Defensive-Winner — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$35

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

48.4%

Resolved

Trades

121

lifetime

Volume

$18.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$154

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-28

last 09-09 13:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 39 days

Categories

Other

100% 58% -$36

Tech

0% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

15 active days in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	4	$1.0K	522	522	+0	No	-$1	03-22 07:40
Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	4	$705	353	353	+0	No	$0	06-05 11:19
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	4	$682	342	342	+0	No	$0	05-31 15:12
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	8	$666	334	334	+0	open	—	09-09 13:59
Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	2	$600	300	300	+0	No	$0	05-29 11:33
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	2	$567	284	284	+0	No	$0	06-07 10:33
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	2	$557	289	289	+0	No	+$10	06-03 13:00
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	2	$463	232	232	+0	open	—	07-19 13:12
Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	2	$462	231	231	+0	No	+$0	06-12 17:21
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	2	$428	234	234	+0	No	+$6	07-10 14:47
elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 580plus	2	$427	214	214	+0	No	+$0	03-03 11:43
Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	2	$420	210	210	+0	No	$0	08-10 15:52
highest temperature in toronto on march 13 2026 3c	1	$394	395	0	+395	No	+$0	03-14 03:39
Will Microsoft have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	2	$394	197	197	+0	No	$0	07-03 01:08
highest temperature in seoul on march 11 2026 7c	1	$380	380	0	+380	No	+$0	03-11 09:31
Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	2	$361	181	181	+0	No	$0	06-27 15:22
Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	2	$361	180	180	+0	No	+$0	06-09 11:35
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	2	$356	178	178	+0	No	$0	05-24 14:17
Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	2	$345	173	173	+0	No	$0	06-22 09:42
Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	4	$298	149	149	+0	No	$0	04-19 03:36
highest temperature in wellington on april 20 2026 16c	1	$297	298	0	+298	No	+$0	04-20 04:14
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	2	$284	142	142	+0	No	$0	08-17 07:03
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	2	$282	141	141	+0	No	+$0	08-08 17:00
will mistral have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 494	2	$255	128	128	+0	No	$0	03-13 01:12
highest temperature in nyc on march 15 2026 52forhigher	1	$251	252	0	+252	No	+$1	03-16 02:39
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	2	$247	124	124	+0	No	$0	04-13 09:34
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	2	$224	112	112	+0	No	$0	06-18 16:44
Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	2	$224	112	112	+0	No	$0	05-18 11:46
elon musk of tweets march 2026 360 379	2	$224	112	112	+0	No	$0	03-08 14:40
highest temperature in chongqing on april 5 2026 26c	1	$221	221	0	+221	No	+$0	04-05 10:55

