Elegant-Polliwog — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$9

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

52.5%

Resolved

Trades

388

lifetime

Volume

$2.75K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-29

last 07-08 19:51

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Other

58% 75% +$2

Crypto

36% 36% $-12

Sports

3% — —

Politics

2% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

40 active days in 12wk • peak 50 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,400 in May?	12	$87	121	121	+0	open	—	05-24 21:43
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	12	$84	114	114	+0	open	—	05-23 21:51
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $750 in May?	14	$76	81	81	+0	open	—	05-24 10:23
Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $410 in May?	6	$61	53	53	+0	open	—	05-19 16:14
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 Week of April 27 2026?	4	$61	64	64	+0	open	—	04-30 02:15
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 11?	2	$60	93	93	+0	No	+$29	05-10 22:36
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	6	$56	52	52	+0	open	—	05-24 21:42
Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 May 11-17?	5	$55	44	57	-13	open	—	05-16 07:08
Will Solana reach $100 May 11-17?	4	$55	39	39	+0	open	—	05-16 13:04
Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	10	$50	61	61	+0	open	—	05-24 21:43
Will Google reach $375 in April?	4	$46	107	20	+87	open	—	04-30 13:31
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $72 in May?	9	$45	54	43	+11	open	—	05-23 23:10
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	2	$41	56	56	+0	open	—	05-06 10:16
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	2	$38	38	38	+0	open	—	05-05 03:06
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $740 in May?	2	$37	29	29	+0	Yes	+$6	05-06 19:46
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?	8	$37	55	54	+0	open	—	05-24 21:44
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,500 in May?	2	$36	26	26	+0	open	—	05-04 10:25
Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $400 in May?	2	$35	28	28	+0	Yes	+$4	05-05 21:51
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	4	$35	60	60	+0	open	—	05-19 22:02
Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $390 in May?	2	$34	46	46	+0	open	—	05-06 13:55
Will Ethereum reach $2,500 May 11-17?	2	$34	18	18	+0	open	—	05-16 13:04
Will Ethereum reach $2,400 May 11-17?	2	$34	19	19	+0	open	—	05-16 13:04
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	2	$34	25	25	+0	open	—	07-02 13:00
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	2	$33	56	56	+0	open	—	07-08 19:51
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.60 Week of April 27 2026?	2	$32	89	0	+89	open	—	04-29 22:09
Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 May 4-10?	3	$30	53	151	-99	No	$-2	05-08 22:17
Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $197 Week of May 11 2026?	2	$29	21	21	+0	open	—	05-13 13:35
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 Week of May 11 2026?	3	$28	49	49	+0	open	—	05-13 15:30
Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	6	$26	47	47	+0	open	—	05-24 21:43
mlb atl sd 2026 06 23 total 8pt5	4	$25	29	20	+9	open	—	06-23 21:08

