Identical-Cactus — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$63

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

62.6%

Resolved

167

Trades

2,905

lifetime

Volume

$11.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-19

last 07-14 19:35

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 9 days

Categories

Crypto

91% 65% $-63

Other

7% — —

Politics

1% — —

Sports

1% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

37 active days in 12wk • peak 115 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
lol dk bro2 2026 06 06 game3	2	$155	250	250	+0	open	—	06-06 09:20
will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 2 8	13	$133	400	335	+65	open	—	06-08 03:52
will ng reach 3 60 in june 2026	16	$124	246	246	+0	open	—	06-10 12:17
will ng reach 3 40 in june 2026	4	$98	100	100	+0	open	—	06-12 02:29
btc updown 15m 1774843200	40	$68	3,712	0	+3,712	open	—	03-30 04:11
will t lm be the next president of vietnam	5	$59	86	0	+86	open	—	01-23 01:16
will phan van giang be elected general secretary of the vietnamese communist party	9	$56	400	400	+0	open	—	01-22 18:56
btc updown 15m 1776691800	8	$49	45	44	+1	open	—	04-20 13:44
btc updown 15m 1776787200	5	$49	31	30	+1	open	—	04-21 16:14
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	2	$45	30	30	+0	open	—	06-05 02:55
will spy dip to 710 in june 2026	2	$45	50	50	+0	open	—	06-06 12:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	5	$45	26	26	+0	Up	+$5	05-05 15:29
Will President Trump attend the NBA Finals?	7	$45	90	80	+10	open	—	06-03 16:43
btc updown 15m 1775694600	5	$44	26	25	+0	open	—	04-09 00:42
Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by May 31?	4	$44	200	121	+79	open	—	05-29 13:47
Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in June?	8	$43	40	40	+0	open	—	06-01 14:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	9	$41	58	0	+58	Down	+$18	05-07 13:58
Will Trump meet with Elon Musk in June 2026?	6	$39	40	40	+0	open	—	05-31 15:44
btc updown 15m 1774845900	13	$37	186	0	+186	open	—	03-30 04:50
will a claude mythos model be released by june 9 2026	6	$36	60	60	+0	open	—	06-09 11:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	4	$35	20	20	+0	open	—	05-01 16:44
btc updown 15m 1776970800	7	$35	59	14	+45	open	—	04-23 19:14
btc updown 15m 1776954600	4	$34	20	20	+0	open	—	04-23 14:44
Will Trump speak to Mark Rutte in June?	4	$34	40	40	+0	open	—	06-02 08:18
btc updown 15m 1775659500	4	$34	21	20	+0	open	—	04-08 14:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	4	$34	20	20	+0	open	—	05-04 14:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	4	$34	19	19	+0	Down	+$4	05-05 14:14
will propr launch a token by december 31 2026	5	$33	80	80	+0	open	—	06-06 09:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	6	$32	36	7	+28	Up	$-18	05-07 14:13
btc updown 15m 1775723400	4	$31	17	17	+0	open	—	04-09 08:39

