Whispered-Memory — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$217

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

39.3%

Resolved

321

Trades

1,410

lifetime

Volume

$2.98K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-22

last 08-22 20:13

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 84 days

Categories

Other

50% 27% -$133

Politics

27% 33% -$43

Sports

15% 26% -$21

Tech

6% 22% +$11

Crypto

2% 12% -$32

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
ODI Series Bangladesh vs New Zealand: Bangladesh vs New Zealand	19	$159	112	112	+0	Bangladesh	+$13	04-23 13:46
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Punjab Kings	22	$123	221	0	+221	Punjab Kings	-$113	04-25 12:18
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?	45	$121	137	122	+15	Yes	+$8	06-19 13:53
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?	45	$86	149	129	+20	No	-$8	06-19 20:31
Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?	20	$58	50	50	+0	No	-$1	06-23 03:38
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on June 19?	12	$58	35	35	+0	Yes	+$0	06-19 11:11
ufc car20 jei 2026 08 22	2	$56	34	34	+0	Carli Judice	$0	08-22 20:13
Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 7, 2026?	24	$52	79	79	+0	No	-$5	07-06 19:06
Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?	21	$47	55	55	+0	Yes	-$3	06-22 14:43
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	20	$39	60	60	+0	Yes	-$2	07-09 21:46
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	23	$34	88	88	+0	No	+$1	07-10 05:55
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	8	$34	20	20	+0	open	—	07-07 19:06
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	5	$32	20	20	+0	Yes	-$1	06-21 21:02
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	28	$32	92	92	+0	No	+$0	07-11 15:29
Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?	15	$30	51	51	+0	No	-$8	07-11 15:28
Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	2	$28	11	25	-14	No	+$6	05-18 04:42
Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?	12	$27	36	36	+0	No	-$1	06-24 06:27
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?	12	$26	31	31	+0	No	-$2	07-06 06:12
Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 158m and 171m?	11	$26	30	30	+0	Yes	+$3	06-21 22:17
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?	2	$24	63	0	+63	No	-$24	05-25 22:55
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	6	$24	15	15	+0	open	—	07-03 01:28
Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?	8	$24	20	20	+0	Yes	-$1	06-18 21:05
Will "Obsession" 6th Weekend Box Office be less than 14m?	6	$23	15	15	+0	Yes	+$3	06-22 01:51
Will Iván Cepeda Castro place 1st in Bogotá in the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election?	7	$23	25	10	+15	Yes	+$3	06-21 21:41
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	8	$23	20	20	+0	Yes	+$0	06-24 14:19
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Rajasthan Royals	6	$21	56	0	+56	Rajasthan Royals	+$25	04-22 17:23
Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on June 19?	10	$21	35	10	+25	Yes	+$13	06-19 13:56
Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?	5	$21	15	15	+0	open	—	05-11 13:13
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	14	$20	42	42	+0	No	+$0	07-04 17:05
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	14	$19	40	40	+0	No	$0	07-01 15:07

