Queasy-Address — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.01K

Unrealized P&L

-$57

Hit rate

30.9%

Resolved

251

Trades

1,037

lifetime

Volume

$25.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$24

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-18

last 10-17 04:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 89 days

Categories

Other

44% 15% -$1,090

Politics

37% 13% +$107

Tech

9% 33% -$13

Sports

7% 33% +$1

Crypto

2% 62% -$8

Pop-Culture

1% 0% -$4

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

14 active days in 12wk • peak 99 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes		+610	$61	1¢	$5	-$56	07-21 10:59
James Comey sentenced to Prison in 2026?	Yes		+20	$2	2¢	$0	-$2	04-30 14:58

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	9	$2.0K	1,009	1,009	+0	No	+$0	04-29 18:22
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	11	$1.8K	930	930	+0	Yes	-$2	04-10 07:37
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	9	$1.5K	770	770	+0	No	-$1	04-10 05:16
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	4	$1.5K	750	750	+0	Yes	-$1	04-10 09:33
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	12	$1.2K	600	600	+0	Yes	-$1	04-06 07:45
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	2	$987	500	500	+0	No	+$0	04-30 10:20
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	2	$985	500	500	+0	No	-$1	04-30 05:06
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	3	$978	500	500	+0	No	+$0	04-30 11:01
will trump say steve or witkoff during cnbc squawk box appearance on april 21	7	$907	800	426	+374	Yes	+$113	04-21 13:23
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	6	$813	2,355	2,355	+0	No	+$20	07-14 20:52
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	17	$719	370	370	+0	No	+$0	05-08 09:54
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	6	$457	231	231	+0	Yes	$0	04-29 16:40
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?	2	$392	200	200	+0	No	+$0	05-08 11:56
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	2	$389	200	200	+0	No	+$0	05-08 11:32
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	2	$386	200	200	+0	Yes	+$0	05-08 12:34
Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?	1	$384	650	0	+650	Yes	+$266	06-28 07:01
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?	1	$378	700	0	+700	No	-$378	06-18 14:16
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	2	$372	200	200	+0	Yes	+$0	05-08 11:10
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	2	$362	200	200	+0	Yes	+$2	04-02 13:20
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$352	250	250	+0	Yes	-$18	07-15 21:13
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?	1	$333	650	0	+650	No	-$333	06-25 15:21
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?	1	$313	580	0	+580	Yes	+$267	07-04 08:21
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21?	1	$305	500	0	+500	Yes	+$195	06-21 05:27
Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	2	$295	201	201	+0	No	-$5	10-09 05:30
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?	1	$276	600	0	+600	No	-$276	07-01 05:47
Starmer out by May 19, 2026?	2	$199	100	100	+0	No	+$0	05-19 13:50
Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 300k and 350k?	2	$198	100	100	+0	No	+$0	05-19 13:42
Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2026?	2	$195	100	100	+0	Yes	+$0	05-19 18:15
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?	3	$194	100	100	+0	No	$0	05-20 03:19
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?	3	$190	100	100	-0	No	-$1	05-21 01:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-17 04:59:38	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C on October 17?	Yes	SELL	20	4¢	$1	0x70ee48…
10-17 04:53:37	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on October 17?	No	SELL	0	10¢	$0	0x29e337…
10-17 04:53:35	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on October 17?	Yes	SELL	20	10¢	$2	0xbb01be…
10-17 04:53:34	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on October 17?	No	SELL	20	10¢	$2	0xac8a95…
10-17 04:52:19	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on October 17?	No	BUY	3	5¢	$0	0x19cc49…
10-17 04:49:32	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 25°C on October 17?	No	SELL	20	8¢	$2	0x8fbdff…
10-17 04:48:16	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on October 17?	Yes	SELL	12	5¢	$1	0x704387…
10-17 04:47:14	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C on October 17?	Yes	BUY	18	10¢	$2	0x8fb8af…
10-17 04:47:11	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on October 17?	Yes	BUY	12	5¢	$1	0xb641e3…
10-17 04:47:08	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 25°C on October 17?	No	BUY	8	10¢	$1	0xfd427d…
10-17 04:47:08	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C on October 17?	Yes	BUY	2	10¢	$0	0x52b151…
10-17 04:47:07	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 25°C on October 17?	No	BUY	2	10¢	$0	0x4097c5…
