Cylindrical-Merchandise — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$77

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

188

lifetime

Volume

$4.26K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$23

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-07

last 07-14 16:20

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

48% — —

Other

47% 0% $-77

Pop-Culture

3% — —

Sports

2% — —

Crypto

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

10 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will andr ventura win 2nd place in the 1st round of the 2026 portugal presidential election	3	$322	190	190	+0	open	—	01-18 20:09
odds of khamenei being out as supreme leader by march 31 over 30 in february	3	$316	164	164	+0	open	—	02-28 10:20
iran x israelus conflict ends by march 15	6	$229	180	180	+0	open	—	03-01 07:21
trump x greenland deal signed by march 31	10	$222	356	356	+0	open	—	01-21 20:22
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	3	$198	200	200	+0	open	—	02-28 16:11
us charges hormuz fees by december 31 2026 20260713151243236	2	$187	106	106	+0	open	—	07-14 16:20
will the greens win the most seats in the 2026 baden wrttemberg parliamentary elections	1	$182	200	0	+200	open	—	03-08 17:12
Will Hassan Khomeini be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	2	$180	100	100	+0	open	—	03-01 15:12
fifwc fra sen 2026 06 16 team total home 0pt5	3	$157	100	100	+0	open	—	06-16 19:44
will peoples party pple win the most seats in the 2026 thai legislative election	5	$150	240	24	+216	open	—	02-08 13:49
iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by march 31	5	$141	400	400	+0	open	—	02-28 22:58
will marty supreme win no awards at the oscars	3	$123	80	80	+0	open	—	02-09 17:02
us strike on somalia by january 31 338	5	$123	96	73	+23	open	—	01-21 08:46
pakistan x afghanistan ceasefire by march 31	4	$118	100	100	+0	open	—	02-28 21:58
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	2	$110	200	0	+200	open	—	01-12 11:15
José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero sentenced to prison?	2	$106	0	120	-120	open	—	06-01 15:58
will israels ben gurion airport reopen by march 4 546	1	$93	100	0	+100	open	—	03-03 20:12
Will Greece be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	7	$81	100	100	+0	open	—	05-16 21:44
Will the US strike Iran next?	1	$72	90	0	+90	open	—	01-26 12:40
iran confirmed not to participate in 2026 fifa world cup by march 31	6	$68	100	100	+0	open	—	03-01 21:27
will joo cotrim figueiredo win 2nd place in the 1st round of the 2026 portugal presidential election	7	$64	120	120	+0	open	—	01-18 20:28
us strikes iran by january 23 2026 494 711 798 734 155	2	$64	60	60	+0	open	—	01-16 04:33
Will Albania be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	8	$62	125	94	+31	open	—	05-16 21:43
Will Greece be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?	5	$61	58	43	+15	open	—	05-16 21:58
will israels ben gurion airport reopen by march 7 339 656	4	$60	45	45	+0	open	—	03-04 12:12
will player 167 win beast games season 2 763	2	$58	100	100	+0	open	—	02-05 21:13
will france uk or germany strike iran by march 31 929	1	$52	200	0	+200	open	—	03-01 15:18
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?	4	$51	125	125	+0	open	—	05-24 11:23
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	4	$50	40	40	+0	open	—	03-01 15:22
US strike on Cuba by December 31?	2	$48	0	96	-96	open	—	06-16 19:22

