Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$6

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

61.4%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$81

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-08-21

last 10-18 00:14

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 35 days

Categories

Other

79% 65% +$7

Politics

19% 40% -$3

Tech

2% 100% +$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

43 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
trump x greenland deal signed by september 23	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	+$1	09-19 07:29
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $68 Week of September 7 2026?	1	$1	3	+3	Yes	-$1	09-08 04:21
Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" during RNC Convention?	1	$1	3	+3	Yes	-$1	09-10 13:01
Next Google Gemini Flash Model (3.8+) released by September 2, 2026?	1	$1	1	+1	Yes	+$0	09-01 11:38
next mythos class model released by september 7 2026	1	$1	1	+1	Yes	+$0	08-31 19:29
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 14?	1	$1	1	+1	No	+$0	09-13 00:26
will hood reach 115 by september 14 2026	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	+$1	09-13 21:35
spx up or down on september 11 2026	1	$1	1	+1	Up	+$0	09-11 07:04
Will Trump say "Afford" or "Affordable" or "Affordability" during RNC Convention?	1	$1	3	+3	No	-$1	09-10 23:00
Will John Ternus say "Hardware" during his Apple Keynote?	1	$1	2	+2	No	+$1	09-09 14:40
Will Macy's say "Real Estate" during earnings call?	1	$1	1	+1	No	+$0	09-09 06:15
Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 15, 2026?	1	$1	1	+1	Yes	+$0	08-31 11:28
Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $510 Week of September 21 2026?	1	$1	1	+1	Yes	-$1	09-21 07:14
will nvda reach 220 by september 7 2026	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	+$0	09-10 22:48
Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $1,110 Week of September 21 2026?	1	$1	4	+4	No	+$3	09-23 07:33
Will Iran target an Arab country by August 31, 2026?	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	-$1	08-24 01:10
spy up or down on september 10 2026	1	$1	3	+3	Down	+$2	09-10 04:53
Will Trump say "Stock Market" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly?	1	$1	4	+4	Yes	-$1	09-21 23:29
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $60 Week of September 14 2026?	1	$1	1	+1	No	+$0	09-15 01:38
next mythos class model released by september 2 2026	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	-$1	08-29 18:13
us x iran effective ceasefire by september 7	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	-$1	09-03 20:44
spx up or down on august 31 2026	1	$1	2	+2	Down	+$1	08-30 23:46
us x iran effective ceasefire by september 11	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	-$1	09-02 19:12
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his remarks in North Carolina?	1	$1	1	+1	No	-$1	09-15 23:10
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,700 Week of August 24 2026?	1	$1	2	+2	No	-$1	08-24 19:25
us x iran effective ceasefire by september 4	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	+$1	09-07 16:36
Will Andy Burnham say "NATO" during the next PMQ?	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	-$1	09-01 23:39
will wti reach 90 in august 2026	1	$1	2	+2	No	+$1	08-22 16:09
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,700 in August?	1	$1	2	+2	No	-$1	08-23 10:16
Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $80 Week of August 24 2026?	1	$1	4	+4	No	-$1	08-24 09:11

