Improbable-Counter — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$547

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-30

last 06-08 05:13

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

22 active days in 12wk • peak 26 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (6) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 1?	1	$39	39	0	+39	open	—	05-01 07:42
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 30?	1	$30	30	0	+30	open	—	04-30 07:06
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on May 25?	1	$30	30	0	+30	open	—	05-24 20:24
Will the price of XRP be above $1.50 on May 19?	1	$28	28	0	+28	open	—	05-19 05:34
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on June 1?	2	$27	27	0	+27	open	—	06-01 07:26
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 23?	1	$25	25	0	+25	open	—	05-23 07:29
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 12?	1	$25	25	0	+25	Yes	+$0	05-12 06:42
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 30?	1	$24	24	0	+24	open	—	04-30 03:49
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 20?	1	$22	22	0	+22	open	—	05-20 07:17
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 6?	1	$21	21	0	+21	Yes	+$0	05-05 21:42
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 3?	1	$21	21	0	+21	open	—	06-03 11:44
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 21?	1	$21	21	0	+21	open	—	05-21 12:18
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 7?	1	$21	21	0	+21	Yes	+$0	05-07 15:04
ethereum above 1900 on june 8 2026	1	$21	21	0	+21	open	—	06-08 05:13
xrp above 1pt4 on june 4 2026	1	$20	20	0	+20	open	—	06-04 06:50
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 28?	1	$19	19	0	+19	open	—	05-28 05:24
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 13?	1	$19	19	0	+19	Yes	+$0	05-13 06:18
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on May 31?	1	$19	19	0	+19	open	—	05-30 15:27
Will the price of XRP be above $1.30 on May 14?	1	$18	18	0	+18	open	—	05-14 09:37
bitcoin above 58k on june 7 2026 356 993	1	$17	17	0	+17	open	—	06-07 13:05
bitcoin above 66k on june 6 2026	1	$17	17	0	+17	open	—	06-06 08:08
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	26	$17	2,099	2,099	+0	open	—	05-06 05:44
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 10?	1	$15	15	0	+15	No	+$0	05-10 14:49
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 12?	1	$15	15	0	+15	No	+$0	05-12 04:52
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 1?	1	$15	15	0	+15	open	—	05-01 04:25

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-08 05:13:30	ethereum above 1900 on june 8 2026	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x6f45d3…
06-07 13:05:21	bitcoin above 58k on june 7 2026 356 993	Yes	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xd20e70…
06-06 08:08:27	bitcoin above 66k on june 6 2026	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xba7dda…
06-04 06:50:09	xrp above 1pt4 on june 4 2026	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x75f3f0…
06-03 11:44:09	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 3?	Yes	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x97dbca…
06-01 07:26:31	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on June 1?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x67b8b6…
06-01 07:26:26	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on June 1?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xdea6a1…
05-30 15:27:29	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on May 31?	Yes	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x6b48f9…
05-28 05:24:46	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 28?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x7a72d9…
05-24 20:24:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on May 25?	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xc8973b…
05-23 07:29:06	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 23?	Yes	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x80e737…
05-21 12:18:12	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 21?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x5c8619…
05-20 07:17:16	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 20?	Yes	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x1eb0a8…
05-19 05:34:53	Will the price of XRP be above $1.50 on May 19?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x9bd201…
05-14 09:37:31	Will the price of XRP be above $1.30 on May 14?	Yes	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xd07925…
05-13 06:18:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 13?	Yes	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xbb9ffa…
05-12 06:42:08	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 12?	Yes	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x8df80a…
05-12 04:52:53	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 12?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x8e6042…
05-10 14:49:20	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 10?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x247ea2…
05-07 15:04:57	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 7?	Yes	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x83c8b1…
05-06 05:44:14	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	Yes	SELL	2,099	0¢	$8	0x1869a1…
05-05 21:42:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 6?	Yes	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x5f2ff1…
05-05 08:45:20	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	71	0¢	$0	0x41a86f…
05-05 08:44:14	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	12	0¢	$0	0x9adc5d…
05-05 08:43:26	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x785d4f…
05-05 08:41:58	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	13	0¢	$0	0x9250d6…
05-05 08:40:42	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0xe32a7a…
05-05 08:39:44	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	14	0¢	$0	0xa669ea…
05-05 08:37:44	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	18	0¢	$0	0x6e134e…
05-05 08:36:48	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	15	0¢	$0	0xb104f7…
05-05 08:34:02	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	13	0¢	$0	0x935743…
05-05 08:31:04	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	12	0¢	$0	0x1bd085…
05-05 08:28:20	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	12	0¢	$0	0xf1a735…
05-05 08:24:40	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	13	0¢	$0	0xef3f52…
05-05 08:21:28	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	12	0¢	$0	0x3169c6…
05-05 08:18:42	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	12	0¢	$0	0xd6d252…
05-05 08:17:08	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	43	0¢	$0	0x6a65c4…
05-05 08:13:52	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	47	0¢	$0	0x18b464…
05-05 08:12:50	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	1,200	0¢	$5	0x32afd1…
05-05 08:08:52	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	13	0¢	$0	0x329915…
05-05 08:05:30	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	12	0¢	$0	0x87489a…
05-05 08:05:18	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	204	0¢	$1	0xb5d76a…
05-05 07:58:42	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	11	0¢	$0	0xa3a74e…
05-05 07:58:16	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	48	0¢	$0	0x8aecd3…
05-05 07:55:22	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x9fea61…
05-05 07:52:46	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0xa2fc54…
05-05 07:52:30	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	203	0¢	$1	0x4348dd…
05-01 07:42:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 1?	No	BUY	39	100¢	$39	0xbf423a…
05-01 04:25:44	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 1?	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x66f7a0…
04-30 07:06:14	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 30?	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xa49de6…
04-30 03:49:46	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 30?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0xbe63a4…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Shy-Asphalt 0xbc54…2eec	19	$2.52K	289	06-07 04:36
Intelligent-Length 0xdb5a…3965	18	$90.6K	665	06-08 08:42
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	17	$15.3K	294	06-03 02:50
Unconscious-Collection 0x5f65…2a00	15	$7.39K	363	06-08 12:08
Imperturbable-Orchid 0x8113…288b	15	$2.93K	815	06-07 02:44
Respectful-Clan 0x6e1d…d0fa	14	$149.0K	2,383	06-01 14:01
Overlooked-Means 0xfdf3…2583	14	$14.4K	840	06-06 12:08
Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71	14	$905	217	06-06 09:48