Elegant-Polliwog — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$9

Unrealized P&L

+$15

Hit rate

52.5%

Resolved

Trades

360

lifetime

Volume

$2.56K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$35

3 positions

First seen

2026-04-29

last 06-30 21:06

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Other

58% 75% +$2

Crypto

38% 36% $-12

Sports

3% — —

Politics

1% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

36 active days in 12wk • peak 50 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (5) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	No	+25	$10	97¢	$24	+$14	06-28 06:03
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?	Anthropic	+6	$5	90¢	$6	+$1	06-25 20:43
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	+5	$5	99¢	$5	+$0	06-25 00:57

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,400 in May?	12	$87	121	121	+0	open	—	05-24 21:43
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	12	$84	114	114	+0	open	—	05-23 21:51
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $750 in May?	14	$76	81	81	+0	open	—	05-24 10:23
Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $410 in May?	6	$61	53	53	+0	open	—	05-19 16:14
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 Week of April 27 2026?	4	$61	64	64	+0	open	—	04-30 02:15
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 11?	2	$60	93	93	+0	No	+$29	05-10 22:36
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	6	$56	52	52	+0	open	—	05-24 21:42
Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 May 11-17?	5	$55	44	57	-13	open	—	05-16 07:08
Will Solana reach $100 May 11-17?	4	$55	39	39	+0	open	—	05-16 13:04
Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	10	$50	61	61	+0	open	—	05-24 21:43
Will Google reach $375 in April?	4	$46	107	20	+87	open	—	04-30 13:31
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $72 in May?	9	$45	54	43	+11	open	—	05-23 23:10
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	2	$41	56	56	+0	open	—	05-06 10:16
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	2	$38	38	38	+0	open	—	05-05 03:06
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $740 in May?	2	$37	29	29	+0	Yes	+$6	05-06 19:46
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?	8	$37	55	54	+0	open	—	05-24 21:44
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,500 in May?	2	$36	26	26	+0	open	—	05-04 10:25
Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $400 in May?	2	$35	28	28	+0	Yes	+$4	05-05 21:51
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	4	$35	60	60	+0	open	—	05-19 22:02
Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $390 in May?	2	$34	46	46	+0	open	—	05-06 13:55
Will Ethereum reach $2,500 May 11-17?	2	$34	18	18	+0	open	—	05-16 13:04
Will Ethereum reach $2,400 May 11-17?	2	$34	19	19	+0	open	—	05-16 13:04
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.60 Week of April 27 2026?	2	$32	89	0	+89	open	—	04-29 22:09
Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 May 4-10?	3	$30	53	151	-99	No	$-2	05-08 22:17
Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $197 Week of May 11 2026?	2	$29	21	21	+0	open	—	05-13 13:35
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 Week of May 11 2026?	3	$28	49	49	+0	open	—	05-13 15:30
Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	6	$26	47	47	+0	open	—	05-24 21:43
mlb atl sd 2026 06 23 total 8pt5	4	$25	29	20	+9	open	—	06-23 21:08
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 13?	2	$25	21	21	+0	No	$-6	05-13 12:38
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 15?	2	$25	66	66	+0	open	—	05-10 15:57