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-08 19:51:10	Will xAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	12	88¢	$10	0xba6622…
07-08 19:51:07	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	14	95¢	$13	0xfd7954…
07-08 19:51:04	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	SELL	56	41¢	$23	0x6da924…
07-08 19:50:59	Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?	Anthropic	SELL	6	86¢	$6	0xd2c9fb…
07-08 19:50:50	iaea visits isfahan fordow or natanz nuclear site by july 31 20260624040209014	Yes	SELL	34	3¢	$1	0xe32367…
07-03 14:50:56	mlb min nyy 2026 07 03 total 9pt5	Over	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0xf3d404…
07-03 14:45:59	mlb stl chc 2026 07 03 total 10pt5	Under	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0x72777a…
07-03 12:16:05	btc updown 5m 1783080900	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x265a92…
07-03 09:10:56	lol g2 tes 2026 07 04	Top Esports	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0x18c4ab…
07-03 08:17:19	lol g2 tes 2026 07 04 game4	Top Esports	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0xd1bda9…
07-02 19:54:59	fifwc esp aut 2026 07 02 goals lamine yamal gte2	Yes	BUY	13	8¢	$1	0xa99225…
07-02 17:05:44	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0xffdbb2…
07-02 16:26:34	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	56	18¢	$10	0x9d0d52…
07-02 14:55:34	btc updown 5m 1783004100	Up	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0x5881bd…
07-02 14:41:25	btc updown 5m 1783003200	Up	BUY	22	31¢	$7	0xc2c4e3…
07-02 14:38:10	btc updown 5m 1783002900	Up	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0xd87347…
07-02 14:23:59	btc updown 5m 1783002300	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x459cd6…
07-02 13:00:10	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	No	SELL	25	96¢	$24	0xaea013…
07-02 11:56:38	mlb sd lad 2026 07 02 total 8pt5	Under	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xa12157…
07-02 09:04:01	mlb laa sea 2026 07 02 total 7pt5	Over	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0xddb37b…
07-02 07:07:29	mlb tb kc 2026 07 02 total 10pt5	Over	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xf8fd68…
07-02 07:06:56	mlb cws cle 2026 07 02 total 8pt5	Under	BUY	5	49¢	$3	0x3b42c4…
07-02 07:05:52	mlb pit phi 2026 07 02 total 10pt5	Over	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xb64a95…
07-01 17:35:47	fifwc eng cdr 2026 07 01 btts	Yes	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0xb0affe…
07-01 14:58:38	mlb mia col 2026 07 01 total 10pt5	Under	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x9fd63f…
07-01 14:28:29	mlb nym tor 2026 07 01 total 8pt5	Over	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x6733ce…
07-01 06:26:58	will donald trump publicly insult benjamin netanyahu by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0xb71d42…
07-01 06:08:04	Will xAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0x056aa5…
06-30 21:06:22	btc updown 5m 1782853500	Up	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xb2fb55…
06-30 21:01:34	btc updown 5m 1782853200	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x83ccac…
06-30 20:46:25	btc updown 5m 1782852300	Up	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x2caf8f…
06-30 20:39:07	btc updown 5m 1782851700	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x647bbf…
06-30 20:30:40	mlb stl atl 2026 06 30 total 9pt5	Under	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xf3546f…
06-30 20:29:19	mlb pit phi 2026 06 30 total 8pt5	Over	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xa9ad6e…
06-30 19:44:07	btc updown 5m 1782848400	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xf67352…
06-30 19:36:49	btc updown 5m 1782848100	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xc6cc27…
06-30 19:01:55	btc updown 5m 1782846000	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x181529…
06-30 18:46:13	btc updown 5m 1782845100	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x72085d…
06-30 18:32:20	btc updown 5m 1782844200	Down	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x5cb4d6…
06-30 18:13:35	btc updown 5m 1782843000	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$3	0x24043c…
06-30 18:03:25	btc updown 5m 1782842400	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x29d53d…
06-30 17:02:31	btc updown 5m 1782838800	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x12e0fb…
06-30 16:57:19	btc updown 5m 1782838500	Up	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x901b56…
06-30 16:50:59	btc updown 5m 1782838200	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0x54fa9c…
06-30 16:31:59	btc updown 5m 1782837000	Down	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xd7d457…
06-30 16:27:05	btc updown 5m 1782836700	Down	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0xe49422…
06-30 16:19:19	btc updown 5m 1782836100	Up	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x2f6c8c…
06-30 15:22:17	btc updown 5m 1782832800	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x81b9c9…
06-30 15:11:50	btc updown 5m 1782832200	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x13fbcb…
