Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$185

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

68.4%

Resolved

Trades

924

lifetime

Volume

$4.53K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-06-15

last 09-17 07:26

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 41 days

Categories

Other

44% 73% -$24

Politics

36% 76% -$61

Sports

13% 23% -$41

Crypto

5% 32% -$63

Tech

2% 67% +$5

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

21 active days in 12wk • peak 36 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (24) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	49	$354	194	194	+0	open	—	09-16 03:47
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	38	$208	127	127	+0	open	—	09-15 10:11
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	21	$186	106	106	+0	No	+$1	09-15 08:42
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?	61	$162	106	73	+32	No	+$7	08-28 03:24
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	24	$146	75	75	+0	No	+$2	07-30 00:23
will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	22	$124	126	58	+68	Yes	-$34	07-08 03:21
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	17	$122	132	132	+0	No	-$28	06-19 19:29
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	55	$120	62	62	+0	No	$0	07-03 12:02
Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?	10	$106	76	36	+40	No	+$3	08-10 14:21
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	58	$92	66	66	+0	Yes	+$5	09-17 07:26
kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	15	$84	47	40	+7	No	+$0	07-20 18:11
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?	4	$83	43	43	+0	No	+$3	09-13 06:58
israel withdraws from lebanon by july 31 2026	9	$83	45	45	+0	No	+$3	06-25 01:44
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	22	$82	61	61	+0	open	—	09-13 19:28
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?	15	$82	51	32	+19	No	+$1	08-18 06:07
will graham platner drop out by july 17 974 785 861	7	$82	42	42	+0	Yes	+$2	07-09 00:24
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	8	$81	49	49	+0	Yes	+$3	09-15 08:34
Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by June 30, 2026?	20	$81	41	41	+0	No	+$1	06-25 01:44
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	82	$73	39	39	+0	open	—	09-17 07:26
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	9	$72	51	51	+0	No	-$8	06-25 01:44
world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	8	$70	37	37	+0	No	$0	06-25 01:44
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	16	$68	42	42	+0	open	—	07-05 19:02
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	10	$64	63	63	+0	Yes	-$26	06-19 20:17
will spacexs valuation hit high 4pt0t by june 30	7	$63	33	33	+0	No	+$3	06-25 01:44
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?	5	$61	39	39	+0	open	—	09-15 09:35
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	7	$58	526	526	+0	No	-$2	06-25 01:44
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?	5	$56	28	28	+0	No	+$0	08-28 04:38
will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	4	$53	27	26	+0	Yes	+$0	07-22 06:02
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	9	$52	52	52	+0	No	-$7	09-11 00:00
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	16	$50	25	25	+0	No	+$0	07-08 07:39

