Cylindrical-Merchandise — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$96

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

69.6%

Resolved

Trades

299

lifetime

Volume

$6.68K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$22

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-07

last 09-20 17:02

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 42 days

Categories

Other

62% 39% -$65

Politics

34% 54% -$14

Pop-Culture

2% 100% +$5

Sports

2% 40% -$5

Crypto

0% 0% -$17

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 27 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (26) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?	9	$540	700	250	+450	Yes	+$2	09-20 16:07
Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum passes?	20	$335	424	344	+80	No	+$42	08-30 00:24
will andr ventura win 2nd place in the 1st round of the 2026 portugal presidential election	3	$322	190	190	+0	Yes	+$54	01-18 20:09
odds of khamenei being out as supreme leader by march 31 over 30 in february	3	$316	164	164	+0	Yes	+$12	02-28 10:20
Will AfD win the third-most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?	5	$244	230	170	+60	Yes	+$6	09-20 16:57
iran x israelus conflict ends by march 15	6	$229	180	180	+0	No	-$13	03-01 07:21
trump x greenland deal signed by march 31	10	$222	356	356	+0	No	+$18	01-21 20:22
José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero sentenced to prison?	5	$198	120	120	+0	open	—	06-01 15:58
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	3	$198	200	200	+0	Yes	+$70	02-28 16:11
us charges hormuz fees by december 31 2026 20260713151243236	2	$187	106	106	+0	open	—	07-14 16:20
will the greens win the most seats in the 2026 baden wrttemberg parliamentary elections	1	$182	200	0	+200	No	-$182	03-08 17:12
Will Hassan Khomeini be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	2	$180	100	100	+0	No	+$8	03-01 15:12
fifwc fra sen 2026 06 16 team total home 0pt5	3	$157	100	100	+0	Over	-$17	06-16 19:44
will peoples party pple win the most seats in the 2026 thai legislative election	5	$150	240	24	+216	No	-$148	02-08 13:49
iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by march 31	5	$141	400	400	+0	No	+$43	02-28 22:58
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642 513 584 641 939 632 729	2	$134	100	100	+0	No	+$0	08-13 12:36
will marty supreme win no awards at the oscars	3	$123	80	80	+0	Yes	+$5	02-09 17:02
us strike on somalia by january 31 338	5	$123	96	73	+23	Yes	+$7	01-21 08:46
pakistan x afghanistan ceasefire by march 31	4	$118	100	100	+0	No	+$38	02-28 21:58
Will "No" win the Icelandic EU membership negotiations referendum by less than 3%?	4	$118	300	150	+150	No	-$42	08-29 23:36
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	2	$110	200	0	+200	No	+$90	01-12 11:15
will israels ben gurion airport reopen by march 4 546	1	$93	100	0	+100	No	+$7	03-03 20:12
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	2	$93	50	50	+0	open	—	06-10 17:31
US strike on Cuba by December 31?	3	$92	96	96	+0	open	—	06-16 19:22
Will SPD win at least 31% of all valid second votes?	1	$91	100	0	+100	Yes	+$9	09-18 13:00
Will Linke win at least 23% of all valid second votes?	2	$90	100	0	+100	Yes	+$10	09-20 17:02
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	3	$89	100	0	+100	No	+$11	08-25 21:02
Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	3	$82	50	50	+0	No	+$9	05-17 19:54
Will Greece be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	7	$81	100	100	+0	No	+$31	05-16 21:44
Will the US strike Iran next?	1	$72	90	0	+90	No	+$18	01-26 12:40

