Arid-Heir — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

+$14

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved (90d)

Trades (90d)

31 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$1.33K

$1.33K lifetime

Avg / trade

$43

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-04

last 05-05 20:39

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 100% +$14

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 25 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (12) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	1	$50	50	+50	open	—	05-05 19:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	1	$50	50	+50	Up	+$0	05-05 01:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	1	$50	50	+50	Up	+$0	05-05 04:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	1	$50	50	+50	Down	+$0	05-04 23:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	1	$50	50	+50	Down	+$0	05-04 21:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	1	$50	50	+50	Down	+$0	05-05 02:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	1	$50	50	+50	open	—	05-05 20:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	1	$50	50	+50	open	—	05-05 07:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	1	$50	50	+50	open	—	05-05 16:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	1	$50	50	+50	open	—	05-05 20:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	1	$50	50	+50	Up	+$0	05-05 06:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	1	$49	50	+50	open	—	05-05 17:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	1	$49	50	+50	Down	+$1	05-05 02:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	1	$49	50	+50	open	—	05-05 20:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	1	$49	50	+50	open	—	05-05 18:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	1	$49	50	+50	Down	+$1	05-05 00:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	1	$49	50	+50	Down	+$1	05-04 22:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	1	$49	50	+50	open	—	05-05 15:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	1	$49	50	+50	Up	+$1	05-04 23:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	1	$48	50	+50	open	—	05-05 19:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	1	$48	50	+50	open	—	05-05 17:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	1	$48	50	+50	Down	+$2	05-04 20:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	1	$47	50	+50	Down	+$3	05-04 22:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	1	$40	50	+50	open	—	05-05 08:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	1	$31	50	+50	open	—	05-05 18:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	1	$27	50	+50	open	—	05-05 11:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	1	$26	50	+50	open	—	05-05 12:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	1	$26	50	+50	open	—	05-05 07:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	1	$26	50	+50	open	—	05-05 18:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	1	$24	50	+50	open	—	05-05 07:26

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-05 20:39:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x1467d7…
05-05 20:13:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0xa33946…
05-05 20:03:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x8e4acc…
05-05 19:54:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x431154…
05-05 19:18:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	50	97¢	$48	0xa2961f…
05-05 18:37:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	50	51¢	$26	0x2c4433…
05-05 18:34:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	50	63¢	$31	0xcb503f…
05-05 18:13:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x0784c1…
05-05 17:19:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x76e13c…
05-05 17:12:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	50	96¢	$48	0x47185c…
05-05 16:19:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0xb31982…
05-05 15:12:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0xcb1551…
05-05 12:16:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	50	52¢	$26	0x7decbe…
05-05 11:21:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	BUY	50	54¢	$27	0x2d8a08…
05-05 08:20:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	50	80¢	$40	0xf64348…
05-05 07:55:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	50	51¢	$26	0x1b8c87…
05-05 07:26:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	50	48¢	$24	0x252bd1…
05-05 07:04:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x074d5d…
05-05 06:14:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x2034d8…
05-05 04:05:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Up	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x79e4f1…
05-05 03:20:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0x70ee96…
05-05 02:19:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x5b01b6…
05-05 02:09:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0xe117e7…
05-05 01:59:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x0e3986…
05-05 00:09:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x8e1efd…
05-04 23:49:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0xf3a9b9…
05-04 23:44:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x13c27e…
05-04 22:44:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x6939b7…
05-04 22:09:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	50	95¢	$47	0x8d20f3…
05-04 21:59:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x10159f…
05-04 20:02:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	50	95¢	$48	0x086f59…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0xe907…cff6	31	$4.70K	170	05-05 20:35
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	24	$9.86K	120	05-05 20:39
Sentimental-Differential 0x510a…d77f	24	$658	77	05-05 20:14
Angry-Suede 0x8692…fbac	24	$651	150	05-05 20:39
Rash-Alternative 0xf353…6685	23	$1.43K	93	05-05 20:14
Equal-Renaissance 0x1c4e…4150	23	$524	100	05-05 20:39
Slight-Goodnight 0x6088…f361	22	$1.52K	95	05-05 20:14
Little-Fraction 0xcfb1…f694	20	$2.98K	59	05-05 20:13