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-22 20:13:15	ufc car20 jei 2026 08 22	Carli Judice	SELL	34	83¢	$28	0x8061b2…
08-22 16:57:45	ufc car20 jei 2026 08 22	Carli Judice	BUY	34	84¢	$28	0x8c7421…
07-11 15:30:41	Will Nico Schlotterbeck join Manchester City?	Yes	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0x3de31e…
07-11 15:30:37	Will Jack Grealish join Nottingham Forest?	Yes	SELL	8	1¢	$0	0xbbc06f…
07-11 15:30:31	Will Sian Astley win the 2026 Greater Manchester mayoral election by at least 5%?	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0xe11299…
07-11 15:30:26	Will the median home value in Los Angeles Metro be between $1,201,000 and $1,216,000 on September 30?	Yes	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0x51d2d6…
07-11 15:30:20	Will UK annual inflation be between 2.8% and 3% in June?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x25de88…
07-11 15:30:16	Will PPI YoY be 6.0% in June?	Yes	SELL	5	6¢	$0	0x0caac1…
07-11 15:30:11	Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	0¢	$0	0x5c8790…
07-11 15:30:01	Will Pat McFadden be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	5¢	$0	0xe6f753…
07-11 15:29:55	Will Rafael Leao join Al-Hilal?	Yes	SELL	8	1¢	$0	0x4af9e1…
07-11 15:29:52	Will Paige Bueckers win the 2026 WNBA MVP award?	Yes	SELL	13	1¢	$0	0x6a977c…
07-11 15:29:46	Will Bev Craig win the 2026 Greater Manchester mayoral election by 5–10%?	Yes	SELL	5	7¢	$0	0xbd1ab1…
07-11 15:29:41	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	SELL	13	6¢	$1	0xe370b8…
07-11 15:29:35	Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	13¢	$1	0x85f7bc…
07-11 15:29:19	Will there be exactly 4 ChatGPT outages in July 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	17¢	$1	0xb01014…
07-11 15:29:14	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	5	18¢	$1	0x2e80cd…
07-11 15:29:08	Will Bernadette Wilson win the 2026 Alaska governor election?	Yes	SELL	5	20¢	$1	0x44c7fb…
07-11 15:29:02	Will annual inflation be 3.9% in June?	Yes	SELL	6	17¢	$1	0x4302e1…
07-11 15:28:56	Will Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026?	Yes	SELL	15	8¢	$1	0xb9fe69…
07-11 15:28:49	United Airlines (UAL) Q2 total revenue per available seat mile 19.5¢+?	Yes	SELL	5	26¢	$1	0x286956…
07-11 15:28:43	Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.3% and 4.6%?	Yes	SELL	5	25¢	$1	0x7750eb…
07-11 15:28:23	Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?	Yes	SELL	31	13¢	$4	0xffacdd…
07-11 15:28:16	Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?	Yes	SELL	26	20¢	$5	0x8f4ddc…
07-11 15:28:04	Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	35	27¢	$10	0xa15809…
07-11 10:07:53	Will Aniya Harvey win Love Island USA Season 8?	Yes	SELL	7	11¢	$1	0x66af70…
07-11 00:30:58	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0x6245af…
07-11 00:29:01	Will the median home value in Miami be between $1,053,000 and $1,089,000 on September 30?	Yes	SELL	5	18¢	$1	0x4245cd…
07-10 23:13:28	Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xeb0265…
07-10 20:33:35	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	6	16¢	$1	0x37add3…
07-10 08:10:28	Will the Republican Party win the OH-11 House seat?	Yes	SELL	20	2¢	$0	0x13a3aa…
07-10 06:50:53	United Airlines (UAL) Q2 total revenue per available seat mile 19.5¢+?	Yes	BUY	0	49¢	$0	0x890c69…
07-10 06:50:46	United Airlines (UAL) Q2 total revenue per available seat mile 19.5¢+?	Yes	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x62e706…
07-10 06:50:46	United Airlines (UAL) Q2 total revenue per available seat mile 19.5¢+?	Yes	BUY	3	49¢	$1	0x510cdc…
07-10 05:55:49	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	7	15¢	$1	0x925dc5…
07-10 05:41:08	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x3651f5…
07-10 04:31:17	Will the median home value in Miami be between $1,053,000 and $1,089,000 on September 30?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x2d230a…
07-10 03:59:05	Will a player representing France be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	5	41¢	$2	0xd9f129…
07-10 00:01:55	Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	20¢	$1	0x700251…
07-09 23:56:40	Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0xbb81b5…
07-09 23:19:38	Will a player representing France be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x335527…
07-09 21:58:11	Will a player representing France be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	5	33¢	$2	0x5fb790…
07-09 21:48:25	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x586700…
07-09 21:46:46	Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	5	43¢	$2	0x8ec019…
07-09 21:44:17	Will a player representing France be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x178b9f…
07-09 21:41:19	Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	5	30¢	$2	0x1d2fd1…
07-09 21:40:13	Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x6ea412…
07-09 21:27:46	Will France score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	5	48¢	$2	0xb973e6…
07-09 20:56:04	Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0x2a6465…