10-17 04:47:07	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 25°C on October 17?	No	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x32fc8f…
10-17 04:44:26	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 24°C on October 17?	Yes	SELL	20	2¢	$0	0x0929ac…
10-17 04:44:13	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 23°C on October 17?	No	SELL	20	2¢	$0	0x589a7a…
10-17 04:37:29	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 25°C on October 17?	No	SELL	5	12¢	$1	0x45a5bc…
10-17 04:35:07	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 25°C on October 17?	No	BUY	5	13¢	$1	0xfed946…
10-17 04:34:19	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on October 17?	Yes	BUY	14	10¢	$1	0x2a0031…
10-17 04:34:13	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on October 17?	No	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x88d57b…
10-17 04:34:13	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on October 17?	Yes	BUY	6	10¢	$1	0x370c8e…
10-17 04:33:46	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on October 17?	No	SELL	6	11¢	$1	0xe1b754…
10-17 04:31:02	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on October 17?	No	BUY	6	10¢	$1	0xe3aa10…
10-17 04:25:00	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 24°C on October 17?	Yes	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0x9f85af…
10-17 04:20:41	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 23°C on October 17?	No	BUY	20	9¢	$2	0x2296d4…
10-17 04:17:56	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 25°C on October 17?	No	SELL	20	13¢	$3	0x659b5e…
10-17 04:16:38	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C on October 17?	Yes	SELL	20	11¢	$2	0x1ab84c…
10-17 04:15:36	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 25°C on October 17?	No	BUY	4	13¢	$1	0x093600…
10-17 04:15:32	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 25°C on October 17?	No	BUY	16	13¢	$2	0xe119d6…
10-17 04:15:32	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C on October 17?	Yes	BUY	20	11¢	$2	0x0e8558…
10-16 06:32:31	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on October 16?	Yes	SELL	40	1¢	$0	0x5c17df…
10-16 06:32:18	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on October 16?	No	SELL	41	1¢	$0	0x14b081…
10-16 06:30:49	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0xc04aaa…
10-16 06:30:30	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on October 16?	No	BUY	20	3¢	$1	0x2cdddf…
10-16 06:29:28	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 13°C on October 16?	Yes	SELL	20	3¢	$1	0x0b5546…
10-16 06:13:37	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x1750e0…
10-16 06:08:54	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on October 16?	Yes	SELL	20	10¢	$2	0xb99f51…
10-16 06:07:19	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on October 16?	No	BUY	9	10¢	$1	0x60521b…
10-16 06:06:46	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on October 16?	No	BUY	6	10¢	$1	0x119239…
10-16 06:06:06	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on October 16?	No	BUY	6	10¢	$1	0xc99769…
10-16 06:02:42	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on October 16?	No	SELL	20	9¢	$2	0x2968cb…
10-16 06:00:12	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0xca4a37…
10-16 05:59:00	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on October 16?	No	BUY	20	9¢	$2	0x5de7de…
10-16 05:58:30	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on October 16?	No	SELL	14	8¢	$1	0x8df432…
10-16 05:58:28	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	15	9¢	$1	0xed8f91…
10-16 05:58:22	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on October 16?	No	SELL	6	8¢	$0	0x44b000…
10-16 05:58:06	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on October 16?	No	BUY	20	8¢	$2	0xad8466…
10-16 05:55:03	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 13°C on October 16?	Yes	SELL	22	4¢	$1	0x64e7f5…
10-16 05:54:43	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on October 16?	Yes	SELL	0	10¢	$0	0xf0fb2f…
10-16 05:54:43	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on October 16?	Yes	SELL	21	10¢	$2	0xd76e0a…
10-16 05:54:43	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on October 16?	No	SELL	20	10¢	$2	0xa4e948…
10-16 05:52:12	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 13°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	19	5¢	$1	0x22dc4d…
10-16 05:47:40	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 13°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	3	5¢	$0	0xc99f45…
10-16 05:47:22	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	6	10¢	$1	0x1c9538…
10-16 05:47:06	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on October 16?	No	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x727634…
10-16 05:46:42	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	15	10¢	$2	0x564ece…
10-16 05:46:01	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on October 16?	Yes	SELL	20	9¢	$2	0xc6f0e7…