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-14 19:35:16	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 corners total 8pt5	Under	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0x82dc68…
07-07 17:27:56	fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 corners total 6pt5	Under	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0xd0b719…
07-07 17:27:22	fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 corners total 6pt5	Over	SELL	22	41¢	$9	0x60c47e…
07-07 17:26:40	fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 corners total 6pt5	Over	BUY	22	50¢	$11	0x34d720…
06-23 18:55:31	fifwc prt uzb 2026 06 23 goals cristiano ronaldo gte3	No	SELL	5	91¢	$5	0x367a70…
06-23 18:18:19	fifwc prt uzb 2026 06 23 goals cristiano ronaldo gte3	No	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xd6b83c…
06-23 18:09:22	fifwc prt uzb 2026 06 23 total 4pt5	Under	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0xeecbea…
06-20 04:44:08	fifwc tur par 2026 06 19 spread home 1pt5	Türkiye	BUY	40	3¢	$1	0x870585…
06-17 21:49:04	fifwc eng hrv 2026 06 17 total 5pt5	Under	BUY	10	32¢	$3	0x2519cb…
06-17 21:10:41	fifwc eng hrv 2026 06 17 total 4pt5	Under	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0xe2ed1e…
06-17 18:46:23	fifwc prt cdr 2026 06 17 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xe88bc6…
06-17 18:46:01	fifwc prt cdr 2026 06 17 total 2pt5	Over	SELL	10	46¢	$5	0xd69b9d…
06-17 18:44:52	fifwc prt cdr 2026 06 17 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	10	47¢	$5	0x06c161…
06-17 18:37:59	fifwc prt cdr 2026 06 17 total 3pt5	Over	SELL	10	19¢	$2	0x286488…
06-17 18:11:41	fifwc prt cdr 2026 06 17 corners total 7pt5	Under	BUY	10	24¢	$2	0x43c03d…
06-17 18:05:58	fifwc prt cdr 2026 06 17 total 3pt5	Over	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x9c0356…
06-12 02:29:10	will ng reach 3 40 in june 2026	Yes	SELL	50	42¢	$21	0x697eea…
06-11 09:29:43	will ng reach 3 40 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	50	51¢	$26	0xeec8cb…
06-11 08:44:04	will ng reach 3 40 in june 2026	Yes	SELL	50	51¢	$26	0x58af44…
06-11 08:23:52	will ng reach 3 40 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	50	53¢	$26	0xca288e…
06-10 12:17:57	will ng reach 3 60 in june 2026	Yes	SELL	50	25¢	$12	0x91a942…
06-10 07:20:00	will ng reach 3 60 in june 2026	Yes	SELL	98	23¢	$23	0xa5efd4…
06-10 05:11:45	will ng reach 3 60 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	50	21¢	$10	0x389568…
06-09 18:52:15	will ng reach 3 60 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0x20763c…
06-09 11:39:28	will a claude mythos model be released by june 9 2026	No	SELL	20	27¢	$5	0xa285e0…
06-09 11:37:58	will a claude mythos model be released by june 10 2026 989	No	SELL	40	14¢	$6	0x2ec82c…
06-09 10:32:40	will a claude mythos model be released by june 10 2026 989	No	BUY	27	16¢	$4	0x0a4cce…
06-09 10:31:04	will a claude mythos model be released by june 9 2026	No	BUY	20	29¢	$6	0xc918a5…
06-09 10:31:04	will a claude mythos model be released by june 10 2026 989	No	BUY	13	16¢	$2	0x6d3fbf…
06-09 10:23:18	will a claude mythos model be released by june 9 2026	No	SELL	20	31¢	$6	0x441001…
06-09 10:20:30	will a claude mythos model be released by june 9 2026	No	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0xc016c0…
06-09 10:03:15	will a claude mythos model be released by june 9 2026	No	SELL	20	32¢	$6	0x439405…
06-09 10:02:27	will a claude mythos model be released by june 9 2026	No	BUY	20	32¢	$6	0x988453…
06-09 03:28:51	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 15 20260607232556275 193	Yes	SELL	20	7¢	$1	0x73e28e…
06-09 03:05:07	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 30 20260607232556276 219	Yes	SELL	20	17¢	$3	0x2122bb…
06-09 03:00:49	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 15 20260607232556275 193	Yes	SELL	20	9¢	$2	0x1aa08f…
06-09 02:57:10	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 15 20260607232556275 193	Yes	BUY	20	8¢	$2	0xe79705…
06-09 02:50:25	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 30 20260607232556276 219	Yes	BUY	20	33¢	$7	0xf003a3…
06-09 02:49:54	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 15 20260607232556275 193	Yes	BUY	20	22¢	$4	0xe1321c…
06-08 20:02:18	will ng reach 3 60 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	13	22¢	$3	0x5db978…
06-08 07:41:31	will ng reach 3 60 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	12	22¢	$3	0x409d06…
06-08 03:52:55	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 2 8	No	SELL	65	4¢	$3	0x5f3f57…
06-08 03:07:43	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 2 8	No	SELL	130	4¢	$5	0xeb3c22…
06-08 01:37:39	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 2 8	No	SELL	87	4¢	$3	0x11e018…
06-07 15:55:27	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 2 8	No	BUY	100	7¢	$7	0xd4b037…
06-07 11:13:03	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 2 8	No	BUY	50	12¢	$6	0xda1f28…
06-07 06:35:22	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 2 8	No	SELL	4	27¢	$1	0x2d1559…
06-07 04:39:30	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 2 8	No	BUY	100	31¢	$31	0xc12125…