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-30 21:06:22	btc updown 5m 1782853500	Up	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xb2fb55…
06-30 21:01:34	btc updown 5m 1782853200	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x83ccac…
06-30 20:46:25	btc updown 5m 1782852300	Up	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x2caf8f…
06-30 20:39:07	btc updown 5m 1782851700	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x647bbf…
06-30 20:30:40	mlb stl atl 2026 06 30 total 9pt5	Under	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xf3546f…
06-30 20:29:19	mlb pit phi 2026 06 30 total 8pt5	Over	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xa9ad6e…
06-30 19:44:07	btc updown 5m 1782848400	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xf67352…
06-30 19:36:49	btc updown 5m 1782848100	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xc6cc27…
06-30 19:01:55	btc updown 5m 1782846000	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x181529…
06-30 18:46:13	btc updown 5m 1782845100	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x72085d…
06-30 18:32:20	btc updown 5m 1782844200	Down	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x5cb4d6…
06-30 18:13:35	btc updown 5m 1782843000	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$3	0x24043c…
06-30 18:03:25	btc updown 5m 1782842400	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x29d53d…
06-30 17:02:31	btc updown 5m 1782838800	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x12e0fb…
06-30 16:57:19	btc updown 5m 1782838500	Up	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x901b56…
06-30 16:50:59	btc updown 5m 1782838200	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0x54fa9c…
06-30 16:31:59	btc updown 5m 1782837000	Down	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xd7d457…
06-30 16:27:05	btc updown 5m 1782836700	Down	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0xe49422…
06-30 16:19:19	btc updown 5m 1782836100	Up	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x2f6c8c…
06-30 15:22:17	btc updown 5m 1782832800	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x81b9c9…
06-30 15:11:50	btc updown 5m 1782832200	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x13fbcb…
06-30 15:07:25	btc updown 5m 1782831900	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xd7b667…
06-30 14:52:01	btc updown 5m 1782831000	Down	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x8c5a6d…
06-30 14:08:28	btc updown 5m 1782828300	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xc25697…
06-30 14:01:13	btc updown 5m 1782828000	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x1730da…
06-30 13:39:16	btc updown 5m 1782826500	Up	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0xf05ff5…
06-30 13:22:32	btc updown 5m 1782825600	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x45533f…
06-30 12:55:46	btc updown 5m 1782824100	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x711f8e…
06-30 12:28:14	btc updown 5m 1782822300	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x4c5cf8…
06-30 12:05:41	btc updown 5m 1782821100	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x2c1b05…
06-30 11:31:17	btc updown 5m 1782819000	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x45a388…
06-30 11:16:19	btc updown 5m 1782818100	Down	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x04bd31…
06-30 10:46:43	btc updown 5m 1782816300	Down	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x8021fa…
06-30 10:32:47	btc updown 5m 1782815400	Down	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x0fd5c1…
06-30 10:18:41	btc updown 5m 1782814500	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x78e642…
06-30 09:58:53	btc updown 5m 1782813300	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xe5654a…
06-30 08:01:10	btc updown 5m 1782806400	Up	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0xe8214a…
06-30 07:54:31	btc updown 5m 1782806100	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x9d0d47…
06-30 07:48:56	btc updown 5m 1782805500	Up	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x7a8aec…
06-30 07:24:17	btc updown 5m 1782804300	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xa7daf8…
06-30 07:18:23	btc updown 5m 1782803700	Down	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x284f0f…
06-30 07:10:44	btc updown 5m 1782803400	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xa005ac…
06-30 06:51:40	btc updown 5m 1782802200	Down	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x572aba…
06-30 06:45:14	btc updown 5m 1782801900	Down	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0xa92c9f…
06-30 06:43:38	btc updown 5m 1782801600	Down	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x1d6b60…
06-30 06:16:19	btc updown 5m 1782800100	Down	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0x241a0b…
06-30 04:29:49	us iran final nuclear deal by june 30 2026 20260621201255150	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x6001c3…
06-30 04:29:28	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	Yes	SELL	9	19¢	$2	0x28d3f9…
06-30 04:00:23	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31 827 659	No	SELL	5	77¢	$4	0x9634f1…
06-30 04:00:22	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	No	SELL	5	82¢	$4	0x4b84af…
