Wavy-Tsunami — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$19

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

44.1%

Resolved

1,860

Trades

2,819

lifetime

Volume

$68.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$24

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-13

last 10-25 20:38

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 183 days

Categories

Sports

45% 31% -$112

Crypto

27% 85% +$879

Other

17% 71% -$676

Politics

10% 15% -$106

Tech

0% 0% -$4

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

54 active days in 12wk • peak 13 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (26) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	27	$6.5K	5,353	5,353	+0	No	-$7	07-15 15:55
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	37	$5.6K	4,785	4,784	+0	No	+$2	07-06 11:49
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	16	$3.7K	3,171	3,171	+0	No	-$1	07-11 09:06
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	15	$3.4K	2,079	2,079	+0	Yes	-$8	07-09 14:11
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	23	$3.0K	3,027	3,027	+0	No	-$6	07-16 13:36
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	18	$2.1K	2,450	2,450	+0	No	-$14	06-03 06:35
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election	8	$1.3K	1,134	1,134	+0	No	-$5	05-29 12:12
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	8	$1.2K	938	938	+0	Yes	-$10	07-16 13:36
Will Morocco reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	7	$1.0K	687	687	+0	No	-$4	07-09 14:11
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	6	$836	1,234	1,234	+0	open	—	05-25 11:29
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	4	$817	810	810	+0	open	—	05-23 11:29
will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	12	$756	1,679	1,679	+0	Yes	+$12	07-07 09:33
will france reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149741	4	$615	718	718	+0	Yes	-$3	07-01 08:07
Will a team from LPL (China) win MSI 2026?	6	$595	443	443	-0	No	+$13	07-08 14:02
Will Mexico reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	15	$575	919	919	+0	No	$0	07-05 14:35
fifwc aus egy 2026 07 03 corners total 8pt5	2	$556	561	561	+0	Under	+$6	07-03 11:01
Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win MSI 2026?	2	$554	840	840	+0	Yes	-$17	07-02 11:07
Will Alexander Zverev be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?	11	$552	383	383	+0	No	+$0	07-12 14:02
Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?	5	$543	590	590	+0	Yes	-$6	07-01 15:24
fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 corners total 8pt5	2	$472	549	549	+0	Under	+$0	07-15 16:51
LGD Gaming to win 2-0?	3	$454	521	521	+0	No	+$16	07-07 14:49
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?	2	$442	458	458	+0	open	—	05-11 16:13
Will Juliana Brizola win the Governor of Rio Grande do Sul election?	2	$438	377	377	+0	No	-$38	05-30 14:16
Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	4	$427	477	477	+0	No	-$12	07-10 15:51
Will Minnesota Lynx win the 2026 WNBA Finals?	3	$418	329	329	+0	No	-$16	07-17 18:53
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	7	$401	467	467	+0	Yes	-$8	05-24 17:03
will portugal reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149749	2	$383	249	249	+0	No	-$1	07-05 14:35
Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?	2	$340	365	365	+0	open	—	05-27 04:35
Will Norway reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	7	$333	268	268	+0	No	+$3	07-09 13:09
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	5	$327	714	714	+0	Yes	-$8	05-29 11:25

