Arid-Heir — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$6.25K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

73.1%

Resolved

47,368

Trades

80,948

lifetime

Volume

$647.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-15

last 10-15 09:03

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 209 days

Categories

Crypto

95% 74% +$6,169

Other

5% 91% +$82

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

61 active days in 12wk • peak 1275 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	74	$1.0K	996	933	+63	Down	-$14	09-08 07:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	57	$727	466	449	+17	Up	+$19	09-08 07:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-08 08:55 UTC	74	$530	991	955	+36	Up	-$22	09-08 08:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	25	$494	782	0	+782	Down	+$289	05-12 13:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	55	$395	403	399	+4	Up	+$23	09-08 07:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-16 20:00 UTC	19	$393	715	0	+715	Down	-$35	03-16 20:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-15 21:50 UTC	21	$385	886	0	+886	Down	-$42	03-15 21:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	76	$372	739	0	+739	Up	-$2	09-04 12:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	86	$349	765	406	+359	Up	-$87	09-08 09:49
Ethereum Up or Down - September 20, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	4	$333	500	0	+500	Down	+$167	09-21 00:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	41	$317	288	225	+63	Down	+$5	09-08 08:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	58	$278	853	184	+669	Up	-$94	09-08 09:59
Ethereum Up or Down - September 20, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	5	$273	343	0	+343	Up	+$70	09-21 01:14
Ethereum Up or Down - September 20, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	18	$272	500	0	+500	Down	+$228	09-21 00:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-02 03:45 UTC	73	$251	320	0	+320	Up	-$216	07-02 03:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-16 01:20 UTC	7	$241	465	0	+465	Up	+$2	03-16 01:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	5	$234	300	0	+300	Up	-$84	09-05 10:23
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-21 11:05 UTC	2	$233	270	0	+270	Up	+$37	09-21 11:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	37	$231	325	296	+30	Up	+$9	09-08 07:57
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-08 08:50 UTC	26	$230	474	443	+31	Down	-$33	09-08 08:51
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-21 10:00 UTC	7	$228	327	0	+327	Up	-$228	09-21 10:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-21 15:10 UTC	3	$227	284	0	+284	Up	-$227	09-21 15:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	3	$223	278	0	+278	Down	-$223	09-22 12:04
Ethereum Up or Down - September 20, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	6	$221	287	0	+287	Up	+$66	09-21 02:14
Ethereum Up or Down - September 20, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	5	$216	297	0	+297	Down	-$216	09-21 02:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	50	$215	621	179	+441	Up	-$27	09-08 16:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	11	$214	305	0	+305	Down	-$59	09-05 10:27
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-15 18:25 UTC	12	$200	484	0	+484	Up	+$121	03-15 18:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 18:20 UTC	48	$197	218	0	+218	Down	+$2	07-01 18:23
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-16 01:40 UTC	8	$196	656	0	+656	Up	-$31	03-16 01:43

