Elegant-Polliwog — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$161

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

56.9%

Resolved

235

Trades

442

lifetime

Volume

$3.14K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-29

last 08-22 23:57

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 57 days

Categories

Other

60% 48% -$104

Crypto

35% 54% -$67

Sports

3% 42% -$12

Politics

2% 80% +$21

Tech

1% 0% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?	7	$120	127	17	+110	Yes	+$6	06-22 18:55
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,400 in May?	12	$87	121	121	+0	Yes	+$6	05-24 21:43
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	12	$84	114	114	+0	No	+$3	05-23 21:51
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $750 in May?	14	$76	81	81	+0	Yes	+$6	05-24 10:23
Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $410 in May?	6	$61	53	53	+0	No	+$10	05-19 16:14
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 Week of April 27 2026?	4	$61	64	64	+0	Yes	-$2	04-30 02:15
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 11?	2	$60	93	93	+0	No	+$29	05-10 22:36
Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 May 11-17?	6	$60	57	57	+0	Yes	-$13	05-16 07:08
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	6	$56	52	52	+0	No	+$4	05-24 21:42
Will Solana reach $100 May 11-17?	4	$55	39	39	+0	No	-$8	05-16 13:04
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on May 5?	2	$51	94	94	+0	No	+$19	05-02 19:00
Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	10	$50	61	61	+0	No	$0	05-24 21:43
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $72 in May?	10	$48	54	54	+0	Yes	-$2	05-23 23:10
Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 May 4-10?	4	$46	151	151	+0	No	-$17	05-08 22:17
Will Google reach $375 in April?	4	$46	107	20	+87	Yes	-$46	04-30 13:31
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	2	$41	56	56	+0	No	+$9	05-06 10:16
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	2	$38	38	38	+0	No	+$6	05-05 03:06
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $740 in May?	2	$37	29	29	+0	Yes	+$6	05-06 19:46
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?	8	$37	55	54	+0	No	-$3	05-24 21:44
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,500 in May?	2	$36	26	26	+0	Yes	+$4	05-04 10:25
Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $400 in May?	2	$35	28	28	+0	Yes	+$4	05-05 21:51
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	4	$35	60	60	+0	No	-$7	05-19 22:02
Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $390 in May?	2	$34	46	46	+0	No	+$3	05-06 13:55
Will Ethereum reach $2,500 May 11-17?	2	$34	18	18	+0	No	+$2	05-16 13:04
Will Ethereum reach $2,400 May 11-17?	2	$34	19	19	+0	No	+$2	05-16 13:04
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	2	$34	25	25	+0	No	+$14	07-02 13:00
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	2	$33	56	56	+0	open	—	07-08 19:51
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.60 Week of April 27 2026?	2	$32	89	0	+89	Yes	-$32	04-29 22:09
Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $197 Week of May 11 2026?	2	$29	21	21	+0	No	-$3	05-13 13:35
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 Week of May 11 2026?	3	$28	49	49	+0	No	-$4	05-13 15:30