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-25 20:38:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0x9c6958…
10-25 20:38:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	28¢	$2	0x2cf1e0…
10-25 20:38:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	28¢	$1	0xde6c25…
10-25 20:38:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0xa2824c…
10-25 20:38:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0x29080f…
10-25 20:38:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	16	28¢	$4	0xf70674…
10-25 20:38:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	28¢	$0	0xfb6027…
10-25 20:38:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	28¢	$0	0x8a7fab…
10-25 20:38:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	28¢	$0	0x527eb4…
10-25 20:38:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x787d47…
10-25 20:38:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	28¢	$1	0x2359d1…
10-25 02:14:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0x919469…
10-24 15:26:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	53	40¢	$21	0xc30b47…
10-24 15:14:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	53	40¢	$21	0x096ae4…
10-24 14:02:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	57	28¢	$16	0x0d0b55…
10-24 04:08:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	57	28¢	$16	0x70155a…
10-24 03:53:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	66	24¢	$16	0xefe5b9…
10-24 02:48:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	57	28¢	$16	0x50d242…
10-23 20:53:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	253	3¢	$8	0xcdbe06…
10-23 20:53:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	92	9¢	$8	0x78187d…
10-23 20:53:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	64	15¢	$10	0x6f0eaf…
10-23 20:53:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	57	28¢	$16	0x0eb1c0…
10-21 21:48:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	64	15¢	$10	0xd9835d…
10-21 21:48:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	52	20¢	$10	0xff98a9…
10-21 21:48:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	66	24¢	$16	0xc94896…
10-21 21:48:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	7	20¢	$1	0xb0d51b…
10-21 21:48:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	57	28¢	$16	0x4f985a…
10-21 14:43:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	53	40¢	$21	0xc3ea54…
10-20 22:38:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	24	15¢	$4	0x3e17bf…
10-20 22:38:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	41	15¢	$6	0x2eb1ec…
10-20 22:38:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	59	20¢	$12	0xdde6e3…
10-20 22:38:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	24¢	$1	0xe562c8…
10-20 22:38:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	60	24¢	$14	0x487709…
10-20 22:38:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	57	28¢	$16	0x905951…
10-17 20:14:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	53	40¢	$21	0xbb2f05…
10-17 09:18:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 09:20 UTC	Down	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0x9f9df3…
10-17 09:18:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 09:20 UTC	Down	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x3e06fd…
10-17 09:18:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 09:20 UTC	Down	BUY	3	28¢	$1	0x50ff91…
10-17 09:18:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 09:20 UTC	Down	BUY	8	28¢	$2	0x3cdafa…
10-17 09:18:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 09:20 UTC	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x2d8032…
10-17 09:18:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 09:20 UTC	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x157e10…
10-17 07:09:11	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 07:10 UTC	Up	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0xb9f996…
10-16 20:04:14	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 20:05 UTC	Down	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0xbf656c…
10-15 20:34:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x2556b3…
10-15 20:34:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0xdbd08a…
10-15 20:34:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x892ee3…
10-15 02:24:34	will ethereum dip to 2350 on october 14 2026	Yes	BUY	76	98¢	$74	0xf705d4…
10-12 21:44:26	XRP Up or Down - October 12, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	40¢	$2	0xa8e924…
10-12 04:44:12	XRP Up or Down - October 12, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x8f0209…
10-12 04:44:12	XRP Up or Down - October 12, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	0	40¢	$0	0x33f1e1…
10-12 04:44:03	XRP Up or Down - October 12, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	7	40¢	$3	0xc97085…
10-12 01:57:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 10PM ET	Up	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0xb088b3…
10-12 00:14:26	XRP Up or Down - October 11, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x3b6ceb…
10-12 00:14:26	XRP Up or Down - October 11, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0x2d6531…
10-11 18:47:58	Solana Up or Down - October 11, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0x30c801…
10-11 08:49:18	Solana Up or Down - October 11, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	8	28¢	$2	0xbec319…
10-11 05:19:21	Solana Up or Down - October 11, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	BUY	9	28¢	$3	0x166e4a…
10-11 03:53:30	Solana Up or Down - October 10, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0xa7ea4c…
10-11 03:53:30	Solana Up or Down - October 10, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x1a1fd6…
10-11 03:49:14	Solana Up or Down - October 10, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	BUY	23	15¢	$3	0x75bbaf…
10-11 03:24:15	Solana Up or Down - October 10, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0xb8ed4b…
10-10 22:54:15	XRP Up or Down - October 10, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	28¢	$1	0xc9eed0…
10-10 17:04:09	Solana Up or Down - October 10, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	13	28¢	$4	0x6f8cb9…
10-10 10:29:06	XRP Up or Down - October 10, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x7853e0…
10-10 09:14:03	XRP Up or Down - October 10, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0xd50db6…
10-10 00:44:29	XRP Up or Down - October 9, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x145897…
10-09 21:54:23	Solana Up or Down - October 9, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0x2412fb…
10-07 02:01:21	Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 in October?	Yes	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xbc8cbb…
10-04 21:11:08	Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 September 28-October 4?	Yes	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0x326711…
10-04 09:58:32	bitcoin up or down october 4 2026 6am et	Up	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0xcabc45…
10-03 16:19:03	Solana Up or Down - October 3, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0x085307…
10-02 17:57:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 2PM ET	Down	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x3a01f9…
10-02 17:28:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0xa1ef00…
10-02 17:13:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x131b84…
10-01 18:29:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x154ca2…
09-28 20:18:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 20:20 UTC	Down	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0x79557f…
09-28 20:18:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 20:20 UTC	Down	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0x3e5fce…
09-28 20:18:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 20:20 UTC	Down	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x3761ba…
09-28 03:59:48	ETH Up/Down 4h · 2026-09-28 04:00 UTC	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x5c7680…
09-27 19:44:18	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-27 19:45 UTC	Up	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0xa8113d…
09-27 18:26:05	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-27 18:30 UTC	Down	BUY	12	37¢	$5	0x4e27ea…
09-27 18:13:02	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-27 18:15 UTC	Down	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x5e10b6…
09-27 17:42:20	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-27 17:45 UTC	Down	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x6721d5…
09-27 07:44:18	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-27 07:45 UTC	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xce8f84…
09-27 07:44:05	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-27 07:45 UTC	Up	BUY	11	40¢	$4	0x3886fd…
09-27 07:39:12	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 07:40 UTC	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xc118e0…
09-27 06:14:23	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-27 06:15 UTC	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xdde2ae…
09-27 06:14:15	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-27 06:15 UTC	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xde8849…
09-27 05:44:23	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-27 05:45 UTC	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x95768c…
09-27 02:29:24	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-27 02:30 UTC	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x633ff7…
09-27 00:44:14	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-27 00:45 UTC	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xe0b6f8…
09-27 00:29:24	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-27 00:30 UTC	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xdce139…
09-26 23:54:17	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 23:55 UTC	Up	BUY	3	28¢	$1	0x24e261…
09-26 23:24:17	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 23:25 UTC	Up	BUY	3	28¢	$1	0x54a3d3…
09-26 22:39:21	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 22:40 UTC	Up	BUY	3	28¢	$1	0xb42c6e…
09-26 22:34:09	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 22:35 UTC	Up	BUY	3	28¢	$1	0x6582b8…
09-26 20:09:23	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 20:10 UTC	Up	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0xdc0f3e…
09-26 20:09:23	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 20:10 UTC	Up	BUY	8	28¢	$2	0xbd328e…
09-26 20:09:23	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 20:10 UTC	Up	BUY	9	24¢	$2	0xb0c70a…
09-26 20:09:23	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 20:10 UTC	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x93621b…