0…
10-05 10:09:04	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on October 5?	Yes	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x81489a…
10-05 08:27:23	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on October 5?	Yes	BUY	12	60¢	$7	0xebf182…
10-04 21:07:41	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	9	82¢	$7	0x0f4de8…
10-04 14:12:46	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	9	63¢	$6	0xd37dc2…
10-04 10:28:17	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on October 4?	Yes	SELL	7	90¢	$6	0xcdc735…
10-04 09:39:23	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on October 4?	Yes	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x4a88be…
10-03 08:51:03	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on October 3?	Yes	SELL	8	61¢	$5	0x5efa0f…
10-03 08:01:18	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on October 3?	Yes	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x9a299c…
10-02 14:41:39	Will Otzma win 10 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	40	27¢	$11	0x3fec00…
10-02 14:37:21	Will Friedrich Merz be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	69	3¢	$2	0x93d5ee…
09-13 09:48:49	Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	23	12¢	$3	0x0a60a9…
09-13 09:46:28	Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Yes	SELL	9	30¢	$3	0x7eb7bc…
09-13 05:42:33	Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Yes	BUY	9	35¢	$3	0x6eea22…
09-09 15:34:54	Exact Score: VfB Stuttgart 0 - 0 Viking FK?	Yes	BUY	40	2¢	$1	0x9dd897…
09-09 14:01:06	Exact Score: VfB Stuttgart 0 - 0 Viking FK?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xdc0750…
09-09 13:20:34	Exact Score: Sporting CP 0 - 0 Galatasaray SK?	Yes	BUY	0	4¢	$0	0xb435e0…
09-09 13:01:27	Exact Score: Sporting CP 0 - 0 Galatasaray SK?	Yes	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0x341897…
09-07 20:39:34	Israel closes its airspace by September 30?	No	BUY	50	40¢	$20	0xe278da…
09-07 10:25:57	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on September 7?	Yes	SELL	22	91¢	$20	0xb16641…
09-07 05:38:37	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on September 7?	Yes	BUY	22	69¢	$15	0xa33d59…
09-06 13:08:40	Will Max Verstappen finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix?	Yes	SELL	28	68¢	$19	0xff4996…
09-06 12:57:07	Will Max Verstappen finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	28	29¢	$8	0x5dc61d…
09-04 16:50:43	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	50	5¢	$2	0x5e2727…
09-04 08:16:39	Will AfD win 46-49 seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?	Yes	BUY	7	1¢	$0	0xb8fe87…
09-04 08:16:39	Will AfD win 46-49 seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?	Yes	BUY	7	1¢	$0	0x87c77d…
09-04 08:16:39	Will AfD win 42-45 seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?	Yes	BUY	25	19¢	$5	0x694cb6…
09-04 08:16:39	Will AfD win 46-49 seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?	Yes	BUY	40	1¢	$1	0x4c2a43…
09-04 08:16:39	Will AfD win 46-49 seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?	Yes	BUY	50	1¢	$1	0x26cf14…
09-04 08:16:37	Will AfD win 46-49 seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?	Yes	BUY	26	1¢	$0	0xb24852…
09-04 08:07:12	Will AfD win 46-49 seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x6df474…
09-04 08:07:12	Will AfD win 46-49 seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?	Yes	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0x318d2b…
09-04 08:07:10	Will AfD win 46-49 seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?	Yes	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0xea89a7…
09-04 08:07:10	Will AfD win 46-49 seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?	Yes	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0xdead78…
09-04 08:07:10	Will AfD win 46-49 seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?	Yes	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0x943973…
09-04 08:07:10	Will AfD win 46-49 seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?	Yes	BUY	30	1¢	$0	0x486b11…
09-04 08:07:10	Will AfD win 46-49 seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?	Yes	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0x16bda3…
08-30 14:38:46	Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?	No	BUY	26	36¢	$9	0xddba32…
08-27 11:30:51	Will Ofer Winter be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	415	2¢	$10	0x7fb658…
08-26 20:40:18	Will Ofer Winter be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	415	1¢	$5	0x2146f8…
08-25 19:14:58	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in August?	Yes	SELL	312	2¢	$5	0x22f5ae…
08-23 22:10:19	will bitcoin reach 100k in august 2026	Yes	BUY	312	2¢	$5	0xb5728e…
08-23 21:44:40	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in August?	Yes	SELL	23	23¢	$5	0xb9d8ea…
08-20 15:36:18	will bitcoin reach 85k in august 2026	Yes	BUY	23	4¢	$1	0x09111f…
08-17 08:42:28	Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	95	32¢	$31	0x19cab4…
07-24 16:06:42	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	Yes	SELL	40	26¢	$10	0xe87f0d…
07-24 16:06:21	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	33	29¢	$10	0x0520b6…
07-24 16:06:13	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	SELL	91	9¢	$8	0x0561ac…
07-19 12:43:00	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	Yes	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0x52719e…
07-19 04:56:30	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0xab79cd…
07-19 04:51:46	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	BUY	91	11¢	$10	0xbad991…
07-18 22:41:37	will the announcers say trump during the france vs england fifa world cup match 20260716160757339	Yes	SELL	7	71¢	$5	0xfe5893…
07-18 22:16:25	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 team to advance	France	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x723466…
07-17 11:05:57	will the announcers say trump during the france vs england fifa world cup match 20260716160757339	Yes	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x3566c3…
07-15 20:36:41	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	32	24¢	$8	0x2ffdbe…