06-30 15:07:25	btc updown 5m 1782831900	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xd7b667…
06-30 14:52:01	btc updown 5m 1782831000	Down	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x8c5a6d…
06-30 14:08:28	btc updown 5m 1782828300	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xc25697…
06-30 14:01:13	btc updown 5m 1782828000	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x1730da…
06-30 13:39:16	btc updown 5m 1782826500	Up	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0xf05ff5…
06-30 13:22:32	btc updown 5m 1782825600	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x45533f…
06-30 12:55:46	btc updown 5m 1782824100	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x711f8e…
06-30 12:28:14	btc updown 5m 1782822300	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x4c5cf8…
06-30 12:05:41	btc updown 5m 1782821100	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x2c1b05…
06-30 11:31:17	btc updown 5m 1782819000	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x45a388…
06-30 11:16:19	btc updown 5m 1782818100	Down	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x04bd31…
06-30 10:46:43	btc updown 5m 1782816300	Down	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x8021fa…
06-30 10:32:47	btc updown 5m 1782815400	Down	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x0fd5c1…
06-30 10:18:41	btc updown 5m 1782814500	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x78e642…
06-30 09:58:53	btc updown 5m 1782813300	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xe5654a…
06-30 08:01:10	btc updown 5m 1782806400	Up	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0xe8214a…
06-30 07:54:31	btc updown 5m 1782806100	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x9d0d47…
06-30 07:48:56	btc updown 5m 1782805500	Up	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x7a8aec…
06-30 07:24:17	btc updown 5m 1782804300	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xa7daf8…
06-30 07:18:23	btc updown 5m 1782803700	Down	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x284f0f…
06-30 07:10:44	btc updown 5m 1782803400	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xa005ac…
06-30 06:51:40	btc updown 5m 1782802200	Down	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x572aba…
06-30 06:45:14	btc updown 5m 1782801900	Down	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0xa92c9f…
06-30 06:43:38	btc updown 5m 1782801600	Down	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x1d6b60…
06-30 06:16:19	btc updown 5m 1782800100	Down	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0x241a0b…
06-30 04:29:49	us iran final nuclear deal by june 30 2026 20260621201255150	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x6001c3…
06-30 04:29:28	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	Yes	SELL	9	19¢	$2	0x28d3f9…
06-30 04:00:23	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31 827 659	No	SELL	5	77¢	$4	0x9634f1…
06-30 04:00:22	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	No	SELL	5	82¢	$4	0x4b84af…
06-29 23:08:46	btc updown 5m 1782774300	Down	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x4b3454…
06-29 22:48:23	btc updown 5m 1782773100	Up	BUY	8	38¢	$3	0xc32d6c…
06-29 22:47:41	btc updown 5m 1782773100	Down	BUY	7	39¢	$3	0xe94109…
06-29 22:40:38	btc updown 5m 1782772800	Down	BUY	6	46¢	$3	0xd930c5…
06-29 22:29:34	btc updown 5m 1782771900	Up	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0xf35f0a…
06-29 22:01:49	us iran final nuclear deal by june 30 2026 20260621201255150	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x27771c…
06-29 21:53:17	btc updown 5m 1782769800	Up	BUY	16	19¢	$3	0x32372f…
06-29 21:40:46	btc updown 5m 1782769200	Up	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0xef022d…
06-29 21:35:46	btc updown 5m 1782768900	Up	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0xeab25f…
06-29 21:28:17	btc updown 5m 1782768300	Up	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0xbdc117…
06-29 20:57:41	btc updown 5m 1782766500	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x39c509…
06-29 20:39:52	btc updown 5m 1782765300	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x9dfc0f…
06-29 20:12:08	btc updown 5m 1782763800	Down	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0xa14060…
06-29 19:50:50	btc updown 5m 1782762600	Up	BUY	8	36¢	$3	0xf7c398…
06-29 19:40:46	btc updown 5m 1782762000	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xa1bcd6…
06-29 19:26:49	btc updown 5m 1782761100	Down	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x86ba9a…
06-29 19:10:53	btc updown 5m 1782760200	Up	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0xb90312…
06-29 18:04:23	btc updown 5m 1782756000	Up	BUY	8	39¢	$3	0x8f1023…
06-29 17:46:38	btc updown 5m 1782755100	Up	BUY	7	46¢	$3	0x953eec…
06-29 14:23:44	btc updown 5m 1782742800	Up	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x3b2edc…
06-29 09:30:31	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31 827	No	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0xc340df…
06-29 06:23:11	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15	No	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x819b70…