(anonymous) 0x221349…8868b5
8W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$1
Unrealized P&L
-$34
Hit rate
84.4%
Resolved
33
Trades
99
lifetime
Volume
$1.90K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$19
Open exposure
$1.14K
23 positions
First seen
2026-08-02
last 10-27 20:28
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 20 days
Categories
Politics
79% 90% +$8
Other
14% 91% +$5
Crypto
7% 50% -$11
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
19 active days in 12wk • peak 19 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in November 2026 (ET)? Yes +121 $107 87¢ $105 -$2 10-27 20:28
Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election? Yes +116 $100 87¢ $100 +$0 10-24 07:14
Will the Democrats win the Arizona governor race in 2026? Yes +109 $100 92¢ $99 -$1 10-24 07:15
Will the Democrats win the Michigan governor race in 2026? Yes +106 $100 93¢ $98 -$2 10-24 07:16
Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? Yes +123 $100 80¢ $98 -$2 10-24 07:16
Will the Democrats win the Oregon governor race in 2026? Yes +118 $100 82¢ $97 -$3 10-24 07:12
Will the Democrats win the Iowa governor race in 2026? Yes +114 $100 85¢ $97 -$3 10-24 07:15
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026? No +120 $100 78¢ $95 -$5 10-24 07:12
Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026? Yes +120 $100 76¢ $92 -$8 10-24 07:14
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026? Yes +139 $100 65¢ $91 -$9 10-24 07:13
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28? Yes +52 $49 98¢ $51 +$2 10-27 04:57
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +47 $27 66¢ $31 +$4 10-23 00:30
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +32 $30 93¢ $30 $0 10-24 09:13
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes +29 $19 66¢ $19 $0 10-23 08:19
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026? Yes +12 $10 78¢ $9 -$1 10-24 06:32
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +10 $6 68¢ $6 +$0 10-16 14:18
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? Yes +6 $5 96¢ $6 +$1 10-09 05:21
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +6 $5 86¢ $5 +$0 08-20 21:24
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? Yes +7 $5 70¢ $5 $0 10-09 05:15
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +2 $2 92¢ $2 +$0 08-27 04:44
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026? No +8 $5 18¢ $1 -$4 08-20 21:26
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in India before 2027? Yes +500 $1 0¢ $0 $0 08-20 21:29
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Switzerland before 2027? Yes +37 $1 0¢ $0 -$1 08-20 21:28