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-17 07:26:37	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x53378b…
09-17 07:26:28	Iran leadership change by December 31?	No	SELL	13	85¢	$11	0xf0f18a…
09-17 07:26:16	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?	No	SELL	17	99¢	$17	0x24073b…
09-17 07:26:06	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	23	74¢	$17	0xfa8ba9…
09-17 07:26:01	US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	30	60¢	$18	0xb64ba9…
09-17 07:25:54	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	No	SELL	22	89¢	$20	0x4755d9…
09-17 07:25:43	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	SELL	23	88¢	$20	0xe8fac1…
09-16 03:47:52	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	26	94¢	$24	0x017386…
09-16 03:28:16	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	94¢	$0	0x4a9f63…
09-15 18:46:57	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x10e3e5…
09-15 15:33:01	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	94¢	$0	0xa44e4a…
09-15 15:09:39	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	94¢	$0	0x372579…
09-15 14:21:24	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	94¢	$0	0xc0ee30…
09-15 13:56:37	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	94¢	$0	0xa6b5d7…
09-15 11:25:24	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	94¢	$0	0x7dac6d…
09-15 10:40:07	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	94¢	$4	0xfa0d90…
09-15 10:11:06	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	36	83¢	$30	0x8a6106…
09-15 09:35:28	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?	No	SELL	39	77¢	$30	0x416e1f…
09-15 08:42:52	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	No	SELL	41	94¢	$39	0xaded90…
09-15 08:34:33	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	39	88¢	$35	0x99e255…
09-13 23:23:27	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	94¢	$0	0x9cf5ef…
09-13 19:40:15	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xa7ee24…
09-13 19:28:13	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	6	18¢	$1	0xab6900…
09-13 17:44:46	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	94¢	$0	0x32cc5c…
09-13 16:18:34	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	94¢	$0	0x88be78…
09-13 16:18:15	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	94¢	$0	0xa73366…
09-13 15:55:36	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	94¢	$0	0x57de87…
09-13 15:46:36	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	94¢	$0	0xe341de…
09-13 15:43:04	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x101698…
09-13 15:42:42	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xc3fd22…
09-13 15:42:36	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	94¢	$0	0x22480a…
09-13 15:42:33	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	94¢	$0	0x7e42a3…
09-13 15:42:33	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	94¢	$0	0x60ed35…
09-13 15:42:27	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	94¢	$0	0x006c60…
09-13 15:42:25	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	94¢	$0	0xac3021…
09-13 15:42:19	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	94¢	$0	0x8bfe88…
09-13 15:42:19	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	3	94¢	$3	0x50b60c…
09-13 14:14:25	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	10	78¢	$8	0xb85ec9…
09-13 10:04:51	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	9	79¢	$7	0x4db875…
09-13 10:04:27	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x3e01eb…
09-13 10:03:58	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x12aab7…
09-13 09:21:34	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x26f185…
09-13 09:20:09	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	15	79¢	$12	0x3a52e9…
09-13 09:20:07	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x2ed7b9…
09-13 06:58:24	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?	No	SELL	22	100¢	$21	0x0fb862…
09-13 06:48:19	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?	No	SELL	22	100¢	$21	0x0a26b8…
09-11 13:27:34	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	94¢	$10	0xafea7a…
09-11 13:07:22	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	No	SELL	10	90¢	$9	0x938969…
09-11 13:06:36	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	No	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0xb94dbf…
09-11 12:25:55	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	6	94¢	$6	0x1265c9…
09-11 11:16:12	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	21	94¢	$20	0x7bafb7…
09-11 08:35:10	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	22	93¢	$20	0xd20a17…
09-11 00:00:55	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	17	36¢	$6	0x368b41…
09-10 23:45:10	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?	No	BUY	8	76¢	$6	0x315502…
09-10 23:45:03	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	16	34¢	$6	0x90547c…
09-10 23:31:42	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?	No	BUY	15	77¢	$11	0x8e5df5…
09-10 18:17:30	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	24	85¢	$20	0xb423f9…
09-10 13:25:58	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	22	93¢	$20	0xf9feee…
09-10 11:20:06	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	23	86¢	$20	0x6b0a55…
09-05 10:52:42	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	86¢	$0	0x787bed…
09-05 10:42:16	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	86¢	$0	0xcd3496…
09-05 09:46:46	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	86¢	$0	0xf99514…
09-03 14:55:39	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	11	56¢	$6	0xd76245…
09-03 12:47:19	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	1	84¢	$1	0xaf5f84…
09-03 11:50:42	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	84¢	$0	0x807119…
09-03 10:00:21	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	84¢	$0	0x50c2a7…
09-03 09:57:57	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	84¢	$0	0x6f3a2c…
09-03 09:57:12	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	2	84¢	$2	0xfa5a8b…
09-01 09:44:25	Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?	Yes	SELL	2	21¢	$0	0x11b496…
08-30 22:07:33	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?	No	BUY	10	83¢	$8	0x981d4b…
08-30 20:47:00	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?	No	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x4804d9…
08-30 16:38:33	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?	No	SELL	8	97¢	$8	0x205eb9…
08-30 10:45:27	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	6	92¢	$6	0xdc7754…
08-29 17:17:16	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	No	BUY	22	89¢	$20	0x8c4d9b…
08-29 12:35:40	US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	66¢	$6	0x849005…
08-29 09:05:28	US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	67¢	$5	0x4b6b41…
08-29 09:04:18	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	4	31¢	$1	0x041e9c…
08-29 07:42:09	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	8	57¢	$5	0x62864e…
08-28 23:27:48	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	No	BUY	6	95¢	$5	0xaa6c4c…
08-28 20:30:31	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	15	49¢	$7	0x09ea77…
08-28 14:37:55	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xed4f84…
08-28 14:37:55	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x2b7437…
08-28 14:07:13	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	10	65¢	$7	0xce5a56…
08-28 14:05:55	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x975670…
08-28 04:38:30	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xf4d818…
08-28 03:24:00	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x52e21e…
08-28 03:20:12	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xb17e19…
08-28 00:20:04	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xc2ebb2…
08-27 19:18:25	Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?	Yes	SELL	0	20¢	$0	0x601c56…
08-27 19:05:52	Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?	Yes	SELL	0	20¢	$0	0xec0945…
08-27 18:54:31	Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?	Yes	SELL	0	21¢	$0	0x596e8f…
08-27 09:01:27	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	16	88¢	$14	0x7d1fc2…
08-27 07:06:09	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	31	86¢	$27	0x502996…
08-26 21:10:04	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	4	73¢	$3	0xb54da1…
08-26 21:07:09	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	0	73¢	$0	0x690747…
08-26 20:53:04	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	0	73¢	$0	0x5b82a8…
08-26 19:48:01	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	0	73¢	$0	0xbde95a…
08-26 19:41:42	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	1	73¢	$1	0x0896c3…
08-26 19:41:40	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	1	73¢	$1	0xc120e2…
08-26 19:29:00	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	0	73¢	$0	0x07a84a…