06-29 23:08:46	btc updown 5m 1782774300	Down	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x4b3454…
06-29 22:48:23	btc updown 5m 1782773100	Up	BUY	8	38¢	$3	0xc32d6c…
06-29 22:47:41	btc updown 5m 1782773100	Down	BUY	7	39¢	$3	0xe94109…
06-29 22:40:38	btc updown 5m 1782772800	Down	BUY	6	46¢	$3	0xd930c5…
06-29 22:29:34	btc updown 5m 1782771900	Up	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0xf35f0a…
06-29 22:01:49	us iran final nuclear deal by june 30 2026 20260621201255150	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x27771c…
06-29 21:53:17	btc updown 5m 1782769800	Up	BUY	16	19¢	$3	0x32372f…
06-29 21:40:46	btc updown 5m 1782769200	Up	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0xef022d…
06-29 21:35:46	btc updown 5m 1782768900	Up	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0xeab25f…
06-29 21:28:17	btc updown 5m 1782768300	Up	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0xbdc117…
06-29 20:57:41	btc updown 5m 1782766500	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x39c509…
06-29 20:39:52	btc updown 5m 1782765300	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x9dfc0f…
06-29 20:12:08	btc updown 5m 1782763800	Down	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0xa14060…
06-29 19:50:50	btc updown 5m 1782762600	Up	BUY	8	36¢	$3	0xf7c398…
06-29 19:40:46	btc updown 5m 1782762000	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xa1bcd6…
06-29 19:26:49	btc updown 5m 1782761100	Down	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x86ba9a…
06-29 19:10:53	btc updown 5m 1782760200	Up	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0xb90312…
06-29 18:04:23	btc updown 5m 1782756000	Up	BUY	8	39¢	$3	0x8f1023…
06-29 17:46:38	btc updown 5m 1782755100	Up	BUY	7	46¢	$3	0x953eec…
06-29 14:23:44	btc updown 5m 1782742800	Up	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x3b2edc…
06-29 09:30:31	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31 827	No	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0xc340df…
06-29 06:23:11	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15	No	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x819b70…
06-28 19:02:35	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 23 29	No	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x931f64…
06-28 06:03:23	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	No	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0x2a5f0b…
06-27 10:23:47	mlb nyy bos 2026 06 27 total 8pt5	Under	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x16c871…
06-27 09:54:08	iran successfully targets shipping on june 27 20260625225210238	Yes	BUY	4	36¢	$1	0x10bd42…
06-27 09:53:58	iran successfully targets shipping on june 27 20260625225210238	Yes	BUY	10	36¢	$4	0x11be37…
06-26 23:29:41	will trump say mutilation during faith freedom coalition conference 20260626142533762	Yes	BUY	87	6¢	$5	0x3f49f0…
06-26 12:53:25	mlb oak laa 2026 06 26 total 8pt5	Over	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xbafbd3…
06-26 12:24:52	mlb mia stl 2026 06 26 total 8pt5	Over	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x8f25c9…
06-26 10:06:35	mlb lad sd 2026 06 26 total 7pt5	Over	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xabb82c…
06-26 10:04:28	mlb sea cle 2026 06 26 total 7pt5	Over	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x19e521…
06-25 20:43:55	Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?	Anthropic	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0xf45216…
06-25 17:17:02	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x3caaf8…
06-25 09:31:02	mlb sea pit 2026 06 25 total 8pt5	Under	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x1ab748…
06-25 03:53:10	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	SELL	122	4¢	$5	0x25b5c8…
06-25 03:52:38	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	BUY	122	4¢	$5	0x191e48…
06-25 00:57:20	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x7adb3b…
06-24 22:11:08	iaea visits isfahan fordow or natanz nuclear site by july 31 20260624040209014	Yes	BUY	34	15¢	$5	0x0c36ed…
06-24 21:23:08	fifwc mar hai 2026 06 24 spread home 1pt5	Haiti	SELL	11	45¢	$5	0x4db802…
06-24 21:22:29	fifwc mar hai 2026 06 24 spread home 1pt5	Haiti	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x614ab8…
06-24 18:28:28	fifwc bih qat 2026 06 24 spread home 1pt5	Qatar	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x99a0f4…
06-24 13:45:01	mlb mil cin 2026 06 24 total 9pt5	Over	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xaeff65…
06-23 21:08:34	mlb atl sd 2026 06 23 total 8pt5	Under	SELL	20	51¢	$10	0x0d3249…
06-23 16:13:31	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	Yes	SELL	10	45¢	$4	0x81a57c…
06-23 14:01:19	mlb atl sd 2026 06 23 total 8pt5	Under	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x4f31f7…
06-23 13:19:16	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x80b728…
06-23 13:18:26	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xfa43f7…
05-29 02:35:29	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $192 in May?	No	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x1be954…
05-29 02:35:25	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $720 in May?	No	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xcf6d39…