Queasy-Address — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2

Unrealized P&L

+$3

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

259

lifetime

Volume

$15.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$58

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-18

last 07-08 04:16

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Politics

49% 0% —

Other

36% — —

Tech

10% — —

Crypto

4% — —

Sports

2% 0% $-2

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

20 active days in 12wk • peak 26 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes		-406	$-9	1¢	$-5	+$3	06-07 18:01

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	8	$2.0K	1,009	1,000	+9	open	—	04-29 18:22
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	11	$1.8K	930	930	+0	open	—	04-10 07:37
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	9	$1.5K	770	770	+0	open	—	04-10 05:16
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	4	$1.5K	750	750	+0	open	—	04-10 09:33
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	12	$1.2K	600	600	+0	open	—	04-06 07:45
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	2	$985	500	500	+0	open	—	04-30 05:06
will trump say steve or witkoff during cnbc squawk box appearance on april 21	7	$907	800	426	+374	open	—	04-21 13:23
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	17	$719	370	370	+0	open	—	05-08 09:54
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?	2	$392	200	200	+0	No	+$0	05-08 11:56
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	2	$389	200	200	+0	No	+$0	05-08 11:32
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	2	$386	200	200	+0	Yes	+$0	05-08 12:34
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	2	$372	200	200	+0	Yes	+$0	05-08 11:10
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	2	$362	200	200	+0	open	—	04-02 13:20
Starmer out by May 19, 2026?	2	$199	100	100	+0	open	—	05-19 13:50
Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$178	100	100	+0	open	—	06-04 04:05
nvda close above 175 on march 11 2026	12	$153	85	75	+10	open	—	03-10 19:08
Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $180 in May?	2	$108	100	100	+0	open	—	05-26 09:59
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	5	$107	719	719	+0	open	—	06-04 04:05
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	4	$95	48	48	+0	open	—	03-25 10:00
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by March 31?	4	$91	46	46	+0	open	—	03-25 10:00
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$88	44	44	+0	open	—	03-27 12:49
will michael b jordan win best actor at the 98th academy awards	6	$87	100	50	+50	open	—	03-10 20:57
Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 14?	2	$84	50	50	+0	open	—	05-13 13:04
Backpack FDV above $100M one day after launch?	2	$80	40	40	+0	open	—	03-24 15:40
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	2	$70	250	250	+0	open	—	06-07 18:00
will ethereum reach 4000 in march 2026	2	$70	35	35	+0	open	—	03-27 12:49
trump out as president by march 31	2	$70	35	35	+0	open	—	03-24 15:38
will bitcoin reach 105k in march 2026	2	$60	30	30	+0	open	—	03-25 09:59
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?	4	$60	50	50	+0	open	—	05-13 08:31
will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	2	$59	30	30	+0	open	—	03-02 11:24

