Pessimistic-Cicada — Polymarket

Realized P&L (7d)

—

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

—

Resolved (7d)

Trades (7d)

1,163 lifetime

Volume (7d)

$2.87K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-15

last 06-29 02:35

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 61 days

Categories

Crypto

84% 46% -$26

Sports

16% 54% -$27

Other

0% 44% -$3

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-29).

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes		+13	$1	2¢	$0	-$1	05-10 03:45

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
nba nyk sas 2026 06 13	8	$77	122	64	+58	Knicks	+$5	06-14 03:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	7	$63	56	55	+1	Down	+$10	05-11 20:27
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Cavaliers vs. Pistons	2	$49	38	38	+0	Cavs	+$27	05-18 03:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-14 14:20 UTC	3	$48	33	32	+1	Down	+$7	02-14 14:24
nba sas nyk 2026 06 10	6	$45	46	38	+8	Knicks	+$13	06-11 03:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-14 13:50 UTC	3	$42	24	22	+2	Down	+$1	02-14 13:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	3	$41	62	62	+0	Up	+$28	05-10 03:33
nba nyk sas 2026 06 05	7	$39	51	29	+22	Knicks	+$3	06-06 02:49
Cavaliers vs. Pistons	7	$33	45	40	+5	Cavaliers	+$8	05-14 02:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	8	$32	36	36	+0	Down	+$6	05-11 23:54
nba gsw phx 2026 04 17	2	$31	79	0	+79	Suns	-$31	04-18 03:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	5	$30	29	29	+0	Down	-$2	05-11 23:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	6	$28	40	36	+4	Down	+$12	05-10 04:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	4	$27	15	15	+0	Down	+$1	05-12 23:38
nba nyk sas 2026 06 03	3	$26	45	0	+45	Knicks	-$26	06-04 03:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	8	$25	41	20	+20	Up	+$3	05-11 23:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-14 14:40 UTC	7	$24	23	21	+3	Up	+$6	02-14 14:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	5	$23	41	16	+25	Down	+$1	05-11 20:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	5	$22	140	40	+100	Up	+$0	05-11 21:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	4	$22	20	20	+0	Up	+$10	05-11 23:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	7	$21	25	23	+2	Up	-$3	05-13 20:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-12 14:05 UTC	2	$21	22	0	+22	Down	+$1	02-12 14:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	8	$21	19	19	+0	Down	+$5	05-13 11:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-14 14:30 UTC	1	$20	84	0	+84	Up	-$20	02-14 14:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	6	$19	20	17	+3	Up	+$2	05-12 23:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	2	$18	86	86	+0	Down	+$6	05-12 00:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	5	$18	15	15	+0	Down	+$12	05-25 02:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	5	$18	12	12	+0	Down	+$5	05-11 22:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	3	$18	12	12	+0	Down	+$6	05-13 11:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	5	$18	13	13	+0	Down	+$4	05-14 00:49