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-20 17:02:24	Will Linke win at least 23% of all valid second votes?	Yes	BUY	44	90¢	$40	0xfdfd0e…
09-20 16:59:22	Will Linke win at least 23% of all valid second votes?	Yes	BUY	56	90¢	$50	0x97b0e0…
09-20 16:57:00	Will AfD win the third-most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?	Yes	BUY	30	38¢	$11	0x3d0842…
09-20 16:56:39	Will Grüne win the third-most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?	Yes	BUY	30	57¢	$17	0x4aee48…
09-20 16:38:31	Will AfD win the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state election by a margin of 0-2%?	Yes	BUY	46	62¢	$28	0x05b6fa…
09-20 16:38:30	Will AfD win the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state election by a margin of 0-2%?	Yes	BUY	13	62¢	$8	0x2608a4…
09-20 16:30:24	Will AfD win between 14% and 17% of all valid second votes?	Yes	BUY	0	79¢	$0	0xc46f89…
09-20 16:30:03	Will AfD win between 14% and 17% of all valid second votes?	Yes	BUY	20	79¢	$16	0xb83862…
09-20 16:10:19	Will AfD win the third-most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?	Yes	SELL	170	56¢	$95	0xc43d7b…
09-20 16:08:00	Will AfD win the third-most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?	Yes	BUY	83	69¢	$57	0x5e105e…
09-20 16:07:58	Will AfD win the third-most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?	Yes	BUY	90	69¢	$62	0xf06971…
09-20 16:07:58	Will AfD win the third-most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?	Yes	BUY	27	67¢	$18	0x64fe4c…
09-20 16:07:33	Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?	Yes	BUY	9	86¢	$7	0x94d023…
09-20 16:07:15	Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?	Yes	BUY	291	86¢	$251	0x60cb78…
09-20 15:51:22	Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?	No	BUY	150	37¢	$56	0xef0e50…
09-20 15:35:27	Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?	No	SELL	150	48¢	$72	0xc95f19…
09-20 15:17:58	Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?	No	BUY	150	46¢	$69	0xd3ee94…
09-20 15:14:48	Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?	No	BUY	59	12¢	$7	0xe1c319…
09-20 15:14:06	Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?	No	BUY	26	12¢	$3	0xdf5c11…
09-20 15:11:42	Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?	Yes	SELL	100	49¢	$49	0xbc3035…
09-20 15:11:25	Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?	No	BUY	1	12¢	$0	0x429fd5…
09-20 15:11:04	Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?	No	BUY	45	12¢	$5	0xadd83c…
09-20 15:11:04	Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?	No	BUY	1	12¢	$0	0x2fa8fe…
09-20 15:10:43	Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?	No	BUY	18	12¢	$2	0x14b510…
09-20 14:59:42	Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?	Yes	BUY	88	36¢	$32	0x71655a…
09-20 14:59:09	Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?	Yes	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0xe768c6…
09-20 14:59:07	Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?	Yes	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x89e27f…
09-18 20:02:22	Will Linke win between 11% and 14% of all valid second votes?	No	BUY	9	89¢	$8	0x7e165f…
09-18 18:19:48	Will Linke win between 11% and 14% of all valid second votes?	No	BUY	10	89¢	$9	0xdeba2d…
09-18 17:55:13	Will Grüne win at least 7% of all valid second votes?	No	BUY	16	90¢	$14	0xbf7585…
09-18 13:00:30	Will SPD win at least 31% of all valid second votes?	Yes	BUY	100	91¢	$91	0xd5dd36…
09-01 19:45:07	Will the Danube River return to normal levels between September 1 and September 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	45	20¢	$9	0xd5cce4…
09-01 15:55:55	Will the Danube River return to normal levels between September 1 and September 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xcbe1b0…
09-01 15:54:51	Will the Danube River return to normal levels between September 1 and September 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	0	20¢	$0	0x800fda…
08-30 00:24:24	Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum passes?	Yes	SELL	100	45¢	$45	0x2d5b05…
08-30 00:23:51	Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum passes?	Yes	BUY	100	47¢	$47	0xdd49b1…
08-30 00:20:43	Will "No" win the Icelandic EU membership negotiations referendum by 9–12%?	No	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0xf72b9e…
08-30 00:08:57	Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum passes?	No	BUY	70	58¢	$41	0xb89be2…
08-30 00:00:55	Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum passes?	Yes	SELL	150	47¢	$70	0xa48a20…
08-29 23:49:03	Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum passes?	Yes	BUY	50	38¢	$19	0xca31da…
08-29 23:44:37	Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum passes?	Yes	BUY	15	45¢	$7	0xe35ca3…
08-29 23:44:18	Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum passes?	Yes	BUY	8	45¢	$4	0x39e188…
08-29 23:43:48	Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum passes?	Yes	BUY	45	45¢	$20	0x24dac5…
08-29 23:43:42	Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum passes?	Yes	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xa701bd…
08-29 23:43:19	Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum passes?	Yes	BUY	30	45¢	$13	0x5690ec…
08-29 23:36:46	Will "No" win the Icelandic EU membership negotiations referendum by less than 3%?	Yes	SELL	150	25¢	$38	0x9d91e0…
08-29 23:22:55	Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum passes?	No	SELL	10	73¢	$7	0x99c00c…
08-29 21:58:39	Will "No" win the Icelandic EU membership negotiations referendum by less than 3%?	Yes	BUY	100	25¢	$25	0x9e2278…
08-29 21:52:48	Will "No" win the Icelandic EU membership negotiations referendum by less than 3%?	Yes	BUY	100	25¢	$25	0x07ae9f…
