Careless-Lemon — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$588

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

13.9%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$3.95K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$48

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-02

last 07-18 17:53

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 25 days

Categories

Other

83% 87% -$584

Sports

14% 0% -$11

Crypto

3% 100% +$6

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-18).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	3	$1.1K	580	580	+0	No	-$3	04-28 18:00
Will Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	2	$1.1K	570	570	+0	No	-$1	04-28 19:01
Spurs vs. Thunder	4	$561	1,100	0	+1,100	Thunder	-$11	05-26 14:52
fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 team to advance	1	$544	800	0	+800	England	-$544	07-18 17:53
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-02 08:30 UTC	1	$100	106	0	+106	Up	+$6	03-02 08:39
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	8	$35	496	496	+0	Yes	-$21	04-27 08:04
Will Narendra Modi win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	2	$20	580	580	+0	No	-$2	04-28 18:00
Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	2	$16	580	580	+0	No	-$4	04-28 18:01
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 25°C on June 24?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	06-24 08:59
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 17°C on July 17?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	07-16 06:52
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 17?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	06-16 07:49
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on June 25?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	06-24 08:58
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 12°C on July 14?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	07-13 03:09
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 27°C on June 19?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	06-18 03:24
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 84°F or higher on June 9?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	06-09 03:08
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C or higher on June 16?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	06-16 07:41
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C or below on July 17?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	07-16 06:50
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on June 16?	1	$10	10	0	+10	Yes	+$0	06-16 07:46
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 26°C on May 14?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	05-14 09:53
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 20°C on June 9?	1	$10	10	0	+10	Yes	-$10	06-09 03:14
Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in May?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	05-29 08:40
Will the highest temperature in Denver be 77°F or below on June 19?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	06-18 03:21
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on June 9?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	06-09 03:10
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on June 16?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	06-16 07:43
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 17°C on June 25?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	06-24 09:05
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 13°C or below on June 17?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	06-16 07:47
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 36°C or below on June 25?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	06-24 09:02
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 67°F or below on June 19?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	06-18 03:18
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on June 25?	1	$9	10	0	+10	No	+$0	06-24 09:03
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 30°C on May 14?	1	$9	10	0	+10	No	+$0	05-14 09:55