07-09 20:50:02	Will France score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x82cd8e…
07-09 20:38:50	Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x1a661f…
07-09 20:36:07	Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x1e21aa…
07-09 20:25:38	Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x550b23…
07-09 19:50:31	Will Bev Craig win the 2026 Greater Manchester mayoral election by 5–10%?	Yes	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0xa81829…
07-09 19:32:38	Will there be three UK Prime Ministers by end of 2027?	Yes	SELL	6	12¢	$1	0xe1b1f4…
07-09 15:02:10	Will PPI YoY be 6.3% in June?	Yes	SELL	6	15¢	$1	0xd1d91e…
07-09 12:56:46	Will PPI YoY be 6.3% in June?	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x7af158…
07-09 11:23:52	Will PPI YoY be 6.0% in June?	Yes	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x03894b…
07-09 11:15:58	Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	11¢	$1	0xdbd921…
07-09 09:29:22	Will Miloš Vučević win the next Serbia presidential election?	Yes	SELL	5	14¢	$1	0x11d13d…
07-09 03:23:08	Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	2	19¢	$0	0xa205d2…
07-09 01:39:55	Will there be exactly 4 ChatGPT outages in July 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x887f40…
07-09 01:09:44	Will Bilibili Gaming win MSI 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	36¢	$2	0xc04bc8…
07-08 23:57:17	Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x2965e5…
07-08 22:50:38	Will Miloš Vučević win the next Serbia presidential election?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xe555f9…
07-08 22:44:01	Will John Healey be the next Defence Secretary of the UK in 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	31¢	$2	0xcb4f17…
07-08 22:25:37	Will John Healey be the next Defence Secretary of the UK in 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x49b3f9…
07-08 22:21:07	Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	5	38¢	$2	0xafb242…
07-08 14:27:59	Will the Republican Party win the OH-11 House seat?	Yes	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0x3a2b59…
07-08 14:12:55	Will Walt Weiss win the 2026 NL Manager of the Year?	Yes	SELL	5	20¢	$1	0x6dbf9b…
07-08 13:59:17	Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x278664…
07-08 13:58:31	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	5	45¢	$2	0xe34e0f…
07-08 13:32:05	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	BUY	8	10¢	$1	0x48e1f8…
07-08 12:46:43	Will Marine Tondelier be the joint left nominee for the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	6	20¢	$1	0xb6b39a…
07-08 11:41:32	Will there be three UK Prime Ministers by end of 2027?	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xdedd36…
07-08 09:54:29	Will Bilibili Gaming win MSI 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0xcf9add…
07-08 09:44:52	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	5	22¢	$1	0xb46702…
07-08 09:43:29	Will a team from LPL (China) win MSI 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	35¢	$2	0x6eb5a0…
07-08 09:23:14	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xe726a3…
07-08 09:05:44	Will fewer than 150 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 6-July 12?	Yes	SELL	5	27¢	$1	0xf72862…
07-08 05:50:47	Will a team from LPL (China) win MSI 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x04ee9b…
07-08 05:01:47	Will fewer than 150 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 6-July 12?	Yes	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x6a3e2d…
07-08 04:56:26	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 17, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	46¢	$2	0xf1b8da…
07-07 23:58:26	Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x3f25cb…
07-07 23:56:01	Will Novak Djokovic be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?	Yes	SELL	7	12¢	$1	0xb51232…
07-07 23:28:40	Will Novak Djokovic be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?	Yes	BUY	2	14¢	$0	0x6b9e93…
07-07 23:28:37	Will Novak Djokovic be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?	Yes	BUY	5	14¢	$1	0xf71238…
07-07 23:01:08	Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0x3f4fca…
07-07 22:56:25	Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	5	39¢	$2	0x97a330…
07-07 22:47:26	Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x48808d…
07-07 20:03:35	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	6	17¢	$1	0xdb6da1…
07-07 19:52:16	Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x2bbc19…
07-07 19:29:34	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xdc3c06…
07-07 19:06:59	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	84¢	$4	0x7d3cde…
07-07 17:21:43	Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x2edc24…
07-07 17:02:11	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x9d660f…
07-07 14:20:32	Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xc35391…
07-07 13:47:56	Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xdc53cd…
07-07 13:34:26	Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	5	24¢	$1	0x83ed58…
07-07 13:18:16	Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x6de8d2…