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-09 13:59:55	Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	No	SELL	39	100¢	$39	0x796b67…
09-08 10:47:45	Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	No	BUY	39	100¢	$39	0xb9ab60…
09-05 14:17:45	Will Amazon have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	No	SELL	46	100¢	$46	0xbaab65…
09-04 14:54:10	Will Amazon have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	No	BUY	46	100¢	$46	0xa0dc12…
09-03 12:46:03	Will Broadcom be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	No	SELL	40	100¢	$40	0xed8f3c…
09-02 14:19:18	Will Broadcom be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0xb240f8…
08-31 13:29:06	Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	No	SELL	41	100¢	$41	0x4758fe…
08-30 15:02:55	Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	No	BUY	41	100¢	$41	0xc979ef…
08-29 03:37:06	Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	No	SELL	47	100¢	$47	0x015e5a…
08-28 16:03:57	Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	No	BUY	47	100¢	$47	0xc0dc4b…
08-27 04:51:16	Will Xiaomi have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	No	SELL	46	100¢	$46	0x0a51c5…
08-24 12:51:19	Will Xiaomi have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	No	BUY	46	100¢	$46	0xc67d1c…
08-23 15:17:13	Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	No	SELL	76	100¢	$76	0xc3c592…
08-22 16:54:16	Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	No	BUY	76	100¢	$76	0xb309f9…
08-21 17:03:13	Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	No	SELL	62	100¢	$62	0x8658a1…
08-20 11:15:34	Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	No	BUY	62	100¢	$62	0xbc2631…
08-17 07:03:36	Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	No	SELL	142	100¢	$142	0xad8ca3…
08-11 15:05:06	Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	No	BUY	142	100¢	$142	0xe7fec4…
08-10 15:52:28	Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	No	SELL	210	100¢	$210	0xf5dde8…
08-09 15:07:27	Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	No	BUY	210	100¢	$210	0x845a27…
08-08 17:00:34	Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	No	SELL	141	100¢	$141	0x9fd1b4…
08-01 15:11:12	Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	No	BUY	141	100¢	$141	0x5d58cf…
07-23 14:30:07	Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	No	SELL	191	100¢	$190	0x2ae852…
07-22 16:31:27	Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	No	BUY	191	100¢	$190	0x9ea006…
07-19 13:12:54	Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	No	SELL	232	100¢	$231	0x9ab324…
07-12 07:41:31	Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	No	BUY	232	100¢	$231	0x316f9e…
07-10 14:47:58	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	No	SELL	234	93¢	$217	0x711b94…
07-04 15:43:19	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	No	BUY	234	90¢	$211	0x48b465…
07-03 01:08:01	Will Microsoft have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	No	SELL	197	100¢	$197	0x3a4ce2…
07-01 16:01:07	Will Microsoft have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	No	BUY	197	100¢	$197	0x603a3a…
06-27 15:22:07	Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	No	SELL	181	100¢	$180	0x6d66ba…
06-24 10:24:04	Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	No	BUY	181	100¢	$181	0x82b5a4…
06-22 09:42:34	Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	No	SELL	173	100¢	$173	0x1bee24…
06-20 16:31:02	Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	No	BUY	173	100¢	$173	0xc823bd…
06-18 16:44:41	Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	No	SELL	112	100¢	$112	0x7064ae…
06-17 15:44:26	Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	No	BUY	112	100¢	$112	0xd16801…
06-12 17:21:52	Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	No	SELL	231	100¢	$231	0xaaba78…
06-10 15:48:09	Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	No	BUY	231	100¢	$231	0x9d9634…
06-09 11:35:10	Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	No	SELL	180	100¢	$180	0x1db64b…
06-08 14:37:22	Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	No	BUY	180	100¢	$180	0x090467…
06-07 10:33:42	Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	No	SELL	284	100¢	$283	0xf6951f…
06-06 13:44:33	Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	No	BUY	284	100¢	$284	0x462b38…
06-05 11:19:33	Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	No	SELL	191	100¢	$190	0x2b811f…
06-04 13:12:42	Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	No	BUY	191	100¢	$190	0xefd240…
06-03 13:00:22	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	No	SELL	289	98¢	$283	0xe9338b…
06-01 09:57:45	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	No	BUY	289	95¢	$274	0x2d5509…
05-31 15:12:34	Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	No	SELL	190	100¢	$190	0x81ddd5…
05-30 15:25:40	Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	No	BUY	190	100¢	$190	0x3af22b…
05-29 11:33:15	Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	No	SELL	300	100¢	$300	0x0b620d…
05-28 14:27:34	Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	No	BUY	300	100¢	$300	0x9f5519…