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-18 17:53:51	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 team to advance	France	BUY	800	68¢	$544	0xb4d3fd…
07-16 06:52:35	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 17°C on July 17?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2d065a…
07-16 06:50:38	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C or below on July 17?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe29ff8…
07-13 03:09:05	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 12°C on July 14?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x9b91f5…
07-13 03:06:32	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on July 14?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x1e13b3…
06-24 09:07:08	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 31°C on June 25?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x1110fa…
06-24 09:05:28	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 17°C on June 25?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc743fa…
06-24 09:03:56	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on June 25?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$9	0x20745e…
06-24 09:02:34	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 36°C or below on June 25?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xcbe37e…
06-24 09:01:08	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C or below on June 25?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x76e317…
06-24 08:59:38	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 25°C on June 24?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x0a3452…
06-24 08:58:04	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on June 25?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xbfdbd9…
06-24 08:56:20	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on June 24?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x8c259b…
06-18 03:31:35	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 15°C or below on June 19?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x31e663…
06-18 03:29:53	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 25°C or below on June 19?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$9	0x67d98f…
06-18 03:28:02	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 25°C on June 19?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xed624d…
06-18 03:26:29	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 19?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x38760d…
06-18 03:24:46	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 27°C on June 19?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb4a107…
06-18 03:22:59	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 28°C or below on June 19?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x5e8161…
06-18 03:21:26	Will the highest temperature in Denver be 77°F or below on June 19?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb82b77…
06-18 03:18:26	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 67°F or below on June 19?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xeba45a…
06-16 07:50:48	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 26°C on June 17?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x2af2bd…
06-16 07:49:15	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 17?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x12eb5b…
06-16 07:47:40	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 13°C or below on June 17?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa2e0e6…
06-16 07:46:06	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on June 16?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x45bf7b…
06-16 07:44:33	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on June 16?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xd81c30…
06-16 07:43:03	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on June 16?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xec092b…
06-16 07:41:30	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C or higher on June 16?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x861c36…
06-16 07:39:55	Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C or below on June 16?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x95a9c4…
06-09 03:14:27	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 20°C on June 9?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x0cbb98…
06-09 03:12:04	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 27°C on June 9?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x42d27d…
06-09 03:10:03	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on June 9?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb171e9…
06-09 03:08:00	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 84°F or higher on June 9?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2080c8…
05-29 08:45:27	Will Hyperliquid dip to $38 in May?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x950325…
05-29 08:40:49	Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in May?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa01368…
05-29 08:39:23	Will Google have the second best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$6	0x6f59a8…
05-29 08:37:10	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on May 30?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x7439ce…
05-29 08:35:18	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 74-75°F on May 31?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb7904e…
05-29 08:33:33	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 21°C on May 29?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x39a55c…
05-29 08:31:48	Will the lowest temperature in London be 15°C on May 29?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$8	0xc1211e…
05-27 07:10:29	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 45°C on May 27?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$8	0xcd3834…
05-27 07:09:17	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 29°C on May 27?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x51921f…
05-27 07:08:25	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on May 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2be9c8…
05-27 07:07:18	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x24332c…
05-27 07:06:08	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C on May 27?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x59442d…
05-27 07:05:12	Will the highest temperature in New York City be 86°F or higher on May 28?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xe26bd0…
05-26 14:52:41	Spurs vs. Thunder	Spurs	BUY	550	40¢	$220	0x872e39…
05-26 07:57:48	Spurs vs. Thunder	Thunder	BUY	15	62¢	$9	0x24b562…
05-26 07:57:04	Spurs vs. Thunder	Thunder	BUY	63	62¢	$39	0x88a92a…
05-26 07:56:53	Spurs vs. Thunder	Thunder	BUY	472	62¢	$292	0xf5546e…
05-14 09:55:08	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 30°C on May 14?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$9	0xc73c06…
05-14 09:53:00	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 26°C on May 14?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x33c8f9…
05-14 09:51:15	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 19°C on May 15?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$9	0x62f958…
05-14 09:48:55	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 18°C or below on May 15?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xb9b74a…
05-09 09:24:43	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 9?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$1	0xdfa620…
05-09 09:23:17	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 11°C or below on May 9?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xd1f3c7…
05-09 09:21:46	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on May 9?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x009df6…
05-09 09:19:14	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 10°C on May 9?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x6e8a8c…
04-28 19:02:14	Will Greta Thunberg win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	SELL	82	2¢	$2	0xede5c1…
04-28 19:01:28	Will Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	SELL	570	96¢	$549	0xc19adc…
04-28 18:55:40	Will Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	BUY	570	96¢	$550	0xfb47f1…
04-28 18:36:38	Will Greta Thunberg win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	BUY	82	2¢	$2	0x277bdc…
04-28 18:01:30	Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	SELL	580	1¢	$6	0x0b150c…
04-28 18:00:50	Will Narendra Modi win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	SELL	580	2¢	$9	0xfbdcdd…
04-28 18:00:26	Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	SELL	580	96¢	$556	0x3ba277…
04-28 17:29:10	Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	BUY	580	2¢	$10	0x3bea6e…
04-28 17:27:50	Will Narendra Modi win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	BUY	580	2¢	$11	0xd4e49e…
04-28 16:55:14	Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	BUY	552	96¢	$532	0xcd543d…
04-28 16:54:30	Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	BUY	28	96¢	$27	0x66a30b…
04-27 08:04:36	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	42	1¢	$1	0xcc4a3f…
04-27 07:59:30	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	48	1¢	$1	0xfab5f0…
04-27 07:37:52	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	74	1¢	$1	0xea5ea3…
04-27 07:29:04	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	88	1¢	$1	0xf0c258…
04-27 07:23:48	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	81	1¢	$1	0xb0a26f…
04-27 07:21:26	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	3	1¢	$0	0x511b3f…
04-27 07:15:24	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	159	1¢	$2	0x46e04b…
04-24 08:35:34	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	496	6¢	$28	0x582948…
04-23 09:14:28	highest temperature in buenos aires on april 24 2026 17c	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xe20786…
04-23 09:13:16	highest temperature in ankara on april 24 2026 7c	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x187074…
04-23 09:12:16	highest temperature in milan on april 24 2026 18c	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x282868…
04-23 09:11:10	highest temperature in austin on april 24 2026 60 61f	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x06a966…
03-02 08:39:31	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-02 08:30 UTC	Up	BUY	106	94¢	$100	0xe88c70…