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-08 04:16:49	iran successfully targets shipping by august 31 20260707223722049	No	SELL	20	11¢	$2	0xb9376b…
07-08 04:14:37	iran successfully targets shipping by july 31 20260707223722048	No	SELL	20	16¢	$3	0xe241dc…
07-08 04:12:37	will anthropic extend claude fable 5 paid plan access again by july 12 20260707201153015	Yes	SELL	20	20¢	$4	0x6aaecf…
07-08 04:07:40	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	Yes	SELL	20	24¢	$5	0x56bdf1…
07-08 04:07:01	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x44d7bc…
07-08 03:57:34	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	Yes	SELL	20	25¢	$5	0xff234a…
07-08 03:55:29	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	Yes	BUY	20	27¢	$5	0x60b723…
07-08 03:53:35	will anthropic extend claude fable 5 paid plan access again by july 12 20260707201153015	Yes	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0x4f51d7…
07-08 03:51:14	iran successfully targets shipping by july 31 20260707223722048	No	BUY	20	19¢	$4	0xd835f6…
07-08 03:50:17	will trump say crypto or bitcoin during press conference 20260707192103065	No	SELL	20	90¢	$18	0x84c718…
07-08 03:49:29	will trump say crypto or bitcoin during press conference 20260707192103065	No	BUY	20	91¢	$18	0x9a83e6…
07-08 03:36:23	iran successfully targets shipping by august 31 20260707223722049	No	BUY	20	14¢	$3	0x14e2df…
06-28 04:01:38	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	No	SELL	20	54¢	$11	0x157ee6…
06-28 04:01:11	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	No	BUY	20	55¢	$11	0x47e51d…
06-19 05:57:49	will the announcers say qatar during the germany vs ivory coast fifa world cup match 20260618175650875	No	SELL	20	44¢	$9	0xa822c2…
06-19 05:57:04	will the announcers say qatar during the germany vs ivory coast fifa world cup match 20260618175650875	No	BUY	20	45¢	$9	0xbc4e98…
06-19 05:51:52	will the announcers say what a save during the spain vs saudi arabia fifa world cup match 20260618180505071	No	SELL	20	72¢	$14	0x11c714…
06-19 05:38:56	will the announcers say what a save during the spain vs saudi arabia fifa world cup match 20260618180505071	No	BUY	20	79¢	$16	0x0beecf…
06-19 05:36:02	will the announcers say history during the germany vs ivory coast fifa world cup match 20260618175650879	Yes	SELL	20	70¢	$14	0x07d073…
06-19 05:35:34	will the announcers say history during the germany vs ivory coast fifa world cup match 20260618175650879	Yes	BUY	18	70¢	$13	0x433e61…
06-19 05:34:22	will the announcers say history during the germany vs ivory coast fifa world cup match 20260618175650879	Yes	BUY	2	70¢	$1	0x18c212…
06-09 11:11:33	will drake have 3 albums in the billboard 200 top 10 20260602162056895	Yes	BUY	700	1¢	$4	0xc6bfdc…
06-07 18:01:18	Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	406	2¢	$9	0xd55369…
06-07 18:00:58	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Yes	SELL	250	13¢	$32	0x8373ce…
06-04 06:47:55	will spy dip to 740 in june 2026	No	SELL	50	25¢	$12	0x4dbe69…
06-04 05:53:18	will spy dip to 740 in june 2026	No	BUY	50	39¢	$20	0xd3c64e…
06-04 04:05:25	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	Yes	SELL	363	8¢	$27	0xaf081c…
06-04 04:05:25	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	Yes	SELL	137	8¢	$10	0x0ae034…
06-04 04:05:06	Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	100	89¢	$89	0x16b5a5…
05-31 15:06:37	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Yes	BUY	250	15¢	$38	0xb73145…
05-31 15:05:53	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	8¢	$38	0xad5579…
05-31 15:05:23	Will Neymar play in the World Cup?	Yes	BUY	100	89¢	$89	0x07c0f8…
05-31 14:58:53	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	Yes	SELL	219	7¢	$16	0x90af8d…
05-30 13:31:01	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	Yes	BUY	219	7¢	$16	0xbb0b27…
05-30 11:20:10	Will Trump meet with Mohammed bin Salman in June 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	14¢	$0	0x746adb…
05-30 11:19:41	Will Trump meet with Mohammed bin Salman in June 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	14¢	$0	0xbb5ecd…
05-30 10:48:12	Will Russia enter Krasnoiarske by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	42¢	$8	0xefc610…
05-30 10:48:02	Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by June 7?	No	SELL	20	75¢	$15	0x25bf59…
05-30 10:46:40	Will Russia enter Krasnoiarske by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	42¢	$8	0xefcfaf…
05-30 10:46:03	Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by June 7?	No	BUY	20	76¢	$15	0xb60a29…
05-30 10:43:10	Will Russia enter Moskovka by July 31?	Yes	SELL	20	29¢	$6	0x55bc6e…
05-30 10:36:34	Will Russia enter Moskovka by July 31?	Yes	BUY	1	31¢	$0	0xaddac4…
05-30 10:36:34	Will Russia enter Moskovka by July 31?	Yes	BUY	1	31¢	$0	0x97559b…
05-30 10:36:32	Will Russia enter Moskovka by July 31?	Yes	BUY	1	31¢	$0	0xe583e4…
05-30 10:36:32	Will Russia enter Moskovka by July 31?	Yes	BUY	1	31¢	$0	0xb8b736…
05-30 10:36:32	Will Russia enter Moskovka by July 31?	Yes	BUY	1	31¢	$0	0xa5ca47…
05-30 10:36:32	Will Russia enter Moskovka by July 31?	Yes	BUY	1	31¢	$0	0x9aa152…