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-18 00:14:06	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 21?	No	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xa84693…
10-17 16:12:11	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x930618…
10-16 23:01:59	next fable model 5pt2 released by october 22 2026	Yes	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xf4a0f0…
10-16 08:49:49	will rklb reach 58 by october 12 2026	No	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x9db0b8…
10-15 00:39:35	next fable model 5pt2 released by october 16 2026	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x7f32d4…
10-14 15:16:42	next fable model 5pt2 released by october 15 2026	No	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x9e447d…
10-14 07:14:32	googl close above 360 on october 14 2026	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xf8daf1…
10-13 23:05:31	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $785 Week of October 12 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x0eea14…
10-13 14:56:31	spx up or down on october 13 2026	Down	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xba15f0…
10-11 18:21:39	Will Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) Q3 Innovative Medicine revenue be above $16.6B?	Yes	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xfb3edc…
10-11 09:45:46	Will Goldman Sachs (GS) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xe615e4…
10-11 01:23:48	Gemini 4.0 released by October 14, 2026?	No	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xf5b817…
10-10 11:59:12	Gemini 4.0 released by October 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xb1cee8…
10-08 23:26:14	Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 15?	No	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x442d99…
10-08 07:51:13	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x49b2af…
10-07 23:50:26	Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $256 Week of October 5 2026?	No	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x237575…
10-07 15:48:32	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $770 Week of October 5 2026?	No	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x4ab3be…
10-06 07:33:37	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 12, 2026?	No	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x270436…
10-05 23:33:28	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 9, 2026?	No	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x504dca…
10-05 15:29:01	Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $1,020 Week of October 5 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x6dc063…
10-05 00:11:13	Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $1,140 Week of October 5 2026?	No	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x07d39a…
10-02 14:16:44	Will the next Claude Haiku (4.6+) model be released by October 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x0540cf…
10-02 05:40:21	Will Trump name an AI czar by October 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x6bb391…
10-01 11:51:27	Will Trump name an AI czar by October 4, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xeb8176…
10-01 03:46:51	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 1?	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xf5144c…
09-30 17:21:26	will ewy reach 189 by september 28 2026	No	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xa15e2e…
09-30 07:04:14	will ewy reach 188 by september 28 2026	No	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xf4d24d…
09-29 23:03:11	will pltr reach 189 by september 28 2026 from september 29	No	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xbcedce…
09-28 12:47:51	will ewy reach 193 by september 28 2026	No	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xa4e742…
09-28 04:47:35	will nvda reach 232 by september 28 2026	No	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x985efa…
09-27 20:47:08	trump renames ai by september 30	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x55e514…
09-27 10:07:42	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $344 in September?	No	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x05ebc0…
09-27 01:07:02	will wti dip to 90 in september 2026 from september 23	Yes	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x7508db…
09-26 07:12:51	saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by september 30	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x939bbc…
09-23 07:33:26	Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $1,110 Week of September 21 2026?	No	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xb9fcf0…
09-21 23:29:55	Will Trump say "Stock Market" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly?	No	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xac07a7…
09-21 15:27:50	Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $64 Week of September 21 2026?	No	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xc7083e…
09-21 07:14:09	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $510 Week of September 21 2026?	No	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x92d0f3…
09-20 22:15:20	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $365 Week of September 21 2026?	No	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x997aa1…
09-19 07:29:34	trump x greenland deal signed by september 23	Yes	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x7f1c30…
09-15 23:10:37	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his remarks in North Carolina?	Yes	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x139adf…
09-15 01:38:16	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $60 Week of September 14 2026?	No	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x2bacd5…
09-14 17:36:57	Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $178 Week of September 14 2026?	No	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x720924…
09-13 21:35:18	will hood reach 115 by september 14 2026	Yes	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x124592…
09-13 00:26:57	Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 14?	No	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x3b010a…
09-11 07:04:42	spx up or down on september 11 2026	Up	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xc31a05…
09-10 23:00:06	Will Trump say "Afford" or "Affordable" or "Affordability" during RNC Convention?	Yes	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x4bacb9…
09-10 22:48:01	will nvda reach 220 by september 7 2026	Yes	BUY	2	68¢	$1	0x45baf4…
09-10 13:01:40	Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" during RNC Convention?	No	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xb7fd53…
09-10 04:53:31	spy up or down on september 10 2026	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x853ec8…
09-09 14:40:27	Will John Ternus say "Hardware" during his Apple Keynote?	No	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xd5a53b…
09-09 06:15:09	Will Macy's say "Real Estate" during earnings call?	No	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x532e3c…
09-08 16:19:00	laptop airdrop by september 9	Yes	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x26986b…
09-08 04:21:01	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $68 Week of September 7 2026?	No	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xd44376…
09-07 16:36:46	us x iran effective ceasefire by september 4	Yes	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xfce148…
09-03 20:44:39	us x iran effective ceasefire by september 7	No	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x24723b…
09-02 19:12:03	us x iran effective ceasefire by september 11	No	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xe4706c…
09-01 23:39:31	Will Andy Burnham say "NATO" during the next PMQ?	No	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xcf9bfe…
09-01 11:38:52	Next Google Gemini Flash Model (3.8+) released by September 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xd8432d…
09-01 03:29:45	next mythos class model released by september 4 2026	Yes	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xc1d4cc…
08-31 19:29:25	will xagusd dip to 65 by august 31 2026	Yes	BUY	2	68¢	$1	0xcd8be2…
08-31 19:29:19	next mythos class model released by september 7 2026	Yes	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xb28510…
08-31 11:28:57	Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x0815f4…
08-30 23:46:10	spx up or down on august 31 2026	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x159279…
08-30 12:24:36	Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x9f0477…
08-30 02:15:42	will xagusd dip to 66 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	2	68¢	$1	0xc539bb…
08-29 18:13:01	next mythos class model released by september 2 2026	No	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xedffed…
08-29 09:17:00	google maps renames lake ontario to lake america by september 4 2026	Yes	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x139f75…
08-27 09:25:25	israel x lebanon diplomatic meeting by september 9 2026	No	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xe5a8dd…
08-27 01:21:21	Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $1,020 Week of August 24 2026?	No	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x4fe34b…
08-25 03:34:48	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $204 Week of August 24 2026?	No	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x45a1dc…
08-24 19:25:45	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,700 Week of August 24 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x830349…
08-24 17:29:58	Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on August 24?	Down	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xe2eb3c…
08-24 09:11:04	Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $80 Week of August 24 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x7a2850…
08-24 01:10:28	Will Iran target an Arab country by August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xd92282…
08-23 10:16:13	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,700 in August?	Yes	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x823ff1…
08-22 16:09:01	will wti reach 90 in august 2026	No	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xfc2dd5…
08-22 05:25:54	will nvidia say domestic during earnings call	No	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x63842b…
08-21 19:31:52	will warsh say productivity during jackson hole speech on august 28	Yes	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x639815…
08-21 10:22:28	will wti reach 95 in august 2026	No	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x0bdfb7…