Vain-Lunch — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$116

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$7.47K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$311

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-07

last 07-21 07:47

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Other

84% 100% +$116

Politics

16% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

9 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (5) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?	2	$1.2K	630	630	+0	open	—	05-08 02:30
Spread: Udinese Calcio (-2.5)	1	$645	670	0	+670	Cagliari Calcio	+$25	05-09 06:36
spl ith neo 2026 04 07 spread away 1pt5	2	$638	345	345	+0	open	—	04-08 06:23
Will the Bank of Korea decrease the base rate after the May Meeting?	2	$634	323	323	+0	open	—	04-08 08:42
Spread: FC Nantes (-1.5)	1	$614	646	0	+646	Racing Club de Lens	+$32	05-08 02:33
Spread: Al Okhdood SC (-2.5)	1	$614	626	0	+626	Al Kholood Saudi Club	+$12	05-12 07:46
Spread: Al Taawoun Saudi Club (-2.5)	1	$594	610	0	+610	Al Ahli Saudi Club	+$16	05-11 11:57
Spread: Ismaily SC (-1.5)	1	$583	614	0	+614	National Bank of Egypt Club	+$31	05-07 05:50
will france send warships through the strait of hormuz by june 30 2026	3	$515	280	280	+0	open	—	06-08 07:37
us x china tariff agreement by july 31 20260626205549138	1	$434	0	450	-450	open	—	07-21 07:47
lib coq nac 2026 04 08 spread away 2pt5	1	$317	329	0	+329	open	—	04-08 08:45
lol al blg 2026 06 08 game2 both teams destroy inhibitors	1	$262	279	0	+279	open	—	06-08 07:41
fif nir gui 2026 06 04 spread home 2pt5	1	$245	259	0	+259	open	—	06-04 06:30
will russia capture stavky by july 31	3	$77	406	406	+0	open	—	07-02 09:24
will russia enter mykhailivka by july 31	3	$73	407	407	+0	open	—	07-02 11:32

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-21 07:47:58	us x china tariff agreement by july 31 20260626205549138	No	SELL	450	96¢	$434	0x0f5c91…
07-02 11:32:41	will russia enter mykhailivka by july 31	Yes	SELL	407	9¢	$37	0x521115…
07-02 09:26:34	will russia enter mykhailivka by july 31	Yes	BUY	197	9¢	$18	0xfa1a49…
07-02 09:26:32	will russia enter mykhailivka by july 31	Yes	BUY	210	9¢	$19	0x6a0d5f…
07-02 09:24:20	will russia capture stavky by july 31	Yes	SELL	406	9¢	$37	0xd2b55d…
07-02 09:22:23	will russia capture stavky by july 31	Yes	BUY	15	10¢	$2	0xa44114…
07-02 09:22:23	will russia capture stavky by july 31	Yes	BUY	391	10¢	$39	0x846338…
06-08 07:41:54	lol al blg 2026 06 08 game2 both teams destroy inhibitors	No	BUY	279	94¢	$262	0x98c883…
06-08 07:37:18	will france send warships through the strait of hormuz by june 30 2026	No	SELL	267	92¢	$245	0xfd5ace…
06-08 07:35:55	will france send warships through the strait of hormuz by june 30 2026	No	SELL	13	92¢	$12	0xf732f8…
06-08 05:56:46	will france send warships through the strait of hormuz by june 30 2026	No	BUY	280	92¢	$258	0x0aeed0…
06-04 06:30:48	fif nir gui 2026 06 04 spread home 2pt5	Guinea	BUY	259	95¢	$245	0x2f6f6e…
05-12 07:46:18	Spread: Al Okhdood SC (-2.5)	Al Kholood Saudi Club	BUY	626	98¢	$614	0x9f7c44…
05-11 11:57:26	Spread: Al Taawoun Saudi Club (-2.5)	Al Ahli Saudi Club	BUY	610	97¢	$594	0xe7a63a…
05-09 06:36:43	Spread: Udinese Calcio (-2.5)	Cagliari Calcio	BUY	670	96¢	$645	0xd50c49…
05-08 02:33:16	Spread: FC Nantes (-1.5)	Racing Club de Lens	BUY	646	95¢	$614	0x0a1834…
05-08 02:30:38	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	630	97¢	$612	0x98fd42…
05-08 01:47:14	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	630	97¢	$611	0x61cb80…
05-07 05:50:47	Spread: Ismaily SC (-1.5)	National Bank of Egypt Club	BUY	614	95¢	$583	0x4d0d00…
04-08 08:45:37	lib coq nac 2026 04 08 spread away 2pt5	CD Coquimbo Unido	BUY	329	96¢	$317	0x157e72…
04-08 08:42:57	Will the Bank of Korea decrease the base rate after the May Meeting?	No	SELL	323	98¢	$317	0xf4aae7…
04-08 06:25:11	Will the Bank of Korea decrease the base rate after the May Meeting?	No	BUY	323	98¢	$317	0x43faf4…
04-08 06:23:03	spl ith neo 2026 04 07 spread away 1pt5	Al Ittihad Saudi Club	SELL	345	92¢	$317	0xa5ad00…
04-07 09:44:45	spl ith neo 2026 04 07 spread away 1pt5	Al Ittihad Saudi Club	BUY	345	93¢	$321	0x59ccf3…