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-22 23:57:42	Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,533	0¢	$7	0xf8c34d…
08-22 23:57:00	Will Bytedance have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	Yes	BUY	7,500	0¢	$8	0xfd7c8f…
07-20 20:15:10	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 20 to July 22, 2026?	No	BUY	6	59¢	$4	0x60fb5f…
07-20 18:15:16	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 23 to July 25, 2026?	No	BUY	7	54¢	$4	0x08c4c2…
07-18 22:15:37	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 20 to July 22, 2026?	No	BUY	7	55¢	$4	0xb456f6…
07-18 20:15:12	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 18 to July 20, 2026?	No	BUY	6	59¢	$4	0x6fdbad…
07-16 18:15:44	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 18 to July 20, 2026?	No	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x3f6a51…
07-16 02:15:17	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	No	BUY	6	59¢	$4	0x106072…
07-15 10:15:34	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	No	BUY	6	58¢	$4	0x01c76e…
07-14 14:15:16	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 13 to July 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xd89234…
07-13 22:15:29	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	43¢	$4	0x0d5315…
07-13 21:01:37	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 13 to July 15, 2026?	No	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0xdc888b…
07-13 21:01:37	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 16 to July 18, 2026?	No	BUY	7	56¢	$4	0x9303d1…
07-13 21:01:35	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?	No	BUY	8	48¢	$4	0x3aebf6…
07-10 08:15:34	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?	No	BUY	8	45¢	$4	0x51f15d…
07-10 00:15:32	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?	No	BUY	9	43¢	$4	0xb2e2d9…
07-10 00:15:31	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 11 to July 13, 2026?	No	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xca4742…
07-09 22:21:31	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?	No	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0x6918b8…
07-09 18:15:38	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 11 to July 13, 2026?	No	BUY	6	59¢	$4	0x1a843a…
07-09 15:21:07	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?	No	SELL	6	47¢	$3	0x1d615d…
07-09 15:13:31	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?	No	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0x750225…
07-08 19:51:10	Will xAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	12	88¢	$10	0xba6622…
07-08 19:51:07	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	14	95¢	$13	0xfd7954…
07-08 19:51:04	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	SELL	56	41¢	$23	0x6da924…
07-08 19:50:59	Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?	Anthropic	SELL	6	86¢	$6	0xd2c9fb…
07-08 19:50:56	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	SELL	111	4¢	$5	0x6164b9…
07-08 19:50:53	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	SELL	16	10¢	$2	0xff67a3…
07-08 19:50:50	iaea visits isfahan fordow or natanz nuclear site by july 31 20260624040209014	Yes	SELL	34	3¢	$1	0xe32367…
07-03 14:50:56	mlb min nyy 2026 07 03 total 9pt5	Over	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0xf3d404…
07-03 14:45:59	mlb stl chc 2026 07 03 total 10pt5	Under	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0x72777a…
07-03 12:16:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-03 12:15 UTC	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x265a92…
07-03 09:10:56	lol g2 tes 2026 07 04	Top Esports	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0x18c4ab…
07-03 08:17:19	lol g2 tes 2026 07 04 game4	Top Esports	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0xd1bda9…
07-02 19:54:59	fifwc esp aut 2026 07 02 goals lamine yamal gte2	Yes	BUY	13	8¢	$1	0xa99225…
07-02 17:05:44	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0xffdbb2…
07-02 16:26:34	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	56	18¢	$10	0x9d0d52…
07-02 14:55:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-02 14:55 UTC	Up	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0x5881bd…
07-02 14:41:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-02 14:40 UTC	Up	BUY	22	31¢	$7	0xc2c4e3…
07-02 14:38:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-02 14:35 UTC	Up	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0xd87347…
07-02 14:23:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-02 14:25 UTC	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x459cd6…
07-02 13:52:14	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	8¢	$1	0x6f88f4…
07-02 13:00:16	Will there be between 20 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?	Yes	SELL	13	97¢	$13	0x11f5d3…
07-02 13:00:10	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	No	SELL	25	96¢	$24	0xaea013…
07-02 11:56:38	mlb sd lad 2026 07 02 total 8pt5	Under	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xa12157…
07-02 09:04:01	mlb laa sea 2026 07 02 total 7pt5	Over	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0xddb37b…
07-02 07:07:29	mlb tb kc 2026 07 02 total 10pt5	Over	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xf8fd68…
07-02 07:06:56	mlb cws cle 2026 07 02 total 8pt5	Under	BUY	5	49¢	$3	0x3b42c4…
07-02 07:05:52	mlb pit phi 2026 07 02 total 10pt5	Over	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xb64a95…
07-01 20:50:37	Will "Worst Neighbor Ever" be the top US Netflix show this week?	No	BUY	5	49¢	$3	0xdabfa0…
07-01 17:43:22	Will England vs. DR Congo end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x394a4f…
07-01 17:35:47	fifwc eng cdr 2026 07 01 btts	Yes	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0xb0affe…
07-01 14:58:38	mlb mia col 2026 07 01 total 10pt5	Under	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x9fd63f…
07-01 14:28:29	mlb nym tor 2026 07 01 total 8pt5	Over	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x6733ce…
07-01 06:26:58	will donald trump publicly insult benjamin netanyahu by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0xb71d42…
07-01 06:08:04	Will xAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0x056aa5…
06-30 21:06:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 21:05 UTC	Up	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xb2fb55…
06-30 21:01:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 21:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x83ccac…
06-30 20:46:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 20:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x2caf8f…
06-30 20:39:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 20:35 UTC	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x647bbf…
06-30 20:30:40	mlb stl atl 2026 06 30 total 9pt5	Under	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xf3546f…
06-30 20:29:19	mlb pit phi 2026 06 30 total 8pt5	Over	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xa9ad6e…
06-30 19:44:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 19:40 UTC	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xf67352…
06-30 19:36:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 19:35 UTC	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xc6cc27…
06-30 19:01:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 19:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x181529…
06-30 18:46:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 18:45 UTC	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x72085d…
06-30 18:32:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 18:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x5cb4d6…
06-30 18:13:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 18:10 UTC	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$3	0x24043c…
06-30 18:03:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 18:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x29d53d…
06-30 17:02:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 17:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x12e0fb…
06-30 16:57:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 16:55 UTC	Up	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x901b56…
06-30 16:50:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 16:50 UTC	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0x54fa9c…
06-30 16:31:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 16:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xd7d457…
06-30 16:27:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 16:25 UTC	Down	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0xe49422…
06-30 16:19:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 16:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x2f6c8c…
06-30 15:22:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 15:20 UTC	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x81b9c9…
06-30 15:11:50	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 15:10 UTC	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x13fbcb…
06-30 15:07:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 15:05 UTC	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xd7b667…
06-30 14:52:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 14:50 UTC	Down	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x8c5a6d…
06-30 14:08:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 14:05 UTC	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xc25697…
06-30 14:01:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 14:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x1730da…
06-30 13:39:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 13:35 UTC	Up	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0xf05ff5…
06-30 13:22:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 13:20 UTC	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x45533f…
06-30 13:04:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x0076a7…
06-30 12:55:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 12:55 UTC	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x711f8e…
06-30 12:28:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 12:25 UTC	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x4c5cf8…
06-30 12:05:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 12:05 UTC	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x2c1b05…
06-30 11:31:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 11:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x45a388…
06-30 11:16:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 11:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x04bd31…
06-30 10:46:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 10:45 UTC	Down	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x8021fa…
06-30 10:32:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 10:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x0fd5c1…
06-30 10:18:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 10:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x78e642…
06-30 09:58:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 09:55 UTC	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xe5654a…
06-30 08:01:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 08:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0xe8214a…
06-30 07:54:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 07:55 UTC	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x9d0d47…
06-30 07:48:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 07:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x7a8aec…
06-30 07:24:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 07:25 UTC	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xa7daf8…
06-30 07:18:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 07:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x284f0f…
06-30 07:10:44	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 07:10 UTC	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xa005ac…
06-30 06:51:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 06:50 UTC	Down	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x572aba…
06-30 06:45:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 06:45 UTC	Down	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0xa92c9f…