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-14 16:20:07	us charges hormuz fees by december 31 2026 20260713151243236	No	SELL	106	88¢	$93	0x26bb13…
07-14 16:11:29	us charges hormuz fees by december 31 2026 20260713151243236	No	BUY	106	88¢	$93	0x668187…
06-16 19:44:25	fifwc fra sen 2026 06 16 team total home 0pt5	Over	SELL	98	70¢	$69	0x879311…
06-16 19:44:17	fifwc fra sen 2026 06 16 team total home 0pt5	Over	SELL	2	70¢	$1	0x4dcde7…
06-16 19:27:04	fifwc fra sen 2026 06 16 corners team away 1pt5	Over	BUY	33	85¢	$28	0xc3287d…
06-16 19:22:16	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	SELL	87	50¢	$44	0x06ce15…
06-16 19:09:41	fifwc fra sen 2026 06 16 team total home 0pt5	Over	BUY	100	87¢	$87	0x588387…
06-16 18:40:11	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	SELL	9	50¢	$4	0x15a6da…
06-10 17:31:57	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	50	95¢	$47	0xcc14ee…
06-06 15:14:22	will dune part three be nominated for best picture at the 99th academy awards	No	SELL	4	30¢	$1	0xb1b10f…
06-01 15:58:17	José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero sentenced to prison?	No	SELL	104	88¢	$92	0x2ed8b0…
05-31 07:02:04	José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero sentenced to prison?	No	SELL	16	88¢	$14	0x11bdad…
05-30 15:50:08	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by December 31?	No	BUY	45	2¢	$1	0x4f6bb0…
05-29 15:44:26	will dune part three be nominated for best picture at the 99th academy awards	No	BUY	12	15¢	$2	0xa0b776…
05-24 11:23:42	Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?	Yes	SELL	40	26¢	$10	0xa0d961…
05-24 11:22:43	Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?	Yes	SELL	59	25¢	$15	0x870c9d…
05-24 11:07:28	Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?	Yes	SELL	27	26¢	$7	0x963495…
05-23 19:43:45	Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?	Yes	BUY	125	16¢	$20	0x6c26a5…
05-16 21:58:41	Will Greece be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	40	82¢	$33	0x0a1526…
05-16 21:55:39	Will Greece be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	3	82¢	$2	0xd31702…
05-16 21:44:58	Will Greece be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	20	56¢	$11	0xf926cf…
05-16 21:43:20	Will Albania be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	19	40¢	$8	0x24ee6e…
05-16 21:42:12	Will Albania be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	58	40¢	$23	0xb9bdaa…
05-16 21:41:30	Will Albania be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	40¢	$1	0x99b041…
05-16 21:41:25	Will Albania be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	40¢	$1	0x447a4b…
05-16 21:40:02	Will Albania be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	12	40¢	$5	0x8fa477…
05-16 21:39:10	Will Israel be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	24	25¢	$6	0xf18b14…
05-16 21:36:46	Will Greece be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	5	56¢	$3	0x8b19ba…
05-16 21:36:04	Will Greece be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	18	56¢	$10	0x1ef8a2…
05-16 21:34:32	Will Greece be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	57	56¢	$32	0x2cb6ed…
05-14 21:16:56	Will Luxembourg advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x782877…
05-14 21:16:51	Will Armenia advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xd16376…
05-14 21:16:40	Will Switzerland advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x8df7c9…
05-14 21:16:12	Will Latvia advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xfd79cd…
05-11 15:50:59	Will Greece be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	54	43¢	$23	0xb125f2…
05-11 15:50:52	Will Greece be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x005388…
05-09 10:56:39	Will Albania be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	53	20¢	$11	0xd2d9de…
05-08 17:43:46	Will Cyprus be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xd7a51e…
05-06 14:02:48	Will Cyprus be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	13¢	$1	0x639477…
05-06 11:38:52	Will Cyprus be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	190	13¢	$25	0x36984c…
05-06 05:26:22	Will Israel be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0x9cc942…
05-06 00:20:44	Will Lithuania advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	No	BUY	13	31¢	$4	0x712f26…
05-05 22:42:30	Will San Marino advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	BUY	82	18¢	$15	0xc2890e…
05-05 21:58:54	Will Israel be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	38	47¢	$18	0x50ad8a…
05-05 17:02:20	Will Israel be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x446fa7…
05-05 17:01:40	Will Norway advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	No	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x1602f6…
05-05 16:04:50	Will Greece be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xcfc9bb…
05-05 15:15:22	Will San Marino advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	BUY	12	18¢	$2	0x65f0a0…
05-05 13:59:04	Will Israel be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xa67ef0…
05-05 10:25:24	Will Cyprus be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	32¢	$1	0x48cb2d…
05-05 08:55:26	Will San Marino advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0x7ee090…