06-06 18:45:58	will ng reach 3 60 in june 2026	Yes	SELL	20	23¢	$5	0x1e2276…
06-06 18:10:13	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 2 8	No	SELL	21	40¢	$9	0x0c9c36…
06-06 17:55:09	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 2 8	No	SELL	2	47¢	$1	0xed0291…
06-06 17:55:06	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 2 8	No	SELL	2	47¢	$1	0x64b86b…
06-06 17:54:27	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 2 8	No	SELL	24	47¢	$12	0x3f0c07…
06-06 17:11:43	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 2 8	No	BUY	50	49¢	$24	0xe23f7a…
06-06 14:51:51	will ng reach 3 60 in june 2026	Yes	SELL	15	23¢	$3	0x75900e…
06-06 12:57:25	will spy dip to 710 in june 2026	Yes	SELL	50	45¢	$22	0xb1a774…
06-06 12:16:36	will spy dip to 710 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	50	45¢	$22	0x22837d…
06-06 10:02:16	will ng reach 3 60 in june 2026	Yes	SELL	6	23¢	$1	0x4e57ed…
06-06 10:02:16	will ng reach 3 60 in june 2026	Yes	SELL	57	23¢	$13	0x2572df…
06-06 09:37:28	will propr launch a token by december 31 2026	No	SELL	51	21¢	$11	0x9abba3…
06-06 09:20:43	lol dk bro2 2026 06 06 game3	HANJIN BRION	SELL	250	31¢	$78	0xb3aee0…
06-06 09:20:06	lol dk bro2 2026 06 06 game3	HANJIN BRION	BUY	250	31¢	$78	0x0aa071…
06-06 07:29:51	will propr launch a token by december 31 2026	No	SELL	20	23¢	$5	0x574070…
06-06 04:18:12	will ng reach 3 60 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	41	21¢	$9	0xb91b5b…
06-06 03:43:34	will propr launch a token by december 31 2026	No	SELL	9	23¢	$2	0xd9c03d…
06-05 16:59:00	will ng reach 3 60 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	50	21¢	$10	0xda2df9…
06-05 16:58:43	will ng reach 3 60 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	6	21¢	$1	0x282ad5…
06-05 14:27:30	will ng reach 3 60 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	34	50¢	$17	0xd0b41e…
06-05 09:50:09	will propr launch a token by december 31 2026	No	BUY	68	19¢	$13	0x368e9b…
06-05 09:49:54	will propr launch a token by december 31 2026	No	BUY	12	19¢	$2	0x4769c3…
06-05 08:07:52	will apyx launch a token by september 30 2027	No	SELL	40	12¢	$5	0x3959f1…
06-05 06:56:55	will ng reach 3 60 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	1	50¢	$0	0xd7a05c…
06-05 04:11:51	will ng reach 3 60 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	15	50¢	$8	0xd911fa…
06-05 02:55:00	Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	No	SELL	30	75¢	$22	0x177a7e…
06-04 20:13:21	will apyx launch a token by september 30 2027	No	BUY	40	11¢	$4	0x023d35…
06-04 17:10:19	Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	No	BUY	30	75¢	$22	0xac807a…
06-03 16:43:06	Will President Trump attend the NBA Finals?	No	SELL	10	30¢	$3	0xbd4c0f…
06-03 16:34:09	Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on June 6?	No	SELL	3	32¢	$1	0xfae49e…
06-03 16:20:25	Will President Trump attend the NBA Finals?	No	BUY	20	36¢	$7	0xda052a…
06-03 09:34:43	Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on June 6?	No	BUY	2	32¢	$1	0xa53d79…
06-03 07:21:01	Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on June 6?	No	BUY	1	32¢	$0	0xc9abbe…
06-02 19:11:21	Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on June 2?	No	BUY	30	13¢	$4	0xeed8c5…
06-02 16:12:00	Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on June 2?	No	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0x8c422a…
06-02 15:34:00	Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31?	Yes	SELL	49	11¢	$5	0x0dddef…
06-02 14:41:42	Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31?	Yes	BUY	20	11¢	$2	0x13f319…
06-02 14:27:58	Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31?	Yes	BUY	29	11¢	$3	0xc5c741…
06-02 08:18:06	Will Trump speak to Mark Rutte in June?	No	SELL	20	32¢	$6	0x6bbc68…
06-02 03:14:46	Arc FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	SELL	11	41¢	$5	0x3f3a90…
06-01 14:35:50	Arc FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	SELL	9	43¢	$4	0xb1cea2…
06-01 14:15:19	Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in June?	No	SELL	2	53¢	$1	0xb7a674…
06-01 14:15:19	Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in June?	No	SELL	2	53¢	$1	0x6b030f…
06-01 14:15:19	Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in June?	No	SELL	2	53¢	$1	0x411ae7…
06-01 14:15:18	Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in June?	No	SELL	2	53¢	$1	0x77bf43…
06-01 14:08:25	Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in June?	No	SELL	13	53¢	$7	0x0b4d35…
05-31 15:44:49	Will Trump meet with Elon Musk in June 2026?	No	SELL	20	57¢	$11	0xa0e715…
05-31 02:20:31	Will Trump meet with Elon Musk in June 2026?	No	BUY	10	57¢	$6	0xf8ce88…
05-31 02:20:00	Will Trump meet with Elon Musk in June 2026?	No	BUY	10	57¢	$6	0x0dc7a2…
05-31 02:02:07	Will Trump meet with Elon Musk in June 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	41¢	$8	0x9990be…
05-30 21:32:35	Will Trump meet with Elon Musk in June 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	41¢	$1	0xb42232…
05-30 16:18:49	Will Trump meet with Elon Musk in June 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	41¢	$7	0xcd5f99…