Realized P&L
+$4
Unrealized P&L
+$250
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved
1
Trades
3,872
lifetime
Volume
$148.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$38
Open exposure
$3.60K
8 positions
First seen
2026-03-29
last 07-21 21:27
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 1 day
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
74% 100% +$4
Other
12%
Tech
8%
Crypto
6%
Sports
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
63 active days in 12wk • peak 555 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
OpenAI IPO before 2027? No +1,378 $1,027 80¢ $1.1K +$83 07-11 17:57
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +943 $665 72¢ $674 +$9 07-21 21:27
Fed rate hike in 2026? Yes +638 $335 62¢ $392 +$57 07-14 12:30
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +755 $309 46¢ $351 +$42 07-14 07:56
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 No +935 $301 33¢ $309 +$8 07-21 21:27
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting? Yes +523 $293 56¢ $296 +$3 07-21 18:17
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? No +513 $236 48¢ $249 +$13 07-21 18:17
Iran leadership change by December 31? Yes +829 $185 26¢ $220 +$35 07-13 14:39