05-05 08:40:36	Will Lithuania advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	No	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0x1db940…
05-05 06:53:36	Will San Marino advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	BUY	30	18¢	$5	0xcb5dfe…
05-05 05:09:16	Will Albania be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	67	20¢	$13	0xa0a098…
05-04 23:18:36	Will Greece be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	72	25¢	$18	0xd564ab…
05-04 19:42:30	Will Greece be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	1	25¢	$0	0xc91563…
05-04 18:02:20	Will Montenegro be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	220	8¢	$18	0x094a97…
05-04 15:56:52	Will Albania advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x738306…
05-04 15:23:46	Will Serbia advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	No	BUY	99	20¢	$20	0xf63559…
05-04 14:49:24	Will Ukraine be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	14	30¢	$4	0xf6dcec…
05-04 13:14:48	Will San Marino advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xfe85ac…
05-04 13:14:10	Will Cyprus be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	32¢	$2	0x812992…
05-04 13:12:18	Will Ukraine be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0xa53816…
05-04 13:09:28	Will Albania be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x3a2dbf…
05-04 12:55:40	Will Serbia advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	No	BUY	19	20¢	$4	0x4eb0c2…
05-04 12:35:04	Will Serbia advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	No	BUY	6	20¢	$1	0xc1bb33…
05-04 12:14:06	Will Lithuania advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	No	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0xe62aa7…
05-04 12:04:08	Will Greece be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	27	25¢	$7	0x9bad6c…
05-04 11:27:24	Will Ukraine be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	19	30¢	$6	0xb61415…
04-21 18:41:36	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	BUY	29	16¢	$5	0xb24188…
04-21 18:41:30	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	BUY	20	16¢	$3	0x6e5134…
04-21 18:41:30	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	BUY	0	16¢	$0	0x17fe87…
04-21 13:04:34	will 70 79 ships transit the strait of hormuz between april 13 april 19 178	Yes	BUY	45	2¢	$1	0xa39dd7…
04-21 13:04:10	will 70 79 ships transit the strait of hormuz between april 13 april 19 178	Yes	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x446223…
04-21 13:04:06	will 70 79 ships transit the strait of hormuz between april 13 april 19 178	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x6a8a35…
04-21 13:04:04	will 70 79 ships transit the strait of hormuz between april 13 april 19 178	Yes	BUY	150	2¢	$4	0x8e6379…
04-21 13:04:04	will 50 59 ships transit the strait of hormuz between april 13 april 19 662	Yes	BUY	100	6¢	$6	0x168a7e…
04-21 12:05:22	will 70 79 ships transit the strait of hormuz between april 13 april 19 178	Yes	BUY	15	4¢	$1	0x8d4bbe…
04-16 15:06:08	Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x8d1743…
04-16 15:01:56	Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	36	62¢	$22	0x909cf2…
04-16 15:01:24	Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x742381…
04-16 14:55:34	Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	4	62¢	$2	0xd99496…
04-13 14:09:19	will tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election by 9	No	SELL	120	1¢	$1	0x44ff37…
04-08 21:05:19	will tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election by 9	No	BUY	120	31¢	$37	0x09371a…
03-08 17:12:35	will the greens win the most seats in the 2026 baden wrttemberg parliamentary elections	Yes	BUY	200	91¢	$182	0xf98e27…
03-08 17:00:55	will cdu win the most seats in the 2026 baden wrttemberg parliamentary elections	Yes	SELL	90	4¢	$4	0xbf73d5…
03-08 15:59:39	will cdu win the most seats in the 2026 baden wrttemberg parliamentary elections	Yes	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0x174072…
03-08 15:59:39	will cdu win the most seats in the 2026 baden wrttemberg parliamentary elections	Yes	BUY	16	41¢	$7	0x1509e2…
03-08 11:51:11	will cdu win the most seats in the 2026 baden wrttemberg parliamentary elections	Yes	BUY	50	47¢	$24	0x86d608…
03-07 14:25:05	will jean paul lecoq be the next mayor of le havre	Yes	BUY	50	40¢	$20	0xf39baf…
03-07 13:12:29	will jean paul lecoq be the next mayor of le havre	Yes	BUY	14	41¢	$6	0x16f689…
03-04 12:12:35	will israels ben gurion airport reopen by march 7 339 656	No	SELL	10	78¢	$7	0xe09103…
03-04 12:12:35	will israels ben gurion airport reopen by march 7 339 656	No	SELL	19	78¢	$15	0x7cd513…
03-04 11:56:27	will israels ben gurion airport reopen by march 7 339 656	No	SELL	16	78¢	$12	0x726c54…
03-03 20:12:35	will israels ben gurion airport reopen by march 4 546	No	BUY	100	93¢	$93	0x3e048a…
03-03 18:20:17	tulsi gabbard out by march 31	Yes	SELL	36	2¢	$1	0xbfb9f5…
03-03 18:18:53	ukraine signs peace deal with russia by march 31	Yes	SELL	100	4¢	$4	0x43d025…
03-03 18:15:13	will israels ben gurion airport reopen by march 7 339 656	No	BUY	45	56¢	$25	0x717c53…
03-02 21:04:43	will bitcoin be the top performing crypto for the week of march 2	No	BUY	0	57¢	$0	0x4e0afb…
03-02 20:28:11	will bitcoin be the top performing crypto for the week of march 2	No	BUY	12	57¢	$7	0xa43265…