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-29 02:35:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-29 02:35 UTC	Down	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0x036902…
06-29 02:33:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-29 02:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0xd0d152…
06-20 14:16:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-20 14:15 UTC	Down	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0x1b5962…
06-20 14:10:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-20 14:10 UTC	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xebbe0d…
06-20 14:05:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-20 14:05 UTC	Down	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x6e3873…
06-20 14:02:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-20 14:00 UTC	Down	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0x58e3a3…
06-20 14:00:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-20 14:00 UTC	Down	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0x203a9f…
06-20 13:55:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-20 13:55 UTC	Down	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x313d97…
06-20 13:43:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-20 13:40 UTC	Down	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0x7edc01…
06-20 13:37:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-20 13:35 UTC	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xe76b61…
06-20 13:35:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-20 13:35 UTC	Down	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x9bcf38…
06-20 13:31:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-20 13:30 UTC	Down	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0xf14b36…
06-20 13:30:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-20 13:25 UTC	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x3ae029…
06-20 13:29:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-20 13:25 UTC	Up	SELL	2	30¢	$1	0xff483b…
06-20 13:28:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-20 13:25 UTC	Down	SELL	6	79¢	$5	0xa8767d…
06-20 13:24:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-20 13:25 UTC	Down	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0xb10702…
06-20 13:24:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-20 13:25 UTC	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xa6c312…
06-20 11:30:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-20 11:30 UTC	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x1c2e34…
06-20 11:25:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-20 11:25 UTC	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x9f2e41…
06-20 11:22:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-20 11:20 UTC	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x2959f5…
06-18 02:03:14	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-18 02:00 UTC	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x432849…
06-18 01:17:50	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-18 01:15 UTC	Down	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0xb6af45…
06-18 01:10:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-18 01:10 UTC	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x150ed2…
06-18 00:44:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-18 00:40 UTC	Down	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0xe847c8…
06-18 00:39:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xcfd9b6…
06-18 00:38:44	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-18 00:35 UTC	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xec5ae7…
06-18 00:33:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-18 00:30 UTC	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xd6de6a…
06-17 00:27:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 00:25 UTC	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xf94f95…
06-17 00:21:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 00:25 UTC	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xd479b9…
06-17 00:21:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 00:20 UTC	Down	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xe7f6be…
06-17 00:20:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 00:20 UTC	Down	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0x1f3ebb…
06-17 00:18:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 00:15 UTC	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x705848…
06-17 00:15:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 00:15 UTC	Down	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x5fc0d1…
06-17 00:12:44	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 00:10 UTC	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xd5bd3f…
06-17 00:06:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 00:05 UTC	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x6aaad2…
06-17 00:05:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 00:05 UTC	Down	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0x81f3e1…
06-17 00:04:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 00:00 UTC	Down	SELL	11	4¢	$0	0x3ecf2f…
06-17 00:02:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 00:00 UTC	Down	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xd147af…
06-17 00:00:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 00:00 UTC	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xca1157…
06-16 23:59:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 23:55 UTC	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x802f3c…
06-16 23:57:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 23:55 UTC	Down	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x3504bc…
06-16 23:55:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 23:55 UTC	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xdf5667…
06-16 23:51:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 23:50 UTC	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x52efc0…
06-16 23:51:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 23:50 UTC	Down	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xc11bb4…
06-16 23:50:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 23:50 UTC	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xdece79…
06-16 23:48:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 23:45 UTC	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x41d4ec…
06-16 23:48:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 23:45 UTC	Up	SELL	4	29¢	$1	0xd294e2…
06-16 23:46:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 23:45 UTC	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x2762ed…
06-16 23:40:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 23:40 UTC	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x39a757…
06-16 23:38:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 23:35 UTC	Down	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x44a2e9…
06-16 23:35:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 23:35 UTC	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x2c8d19…
06-16 01:53:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 01:50 UTC	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x3bb41f…
06-16 01:35:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 01:35 UTC	Down	BUY	7	42¢	$3	0x124411…
06-16 01:33:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 01:30 UTC	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x7ac711…
06-16 01:25:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x26294f…
06-16 01:21:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 01:20 UTC	Down	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x781f31…
06-16 01:20:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 01:20 UTC	Down	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x31e14d…
06-16 01:18:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 01:15 UTC	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xb6a0f2…
06-16 01:17:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 01:15 UTC	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x1dc8b3…
06-16 01:15:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xa95891…
06-16 01:13:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 01:10 UTC	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x83ef81…
06-16 01:11:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 01:10 UTC	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xec56be…
06-16 01:07:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 01:05 UTC	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xae9cb1…
06-16 01:05:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 01:05 UTC	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x071cef…
06-16 01:02:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 01:00 UTC	Up	SELL	2	80¢	$2	0x306a4a…
06-16 01:01:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 01:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x6ccc27…
06-16 00:58:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 01:00 UTC	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x8f5080…
06-16 00:57:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 00:55 UTC	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x49fe1e…
06-16 00:57:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 00:55 UTC	Up	SELL	4	7¢	$0	0xb72e1e…
06-16 00:55:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 00:55 UTC	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x82b998…
06-16 00:54:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 00:50 UTC	Down	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xd431f4…
06-16 00:50:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xe6b033…
06-16 00:47:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 00:45 UTC	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xcc9278…
06-16 00:46:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 00:45 UTC	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x368a9a…
06-15 03:08:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Up	SELL	2	92¢	$2	0x14f9c5…
06-15 02:58:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x3eded9…
06-15 02:37:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-15 02:35 UTC	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x7c9288…
06-15 02:34:49	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-15 02:30 UTC	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xa70969…
06-15 02:34:42	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-15 02:30 UTC	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xe649c1…
06-15 02:34:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-15 02:30 UTC	Up	SELL	8	1¢	$0	0x2ec092…
06-15 02:33:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x97146c…
06-15 02:29:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-15 02:30 UTC	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x05d14d…
06-15 02:27:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-15 02:25 UTC	Down	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xce78a2…
06-15 02:27:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-15 02:25 UTC	Up	SELL	10	27¢	$3	0x57e669…
06-15 02:26:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-15 02:25 UTC	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x74297f…
06-15 02:25:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-15 02:25 UTC	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xf93bc4…
06-15 02:25:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-15 02:25 UTC	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xa3d09e…
06-15 02:21:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-15 02:20 UTC	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x6ac27f…
06-15 02:21:34	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-15 02:15 UTC	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x7e1e48…
06-15 02:19:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x50fa27…
06-15 02:19:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	SELL	3	11¢	$0	0x9141e5…
06-15 02:15:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-15 02:15 UTC	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x4e0042…
06-14 15:53:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-14 15:50 UTC	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xe0a237…
06-14 15:50:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-14 15:50 UTC	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x9ea5ce…
06-14 15:49:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-14 15:45 UTC	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x4dbf41…
06-14 15:46:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-14 15:45 UTC	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x04f579…
06-14 15:46:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-14 15:45 UTC	Up	SELL	3	39¢	$1	0x581d01…
06-14 15:45:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-14 15:45 UTC	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xd7b039…
06-14 15:44:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-14 15:40 UTC	Down	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xb7b95e…
06-14 15:43:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-14 15:40 UTC	Up	SELL	3	27¢	$1	0x995c08…