08-29 21:44:13	Will turnout in the Icelandic EU membership negotiations referendum be above 85%?	Yes	SELL	10	20¢	$2	0x2cd0fb…
08-29 21:43:00	Will "No" win the Icelandic EU membership negotiations referendum by less than 3%?	Yes	BUY	100	30¢	$30	0xaa0073…
08-29 21:21:42	Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum passes?	Yes	SELL	32	31¢	$10	0x064962…
08-29 21:14:42	Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum passes?	Yes	SELL	3	31¢	$1	0xbf5e35…
08-29 21:13:22	Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum passes?	Yes	SELL	29	31¢	$9	0xbfc242…
08-29 21:11:37	Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum passes?	Yes	SELL	8	31¢	$2	0x4f1388…
08-29 21:11:18	Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum passes?	Yes	SELL	12	31¢	$4	0xedee2e…
08-29 19:55:40	Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum passes?	Yes	BUY	84	27¢	$23	0x0f2acb…
08-29 18:18:09	Will turnout in the Icelandic EU membership negotiations referendum be above 85%?	Yes	SELL	60	25¢	$15	0x0074b9…
08-29 15:09:52	Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum passes?	No	BUY	12	62¢	$8	0x220686…
08-29 15:09:46	Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum passes?	No	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x596e2f…
08-29 15:07:15	Will turnout in the Icelandic EU membership negotiations referendum be above 85%?	Yes	BUY	70	20¢	$14	0x16bb8e…
08-29 14:38:43	Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum passes?	No	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x9df371…
08-29 14:36:40	Will "Yes" win the Icelandic EU membership negotiations referendum by less than 3%?	Yes	BUY	20	32¢	$6	0x828c56…
08-27 08:18:58	Will Dolly Parton be the #1 searched passing on Google this year?	Yes	SELL	35	40¢	$14	0xedfd02…
08-25 21:02:51	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	7	89¢	$6	0xeadaad…
08-25 20:50:18	Will Dolly Parton be the #1 searched passing on Google this year?	Yes	BUY	35	16¢	$6	0x81b45d…
08-25 20:09:33	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	45	89¢	$40	0x87a568…
08-25 19:57:39	Will the Danube River return to normal levels between September 1 and September 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	44	10¢	$4	0x14f862…
08-25 19:39:01	Will the Danube River return to normal levels between September 1 and September 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0xc10455…
08-25 19:38:09	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	48	89¢	$43	0xec0077…
08-16 03:20:07	Will USD be less than 1.7M Iranian rials on August 31?	Yes	BUY	100	9¢	$9	0x9e9fc1…
08-13 16:43:30	Will USD be less than 1.7M Iranian rials on August 31?	Yes	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x4fbc38…
08-13 12:36:58	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642 513 584 641 939 632 729	No	SELL	100	67¢	$67	0x558b78…
08-12 08:26:22	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642 513 584 641 939 632 729	No	BUY	100	67¢	$67	0x145bfd…
08-11 10:04:57	Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?	No	BUY	12	60¢	$7	0x6f419b…
08-11 10:04:46	Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?	No	BUY	46	60¢	$28	0xff5b85…
08-11 10:01:22	Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?	No	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xb46729…
08-11 09:46:12	Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?	No	BUY	11	60¢	$7	0xc3ff98…
08-11 09:44:13	Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?	No	BUY	25	60¢	$15	0xdc857f…
07-14 16:20:07	us charges hormuz fees by december 31 2026 20260713151243236	No	SELL	106	88¢	$93	0x26bb13…
07-14 16:11:29	us charges hormuz fees by december 31 2026 20260713151243236	No	BUY	106	88¢	$93	0x668187…
07-13 16:00:11	Will Darline Graham Nordone replace Graham as South Carolina Senator?	No	SELL	20	40¢	$8	0x5e3c19…
07-13 15:15:20	Will Darline Graham Nordone replace Graham as South Carolina Senator?	No	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0xb1df61…
07-13 15:01:38	Will Pamela Evette replace Graham as South Carolina Senator?	Yes	BUY	58	14¢	$8	0xd0c586…
07-13 14:59:08	Will Pamela Evette replace Graham as South Carolina Senator?	Yes	BUY	13	16¢	$2	0x5ff06d…
06-30 12:06:34	Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the July Meeting?	No	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0x034c59…
06-30 12:06:29	Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the July Meeting?	No	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x859c06…
06-30 12:06:29	Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the July Meeting?	No	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0x3e3d8d…
06-16 20:34:59	Exact Score: France 1 - 0 Senegal?	Yes	SELL	35	38¢	$13	0xd40677…
06-16 20:30:35	Exact Score: France 1 - 0 Senegal?	Yes	BUY	35	35¢	$12	0x8dd667…
06-16 19:44:25	fifwc fra sen 2026 06 16 team total home 0pt5	Over	SELL	98	70¢	$69	0x879311…
06-16 19:44:17	fifwc fra sen 2026 06 16 team total home 0pt5	Over	SELL	2	70¢	$1	0x4dcde7…
06-16 19:27:04	fifwc fra sen 2026 06 16 corners team away 1pt5	Over	BUY	33	85¢	$28	0xc3287d…
06-16 19:22:16	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	SELL	87	50¢	$44	0x06ce15…
06-16 19:11:53	Will Senegal win on 2026-06-16?	Yes	BUY	60	17¢	$10	0xb8fb15…
06-16 19:09:41	fifwc fra sen 2026 06 16 team total home 0pt5	Over	BUY	100	87¢	$87	0x588387…
06-16 18:40:11	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	SELL	9	50¢	$4	0x15a6da…
06-14 21:47:12	Will Netherlands win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	30	69¢	$21	0x84606b…
06-10 17:31:57	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	50	95¢	$47	0xcc14ee…
06-09 22:57:33	Will Czechia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	3,800	0¢	$11	0xe870ac…