05-26 14:29:56	Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	No	SELL	162	100¢	$162	0xb2497f…
05-25 14:48:16	Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	No	BUY	162	100¢	$162	0xe53aa4…
05-24 14:17:39	Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	No	SELL	178	100¢	$178	0xa8e017…
05-23 15:19:44	Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	No	BUY	178	100¢	$178	0xb49889…
05-22 17:10:16	Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	No	SELL	101	100¢	$101	0xbf0d1f…
05-21 15:15:28	Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	No	BUY	101	100¢	$101	0x99bee5…
05-18 11:46:09	Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	SELL	112	100¢	$112	0x573b23…
05-17 06:51:42	Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	112	100¢	$112	0xbedd0e…
05-03 10:42:16	Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	No	SELL	151	100¢	$151	0x7d04e5…
05-01 15:48:22	Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	No	BUY	151	100¢	$151	0x4d682c…
04-29 12:23:08	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	73	99¢	$72	0x3f5a19…
04-28 14:37:48	Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	63	98¢	$62	0x17f16d…
04-27 10:09:10	Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	131	100¢	$130	0xb8aa46…
04-26 14:32:10	Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	131	100¢	$131	0xc88a6c…
04-25 09:55:50	Will Elon Musk post 1520-1559 tweets in April 2026?	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x5e8b63…
04-23 14:15:18	Will Elon Musk post 1520-1559 tweets in April 2026?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xa27282…
04-22 14:17:44	highest temperature in jeddah on april 22 2026 34c	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xe38798…
04-21 13:22:46	highest temperature in shanghai on april 21 2026 17c	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x192170…
04-20 04:14:42	highest temperature in wellington on april 20 2026 16c	No	BUY	298	100¢	$297	0xce285b…
04-19 03:36:46	Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	SELL	78	100¢	$78	0xc8df93…
04-18 15:16:04	Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	78	100¢	$78	0x8e30fc…
04-14 13:28:07	highest temperature in wuhan on april 14 2026 18c	Yes	BUY	61	100¢	$61	0x295501…
04-13 09:34:31	Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	SELL	124	100¢	$123	0xee60a0…
04-12 15:15:25	Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	124	100¢	$123	0xe6dc36…
04-11 10:15:35	highest temperature in chongqing on april 11 2026 21c	No	BUY	114	100¢	$114	0xdd3a1e…
04-10 14:31:51	Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	SELL	102	100¢	$102	0x1004d4…
04-09 15:11:33	Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	103	100¢	$102	0x425148…
04-08 09:06:59	highest temperature in shenzhen on april 8 2026 28c	No	BUY	175	100¢	$175	0x81738d…
04-07 10:06:35	highest temperature in chongqing on april 7 2026 24c	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x52866d…
04-06 09:06:43	highest temperature in chongqing on april 6 2026 22c	No	BUY	172	100¢	$172	0x96b6e2…
04-05 10:55:49	highest temperature in chongqing on april 5 2026 26c	No	BUY	221	100¢	$221	0x4e7aa9…
04-04 11:10:21	highest temperature in tokyo on april 4 2026 20c	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x7fe987…
04-04 10:59:13	highest temperature in tokyo on april 4 2026 20c	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xee6bf5…
04-03 15:07:49	highest temperature in ankara on april 3 2026 14c	No	BUY	98	100¢	$98	0x28c59b…
04-02 09:25:29	Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	SELL	71	100¢	$71	0x20016c…
04-01 11:09:51	Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	71	100¢	$71	0xe235a9…
03-31 12:58:35	will anthropic have the best ai model for coding on march 31	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xe2ba2a…
03-30 10:15:14	highest temperature in chongqing on march 30 2026 23c	No	BUY	172	100¢	$172	0x105efa…
03-29 10:06:58	highest temperature in chongqing on march 29 2026 21c	No	BUY	147	100¢	$147	0xc8e19d…
03-28 09:42:11	highest temperature in singapore on march 28 2026 34c	No	BUY	88	100¢	$88	0xbbc3f8…
03-27 10:21:31	will alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	SELL	81	100¢	$81	0xae671b…
03-26 10:00:21	will alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	BUY	81	100¢	$81	0x62ed13…
03-25 10:09:11	will alibaba have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 712	No	SELL	102	100¢	$102	0x1f8755…
03-24 10:25:25	will alibaba have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 712	No	BUY	102	100¢	$102	0xc4efb4…
03-23 10:30:39	highest temperature in shenzhen on march 23 2026 28c	No	BUY	218	100¢	$218	0x80bbcf…
03-22 07:40:49	will tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	SELL	230	100¢	$230	0xdcf186…
03-21 08:48:15	will tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	BUY	230	100¢	$230	0xbaa0c7…
03-20 03:13:13	highest temperature in nyc on march 19 2026 42 43f	No	BUY	212	100¢	$211	0x8ab7d2…
03-19 01:48:23	highest temperature in nyc on march 18 2026 36 37f	Yes	BUY	219	100¢	$219	0xbeaa2c…
03-18 02:42:49	highest temperature in dallas on march 17 2026 62 63f	Yes	BUY	198	100¢	$198	0x86c712…