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-15 09:03:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 09:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x63505d…
10-15 08:57:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 08:55 UTC	Down	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xc5dc59…
10-15 08:56:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 08:55 UTC	Down	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x5d959a…
10-15 08:53:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 08:50 UTC	Up	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0x9f74c1…
10-15 08:50:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 08:50 UTC	Down	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x507d6e…
10-15 08:45:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 08:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x25d648…
10-15 08:30:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 08:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0x606742…
10-15 08:00:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 08:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xb05d31…
10-15 07:52:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 07:50 UTC	Down	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x020edc…
10-15 07:46:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 07:45 UTC	Down	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0xe1d9f2…
10-15 07:35:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 07:35 UTC	Down	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0x09bc4f…
10-15 07:30:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 07:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x01f67f…
10-15 07:11:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 07:10 UTC	Down	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x99a676…
10-15 07:00:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 07:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x398bea…
10-15 06:58:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 06:55 UTC	Up	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x1c4d08…
10-15 06:55:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 06:55 UTC	Down	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0xda2a14…
10-15 06:43:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 06:40 UTC	Up	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x45757b…
10-15 06:41:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 06:40 UTC	Down	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0x1a931d…
10-15 06:40:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 06:40 UTC	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x12f9bf…
10-15 06:20:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 06:20 UTC	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xe5e58c…
10-15 06:20:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 06:20 UTC	Up	BUY	0	55¢	$0	0xbe82af…
10-15 06:10:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 06:10 UTC	Up	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0xc53d9a…
10-15 06:01:50	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 06:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xfecaae…
10-15 05:56:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 05:55 UTC	Down	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x553952…
10-15 05:56:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 05:55 UTC	Up	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xc71f76…
10-15 05:25:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 05:25 UTC	Up	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0xd81e7d…
10-15 05:22:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 05:20 UTC	Down	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0xa5c6fd…
10-15 05:20:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 05:20 UTC	Up	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0xa51bed…
10-15 05:01:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 05:00 UTC	Up	BUY	2	67¢	$1	0xeff1d9…
10-15 05:01:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 05:00 UTC	Up	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x524646…
10-15 05:01:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 05:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x72992b…
10-15 04:52:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 04:50 UTC	Up	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x371f73…
10-15 04:50:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 04:50 UTC	Down	BUY	0	60¢	$0	0xa37240…
10-15 04:50:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 04:50 UTC	Down	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x7d4678…
10-15 04:46:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 04:45 UTC	Down	BUY	0	64¢	$0	0xdf7607…
10-15 04:46:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 04:45 UTC	Down	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x9fb554…
10-15 04:40:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 04:40 UTC	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x5e0369…
10-15 04:38:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 04:35 UTC	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xd31760…
10-15 04:26:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 04:25 UTC	Down	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0xcbff60…
10-15 04:12:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 04:10 UTC	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x7da5e2…
10-15 03:51:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 03:50 UTC	Down	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0xba310b…
10-15 03:43:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 03:40 UTC	Up	BUY	1	64¢	$1	0x7321e5…
10-15 03:41:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 03:40 UTC	Up	BUY	4	64¢	$2	0x18e642…
10-15 03:25:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 03:25 UTC	Up	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x122620…
10-15 03:00:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 03:00 UTC	Down	BUY	1	60¢	$1	0xab1446…
10-15 02:51:44	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 02:50 UTC	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x7d8a65…
10-15 02:45:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 02:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x69ed23…
10-15 02:41:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 02:40 UTC	Up	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0xcfcf50…
10-15 02:32:44	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 02:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0x899572…
10-15 02:30:50	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 02:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x15847b…
10-15 02:27:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 02:25 UTC	Up	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x582919…
10-15 02:20:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 02:20 UTC	Up	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0xd8143b…
10-15 02:18:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 02:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0xff0602…
10-15 01:46:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 01:45 UTC	Up	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x4ae236…
10-15 01:46:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 01:45 UTC	Up	BUY	0	53¢	$0	0xa68ab8…
10-15 01:46:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 01:45 UTC	Up	BUY	1	53¢	$0	0x506a11…
10-15 01:45:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 01:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0xf4e335…
10-15 01:45:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 01:45 UTC	Up	BUY	0	57¢	$0	0xdaab36…
10-15 01:25:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 01:25 UTC	Down	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xed6d27…
10-15 01:17:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 01:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x4a4bb3…
10-15 01:05:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 01:05 UTC	Up	BUY	3	48¢	$1	0x0dfce5…
10-15 01:05:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 01:05 UTC	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x90409c…
10-15 00:57:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 00:55 UTC	Up	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0xb779ab…
10-15 00:56:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 00:55 UTC	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x352664…
10-15 00:56:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 00:55 UTC	Down	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x71a250…
10-15 00:52:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 00:50 UTC	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xa235da…
10-15 00:45:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 00:45 UTC	Down	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0xdd6ac5…
10-15 00:33:50	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 00:30 UTC	Up	BUY	4	74¢	$3	0xbabfaa…
10-15 00:33:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 00:30 UTC	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x91ba14…
10-15 00:31:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 00:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x430151…
10-15 00:30:44	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 00:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x988f51…
10-15 00:26:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 00:25 UTC	Down	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x795102…
10-15 00:15:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 00:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x2c8a84…
10-15 00:07:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 00:05 UTC	Down	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0xf5976f…
10-15 00:00:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 00:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x402e33…
10-15 00:00:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 00:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x76d70f…
10-14 23:41:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 23:40 UTC	Down	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0xa440fb…
10-14 23:36:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 23:35 UTC	Up	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0xc000ee…
10-14 23:36:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 23:35 UTC	Up	BUY	0	72¢	$0	0x71bd21…
10-14 23:35:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 23:35 UTC	Up	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0xee15de…
10-14 23:32:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 23:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0xf6b931…
10-14 23:20:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 23:20 UTC	Down	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x2c64d9…
10-14 23:03:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 23:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xfe18e5…
10-14 23:02:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 23:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0xdde460…
10-14 23:01:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 23:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0xe9ea7b…
10-14 22:58:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 22:55 UTC	Up	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x198563…
10-14 22:57:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 22:55 UTC	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xcb4527…
10-14 22:56:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 22:55 UTC	Up	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xd35628…
10-14 22:46:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 22:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x80afeb…
10-14 22:45:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 22:45 UTC	Down	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x95cb46…
10-14 22:40:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 22:40 UTC	Down	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0x3fb5c7…
10-14 22:26:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 22:25 UTC	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xa89b28…
10-14 22:02:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 22:00 UTC	Down	BUY	0	67¢	$0	0xe84beb…
10-14 22:02:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 22:00 UTC	Down	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xcbe69f…
10-14 22:02:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 22:00 UTC	Down	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x09513a…
10-14 21:26:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 21:25 UTC	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x862449…
10-14 21:23:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 21:20 UTC	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x44b6a8…
10-14 21:21:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 21:20 UTC	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x15bdc4…
10-14 21:16:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 21:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x10cd73…
10-14 21:12:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 21:10 UTC	Up	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x86215a…