10-16 05:30:54	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	17	10¢	$2	0x7349d3…
10-16 05:30:22	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	3	10¢	$0	0x70d6ba…
10-16 05:11:21	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on October 16?	Yes	SELL	20	11¢	$2	0x1bfe01…
10-16 05:10:33	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on October 16?	No	SELL	16	11¢	$2	0x611c3b…
10-16 05:10:10	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 20°C on October 16?	No	SELL	25	9¢	$2	0x8d5ed6…
10-16 05:09:52	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 20°C on October 16?	No	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x50b653…
10-16 05:09:09	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	14	11¢	$2	0x3a6630…
10-16 05:07:57	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	6	11¢	$1	0x5e7316…
10-16 05:07:51	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on October 16?	No	BUY	11	10¢	$1	0x2f93f5…
10-16 05:06:45	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 20°C on October 16?	No	BUY	9	10¢	$1	0xbfa144…
10-16 05:06:12	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 20°C on October 16?	No	BUY	6	10¢	$1	0x744624…
10-16 05:06:06	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on October 16?	No	BUY	5	10¢	$1	0x35e731…
10-16 05:05:58	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 20°C on October 16?	No	BUY	6	10¢	$1	0x82d1d5…
10-16 05:05:10	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on October 16?	Yes	SELL	20	10¢	$2	0xc18357…
10-16 05:04:07	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 13°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	20	8¢	$2	0x274411…
10-16 04:58:10	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	20	11¢	$2	0x085b09…
10-16 04:55:00	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 16?	No	SELL	20	19¢	$4	0xe9909f…
10-16 04:42:13	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 16?	No	BUY	15	10¢	$1	0xa74c3b…
10-16 04:41:42	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 16?	No	BUY	5	10¢	$1	0x450977…
10-15 06:21:26	dwts 35 week 6 elimination jendew	Yes	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0xb84736…
10-15 06:20:44	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 21°C on October 15?	No	SELL	58	1¢	$1	0xac1a5d…
10-15 06:20:25	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 22°C on October 15?	Yes	SELL	20	2¢	$0	0x1a9836…
10-15 06:10:05	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 23°C on October 15?	Yes	SELL	14	1¢	$0	0x7d9d0b…
10-15 06:06:11	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 21°C on October 15?	No	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0xad7651…
10-15 06:04:43	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 21°C on October 15?	No	SELL	2	9¢	$0	0x93e08e…
10-15 06:04:01	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 21°C on October 15?	No	BUY	20	3¢	$1	0x13c6d1…
10-15 06:00:13	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 21°C on October 15?	No	BUY	7	10¢	$1	0x6bd671…
10-15 05:59:28	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 22°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0xffe761…
10-15 05:59:28	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 21°C on October 15?	No	BUY	13	10¢	$1	0xb93f6e…
10-15 05:58:16	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 23°C on October 15?	Yes	SELL	6	9¢	$1	0x94ec14…
10-15 05:58:07	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 22°C on October 15?	No	SELL	20	9¢	$2	0xfbd16b…
10-15 05:51:35	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 23°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	3	10¢	$0	0xa3a6be…
10-15 05:51:35	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 23°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	6	10¢	$1	0x3aa7da…
10-15 05:51:20	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 23°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	11	10¢	$1	0xa370c0…
10-15 05:48:13	will the tesla roadsters 0 60 time be less than 1 second	Yes	SELL	1	21¢	$0	0xb33b28…
10-15 05:46:04	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 22°C on October 15?	No	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0xd11d5e…
10-15 05:43:38	will the tesla roadsters 0 60 time be less than 1 second	Yes	BUY	1	21¢	$0	0xac0367…
10-15 05:31:19	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on October 15?	No	SELL	20	2¢	$0	0x43b43d…
10-15 05:28:05	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	20	3¢	$1	0xa51202…
10-15 05:23:26	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on October 15?	No	SELL	2	9¢	$0	0x3e9862…
10-15 05:22:56	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on October 15?	No	SELL	18	13¢	$2	0x4272fe…
10-15 05:21:35	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xf4ec64…
10-15 05:21:35	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x4ddb74…
10-15 05:21:35	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on October 15?	No	BUY	20	13¢	$3	0x32165f…