05-30 10:36:32	Will Russia enter Moskovka by July 31?	Yes	BUY	1	31¢	$0	0x0e7c53…
05-30 10:36:32	Will Russia enter Moskovka by July 31?	Yes	BUY	1	31¢	$0	0x01c7b1…
05-30 10:36:32	Will Russia enter Moskovka by July 31?	Yes	BUY	1	31¢	$0	0x006219…
05-30 10:36:31	Will Russia enter Moskovka by July 31?	Yes	BUY	1	31¢	$0	0x996107…
05-30 10:36:31	Will Russia enter Moskovka by July 31?	Yes	BUY	1	31¢	$0	0x54d74f…
05-30 10:36:31	Will Russia enter Moskovka by July 31?	Yes	BUY	1	31¢	$0	0x0574ee…
05-30 10:36:29	Will Russia enter Moskovka by July 31?	Yes	BUY	1	31¢	$0	0x957c33…
05-30 10:36:29	Will Russia enter Moskovka by July 31?	Yes	BUY	1	31¢	$0	0x0762a4…
05-30 10:30:56	Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 30?	No	SELL	20	35¢	$7	0x1552fc…
05-30 10:30:48	Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 15?	No	SELL	20	53¢	$11	0x1eb1df…
05-30 10:30:25	Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 30?	No	BUY	20	38¢	$8	0x0d3a30…
05-30 10:30:13	Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 15?	No	BUY	20	54¢	$11	0x1f6b86…
05-26 10:06:50	Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $280 in May?	Yes	SELL	41	16¢	$7	0x203f4e…
05-26 10:05:06	Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $280 in May?	Yes	BUY	41	18¢	$7	0x5ca4d8…
05-26 09:59:58	Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $180 in May?	Yes	SELL	100	54¢	$54	0x94476a…
05-26 09:58:20	Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $180 in May?	Yes	BUY	100	54¢	$54	0x949f2f…
05-26 09:36:51	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	No	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0x398d71…
05-25 13:08:00	Will Solana reach $170 in May?	No	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0x406ac8…
05-22 04:05:11	Will Solana reach $170 in May?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xa8dfc3…
05-22 03:34:09	Will Solana reach $170 in May?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x8a27e4…
05-22 03:31:02	Will Solana reach $170 in May?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x8d2045…
05-21 05:14:45	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $390 in May?	Yes	BUY	100	34¢	$34	0xd942be…
05-20 06:45:11	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,400 in May?	Yes	SELL	3	48¢	$2	0xd0ef9c…
05-20 06:43:44	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,400 in May?	Yes	BUY	3	48¢	$2	0x8a693d…
05-20 06:38:06	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	No	BUY	17	99¢	$17	0xffa75f…
05-20 03:08:23	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	125	1¢	$1	0xa4ae02…
05-20 03:08:13	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	125	1¢	$1	0x62d476…
05-20 03:08:02	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	111	1¢	$1	0xf8c455…
05-19 13:50:55	Starmer out by May 19, 2026?	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0xad6315…
05-19 12:42:05	Starmer out by May 19, 2026?	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xd23c7f…
05-13 13:04:21	Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 14?	No	SELL	50	84¢	$42	0x6a17fc…
05-13 13:02:50	Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 14?	No	BUY	50	84¢	$42	0x8589da…
05-13 12:42:46	Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 17?	No	SELL	50	26¢	$13	0xfa6ad3…
05-13 12:41:08	Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 17?	No	BUY	50	29¢	$14	0xe49b87…
05-13 08:31:33	Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?	No	SELL	2	59¢	$1	0xe078a5…
05-13 08:28:52	Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?	No	SELL	47	59¢	$28	0x5951ca…
05-13 08:28:33	Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?	No	SELL	2	60¢	$1	0xeb8402…
05-13 08:24:16	Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?	No	BUY	50	60¢	$30	0x80d25b…
05-08 12:34:37	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	200	96¢	$193	0xd8c3a1…
05-08 12:19:32	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	200	96¢	$193	0x1fed93…
05-08 11:56:21	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?	No	SELL	200	98¢	$196	0x34ff86…
05-08 11:46:45	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	200	98¢	$196	0xc771a7…
05-08 11:32:44	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	No	SELL	200	97¢	$195	0xdaa74e…
05-08 11:11:10	Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by May 31?	Yes	SELL	6	20¢	$1	0xf5b450…
05-08 11:10:28	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	200	93¢	$186	0x666268…
05-08 10:34:20	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	200	93¢	$186	0x94435d…
05-08 10:08:19	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	200	97¢	$195	0x89d3f2…
05-08 09:54:21	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	SELL	37	98¢	$36	0x785754…
05-08 08:34:28	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	SELL	163	98¢	$159	0xcf0714…
05-08 08:30:23	Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by May 31?	Yes	BUY	6	20¢	$1	0xaff951…
05-08 08:22:44	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	17	98¢	$16	0x19095b…
05-08 08:18:15	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xec9359…
05-08 08:17:12	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xebc6c2…